Market is moving, but I'm not fully convinced yet. BTC jumped to $67k, ETH to $1,841, SOL to $75 — strong green across the board. RSI is at 72.6, which is overbought territory. That alone makes me cautious about chasing here. Volume is also weak, only 0.07x average, and OBV is down. So the move is happening on thin air. The Iran peace deal headlines are driving this. US yields hit a one-month low as oil slid, which is a risk-on signal. But the IMF chief said no global slowdown yet but risks are high — that's not a clean green light. Gold is steady at $4,356, not spiking, so safe-haven demand is muted. That supports crypto for now. On the macro side, NY manufacturing growth eased, but no recession signals. So the rally feels like a relief bounce, not a trend reversal. The fear & greed index is at 20 (extreme fear), which historically can lead to bounces, but overbought RSI + low volume = fragile setup. News is mixed. Strategy bought 1,587 BTC (smallest purchase in 2026), Kraken listed pre-IPO perpetuals on Anthropic and, and the SEC's NMS proposal is being called the most consequential crypto rule this year. MiCA deadline is also approaching for EU exchanges. I'm not jumping in here. I'd wait for a pullback or clearer macro signals before adding exposure. The rally could extend on euphoria, but the risk of a sharp reversal is real.

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⚠️ Personal analysis, not financial advice.

#Trading #Binance #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto

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Disclaimer: My personal analysis, not financial advice. DYOR.