Alpha Batcher

"you're probably not an asshole" 😂

alright then...

my single referral did $6.6M in volume on Pacifica 🤯

the confidence I admire

I hope he gets the profit he deserves as an early bird

Pacifica is still early, and you can join here:

https://app.pacifica.fi?referral=alphabatcher

or use an access code:

XAS30S5JETX84GAE
AEG8MG3N9FPQXTVF
ZRC0HC5QG6YMMPSQ
SRQMVZKV8HSFPQ4G
VK0MB53W3XZHNC97

thanks to all my referrals 🙏

Binance has launched the pre-market for Opinion

this will be the first token from a prediction market to hit the market

and that alone makes it interesting

i think $OPN has massive potential

FDV has been holding around $570M in the first day, even pushing up to $730M at peak

a move toward $1B doesn’t feel unrealistic

we're entering the final stage now

Interesting @opinionlabsxyz markets for traders:

1) What price will Ethereum hit in February?

2) What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

3) Will Bitcoin hit $150k by ...?

4) BNB all time high by March 31?

5) Will BNB hit $1500 in 2026?

6) Hyperliquid all time high by March 31, 2026?

7) USDT depeg in 1Q2026?

Which markets are you watching right now?👇

Interesting pre-TGE markets on @opinionlabsxyz:

1) MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

2) Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch?

3) Backpack FDV above ... one day after launch?

4) edgeX FDV above ... one day after launch?

5) Opensea FDV above ... one day after launch?

6) Gensyn FDV above ... one day after launch?

7) Will Nansen launch a token by ...?

8) Will Pacifica launch a token by ...?

Which of these projects are you most excited about?

New update on the eSports tab @opinionlabsxyz

I noticed a lot of people didn't really understand what they had prepared for us

They've added bonus points to selected markets

Honestly, I'm surprised by the volume on this market

Adding this category was genuinely a smart move

Will Opinion launch a token by ...?

Polymarket odds are painting an interesting picture:

> TGE by the end of February looks unlikely but still possible

> TGE by the end of Q1 feels the most realistic, especially considering:

– the end of Chinese New Year
– premaket launches picking up
– Binance announcements starting to roll out

All of this adds up, and it’s shaping the general expectation that this is the most probable scenario

Launch timelines are rarely fixed, regulatory pressure, technical delays, or shifts in market conditions can always push things back

That said, this could easily become one of the most interesting tokens of 2026

NFA

recently, Binance announced the launch of the Booster and Alpha programs in partnership with @opinionlabsxyz

campaign had two parts: Booster has already ended, while Alpha hasn't announced its start date yet

Alpha Airdrop:

this is a separate event simpler and faster

> you'll need Binance Alpha Points
> the details (token allocation, required points) will be announced just hours before trading begins
> most of the information will be revealed shortly before TGE

this gives us near-certain confirmation that the TGE is coming

historically, projects that announced an airdrop through Binance Alpha have gone on to list in 99.99% of cases

official announcement:
https://www.binance.com/en/support/announcement/detail/66221f001e614356bee3dc04af8d855e

arbitrage between @opinionlabsxyz and @Polymarket

prediction markets often disagree on probabilities for the same event

how it works in practice:

> find the same event on both platforms
> check YES price on one side and NO price on the other
> if YES + NO < 1.00 spread exists

there’s a tool designed specifically to help spot these kinds of discrepancies:
https://oxygendelta.com/

how the tool actually works:

> it automatically matches identical events between Opinion and Polymarket
> parses live orderbooks (not just last traded price)
> lets you choose bid / ask / mid mode
> calculates whether YES on one side + NO on the other creates a spread
> checks liquidity depth so the setup is executable
> lets you set your budget and calculates exact share sizing

instead of manually calculating anything, the tool shows:

> how many shares to buy on each platform
> how much capital goes to each leg
> payout if YES wins
> payout if NO wins
> net locked spread

NFA, just an explanation of how the mechanism works

why I’m bullish on @opinionlabsxyz:

> top 3 by volume
> $25M raised
> direct backing from CZ
> built-in points system
> confirmed airdrop
> potentially the first major prediction market to launch a TGE
> token already trading on pre-market at ~$480M FDV
> intuitive UI
> clear revenue model and unlikely to fade post-TGE

5 markets I personally find the most interesting on Opinion:

1) "Backpack FDV above ... one day after launch?"

2) "MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?"

3) "Will Pacifica launch a token by ...?"

4) "edgeX FDV above ... one day after launch?"

5) "Opensea FDV above ... one day after launch?"

which markets are you following the most right now?👇

BackPack FDV > $1B?

I noticed an interesting market on @opinionlabsxyz:
“Backpack FDV above … one day after launch?”

right now, the odds of it going above $700M FDV sit at 28.1%

at the same time, Axios recently reported a $50M raise at a $1B valuation

when smart money buys equity at a $1B valuation, a $700M token FDV starts to look like a major disconnect

on the other hand, equity valuation ≠ token valuation

overall, the odds look interesting enough to keep this one on my radar

NFA, DYOR.

Polymarket Bot. $2,5k/day. Fully automated

Strategy:

> Catches intraday price impulses of Bitcoin and other coins
> Trades during high-volume periods

PnL chart speaks for itself. Smooth, consistent growth is really hard to find these days

Added to my watchlist

Passive income is real

Profile: http://polymarket.com/@k9Q2mX4L8A7ZP3R?via=alpha-batcher
Copy its trades: https://t.me/PolyCop_BOT?start=ref_batcher

Opinion Builders Program Phase 3

this phase is for people actually building on top of Opinion

who they're looking for right now

the focus is very clear: products, infra, data

> developers
bots, integrations, alternative UIs
SDK-based tools for trading and liquidity

> researchers
analytics, edge dashboards
historical data, win rates, category-level insights

> routers
services that route orders into Opinion’s CLOB
execution optimization, liquidity logic, smart routing

what phase 3 gives you

> access to Opinion Open API and CLOB SDK
> API keys + higher rate limits (on request)
> grants and direct rewards
> direct support from the team
> intros to partners, investors, and media

ideas with the highest upside right now

if we're being pragmatic, demand is strongest here 👇

> smart money / whale trackers with alerts
> early market notifiers
> mispricing + arb detection tools
> historical accuracy + category edge dashboards
> custom trading UIs
> routing and execution tools

important note

even if you haven't applied yet, you should already be building

coming in with a working product matters

application form: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfojd_BlLUoLZPgAIDwuik8LGvg4_wOoUqN4aQsjkZpk6cH2w/viewform

Claude 5 will be RELEASED by the end of THIS MONTH!

Polymarket odds are at a 52% chance of a February release, driven by the Sonnet 5 leaks and yesterday's massive Opus 4.6 drop

My take:

I'm betting Claude 5 is a late March play

So, I bought YES (by March) and NO (by February 28)

Market: https://polymarket.com/event/claude-5-released-by/will-claude-5-be-released-by-march-31-2026-243-489-141?via=alpha-batcher

Hold off on buying shares for now!

Because many people mistakenly took yesterday's Opus 4.6 release as a warm-up for Claude 5, but in reality Anthropic rarely ships two major releases just a week or two apart

But if you believe in a release before February 28, I'd recommend waiting about 5 days and seeing how the odds shape up

NFA. DYOR

idOS shipped production this year

> real users
> real integrations
> real regulatory lessons learned

It is important due to the fact that decentralized identity did not work out at scale. It continued to fail at the same bottleneck

idOS crossed that line in 2025. Hundreds of thousands of real identities worked. Live on multiple chains. Dev teams that were shipping products

A mistake on your part would be to skip prediction markets in 2026

Even if you don't believe in the hype of this story in the long term, ignoring it means ignoring the money ready for distribution to users by the market.

Why?

Prediction markets are one of the most prominent trends for 2026.

These provide an interface to:

- real use cases
- regulatory interest
- massive trading volumes

and, of course, the key factor in all of this, as I’m sure you.

I actively use Polymarket.

Right now, it is setting the product standard for this entire niche.

I do not think there is a drop there. This is not web3, it is much more likely to be an IPO with no token. (web2)

If Polymarket cannot create a clearer utility token, then public markets can readily take a substantial share of the hype.

Fast markets such as Opinion?

Their success hinges solely upon the mood of CZ.

As far as products are concerned, they will always be behind Polymarket and Kalshi.

There are also innovations within It shall be copied within a matter of days.

With budgets in the billions, giant players provide an environment in which there is no room for the "little guys" 2026 will be here before you know it.

Level 6 in @HeyElsaAI gives you x2.25 mindshare multiplier

To reach it faster, you need to optimize your strategy:

> complete daily quests
> closer to the end of the week, complete weekly quests
> bridge at least $10 daily
> open a futures position of at least $10 (including leverage)

From my observations, the lowest slippage is in the USDC/USDS pair, close to zero

0.24 → 0.65 in 4 days in Lighter's prediction market

Share prices on prediction markets do not change this quickly. What is going on here?

A launch on the 29th by Lighter seems likely. not least on account of the mexc listing announcement.

Big players started amassing holdings of YES shares in mid-December. Remember that insider with a $124,000 holding?

My limit orders filled at 0.54 (profit already locked in).

I’m trading via a fast auxiliary bot: polycule.trade/join/jvihto

Now I’m looking for a new market in which I can identify those insiders early on and squeeze more profit out of it.

It appears that there is no doubt left that Lighter will be launched before the end of the year.

The number one Polymarket rule: ALWAYS LOCK PROFITS ON NEWS !!!

[ 2 ] Do you want to enter the caste of the 0.01% of Polymarket traders who take money from the majority?

then listen carefully

You lose money not because the market is against you, but because people who understand the mechanics of how Polymarket betting works are trading against you.

And this exact knowledge gives a massive advantage. If you read my recent tweet about my programmer friend, then you have already passed this game by 85%. All that is left is to fully absorb this lesson:

My strategy is not about predictions at all.

When you understand how the market is structured, you do not need to be right.

You need to be disciplined.

The idea is simple, but not obvious.

Briefly about the strategy itself, no fluff:

The strategy is built not on guessing direction, but on the structure of Polymarket. It uses short-term “Bitcoin up or down” markets with a 15-minute expiration.

You deposit USDC and perform a split, receiving an equal number of YES and NO shares. You are neutral to price - whether it goes up or down does not matter to you.

As expiration approaches, uncertainty collapses. One to two minutes before the end, it is almost always clear which side is losing. The losing outcome is sold for 1 - 2 cents, while the winning side, after expiration, returns the collateral plus a small percentage.

If the market remains unclear (60/40, 70/30), the trade is simply skipped, and after expiration you take your original collateral back.

No guessing, no leverage, no liquidations. Only mathematics, discipline, and small repeatable cycles. That is exactly why the strategy looks boring and exactly why it works.

Go for it, brother, you will succeed. Just try it, and the outcome does not even matter - even if you are fighting against Chase DeMuro, know that the experience you gain can give you a 100x return over time.