Hawk 金王

$BTC  🚨 :- Bitcoin reclaiming 90K might sound impressive, but let’s be real: it’s smoke and mirrors compared to gold’s relentless surge to new all‑time highs. The so‑called “digital gold” is stuck in a choppy range, bleeding network activity with active addresses at a one‑year low.

That’s not strength, it’s stagnation. Institutional inflows? At best, another pump‑and‑dump circus where insiders cash out and retail gets wrecked. Meanwhile, gold is flexing hard: breaking resistance, riding above moving averages, and showing no signs of reversal even in overbought territory.

One asset is proving its timeless role as a hedge against inflation; the other is still trying to prove it’s more than a speculative casino chip. The Santa rally didn’t crown two winners, it crowned one. And spoiler alert: it’s not Bitcoin.$BTC

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$BTC

What Gold and Copper’s 2025 Rally Says About Bitcoin

Gold and copper are the two strongest performers of 2025, and their leadership is revealing. Gold reflects deep concern about global debt, currency stability, and long-term fiscal health. Copper reflects optimism around AI, energy transition, and physical infrastructure demand.

Bitcoin was expected to benefit from both narratives. Instead, it has lagged.

One reason is structural. Gold has sovereign demand. Central banks buy it as a reserve asset. Bitcoin, while portable and attractive to individuals and funds, does not yet have that same institutional anchor.

Another reason is narrative fatigue. Bitcoin is increasingly marketed as a passive store of value rather than a growth story, which limits fresh capital inflows in a market chasing either safety or acceleration.

The declining copper-to-gold ratio suggests a late-cycle environment, where growth exists but fragility dominates. In past cycles, Bitcoin often consolidated during this phase before responding sharply once monetary stress intensified.

This may not be Bitcoin failing to perform. It may be Bitcoin waiting.$BTC
#USJobsData #BTCVSGOLD #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #CPIWatch

$BTC consolidating above key demand at $87.7K. Strong support sits at $86K–$86.5K, while resistance looms at $90K–$90.5K. Holding above $87.5K favors bullish continuation, a breakout over $90K could fuel further expansion.

Bias: bullish above support, cautious near resistance. 
#USGDPUpdate #BTCVSGOLD #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USJobsData

Merry Christmas to you and your family 🎄🎄😂
$NOT

$ICP

$BANANA
#USGDPUpdate #USJobsData

$BTC hat weiterhin die Trendlinie respektiert, wobei der letzte Rückgang Unterstützung genau bei der 61,8%-FIB gefunden hat.

Mit der aktuellen Struktur, die technisch abgeschlossen ist, könnte dies den Beginn einer Bodenbildung markieren.

Ein Ausbruch über $90.569 würde eine stärkere Bestätigung einer bullischen Wende bieten. Genau beobachten.

Folgen Sie, um auf dem Laufenden zu bleiben.
#USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #BTCVSGOLD #USJobsData

🔥 BULLISH: Anthony Pompliano says the future of finance is AI plus Bitcoin as $BTC shows maturing volatility, strong long-term performance and growing institutional demand.
#BTCVSGOLD #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USJobsData

Merry Christmas, GM Crypto Fam! $BTC

Wishing you a holiday season filled with peace, joy, and prosperity!

May your investments be fruitful, and your crypto journey be filled with exciting opportunities.

Bright and bullish new year!
#BTCVSGOLD #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch

🛡 Privacy as Hygiene: Railgun & The New $ETH  Standard

In the words of Vitalik Buterin, "Privacy is not a feature; privacy is hygiene." As we head into 2026, the industry is moving away from "toxic mixers" toward a new standard of financial secrecy - one that is both invisible and honest.

The era of anonymous chaos is being replaced by Proof-of-Innocence.

Instead of revealing your identity, you cryptographically prove your funds aren't linked to illicit activity.

🛠 The Tech Behind the Veil: zk-SNARKs & UTXO

Railgun doesn't use bridges or separate chains. It operates directly on Ethereum, Polygon, and Arbitrum by combining:

🔹 zk-SNARKs (Groth16): Compact, fast proofs that verify transactions without revealing the asset type, amount, or history.

🔹 UTXO Model: Anonymized data points in a Merkle tree structure within the EVM.

🔹 Viewing Keys: A revolutionary feature that lets users voluntarily share transaction history with auditors or tax authorities without compromising their private keys.

From the launch by an anonymous founder named "Goldstein" to becoming a cornerstone of Vitalik Buterin’s Kohaku framework, Railgun represents the final mile in $ETH 's privacy journey.

Is "Proof-of-Innocence" the missing link to mass crypto adoption?
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$BTC historical cycles are giving us some interesting clues, and we might be in for a bottom around October 2026... Here's the breakdown:

- Bitcoin usually takes about 1,064 days to go from a market bottom to a peak 📈

- then, the decline from peak to the next bottom typically takes around 364 days 📉

👀 We're currently in that 364-day adjustment phase, which suggests the next bottom could hit near $37,500 by late 2026.

If you're following the cycles, it’s looking like the long-term trend could be positioning us for a solid entry point in a few years.

⏰ As always, time will tell, but these patterns are hard to ignore - keep an eye on it.

And Merry Christmas! 🎄
#USJobsData #BTCVSGOLD #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #WriteToEarnUpgrade

📉 Strong U.S. Jobs Data Pressures BTC

Fresh macro data just hit - and crypto felt it.

🇺🇸 U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 214,000, well below expectations, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. That suggests the labor market is still resilient, not cracking as many feared.

📊 Why does this matter for $BTC ?

• Fewer jobless claims → less urgency for Fed easing

• Strong macro data supports higher rates for longer

• Risk assets lose momentum

💰 As the data dropped, BTC slipped and is now trading just above $87,000, still unable to reclaim the $90K level - even while stocks and gold push higher.

🤔 For now, Bitcoin isn’t crashing. It’s reacting. Sideways price action in a strong macro environment often means the market is waiting for the next real catalyst.
#BTCVSGOLD #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade

$BTC  is still hovering around the $87,000 level.

Stock futures are slightly down, while Gold is still around its ATH.

Pre-market stock trading insights:

▫Nasdaq futures is down 0.02% 🔴

▫S&P futures is down 0.04% 🔴
#USGDPUpdate #BTCVSGOLD #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade

According to BlockBeats, analyst has identified a consistent pattern in $BTC  historical cycles, both in terms of time and depth.

The analysis reveals that Bitcoin typically takes around 1,064 days to move from a market bottom to a peak. On the flip side, the decline from a peak to the next bottom usually spans approximately 364 days.

Based on this pattern, suggests that $BTC  is currently in a 364-day adjustment period. This implies that the next potential bottom could occur around October 2026, with a projected price around $37,500.

#BTCVSGOLD #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USJobsData

 $BTC There is still a large liquidity pool at $95,000, which interestingly aligns with Deribit’s Options Max Pain.

However, in the short term, traders have been persistently entering longs. This suggests a good probability of price moving toward $95k and then dropping aggressively below $84k.

Alternatively, the opposite could happen: price may first move down to $84k and then rally quickly toward $95k.

Both bulls and bears are likely to be punished once again by the market.
#CPIWatch #BTCVSGOLD #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview

📉 The VC Valuation Gap: Hype Meets Market Reality

Recent data from CryptoRank has highlighted a sobering trend in the digital $BTC  asset space: a massive disconnect between private venture capital (VC) valuations a nd actual market performance.

As the market enters a cooling phase, many projects are now trading significantly below the valuations they secured during their final private funding rounds.

Startups that were valued at nearly $1 billion during the bull cycle are now seeing their public market caps shrink to a fraction of that. In some cases, tokens have dropped by over 70% shortly after their Token Generation Event (TGE).

Analysts suggest that as global liquidity tightened, the market "corrected" the inflated price tags formed during the peak of the hype.

High private valuations often leave little "upside" for retail investors. While VCs enter at deep discounts, public buyers are frequently left holding assets that struggle to match their pre-launch expectations.
#USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTCVSGOLD

🚨 $BIFI I ABSOLUTE INSANITY! 🚨
From $20 ➝ $7,551 🤯🔥 That’s not a pump… that’s a full-blown rocket launch 🚀
Low supply + sudden demand = explosive moves 💣
Moments like this remind us why crypto can shock everyone — even the pros.
⚠️ Chasing after parabolic candles is risky. Smart traders wait for structure, not emotions.
Did you catch $BIFI early or just watch it fly? 👀
What do YOU think caused this madness — supply shock, whales, or something bigger? 🧠📊
#USGDPUpdate #USJobsData #USCryptoStakingTaxReview

👷 First Jobs of Famous World Leaders
🇺🇸 Donald Trump — 🏢 Father’s real estate company

🇰🇵 Kim Jong Un — 🎖️ Soldier

🇮🇳 Narendra Modi — 🍵 Tea seller

🇻🇦 Pope Francis — 💪 Nightclub bouncer

🇷🇺 Vladimir Putin — 🕵️ Secret agent

🇺🇦 Volodymyr Zelensky — 🎭 Comedian

🇺🇸 Kamala Harris — ⚖️ Prosecutor

🇫🇷 Emmanuel Macron — 💰 Banker

🇹🇷 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan — ⚽ Football player

🇮🇹 Giorgia Meloni — 🍽️ Waitress

$TRUMP
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$USD1 Today is Thursday, December 25, 2025. Because it is Christmas Day, major global financial markets, including the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ, and most international bond markets, are close

​Despite the market holiday, here is an analysis of the US Dollar’s (USD) performance leading into today and the broader profit outlook for 2025:

​1. USD Market Performance (DXY Index)
​The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, has faced significant downward pressure recently.

​Current State: The index is trading near 97.94, hovering around a 2.75-month low.
​Annual Trend: 2025 has been a difficult year for the USD, which has fallen roughly 9% year-to-date. This is on track for its worst annual performance in eight years.

​Key Drivers: Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts (current rate at 3.75%) and a shift toward more "dovish" policy under upcoming leadership have weakened the dollar's appeal relative to other currencies.

​2. Profit Winners: Metals vs. USD
​While the USD has struggled, other assets have thrived. If you held "Long" positions in metals against the USD, you would have seen record profits this year:

​Silver (XAG/USD): The standout performer of 2025, more than doubling in value (+120%).
​Gold (XAU/USD): Rallied over 60%, recently pushing toward record highs of $4,485.

​The "Inverse" Play: Because metals are priced in dollars, the weakening USD has acted as a tailwind, making these commodities much more expensive and profitable for holders.Metric Latest Value (Dec 2025) Impact on USD

US GDP (Q3) 4.3% (Strong) Short-term support, but overshadowed by Fed outlook.
Inflation (CPI) 2.7% (Cooling) Downward pressure (allows for more rate cuts).

Fed Interest Rate 3.75% Lower than previous years, reducing USD demand.

#WriteToEarnUpgrade #USGDPUpdate #USDT🔥🔥🔥 #USJobsData

🚨HOSKINSON: NIGHT WILL NOT REPLACE $ADA

Charles Hoskinson says the idea of selling ADA for NIGHT misses the point. NIGHT powers Cardano’s Midnight privacy network, but it’s designed to extend ADA’s ecosystem, not replace it.

#USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USJobsData

STOP......✋STOP.....✋STOP....✋ Guys, lasst ALLES hinter euch SCHAUEN SIE AUF $BIFI

$BIFI ist gerade verrückt geworden. Massiver Ausbruch nach langer Seitwärtsbewegung und dann BOOM🔥💥… explosiver Move in Minuten. Starker Volumen, starke Dynamik und volle Marktaufmerksamkeit darauf gerade jetzt.

Diese Art von Bewegung endet normalerweise nicht in einer Kerze. Die Volatilität ist hoch, also erwarten Sie schnelle Auf- und Abwärtsbewegungen, aber die Dynamik ist eindeutig bullish.
Mögliche Ziele (TPs):

TP1: 520
TP2: 650
TP3: 850

Nur für Hochrisiko-Händler. Risiko richtig managen und nicht blind verfolgen.

Momentum-Händler haben heute gut zu essen.

#USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USChinaDeal #USJobsData

$FOLKS hatte eine lange Liquidation bei $4.3861, die $1.17K in gehebelten Positionen bereinigte. Die Liquidität wurde unter einem wichtigen intraday Unterstützungsniveau hinweggefegt.

Einstieg (EP): $4.30 – $4.38
Gewinnmitnahme (TP):
TP1: $4.65
TP2: $5.05
TP3: $5.60
Stop-Loss (SL): $4.10

Markteinsicht: Hebelspitzen in der Nähe der Nachfrage reduzieren oft den Verkaufsdruck.
Nächster zu beobachtender Schritt: Rückeroberung über $4.45.
Pro Tipp: Liquidationszonen sind Reaktionsbereiche, keine sofortigen Einstiege.

$FOLKS

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