MaghrebeCrypto

Bitcoin’s $70K–$80K range is one of its weakest historical zones.

BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.

If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.

Strong trends are built where price spends time.

🐳 Bitcoin Wallets Are Fewer - But Stronger

Something interesting is happening with $BTC.

📉 Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least 1 BTC is down 2.2%. On the surface, that looks bearish.

📈 But here’s the twist:
Wallets with more than 1 BTC now hold 136,670 more coins.

🤔 In simple terms:
• Fewer wallets
• Bigger holders
• More accumulation at the top

This doesn’t look like panic selling. It looks like #Bitcoin slowly moving into stronger hands.

#BTC Price Analysis#
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

Why Bitcoin’s December Range May Be Ending Soon

Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.

Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.

That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.

Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.

When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.

🚨 $BTC Regime-Score gibt ein frühes Signal, das die meisten Trader übersehen…

Bull/Bear-Struktur komprimiert sich
Regime-Score schwebt nahe der kritischen Gleichgewichtszone (~16%)
Diese Zone markiert historisch Übergänge, nicht Trends

Wenn der Score unter null bleibt → Verteilung & Abwärtsvolatilität
Nachhaltiger Durchbruch über die Regime-Baseline → Trendexpansion & Rückkehr des Moments

Im Moment ist $BTC NICHT im Trend, es wickelt sich ein
Je länger die Kompression dauert, desto stärker der nächste Impuls
Schlaue Investoren jagen nicht den Kerzen nach. Sie positionieren sich, bevor das Regime umschlägt.
#BTCPrice #Analysis #OnChainAnalysis #MarketRegime

FACT: XXI CAPITAL ACCUMULATED OVER 40,000 #BITCOIN $BTC  WORTH $3,800,000,000 THIS YEAR

IT HASN'T EVEN STARTED BUYING. BULLISH 🚀

Ehrlich gesagt, ich bin es leid, auf Diagramme zu starren.

Ich bin seit 2017 auf diesem Markt. Ich habe die Euphorie gesehen, als Taxifahrer mir sagten, ich solle Krypto kaufen. Ich habe die Verzweiflung gesehen, als mein Portfolio in einer Woche um -75% blutete. Ich dachte, ich wäre an alles gewöhnt.

Aber das hier... das fühlt sich anders an.

Alles scheint zu steigen, Institutionen sind hier, ETFs sind live. Und doch gibt es diese seltsame Spannung in der Luft. Es ist nicht die einfache Euphorie des letzten Bullenmarktes. Es fühlt sich wie die Ruhe vor etwas Großem an, entweder einem lebensverändernden Pump oder... nun, du weißt schon.

Gestern Abend habe ich das Terminal geschlossen und bin einfach ohne mein Handy spazieren gegangen. Manchmal braucht man eine Erinnerung, dass das Leben nicht nur grüne und rote Kerzen sind.

Kam zurück und kaufte ein wenig mehr $BTC
Denn trotz der Nerven glaube ich an die langfristige Entwicklung.

Wie gehst du gerade mit dem Druck um? Bist du ängstlich oder total entspannt?

#BTC #Price #analises #Macro #Insights

📉 Market 24-Hour Recap: Crypto Slips Despite Cooling Inflation & Rate Cuts

Inflation cooled and rates were cut, but traders still sold risk assets. $BTC is down about 2% near $88,100 as many lock in profits after the recent run, with added nerves around potential ETF-linked liquidation pressure if the dip deepens.

$ETH also followed the market lower, sliding over 2% to around $2,940 as selling spread across majors. On days like this, “good macro” doesn’t always matter - positioning and risk-off mood can overpower the headlines fast.

#BTC Price Analysis# #ETH
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

📊 Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge

Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC C, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.

According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.

The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.

Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.

The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.

Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios?

#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move? #BTC
#Brazil

#BITCOIN SHARKS ARE BUYING LIKE MADMEN RIGHT NOW!

$BTC continues to exhibit volatility, with recent rallies encountering significant selling pressure near the intra-day range highs. This persistent resistance suggests that traders are cautious, particularly in light of macroeconomic factors influencing the broader financial landscape.

Market analysts are closely monitoring the implications of potential interest rate cuts from the Bank of Japan, which could further exacerbate downward trends not only for $BTC but also for various altcoins. The anticipation of these monetary policy adjustments may create a ripple effect across the cryptocurrency market, prompting investors to reassess their positions.

While $BTC remains a focal point, other cryptocurrencies are also feeling the impact of this uncertainty. Investors are advised to stay vigilant as market dynamics shift, particularly with the backdrop of traditional financial movements influencing crypto valuations.

#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #CMC