Briefly on the scenarios (if the war does not end quickly): Prolonged meat grinder (2–6+ months)
Initial dump: $BTC easy up to $55–62k, $ETH below $1800, $DOGE at $0.06–0.08 (liquidation of longs, risk-off, dollar and gold on top).
Then — bullish turnaround: the USA spends hundreds of billions on war → the Fed prints again (QE-light or easing) → inflation → BTC as a hedge against fiat devaluation soars. For now, the market is holding up better than expected (BTC did not crash below $60k for long) because: there is already a "war premium" — the expectation that war = more incentives.
Institutions and #etf are not running en masse.
In Iran and the region, people are moving to crypto (utility like never before).
Initial dump: $BTC easy up to $55–62k, $ETH below $1800, $DOGE at $0.06–0.08 (liquidation of longs, risk-off, dollar and gold on top).
Then — bullish turnaround: the USA spends hundreds of billions on war → the Fed prints again (QE-light or easing) → inflation → BTC as a hedge against fiat devaluation soars. For now, the market is holding up better than expected (BTC did not crash below $60k for long) because: there is already a "war premium" — the expectation that war = more incentives.
Institutions and #etf are not running en masse.
In Iran and the region, people are moving to crypto (utility like never before).