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🔥PMI JUMPED ABOVE FORECASTS! EXPECTATIONS = 39.8 ACTUAL = 43.5 JANUARY RATE REDUCTIONS AND QE (MONEY PRINTING) ARE NOW A GIVEN. BULLISH FOR BITCOIN AND CRYPTO! $BTC $ETH $SOL
Net total flows: –$446mn, continuing the outflow run after the price shock on 10 October. Indicating that investor sentiment is still ‘fragile’ and still not fully recovered. Total outflows since Oct 10: –$3.2 billion Total AUM: Approximately 10% YTD increase YTD inflows of $46.3b are well short of $48.7b in 2024, a final reminder too that many investors are not yet meaningfully in the green accounting for both price and flows.
🔴 Bitcoin: –$443 million $BTC had the highest withdrawals after the launch of $XRP and SOL ETFs. 🔴 Ethereum: –$59.5 million $ETH is still being sold off too with total outflows of –1.6 billion since the very ETF launches. 🟢 Altcoins proving resilient: XRP: + $70.2 million Solana: + $7.5 million
➡️ Since the US mid-October ETF launches ERC20 XRP has gained +$1.07bn , while SOL has gained +$1.34bn in inflows rebelling against the wider downtrend.
✨ Conclusion: Institutional funds are still leaving the US crypto market so what we’re seeing is a bit of a defensive, risk-averse posture in the very near term. BTC and ETH continue to be under pressure while capital continues to flow into SOL and XRP, pointing to a focused asset allocation approach. Overall market tone: holding up shorts – risk-off, not quite back to “risk-on”.
If $ETH ends December in the red, 2025 would be the 9th consecutive losing month. The only real analogue from history is the 2018 bear market. This isn’t about panic. It’s about respecting market structure.
$BTC stays in a defined range, rotating between supply and demand area instead of having a trend.
Price after a strong run on high volume into the 89.8k–90.6k supply zone was strongly rejected and has now consolidated above important demand at 86.4k–86.8k. The reaction with selling volume from this area hints at weakening selling (not increasing selling).
Activity continues to fade, confirming that the market is just waiting for something, waiting for more players or a break one way or the other.
Levels to Watch: Resistance/Supply: 89.8k–90.6k Support / Demand: 86.4k–86.8k
Scenarios: As long as that demand holds, a rotation back up to 88.8k–90k remains the greater likelihood.
A clear break and acceptance below 86.4k would bring focus to the lower liquidity around 85k.
Note: Patience and level awareness are more important than prediction in this environment.
The FED just injected $26B and many people are calling for a big crypto rally now. What will happen next to top assets like $BTC , $XRP , $ETH , and more?
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