According to BlockBeats, on December 25, Galaxy Securities highlighted that the probability of a rate cut in January 2026 has converged more than previously expected, influenced by faster-than-anticipated economic growth. Following the data release, prominent Federal Reserve chair candidate Hassett stated that the growth foundation remains rooted in declining prices, rising incomes, and improved sentiment. He emphasized that if GDP growth maintains around 4%, new employment could return to a monthly range of 100,000 to 150,000 jobs. Hassett also remarked that the Federal Reserve is notably lagging in addressing rate cuts.
The third-quarter economic growth primarily reflects the dissipation of inventory and trade disruptions, which is insufficient to alter the trend of weakening employment margins. With employment becoming a focal point for policy considerations and the gradual appointment of the Federal Reserve chair, there remains potential for approximately three rate cuts in 2026.