🧠 The Macro | Quick Update – January 1, 2026
🌍 What happened in the last session (December 31, 2025)
Wall Street closed 2025 with strong gains but dropped a bit in the last session: S&P 500 (-0.74%), Nasdaq (-0.76%), Dow (-0.63%) with light trading at the end of the year.
The market is entering 2026 focusing more on the path of U.S. interest rates and any new signals from the Fed.
🛢️ Oil and its impact on inflation
Oil recorded the strongest annual drop since the COVID period (around -20% in 2025) due to oversupply and weak demand (especially from China). This usually eases inflationary pressure and affects risk appetite.
The Guardian
🗓️ Key upcoming dates (that might move the market/crypto)
Manufacturing PMI: Usually released on the first working day of the month (and this week they are focusing on it).
U.S. Non-Farm Payroll report (NFP): Friday, January 9, 2026.
Bureau of Labor Statistics
CPI inflation data: Tuesday, January 13, 2026.
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Federal Reserve meeting (FOMC): January 27–28, 2026.
Federal Reserve
🔥 What should we watch as traders?
If PMI/jobs/inflation come out stronger than expected ➜ the dollar/yields may strengthen ➜ pressure on risky assets.
If they come out weaker ➜ the market is likely to favor easing/faster cuts ➜ support for crypto and stocks.
📣 Follow me for more concise news + ready futures trades with target tracking and stop-loss 🔥
🌍 What happened in the last session (December 31, 2025)
Wall Street closed 2025 with strong gains but dropped a bit in the last session: S&P 500 (-0.74%), Nasdaq (-0.76%), Dow (-0.63%) with light trading at the end of the year.
The market is entering 2026 focusing more on the path of U.S. interest rates and any new signals from the Fed.
🛢️ Oil and its impact on inflation
Oil recorded the strongest annual drop since the COVID period (around -20% in 2025) due to oversupply and weak demand (especially from China). This usually eases inflationary pressure and affects risk appetite.
The Guardian
🗓️ Key upcoming dates (that might move the market/crypto)
Manufacturing PMI: Usually released on the first working day of the month (and this week they are focusing on it).
U.S. Non-Farm Payroll report (NFP): Friday, January 9, 2026.
Bureau of Labor Statistics
CPI inflation data: Tuesday, January 13, 2026.
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Federal Reserve meeting (FOMC): January 27–28, 2026.
Federal Reserve
🔥 What should we watch as traders?
If PMI/jobs/inflation come out stronger than expected ➜ the dollar/yields may strengthen ➜ pressure on risky assets.
If they come out weaker ➜ the market is likely to favor easing/faster cuts ➜ support for crypto and stocks.
📣 Follow me for more concise news + ready futures trades with target tracking and stop-loss 🔥