RED ALERT FOR RISK?
Japan's massive $29.6 billion "dump" of bonds has #bitcoin on the ropes.

The crypto market is facing a major macroeconomic headwind. Japan, the largest foreign creditor of the United States, has executed its largest net quarterly sale of U.S. debt since 2022, unloading $29.6 billion in Treasury, agency, and local authority bonds.
This massive outflow of Asian capital is pushing bond yields up, reducing the immediate appeal of risk assets like Bitcoin.

The trigger for the sell-off: An unexpected surge in global oil prices has completely disrupted expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rates #Fed , eroding the value and attractiveness of existing positions in U.S. bonds.

Capital is coming home: After years of interest rates near zero that forced Japanese institutions to seek yield abroad, the landscape in Japan has changed dramatically:
The yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) has surpassed 2.6% (its highest level since 1997).

The 30-year yield has reached an attractive 4%.
The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) withdrawal: The Japanese central bank has accelerated this outflow by drastically cutting its monthly purchases of national debt, dropping from 5.7 trillion yen in August 2024 to just 2.9 trillion yen. By removing this artificial "cap," domestic yields skyrocketed, calling money back home.

The weight of the titans: Despite liquidating approximately 2.4% of its portfolio this quarter, Japan firmly remains the leading foreign holder of U.S. debt at $1.24 trillion, surpassing the UK ($897.3 billion) and mainland China ($693.3 billion).
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