BITCOIN VS GOLD — A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE 📉

This Is The Bitcoin/Gold Chart — And RSI Is At Its Lowest Level On Record.

Bitcoin Peaked Relative To Gold In December 2024.
Since Then, We’ve Been In A ~14 Month Downtrend Versus Gold.

Previous Major Bear Phases (BTC/Gold):

• April 2021 → June 2022 = ~14 Months
• December 2017 → February 2019 = ~14 Months
• November 2013 → January 2015 = ~14 Months

The Common Narrative Suggests That Because Bitcoin Made A New All-Time High In Dollar Terms In October 2025, The Bear Market Is Still Early.

But That Dollar ATH May Have Reflected Strength In Gold And Silver — Lifting Bitcoin Nominally.

When Measured Against Gold, The Structure Looks Very Different.

Instead Of Being At The Beginning Of A Bear Phase, This Could Be The Late Stage Of A 14-Month Relative Downtrend.

Historically, Each Prior BTC/Gold Bear Phase Was Followed By Multi-Year Uptrends.

The Question Now:

Is This Another Historic Low — Or The Start Of A Structural Shift?

At Current Levels, Bears Are Effectively Betting That This Record-Low RSI Continues Lower.

Markets Tend To Turn When Conviction Becomes One-Sided.
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