$BTC Officially Enters Downtrend, The 4-Year Cycle Is Repeating After the $126K Peak
- In my opinion, the 4-year cycle of $BTC will still repeat, and at this point we already have confirmation of the Downtrend
- Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle is based on the Halving event, Halving reduces the new supply of Bitcoin, creating scarcity
- And history shows that after each Bitcoin Halving, Bitcoin usually surges strongly within 1 to 1.5 years afterward and reaches a peak, then continues with a strong correction in the following year => downtrend
- As in previous cycles:
+ 2012 Bitcoin Halving => 2013 BTC reached peak => 2014 price strong downtrend
+ 2016 Bitcoin Halving => 2017 BTC reached peak => 2018 price strong downtrend
+ 2020 Bitcoin Halving => 2021 BTC reached peak => 2022 price strong downtrend
- 2024 Bitcoin Halving => 2025 Bitcoin reached peak at 126k $ and 2026 history seems to be repeating as BTC has broken out of the previous uptrend and is declining quite strongly
- Many people before and now believe that BTC’s 4-year cycle no longer exists because of ETF, but in my view the 4-year cycle will still repeat, the only thing that might be different is that it may not drop massively as sharply as in previous cycles
- In summary, in my opinion the downtrend has been confirmed in this year 2026, something I had predicted back at the end of 2025
- So at this moment we need to be careful and should not chase buys during temporary recoveries, the price can still drop much deeper this year before accumulating for the new cycle
- So what do you think, has BTC already entered downtrend? Feel free to leave your comments below nhé