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3.8 Jahre
Bitcoin & Crypto Explorer | Altcoins, Trends & Market Moves
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THIS BITCOIN RALLY LOOKS MORE LIKE A BULL TRAP THAN A NEW BULL MARKET.
BTC is up for 5 days this year and has added nearly $100B to the market cap.
Many now believe $81k was the absolute bottom, but the data doesn’t support that.
Let me tell you why.
In a real uptrend, Bitcoin and Bitcoin dominance rally first.
This time, altcoins are leading, and BTC dominance is falling.
That’s a typical relief rally, not the beginning of a fresh cycle.
And the whale behavior confirms it.
Large holders from 100-1,000 BTC wallets are still net sellers.
The same cohort was accumulating during the Q3 2024 and Q1 2025 bottoms.
Along with this, Bitcoin apparent demand (net BTC accumulation by active holders) is still in a downtrend.
After every cycle top, this metric falls.
Bitcoin often rallies after big drops, but those rallies have never broken the previous all-time high.
Technically, this has happened before.
After the 2021 top, BTC reclaimed the 50W EMA and then immediately dropped below it.
That doesn't mean there's no upside here for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin can still rally toward $102K-$104K near the 200D SMA, just like the previous cycle.
But after that, a fresh downtrend will start.
And for those talking about macro data, here's the most important one.
The ISM indicator is at a 14-month low and is currently in a strong downtrend.
Every major rally has happened when ISM > 50, and this could take months in 2026.
My guess is that ISM expansion, a new Fed chair, etc. will all happen in H2 2026, which will coincide with the 4-year cycle bottom.
#ZTCBinanceTGE #BinanceHODLerBREV #ETHWhaleWatch #bitcoin
BTC is up for 5 days this year and has added nearly $100B to the market cap.
Many now believe $81k was the absolute bottom, but the data doesn’t support that.
Let me tell you why.
In a real uptrend, Bitcoin and Bitcoin dominance rally first.
This time, altcoins are leading, and BTC dominance is falling.
That’s a typical relief rally, not the beginning of a fresh cycle.
And the whale behavior confirms it.
Large holders from 100-1,000 BTC wallets are still net sellers.
The same cohort was accumulating during the Q3 2024 and Q1 2025 bottoms.
Along with this, Bitcoin apparent demand (net BTC accumulation by active holders) is still in a downtrend.
After every cycle top, this metric falls.
Bitcoin often rallies after big drops, but those rallies have never broken the previous all-time high.
Technically, this has happened before.
After the 2021 top, BTC reclaimed the 50W EMA and then immediately dropped below it.
That doesn't mean there's no upside here for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin can still rally toward $102K-$104K near the 200D SMA, just like the previous cycle.
But after that, a fresh downtrend will start.
And for those talking about macro data, here's the most important one.
The ISM indicator is at a 14-month low and is currently in a strong downtrend.
Every major rally has happened when ISM > 50, and this could take months in 2026.
My guess is that ISM expansion, a new Fed chair, etc. will all happen in H2 2026, which will coincide with the 4-year cycle bottom.
#ZTCBinanceTGE #BinanceHODLerBREV #ETHWhaleWatch #bitcoin
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Original ansehen
Bitcoin hat gerade einen Widerstand von 3 Wochen durchbrochen 🚀
wir müssen wirklich über 94.000 $ brechen und schließen.
#bitcoin #BTC #BitcoinETFs
wir müssen wirklich über 94.000 $ brechen und schließen.
#bitcoin #BTC #BitcoinETFs
Übersetzen
BITCOIN JUST HIT $94,000 🚀
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🟧 VENEZUELA’S BITCOIN SHADOW RESERVE
1️⃣ The Shadow Reserve
Intelligence reports suggest Venezuela quietly built a $60B+ reserve in Bitcoin & USDT starting 2018 to evade sanctions.
2️⃣ Gold → Oil → Crypto
2018: Exported 73.2 tons of gold ($2.7B).
Gold moved through Turkey, UAE, Iran → allegedly converted to BTC via OTC brokers.
By Dec 2025: PDVSA collected 80% of oil revenue in USDT, later converted to Bitcoin.
3️⃣ Estimated Holdings
Gold swaps + oil settlements imply 600K+ BTC.
Rivaling MicroStrategy, far larger than El Salvador.
4️⃣ Why This Matters
If seized, the Bitcoin will likely be frozen for years, not sold, which is bullish for BTC. 🚀
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins
1️⃣ The Shadow Reserve
Intelligence reports suggest Venezuela quietly built a $60B+ reserve in Bitcoin & USDT starting 2018 to evade sanctions.
2️⃣ Gold → Oil → Crypto
2018: Exported 73.2 tons of gold ($2.7B).
Gold moved through Turkey, UAE, Iran → allegedly converted to BTC via OTC brokers.
By Dec 2025: PDVSA collected 80% of oil revenue in USDT, later converted to Bitcoin.
3️⃣ Estimated Holdings
Gold swaps + oil settlements imply 600K+ BTC.
Rivaling MicroStrategy, far larger than El Salvador.
4️⃣ Why This Matters
If seized, the Bitcoin will likely be frozen for years, not sold, which is bullish for BTC. 🚀
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins
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🚨BREAKING🚨
🇺🇸 ISM MANUFACTURING PMI CAME IN AT 47.9
EXPECTED: 48.3
🇺🇸 ISM MANUFACTURING PMI CAME IN AT 47.9
EXPECTED: 48.3
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🚀MEMECOINS LEAD THE RISK-ON RETURN IN 2026
Capital is rotating back into memecoins, with the sector jumping 23%, rebounding from $38B to $47B in total market cap in a week.
DOGE and SHIB are up 20%, PEPE surged 65%, signaling a sharp revival in retail risk appetite.
#MEME #Memecoins🤑🤑
Capital is rotating back into memecoins, with the sector jumping 23%, rebounding from $38B to $47B in total market cap in a week.
DOGE and SHIB are up 20%, PEPE surged 65%, signaling a sharp revival in retail risk appetite.
#MEME #Memecoins🤑🤑
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🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇺🇸 The U.S. Senate is set to vote on the crypto market structure bill in just 10 days.
Clear rules for: • Tokens
• Stablecoins
• Exchange oversight
This is the regulatory clarity the market has been waiting for — and it’s still underpriced.
Position early. Don’t chase later. 👀🔥
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Regulation
🇺🇸 The U.S. Senate is set to vote on the crypto market structure bill in just 10 days.
Clear rules for: • Tokens
• Stablecoins
• Exchange oversight
This is the regulatory clarity the market has been waiting for — and it’s still underpriced.
Position early. Don’t chase later. 👀🔥
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Regulation
Übersetzen
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
A whale has opened a $63.38 million $ETH short position.
Liquidation price: $4,546
#Ethereum #Whale.Alert
A whale has opened a $63.38 million $ETH short position.
Liquidation price: $4,546
#Ethereum #Whale.Alert
Original ansehen
Die Chancen, dass das iranische Regime fällt, haben sich seit dem neuen Jahr verdreifacht. 👀
#iran
#iran
Original ansehen
GERADE EINGEGANGEN: Michael Saylor’s ‚Strategie‘ kauft 1.287 $BTC , um seine Bitcoin-Reserve auf ₿673.783 zu erhöhen, und erhöht seine USD-Reserve um 62 Millionen $ auf 2,25 Milliarden $.
#michalslayor #MicroStrategy" #bitcoin
#michalslayor #MicroStrategy" #bitcoin
Übersetzen
Countries with 0% Crypto Tax:
🇦🇪 UAE — 0% tax
🇨🇾 Cyprus — 0% tax
🇵🇹 Portugal — 0% tax
🇵🇦 Panama — 0% tax
🇸🇬 Singapore — 0% tax
🇲🇹 Malta — 0% tax
🇧🇧 Barbados — 0% tax
🇧🇲 Bermuda — 0% tax
🇰🇾 Cayman Islands — 0% tax
🇭🇰 Hong Kong — 0% tax
🇲🇺 Mauritius — 0% tax
🇻🇺 Vanuatu — 0% tax
🇬🇮 Gibraltar — 0% tax
🇱🇮 Liechtenstein — 0% tax
🇸🇰 Slovenia — 0% tax
🇨🇭 Switzerland — 0% tax
🇺🇾 Uruguay — 0% tax
🇸🇻 El Salvador — 0% tax
🇵🇷 Puerto Rico — 0% tax
#countries #crypto #cryptotax
🇦🇪 UAE — 0% tax
🇨🇾 Cyprus — 0% tax
🇵🇹 Portugal — 0% tax
🇵🇦 Panama — 0% tax
🇸🇬 Singapore — 0% tax
🇲🇹 Malta — 0% tax
🇧🇧 Barbados — 0% tax
🇧🇲 Bermuda — 0% tax
🇰🇾 Cayman Islands — 0% tax
🇭🇰 Hong Kong — 0% tax
🇲🇺 Mauritius — 0% tax
🇻🇺 Vanuatu — 0% tax
🇬🇮 Gibraltar — 0% tax
🇱🇮 Liechtenstein — 0% tax
🇸🇰 Slovenia — 0% tax
🇨🇭 Switzerland — 0% tax
🇺🇾 Uruguay — 0% tax
🇸🇻 El Salvador — 0% tax
🇵🇷 Puerto Rico — 0% tax
#countries #crypto #cryptotax
Übersetzen
🚨 BREAKING: THE 4 YEAR CYCLE IS DEAD AND THE NEXT BULL RUN IS CLOSE!
Most people still think we need another 4 years for the next real bullrun.
That’s completely WRONG.
I dug into long term BTC cycle models using an LPPL framework, the same type used to study bubbles + market blow offs.
This is not a small dataset.
It uses 17 years of BTC history, 5,600+ daily data points, with an R² close to 0.98.
THAT’S NOT A COINCIDENCE.
This model is not trying to call next week. It’s about where BTC sits vs its long term trend.
And in the analysis, BTC is still below that trend.
BTC: $91,480
Trend value: $124,492
That is a 26.5% discount.
That is not euphoria.
That is the market still not believing.
THIS IS WHERE PEOPLE GET REKT.
They keep waiting for the “real crash” while BTC is still building a base under the long term trend.
Now the part that nukes the 4 year cycle myth.
Fixed 4 year model AIC: −6,384.4
LPPL model AIC: −7,508.6
That is a 1,124 point gap.
THAT IS A COMPLETE WIPEOUT.
Conclusion.
Cycles are not fixed anymore. They stretch as the market gets bigger.
That is why 2026 can be bullish without looking like a straight pump.
Yes, 2026 can still be choppy + annoying. Liquidity + macro matter and you can still get nasty flushes.
But the timing starts turning up after 2026, like it did in 2015 + 2019, right before multi year runs.
THIS IS WHERE THINGS GET INTERESTING.
If this holds, the real expansion window is 2027 to 2029.
That is why $250,000 is not crazy. It is conservative.
And the higher target case is what people are not ready for.
I spent 4 years at Harvard studying economics. 10 years as a macro analyst.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
#BTC #bitcoin
Most people still think we need another 4 years for the next real bullrun.
That’s completely WRONG.
I dug into long term BTC cycle models using an LPPL framework, the same type used to study bubbles + market blow offs.
This is not a small dataset.
It uses 17 years of BTC history, 5,600+ daily data points, with an R² close to 0.98.
THAT’S NOT A COINCIDENCE.
This model is not trying to call next week. It’s about where BTC sits vs its long term trend.
And in the analysis, BTC is still below that trend.
BTC: $91,480
Trend value: $124,492
That is a 26.5% discount.
That is not euphoria.
That is the market still not believing.
THIS IS WHERE PEOPLE GET REKT.
They keep waiting for the “real crash” while BTC is still building a base under the long term trend.
Now the part that nukes the 4 year cycle myth.
Fixed 4 year model AIC: −6,384.4
LPPL model AIC: −7,508.6
That is a 1,124 point gap.
THAT IS A COMPLETE WIPEOUT.
Conclusion.
Cycles are not fixed anymore. They stretch as the market gets bigger.
That is why 2026 can be bullish without looking like a straight pump.
Yes, 2026 can still be choppy + annoying. Liquidity + macro matter and you can still get nasty flushes.
But the timing starts turning up after 2026, like it did in 2015 + 2019, right before multi year runs.
THIS IS WHERE THINGS GET INTERESTING.
If this holds, the real expansion window is 2027 to 2029.
That is why $250,000 is not crazy. It is conservative.
And the higher target case is what people are not ready for.
I spent 4 years at Harvard studying economics. 10 years as a macro analyst.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
#BTC #bitcoin
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