Fear and Greed Index at 30: What Should You Do at This Time?

Today, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 30, sitting in the "fear" zone. Last week, it dropped to 25 (extreme fear), but now it’s slightly rebounding, yet still in the classic "should be greedy" zone.

Looking back at historical data: In May 2022, when UST collapsed, the index dropped to 8, and subsequently, BTC found its bottom around 16,000, tripling in value within a year. During the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in 2023, the index fell to 20, with BTC consolidating around 20,000 before kicking off a bull run.

The pattern is simple: during extreme fear, the market has already priced in the worst expectations, and marginal sell pressure is exhausted; during extreme greed, the good news is fully priced in, leaving marginal buy pressure waning.

However, "bottom-fishing" needs to align with other signals: Is BTC holding key support (currently around 77,000)? Are active on-chain addresses stabilizing and starting to rise? Is there a continuous inflow of stablecoins? Only when fear and fundamental improvements occur simultaneously is a more reliable buy signal present.

The above is just my personal opinion and should not be considered as any investment advice.

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The above is just my personal opinion and should not be considered as any investment advice.