One
A lot has happened recently, but Bitcoin is still operating within a volatile range.
MicroStrategy's buying operations have a certain supporting effect on the market. However, I believe selling pressure will appear again.
Mainly because the selling performance of institutions has been clear enough in the last six months, breaking the viewpoint held by some that 'once there is an ETF, a long bull market will follow.'
Institutions will start accumulating coins from the first quarter of 2024 and continue until the end of the second quarter of 2025.
After such a long accumulation process and a huge amount of accumulation, the selling pressure won't be cleared in just six months.
This is also why I think the bear market will continue.
Bitcoin hit 76,000, wiping out a lot of short stop-loss points. We just need to wait for the funding rate to rise, and then we can kick off the next downturn.
Expected to coincide with the new moon cycle.
Tomorrow is the new moon; typically, there will be a significant drop around this time. The success rate is over 70%.
Two
Gold.
If Bitcoin is in a bear market, it faces skepticism.
Nothing in the world can shake gold's status.
Fed officials hint that there may be three rate cuts in 2026.
This could push gold prices again or lead to a slight decline.
War factors are the same.
Frequent talks and continued attacks aren't the essence; the essence is that ideological conflicts have caused serious losses, with both sides believing the other is fully responsible for the losses, making negotiations impossible.
As long as we identify the root issues, we won't be fooled by those temporary ceasefire expectations.
Three
Real estate.
The concept of school district properties is creating a localized demand for small units, playing out across the nation.
This is the result of administrative monopoly.
Human life lasts only a few decades; if the administrative monopoly happens to last several decades, then this artificially created demand won't disappear.
Long-term trends sometimes have to yield to these short-term localized patterns.
However, for other types of properties, market and economic principles must be considered.
Four
Heroes must get through this hurdle.
I saw a post on Zhihu describing why big shots manage so many tasks yet remain energetic. Someone provided this answer.
This does indeed provide a lot of insights.
For instance, I’ve encountered many people seeking to protect their rights, with the claim amount being very low. In litigation, the lawyer's fees might exceed the claim amount. In such cases, I would try to persuade them to give up their claims or to protect their rights at the lowest cost, minimizing loss of attention, time, and energy in life.
The big shots not only delegate trivial matters but also solve issues of a more personal nature as if they were just trivialities.
The issue of attraction is fundamentally about appeal and contact interfaces.
If these two points are addressed, getting to the essence, then the era of truly efficient living will arrive.
Young folks need to learn to love money early, date early, and embrace minimalism early to free up energy to achieve their life goals.