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16.23M $LAB unlocking in August.
Most will read that and think “supply dump.”
Smart money sees something very different.
Early allocations came in at massive discounts — in some cases ~80% below current levels. That means a huge chunk of supply has an extremely low cost basis and is already sitting in deep profit.
Unlocks don’t create new supply.
They release locked profit.
Every single unlocked token becomes a liquidity decision:
Sell into strength?
Hold for narrative continuation?
When your entry is that asymmetric, the incentive to distribute is structurally high — especially while liquidity still exists.
This is why August is important.
Not because of the raw number.
But because it’s discounted supply meeting weak transparency in a still-liquid market.
The real question isn’t “how big is the unlock?”
It’s how long does this patient, underwater-free supply stay quiet?