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The$XRP community found itself dividedA fter comments from former Ripple CTO David Schwartz resurfaced regarding the possibility of XRP reaching the $50–$100 price range. What began as a cautious response quickly escalated into a heated debate across Crypto Twitter.
Schwartz was responding to a user who claimed $XRP could never reach such levels. In his reply, he stated:
“I don’t feel comfortable saying something like that.”
While the statement was measured, it immediately caught the attention of the XRP army. Many interpreted it as skepticism, even though Schwartz later clarified that his discomfort was rooted in probability, not dismissal.
Schwartz’s Track Record: A Lesson in Underestimation
To understand the context, it’s important to revisit Schwartz’s personal history with XRP. He entered XRP at approximately $0.006 and later began selling around $0.10, a move that already represented a gain of nearly 1,567%.
However, XRP didn’t stop there. The asset eventually surged to $0.25, proving that even one of its earliest architects underestimated its upside potential. This historical example highlights a recurring theme in crypto markets: early expectations often fail to capture long-term growth.
Crypto Analyst Bird Weighs In
Crypto analyst and XRPL developer Bird (@Bird_XRPL) addressed the controversy, emphasizing that Schwartz’s caution should not be confused with bearish sentiment.
According to Bird, statements such as “I don’t think it’s likely” reflect risk-based probability, not certainty. In financial markets, probability assessments are tools for managing expectations — not definitive forecasts.
Bird further pointed out that Schwartz once considered Bitcoin reaching $100 an “impossible dream.” Bitcoin later went on to exceed $120,000, reinforcing the idea that cautious outlooks do not limit future outcomes.
Probability vs. Belief: A Key Distinction
One of the most misunderstood aspects of Schwartz’s comments is the difference between likelihood and belief. Bird explained that Schwartz’s wording reflects experience-driven prudence rather than a lack of confidence in XRP.
This distinction is critical. Many seasoned developers and analysts remain conservative in public commentary, not because they doubt the asset, but because markets consistently outperform early models.
What This Means for XRP Investors
From $0.006 to over $2, XRP has already demonstrated an ability to exceed expectations. Schwartz himself has previously explained why XRP cannot remain undervalued indefinitely, given its role in global payments infrastructure.
Bird urged investors to view these remarks within the broader context of crypto history. When insiders express caution, it often reflects lessons learned — not bearish conviction.
Is XRP Headed Toward $100?
While reaching $100 XRP would require massive adoption, liquidity expansion, and regulatory clarity, many analysts believe it is not impossible over a long-term horizon.
Bird concluded that when someone with Schwartz’s experience says “I don’t think it’s likely,” it should be read as context — not a warning. In his view, Schwartz remains fundamentally aligned with XRP’s long-term vision.
As history has repeatedly shown, crypto markets have a habit of defying even the most informed expectations.
Final Thoughts
XRP’s journey so far proves one thing clearly:
Early doubt does not define future performance.
For investors, the key lies in separating emotional reactions from rational interpretation — and understanding that caution from veterans often carries more insight than fear.

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