btcusd

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the 6th month of its new Bear Cycle, having tested last month the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is currently acting as Support.
Today's analysis is unique as it incorporates the Volatility Index (VIX) in such a way that it shows how the market is acting relative to the previous Bear Cycles.
VIX (blue trend-line) has been rising aggressively since December and the current Iran-U.S. war is only making matters worse. In fact, VIX has been spiking periodically since June 2024, with its previous Leg of aggression being in early 2025, which was due to Trump's global Tariff War. We call this Volatility Box, the 'Turbulence Period'. And historically, VIX has always had such periods starting around the same time BTC had its Bear Cycles.
This time seems to be no different as a Higher Highs trend-line is being formed on VIX, a distinct characteristic of all previous Turbulence Periods. As a result, Bitcoin's Bear Cycle is unlikely to stop here, in fact based on the previous Cycle, the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) - 1W MA450 (red trend-line) Zone is expected to introduce the 2nd Phase of the Bear Cycle, a long-term bottom formation.
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Oil is one of the most important energy resources in the world. The global economy depends heavily on oil because transportation, industries, and many power systems run on petroleum products. For this reason, oil is often called the backbone of the global energy market.
In the international market, oil prices frequently fluctuate due to economic conditions, supply levels, and geopolitical tensions. Recently, Brent crude oil has been trading around 92–98 dollars per barrel, while WTI crude oil has been trading near 88–94 dollars per barrel in the global market.
Earlier, due to tensions in the Middle East, oil prices briefly surged and even approached 119 dollars per barrel, but prices later declined as market concerns eased.
When oil prices rise, petrol and diesel become more expensive. This increases transportation costs and eventually affects the prices of many goods and services around the world.
That is why oil prices play a major role in shaping global economic stability.
Major oil-producing countries include Saudi Arabia, the United States, Russia, and Iraq. Any disruption in supply or political instability in these regions can quickly influence oil prices in the global market.,
Market analysts believe that if global supply remains stable, oil prices could stay in the range of 80–90 dollars per barrel in the near future. However, if geopolitical tensions increase again, prices may move above 100 dollars per barrel... $BTC
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