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Bitcoin Apna Uptrend Maintain Kar Raha Hai — Gold aur Silver ke Bawajood
Bitcoin Apna Uptrend Maintain Kar Raha Hai — Gold aur Silver ke Bawajood
Recent volatility ke bawajood Bitcoin ne resilience show ki hai aur yeh clear hota ja raha hai ke BTC ka move gold ya silver ke price action par depend nahi karta. Analysts ke mutabiq, Bitcoin ki growth short-term correlations nahi balkay long-term narratives se driven hoti hai.
Key Points (Simple Breakdown)
Bitcoin ka uptrend gold aur silver se independent hai, jo common assumptions ko challenge karta hai
Gold aur silver ne recent weeks mein all-time highs touch kiye, mainly geopolitical tensions aur monetary easing expectations ki wajah se
Market sentiment clear divide show kar raha hai:
Gold market = Greed
Crypto market = Extreme Fear
Analysts ka maanna hai ke 2026 ke around Bitcoin momentum reverse ho sakta hai, aur kuch log isay next decade-long bull cycle ka start bhi samajh rahe hain
Market Context: Traditional assets aur crypto ke darmiyan jo divergence hai, woh changing investor behavior aur macro factors ko reflect karta hai
Bitcoin Ko Gold ya Silver Ki Zarurat Nahi
Glassnode ke lead analyst James Check ke mutabiq, Bitcoin ka recent strength is baat par depend nahi karta ke gold ya silver pullback karein. Unka kehna hai ke kaafi Bitcoin supporters abhi bhi in assets ke real dynamics ko samajhne mein fail ho jate hain.
Isi baat ko macro analyst Lyn Alden ne bhi ek recent YouTube podcast mein support kiya. Unke according, gold aur Bitcoin ka relation na to simple hai aur na hi competitive — dono apni apni macro role play karte hain.
Abhi Bitcoin-to-gold ratio 19.29 par hai, jo BTC ki relative strength ko show karta hai. Alden ne explain kiya ke last year Bitcoin thora lag behind tha jab ke gold ne strong performance di — isi wajah se yeh ratio ab shift ho raha hai.
Gold, Silver ATH — Bitcoin Correction Mode Mein
Last week:
Gold ~$4,533 tak gaya
Silver $77 se upar chala gaya
Is rally ke reasons thay:
Federal Reserve easing ki expectations
Weak US dollar
Rising geopolitical tensions
Dusri taraf, Bitcoin ne strong correction dekhi, jo apne $ETH
(5 October) se lagbhag 30% neeche aakar ~$XRP
ke area mein trade kar raha hai.
Market participant Michael van de Poppe ke mutabiq, historically jab gold strong hota hai, Bitcoin thora delay ke baad follow karta hai, jo ek broader asset cycle ka hissa hota hai.
Market Divergence aur Aage Ka Outlook
Late 2022 se late 2024 tak gold aur Bitcoin mostly ek sath move kar rahe thay.
Lekin is saal picture change ho chuki hai:
Gold: +60% up
Bitcoin: ~7.2% down
Sentiment bhi is divergence ko reflect karta hai:
Gold Fear & Greed Index: 79 (Greed)
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 24 (Extreme Fear)
Despite this, industry ke kaafi big names bullish hi remain kar rahe hain:
Matt Hougan (Bitwise) expects positive Bitcoin performance ahead
Samson Mow (Jan3) ek long multi-year bull run ka scenario dekh rahe hain
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin abhi short-term pressure mein ho sakta hai, lekin long-term story unchanged hai.
Gold aur silver apna role play kar rahe hain, jab ke Bitcoin apni independent monetary narrative build kar raha hai.