Today, I want to share an analysis based on a trade I've been watching, where key market structure concepts were applied that any trader can use.
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๐ Market Context
The NOM/USDT pair was on a strong bullish move, making higher highs and higher lows. However, after that momentum, the price started to lose steam and entered a consolidation phase.
This type of behavior is often an early signal of a potential trend reversal.
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๐ง Structure Identification
During the analysis, three important levels were marked:
- Last high (zone where the price stopped rising)
- Last low (key support)
- Second low (weakness confirmation zone)
The key was to observe how the price stopped making new highs and began to show exhaustion.
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๐ป Breakout and Confirmation
The most crucial moment was when the price:
- Breaks the last low
- Attempts to rise (weak pullback)
- Fails to recover the zone
- Continues to fall
This behavior confirms a structural shift from bullish to bearish.
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๐ Short Entry
The entry was made after breaking the low, in a zone where the price previously reacted (old support turned into resistance).
Additionally, the EMA acted as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the likelihood of continued bearish movement.
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๐ฅ Outcome
After the entry:
- The price clearly continued to drop
- The bearish structure was respected
- The initial analysis was validated
This demonstrates the importance of trading with structure and not just on impulses.
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โ ๏ธ Important Lesson
Although the entry was correct, there's always a way to optimize it:
๐ Waiting for the pullback towards the breakout zone or the EMA can improve the risk/reward.
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๐งฉ Conclusion
This trade clearly shows how to apply:
- Structure breakout
- Confirmation of the move
- Utilizing key zones (support/resistance)
- EMA interpretation as a secondary tool
Trading with structure significantly increases the probability of success.
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๐ฌ Would you have entered on the breakout or waited for the pullback?
Share your thoughts ๐
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