Coinpedia Fintech News

The post Will Chainlink Price Break Its Long Consolidation Phase? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Right now, Chainlink price is hovering in a well-defined range, with support sitting around $8 and resistance creeping higher toward $12–$15 zones. It’s not exciting on the surface. But markets rarely are before they move.

CMF has climbed back to 0, suggesting capital inflows are stabilizing. Not explosive, but definitely not bearish either. Meanwhile, the AO histogram has started improving slowly flipping sentiment from red to green. It’s subtle, but it matters.

And then there’s the MACD. A bullish crossover has already formed. That’s usually where things begin, not where they end.

RSI? Sitting just above 50 at 51.36. That’s the sweet spot. Not overbought, not weak but just enough strength to support a move higher if momentum follows through.

Indicators Flip Bullish, But Structure Still Matters

Now, before anyone gets carried away and LINK price structure still rules everything. Indicators can hint, but levels decide.

If bulls step in with conviction, the upside targets are pretty clear: first $15, then possibly a stretch toward $20. That’s where the real test begins.

But let’s be real this isn’t a one-way street. If that $8 support cracks, the downside opens fast. The next logical level sits around $5.50, and below that, things could get ugly quickly. No sugarcoating it.

So yeah, bullish signals are building… but they’re sitting on top of a fragile floor.

Chainlink Ecosystem Narrative Keeps Expanding Quietly

Here’s where things get interesting. While price is stuck in consolidation, the narrative around Chainlink isn’t.

There’s growing chatter about its massive ecosystem spanning everything from Web3 projects like Ondo to traditional finance rails like SWIFT, and even crypto infrastructure players like Coinbase.

Some crypto projects like flexing partnerships with big TradFi & F500 entities And then there's $LINK There quite literally isn't enough room to fit all their partners across TradFi & Web3 into a singular tweet. From Web3 utility like Ondo, To TradFi rails like SWIFT To… pic.twitter.com/qHtFb2prOj

— Kyren (@noBScrypto) April 9, 2026

That’s not your typical “partnership announcement hype cycle.” It’s more like slow, steady integration. And honestly, that’s harder to price in.

While other projects flex one or two big names, Chainlink seems to have so many connections that listing them all in a single post isn’t even practical anymore. That kind of positioning doesn’t move markets overnight but it builds long-term relevance.

So, What’s Next For Chainlink Price Action?

Well, Chainlink price is sitting at a decision point. The technicals are leaning bullish. The fundamentals look solid. The narrative is expanding. But none of that matters unless price actually breaks out of this range.

Until then, it’s just potential. A clean move above resistance could unlock that $15–$20 zone quickly. But if support fails, the market won’t hesitate to punish late bulls.

That’s the reality with Chainlink price right now compressed, coiled, and waiting.

The post Can RAVE Price Sustain Its 900% Price Explosion? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

RAVE token analysis right now feels less like investing and more like watching a high-speed chase. The token exploded nearly 900% in early April 2026, ripping from $0.20 to a jaw-dropping $2.35. No slow grind, no healthy pullbacks which is just vertical chaos. Naturally, that kind of move drags in attention. But whether it’s opportunity or a setup… that’s where things get messy.

RAVE Token Analysis Shows Derivatives Fueled Explosion

Let’s start with what actually powered this move because it wasn’t just spot buyers clicking “market buy.”

Open Interest surged aggressively, peaking near $250 million. That’s not retail curiosity that’s leveraged conviction. The kind that can move markets fast… and break them even faster.

And then came the liquidations. Shorts got absolutely steamrolled. The liquidation data shows a brutal cascade where forced buybacks became fuel for the next leg higher. Classic short squeeze mechanics. One side gets squeezed, price goes vertical, more shorts pile in thinking it’s overextended… and boom, rinse and repeat.

But this kind of rally is self-reinforcing, not self-sustaining.

Weak Fundamentals Raise Questions Behind Massive Rally

Now, you’d expect some blockbuster announcement to justify a move like this, right? Something big. Something structural. Instead… you get a club event.

The biggest recent update tied to the project is a “Dim Sum Rave” event scheduled in Hong Kong on April 18. Sure, it’s sold out. Sure, it’s a cool brand play. But let’s be real, a party at a 100-year-old tea house doesn’t explain a multi-hundred-million-dollar valuation surge.

That disconnect? It’s not subtle. When price runs this hard without matching fundamentals, it usually means something else is driving the narrative and it’s rarely retail.

On-Chain Activity Hints At Insider Exit Risk

And this is where things get uncomfortable. Right as the rally kicked off, two wallets deposited 18.58 million RAVE tokens which worth around $40 million at peak into Bitget, per an x post. Timing like that doesn’t happen by accident.

Even more interesting? These wallets are linked to the token’s deployment address.

Historically, deployer-linked deposits during vertical rallies tend to signal one thing and that is an exit liquidity. Insiders quietly distributing into strength while retail chases momentum. It doesn’t crash immediately. It just… tops out.

Speculation Adds Fuel But Not Stability

Then there’s the social layer. A retweet from late 2025 sparked speculation about a potential connection with Donald Trump Jr. No confirmed partnership, nothing concrete but in a risk-on market, even a loose association can ignite speculation.

And that’s exactly what happened. Traders aren’t always betting on reality but they’re betting on what might be real.

So, what’s next? If RAVE holds above $1.00 and somehow delivers actual Web3 partnerships beyond event marketing, maybe this madness stabilizes. But if not… well, this RAVE token analysis paints a familiar picture parabolic moves, insider flows, leveraged fuel. And those stories rarely end quietly.

The post Next Altcoin to 10x: Is It HYPE, LINK, ONDO or AVAX? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bear markets are often where the next cycle’s winners get built. Most traders are watching Bitcoin and Iran headlines right now. But four altcoins are stacking institutional catalysts that the broader market has not priced in yet.

Here’s what you should know.

Hyperliquid’s ETF Race

Hyperliquid surpassed Coinbase in notional trading volume in 2025, recording $2.6 trillion against Coinbase’s $1.4 trillion. Its protocol generated $14 million in fees in a single week in March – a 56% jump – with 97% of that revenue automatically used to buy back HYPE tokens daily.

Four major asset managers have now filed spot ETFs for HYPE: Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares, and VanEck. That is the first time four firms have raced simultaneously for a DeFi-native token ETF. JPMorgan published a research note on Hyperliquid’s oil trading surge in March. S&P Dow Jones Indices officially licensed the S&P 500 for perpetual contracts on the platform – the first officially licensed S&P 500 derivative on any blockchain.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes set a $150 price target for HYPE by August 2026, calling it his fund’s largest non-Bitcoin position.

HYPE currently trades near $42.

LINK Token: JPMorgan and UBS Are Testing It

Chainlink secures over $28 trillion in total value across more than 15 blockchains. Its Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol processes $18 billion per month, growing 62% quarter over quarter. JPMorgan and UBS are running live blockchain settlement tests through CCIP. The Bitwise LINK ETF launched on NYSE Arca, opening LINK to 401(k) and IRA accounts for the first time.

Standard Chartered has set a $25-$45 price target. LINK currently trades near $9.

The gap between what the network does and what the token costs is the story.

ONDO: The Tokenisation Play on Binance’s Rails

Binance partnered with Ondo Finance to relaunch tokenised US stocks and ETFs – the exchange’s first such offering since 2021. Ondo holds 58% market share in tokenised stocks. TVL hit a record $2.52 billion in February 2026.

Franklin Templeton’s $1.7 trillion asset management operation has partnered with the platform. ONDO currently trades near $0.25.

AVAX: BlackRock Chose This Chain

BlackRock is actively tokenising assets on Avalanche. RWA total value locked on the network reached $1.3 billion, doubling since April 2025. VanEck launched the first US spot AVAX ETF in January 2026, including staking rewards. AVAX trades near $9.2.

As one analyst put it: “BlackRock doesn’t tokenize on untrusted chains. If the ETF gains traction, $55 is realistic – but patience is required.“

Which token will rally first and the highest? The market will tell, but the catalysts are live today.

The post Venice Token (VVV) Price Surge Sparks Breakout Hopes: New Highs Just Ahead? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

VVV price is heating up again, jumping nearly 8% today to trade around $8.40 as buyers return aggressively. After months of quiet recovery, the Venice (VVV) token is now pushing into a key breakout zone that has previously capped rallies. The shift is catching trader attention fast. VVV price has been climbing steadily throughout 2026, but this move is different, it’s now testing resistance where momentum either accelerates or stalls.

At the same time, market positioning is turning bullish, with pressure building just above current levels. If VVV price clears the $9–$10 zone, the move could quickly extend toward higher targets, and potentially a retest of the $22 all-time high.

Derivatives Data Signals Bullish Positioning, Liquidation Fuel Builds

Derivatives data is now reinforcing the bullish setup behind VVV’s rally. The long/short ratio has moved firmly above 1, indicating that traders are increasingly positioning for further upside rather than fading the move. 

At the same time, liquidation data shows a heavy concentration of short positions sitting just above the current price, particularly around the $9–$10 resistance zone. This creates a high-probability scenario where a breakout could trigger forced liquidations, accelerating the move through a short squeeze.

On the downside, liquidation pressure remains relatively limited, suggesting reduced risk of aggressive long unwinding unless key supports fail. This imbalance highlights one key dynamic, the market is leaning bullish, and liquidity is stacked in a way that favors upside continuation.

VVV Price Analysis: Rising Channel Structure Points Toward $22 Retest

VVV’s current move is part of a broader structural recovery that began after a significant correction phase in 2025. Since early 2026, the token has been trending higher within a well-defined rising channel, indicating sustained accumulation and controlled upside. VVV price is now trading near $8.40, approaching the upper boundary of this structure. The immediate resistance lies in the $9–$10 zone, which acts as the breakout trigger for continuation.

A successful move above this level could accelerate price toward $12, followed by $15–$17 as the next expansion targets. More importantly, the broader trend suggests a larger objective. If the current channel holds and momentum sustains, VVV could extend its rally toward a retest of the previous all-time high near $22. On the downside, the $7.20–$7.50 range remains key support, maintaining the bullish structure. As long as this level holds, the trend continuation scenario remains intact.

What’s Next for Venice Token (VVV)?

VVV is now at a decisive point where structure, positioning, and momentum are all aligning near resistance. A confirmed breakout above $10 could trigger a fast expansion phase, driven by both technical continuation and liquidation flows. However, failure to break this level may result in short-term consolidation before the next attempt.

The post Ice Open Network Updates ION as $ION Drops appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Ice Open Network released a public repository showing real code progress for its AI-powered ecosystem, including the ION dApp Framework and the Online+ app frontend and backend, aiming to show real development amid growing market concern. The ION token has seen sharp price drops recently, with heavy selling and exchange volatility driving declines rather than new minting. Circulating supply remains high at around 11.36 billion tokens. The team says whales and bridging are behind recent moves and plans to buybacks and burns with partners to support confidence.

The post Bitcoin Weekly MACD Turns Bullish — Why This Doesn’t Confirm a Market Bottom Yet appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitcoin price has been rising in the past few days, despite the higher CPI rates, marking a local high at $73,400. With this, the price has surged above a crucial resistance zone, which may validate a rise above the bearish influence. However, the historical data show that the current trade setup does not confirm a market bottom and can appear during the ongoing downtrends. 

In the previous rallies, the current trade setup resulted in a significant pullback for two consecutive times. This highlights the possibility of early momentum shifts, which often act as temporary relief signals rather than true reversals. Now the question arises whether the BTC price will repeat its previous pattern and slash hard by more than 30% or transform the current reversal into a sustained upswing. 

MACD Signal vs Market Structure—Here’s What Traders Must Watch

The Bitcoin price has entered a pivotal resistance zone between $70,972 and $74,585, which hints towards a bullish reversal. However, the historical price action suggests the price has not bottomed yet. Therefore, if the pattern repeats, the BTC price may slash hard below $50,000 or may go lower too. 

Bitcoin is trying to stabalise after a sharp correction, and the current MACD is turning positive with the momentum improving. But here’s a major catch. 

Currently, the BTC price is trading below prior major highs, lacking a clear higher high and low structure, and showing signs of consolidation rather than expansion. As seen in the above chat, the weekly MACD is showing signs of a bullish crossover in the times when Bitcoin is in a bear market. This indicator could hint towards a reversal, while previously, during the 2022 bear markets, the price experienced 2 corrections of 60% and 40%. 

Therefore, if the price holds the current range and builds higher lows, it may lead to a gradual trend reversal. Or in the bearish case, if Bitcoin sees another leg down or extended consolidation, a final bottom may form after a liquidity sweep. 

What’s Next for the Bitcoin (BTC) Price?

Bitcoin’s weekly MACD turning bullish signals a shift in momentum, but not a confirmed trend reversal. As history shows, these signals can appear before the actual bottom, making price action the only reliable confirmation.

Currently, the BTC price is trading in a decisive phase, where a rise beyond $85,000 could be possible if it holds the range between $75,000 and $78,000. Failure to break the resistance could trigger a breakdown below $60,000, which may extend to $50,000 as well. 

However, the real signal is the Bitcoin price structure, not just the momentum. 

The post Private Credit Is Cracking: Are We Headed for a 2008-Like Crisis? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

The Federal Reserve is asking major US banks how exposed they are to the private credit market. The Treasury is asking insurance companies the same question. Neither has announced a formal investigation. They are doing it through routine examination channels, which is what regulators often do when they are worried but do not yet know how worried to be.

The $1.8 trillion private credit market is facing its most significant stress since it emerged after the 2008 financial crisis. Understanding why requires a brief look at how it was built.

What Private Credit Is and Why It’s Cracking

Private credit funds lend directly to mid-market companies – typically businesses too small for public bond markets. Between 2019 and 2021, when interest rates were near zero, these funds wrote loans aggressively, particularly in software and technology. The problem is loans written during that period are now coming due. That puts the refinancing wall squarely in 2025 and 2026, when rates are dramatically higher.

Companies that borrowed at effectively zero must now refinance at 5-6% more, or default. Many are choosing a third option: Payment-in-Kind interest, or PIK, where instead of paying cash interest, they simply add it to the principal.

According to reports citing Fitch and KBRA ratings data, bad PIK reached 6.4% of total private debt volume in Q1 2026 – a recognised precursor to hard defaults.

Blue Owl Capital became the most visible casualty. Its OBDC II fund, which had promised retail investors access to private lending returns, was overwhelmed by a 200% surge in withdrawal requests and permanently closed its redemption gates. Morgan Stanley’s North Haven Private Income Fund met only 45.8% of tender requests in March.

The deeper problem is opacity. These funds mark their own books. There is no public market to challenge their valuations. A loan can sit at 100 cents on the dollar in a quarterly report and be zero the next.

Is This 2008?

Not yet. The Federal Reserve has stated the private credit market does not currently pose a systemic threat to the banking core. Unlike 2008, around 80% of private credit assets sit in closed-ended structures with locked capital. There are no depositor runs possible. Fund-level leverage remains modest.

But pockets of stress are real, spreading, and now drawing regulatory attention.

What This Means for Bitcoin and Crypto

Private credit stress compounds the same macro ceiling that has kept Bitcoin range-bound since February. Credit stress plus energy inflation plus a Fed on hold is the late business cycle environment where capital does not rotate into risk assets.

Bitcoin’s best week in months came from geopolitical relief, but the underlying financial conditions have not changed.

The post CLARITY Act Could Unlock Institutional Capital Into Crypto Markets appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

The U.S. crypto market could be nearing a major turning point as support for the CLARITY Act grows. With leaders like Brian Armstrong and Scott Bessent backing the bill, analysts believe institutional capital may soon enter the market, prompting early positioning in assets like Ethereum, Solana, and Chainlink.

Momentum around the CLARITY Act is increasing as both policymakers and industry leaders push for clear crypto regulation in the United States.

Brian Armstrong has now publicly backed the bill, aligning with Scott Bessent, who has urged Congress to act quickly.

“It’s time to pass the Clarity Act.”

This shift signals growing alignment between regulators and major industry players.

Analyst Says “Position Before the Move”

In a recent discussion on the Paul Barron Network podcast, analyst Tim Warren broke down how he is positioning ahead of this potential catalyst.

He simply goes with the notion that, don’t wait for confirmation. Instead, accumulate strong assets before clarity hits, because once regulation is finalized, much of the upside could already be priced in. With all heads up for the Clarity Act, the analyst is detailing his top altcoin picks for the market to consider before Clarity hits this summer. 

Ethereum Leads the CLARITY Trade

At the center of Warren’s strategy is Ethereum.

He describes it as the most institution-friendly asset in crypto. With ETFs already gaining traction and major players like Morgan Stanley expected to expand exposure, Ethereum is seen as the primary entry point for institutional money.

While long-term projections like $40,000 by 2030 are being discussed, Warren keeps expectations grounded, calling it possible but not guaranteed. The real thesis is institutional inflows, not hype-driven targets.

Solana and Chainlink in Focus

Beyond Ethereum, Solana and Chainlink stand out.

For Solana, Warren remains bullish long-term but cautious in the short term. He notes the possibility of a double bottom, with key levels around $68 and a potential downside toward $50 if the broader market weakens. Still, strong buy signals suggest this is not a time to short.

Chainlink, on the other hand, is a fundamentals play. As the backbone for real-world data in blockchain systems, it is expected to benefit heavily from institutional adoption. Warren sees potential upside toward the $10–$11 range, while also acknowledging a possible retest near $7 if markets pull back.

Market Still Depends on Bitcoin

Despite the focus on altcoins, Bitcoin remains the key driver.

Warren makes it clear that if Bitcoin and Ethereum haven’t confirmed their bottom, altcoins are unlikely to see a sustained rally. The entire setup depends on broader market stability.

According to him, while a few other altcoins like Bittensor, Zcash, and others are showing independent moves, the majority, including Solana, XRP, and Chainlink, are closely mirroring Bitcoin’s trend with only minor differences.

The post World Liberty Financial (WLFI) Price Drops 21% as Whale Activity Spikes—What’s Next? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

In times when Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are surging, World Liberty Financial’s (WLFI) price has been dropping massively. The bearish move followed a sustained horizontal consolidation since February, bringing the token under massive selling pressure. In the past four days, the WLFI price has plunged over 22%, and a deeper observation suggests the whales may have played out well. 

The price action and large-holder behavior diverge, raising serious queries: Are whales accumulating during the dip or positioning for further downside?

WLFI Whale Activity Spikes as Price Drops — What’s Happening?

Recent on-chain data from Santiment highlights a sharp increase in large transactions, with 87 whale transfers above $100K, marking the highest activity in seven weeks. At the same time, the network recorded a net outflow of over $56 million from exchanges, indicating a significant shift in token movement.

Typically, exchange outflows are interpreted as a bullish signal, suggesting that investors are moving assets into private wallets for holding. In this case, it suggests a reduced selling pressure and hence it can be interpreted as the whales may be buying aggressively during the dip. This could be an early positioning before a reversal. 

On the other hand, whale transfers do not always indicate buying but reflect internal reshuffling or OTC deals. Moreover, price weakness suggests a lack of immediate demand. Therefore, without a strong price recovery, whale activity alone is not enough to confirm accumulation. 

WLFI Price Outlook: What Needs to Happen Next

World Liberty Financial (WLFI) continues to face sustained selling pressure, extending its multi-week downtrend as price hovers near key support levels. Despite a recent spike in whale activity and significant exchange outflows, the token has failed to show any meaningful recovery, raising concerns about whether smart money is accumulating—or quietly exiting.

The RSI is near oversold levels (~23), suggesting that a short-term relief bounce is possible. However, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remains negative, indicating persistent capital outflows and weak buying pressure. Volume also lacks strong accumulation signals, reinforcing the idea that downside momentum is still dominant unless structure shifts. 

The price is now testing the lower boundary near the $0.077–$0.078 zone, which acts as immediate support. A breakdown below this level could accelerate downside toward lower liquidity zones, while any bounce would still face strong resistance around $0.11–$0.13, aligned with the upper trendline. Until WLFI breaks out of its descending channel and reclaims resistance levels, any upside move is likely corrective rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

Wrapping it Up

World Liberty Financial is currently at a critical juncture where on-chain signals and price action are diverging. While whale activity and exchange outflows hint at possible accumulation, the continued price decline suggests caution.

For traders, the key is confirmation—until the WLFI price shows signs of strength on the chart, the risk of further downside remains, making this a high-risk, high-uncertainty setup.

The post XRP Price Outlook: Will SEC Clarity Act Talks Trigger a Rally? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

XRP price is holding firm near $1.30 level as markets turn increasingly attentive to the upcoming SEC Clarity Act roundtable on April 16, a regulatory event that could redefine sentiment across the asset.

XRP coin has shown relative resilience in recent sessions, stabilizing above crucial levels even as broader uncertainty around U.S. crypto policy persists. Market participants are now closely watching the roundtable, which is expected to address digital asset classification, a long-standing overhang for XRP. At the same time, improving macro conditions and easing geopolitical tensions have lifted overall risk appetite, allowing XRP to maintain its footing while positioning for a potential directional move.

With regulatory clarity emerging as a pivotal catalyst, XRP price now sits at a critical juncture, where sentiment, structure, and policy expectations are beginning to converge.

SEC Clarity Act Roundtable in Focus as Regulatory Narrative Builds

The SEC’s Clarity Act roundtable on April 16 is drawing increased attention, with discussions expected to focus on how digital assets are classified under U.S. law, a key issue that has long influenced XRP’s market sentiment. Recent regulatory signals have pointed toward a shift, with major cryptocurrencies increasingly viewed under a commodity-like framework. This evolving stance has helped reduce uncertainty, placing XRP in a more defined regulatory context.

The SEC is hosting a roundtable on April 16 to discuss listed options market structure. The event will be in-person and live-streamed on https://t.co/kacEcVjwPi. Agenda, panelists, and registration info will be available soon. Additional details: https://t.co/Z3TYBzf7Nl

— U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (@SECGov) March 5, 2026

The roundtable is expected to evaluate whether such classifications should be formalized through legislation, potentially bringing consistency across regulatory bodies. For markets, the outcome could act as a sentiment trigger, with regulatory clarity historically aligning with stronger participation and renewed momentum.

XRP Price Outlook: Demand Zone Holds as Breakout Structure Builds

XRP price is currently stabilizing near the $1.30–$1.34 range, holding above a key demand zone that has consistently attracted buyers. This region is now acting as a base, suggesting that selling pressure is gradually being absorbed. However, XRP price continues to trade within a descending channel, but recent action indicates early signs of strength as XRP pushes toward the upper boundary of the structure.

Immediate resistance lies near the $1.40–$1.45 zone, a level that must be cleared to confirm bullish momentum. A breakout above this range could open the path toward $1.80–$2.00, where a broader supply zone is positioned. On the downside, the $1.25–$1.30 region remains critical support. A breakdown below this level would weaken the current structure and expose XRP to further downside pressure.

On-Chain Signals Point to Cooling Activity, Pre-Breakout Setup

On-chain data highlights a clear slowdown in XRP trading activity, with the Volume Z-Score dropping into negative territory, marking one of its lowest levels in recent periods. This indicates that trading volume has fallen below its 30-day average, reflecting reduced participation from short-term traders. Such conditions typically emerge during consolidation phases, where markets pause before a larger move.

The decline in activity aligns with XRP’s price compression, suggesting the market is rebalancing rather than breaking down. Historically, this type of low-volume environment often precedes a strong directional move once momentum returns.

What’s Next for XRP?

XRP is approaching a decisive phase, holding above key support while volatility compresses ahead of the SEC Clarity Act roundtable. A breakout above the $1.40–$1.45 zone could trigger renewed upside momentum, while losing the $1.30 level may extend consolidation. With structure tightening and a major catalyst ahead, XRP appears poised for a directional move.

The post Kalshi Wins as Federal Court Blocks Arizona Crackdown Until 24th April appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

A federal judge in Arizona temporarily blocked the state from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, siding with federal regulators. The ruling pauses enforcement until April 24 and signals that event-based contracts may fall under federal derivatives law rather than state gambling rules.

U.S. District Court Sides With Federal Regulators

On 10th April, U.S. District Judge Michael Liburdi granted a temporary restraining order preventing Arizona from pursuing criminal or civil action against Kalshi. The decision followed a request from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which argued the platform operates under federal jurisdiction.

Arizona had filed 20 misdemeanor counts against Kalshi, accusing the company of running an unlicensed wagering business involving elections and sports outcomes. 

However, the court indicated the CFTC is likely to succeed in arguing that Kalshi’s contracts qualify as “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act, placing them under federal oversight.

The restraining order remains active until April 24, when the court will decide whether to issue a longer-term injunction.

Why States Are Challenging Kalshi?

This is because Kalshi allows users to trade “Yes” or “No” contracts based on event outcomes. The company argues these are financial contracts traded between participants, not bets placed against a house.

State regulators, including Arizona, view the activity as gambling. Last week, Nevada extended a ban on Kalshi, while Utah lawmakers passed legislation targeting similar prediction contracts.

The disagreement centers on whether event markets should be treated as derivatives or betting platforms.

Kalshi’s Rapid Growth Adds Stakes

The legal battle comes as Kalshi rapidly expands. As of April 2026, the platform is valued at around $22 billion following a March funding round. It currently accounts for roughly 89% of U.S. prediction market volume, making it a dominant player.

User growth has also surged. Monthly active users increased from about 600,000 at the start of 2025 to around 5.1 million by early 2026. Trading activity is accelerating as well. In March 2026 alone, Kalshi recorded $13.1 billion in transaction volume, marking a 25.2% jump from the previous month.

These numbers highlight why the classification debate has become more important for regulators.

Next Key Date: 24th April

The temporary order remains in effect until April 24, when the court will consider issuing a preliminary injunction. Meanwhile, Kalshi continues its civil claims against several states

The case may shape how prediction markets are regulated in the U.S., determining whether they are treated as financial instruments or gambling products.

The post No, Bitcoin Has Not Bottomed Yet: Analyst Who Called the Top Explains Why appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitcoin just had its best week in a while. The ceasefire rally, the CPI relief, $73,000 briefly touched. After weeks of grinding losses, it finally feels like something has changed.

But one analyst who publicly called the top six months ago is not buying the narrative shift. According to Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, the data does not yet support calling a bottom – and the 4-year cycle is still pointing to October.

The Three On-Chain Signals That Matter

Cowen’s case is not based on sentiment or macro headlines. It is based on three specific on-chain conditions that have marked every previous Bitcoin cycle bottom and none of which have triggered yet.

First, the supply in profit/loss indicator has not crossed.

“All prior lows occur after they cross, not before,” Cowen said in a recent video. “And we haven’t seen that cross yet.”

Second, the MVRV Z-score has not gone below zero. Every previous bear market bottom has required this reset. It has not happened.

Third, Bitcoin has not traded below both its realized price, currently around $54,000, and its balance price, which sits near $39,000. Historically, every cycle bottom has involved Bitcoin touching both levels.

The Bear Market Resistance Band

Cowen identifies $78,000 to $79,000 as the current bear market resistance band – the level where the former bull market support has flipped to overhead resistance. Until Bitcoin closes convincingly above that level, the structure of a bear market remains intact.

Tactical rallies, he notes, are entirely normal within bear markets and do not signal a trend reversal.

October Is the Most Likely Bitcoin Bottom

The 4-year cycle has run November to November in 2021-2022 and December to December in 2017-2018. Cowen’s base case is October to October this time, putting the most likely low in Q4 2026.

He gives it 75% probability that the bottom is still ahead.

“I would say there’s like a 75% chance that the Bitcoin bottom is still in the future,” he said. “Maybe a 25% chance that it’s already in.”

His implied price target for a full reset sits around $39,000 – the balance price, and roughly a 70% decline from the $126,000 peak, consistent with every prior bear market being slightly less severe than the last.

What Would Change the Thesis

Cowen is not permanently bearish. He acknowledges the 25% scenario where the low is already in and says he would revise his view if Bitcoin has not made a new low by October. The thesis is data-dependent, not directional.

The post The U.S Moves $177K in Bitcoin, But the Real Story Is Bigger appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

The U.S. government just moved over 2 BTC to a Coinbase Prime wallet, but the transfer itself isn’t the real story. It’s what it reveals about how seized crypto is now being handled. 

The funds, flagged by Arkham Intelligence, are linked to Glenn Olivio, who was indicted in 2025 in an alleged steroid distribution and money laundering case, with the Bitcoin likely seized during that investigation and moved in two transactions worth around $177,000. 

Not Just a Transfer—A Pattern Emerging

At first glance, this looks routine. Governments often move seized assets for custody or consolidation. But zoom out, and a pattern starts forming.

Similar movements have been seen recently with funds tied to cases involving Ross Ulbricht and other financial crimes. These repeated transfers suggest the government is actively organizing and managing its crypto holdings rather than leaving them idle.

From Selling Bitcoin to Stockpiling It

Here’s where things get interesting. This shift comes after the U.S. introduced its strategic bitcoin reserve following an executive order under Donald Trump.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later confirmed that the government has stopped selling seized bitcoin and is now holding onto it instead.

That changes how these transfers should be viewed. Instead of preparing assets for liquidation, the government may now be repositioning them for long-term storage within its reserve.

The Real Angle, Crypto as a State Asset

The U.S. already holds around 328,000 BTC, worth over $22 billion. Moves like this suggest a quiet transition from treating crypto as confiscated property to managing it as a strategic asset.

Even small transfers like this one could be part of a larger system being built in the background, one where seized crypto feeds directly into national reserves.

In short, this isn’t just about a criminal case. It’s another signal that bitcoin is becoming part of government-level financial strategy, not just law enforcement cleanup.

Market Reaction Remains Calm

Crypto analysts are watching closely but not panicking. One X user said the move was “interesting,” noting it’s the first transfer in over a month and highlighting that such assets are rarely sold immediately. 

Meanwhile, another user framed it as routine custody management with minimal market impact due to the small size.

The post Bhutan Cuts Bitcoin Holdings by 70% Over 18 Months appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bhutan has sold about 70% of its Bitcoin holdings over the past 18 months, with Arkham data showing its stash shrinking from roughly 13,000 BTC in October 2024 to 3,954 BTC, now worth around $280.6 million. About $215.7 million of that reduction happened this year alone, indicating active liquidation. Additionally, it’s been over a year since the country saw any mining inflows above $100,000, suggesting its hydropower-powered Bitcoin mining operations may have slowed or stopped altogether.

The post Bitwise Files Second Amendment for Hyperliquid ETF appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitwise has submitted a second amendment for its Hyperliquid ETF, confirming the ticker BHYP and setting the management fee at 67 basis points. These finalized details are typically one of the last steps before an ETF receives regulatory approval and moves toward launch. The filing reflects continued development of the product structure and positioning in the market. It also comes amid rising interest in Hyperliquid (HYPE), with investors closely watching for the ETF’s official debut and potential market impact.

The post Grayscale Is Accumulating These Altcoins in Q2 2026 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Grayscale Investments has released its Q2 2026 “Assets Under Consideration” list, highlighting a clear shift in institutional focus toward infrastructure, advanced DeFi, and AI-driven crypto projects. 

The list suggests that institutions are prioritizing real-world utility, scalability, and emerging technology narratives over speculative trends.

The list includes a wide range of tokens across multiple sectors:

Infrastructure: CC, CELO, MNT, MON, TON, TRX

DeFi: ENA, HYPE, JUP, KMNO, SYRUP, MORPHO, PENDLE

AI + Crypto: ROBO, FLOCK, GRASS, KAITO, KITE, VVV, VIRTUAL, WLD

Utility & Infra: 2Z, GEOD, HNT, JTO, ZRO, W

It also includes early-stage projects like MegaETH, Nous Research, and Poseidon, showing interest in upcoming innovations.

Infrastructure Is Leading the Charge

A large portion of the list is focused on smart contract platforms and core blockchain infrastructure, including CELO, TON, and TRX.

These projects form the backbone of the crypto ecosystem, supporting:

Payments and stablecoins

On-chain applications

Network scalability

 This suggests institutions are prioritizing foundational layers that enable long-term growth rather than short-term hype.

DeFi Gets Smarter and More Institutional

The DeFi segment of the list highlights a major shift in how decentralized finance is evolving. Projects like ENA, HYPE, MORPHO, and PENDLE are focused on:

Real yield generation

Advanced liquidity systems

More efficient trading infrastructure

This is no longer the early DeFi hype cycle. Instead, it reflects a move toward structured, institutional-grade on-chain financial systems.

AI + Crypto Is Exploding

The AI category is easily one of the most stacked: ROBO, FLOCK, GRASS, KAITO, KITE, VVV, VIRTUAL, and WLD, plus projects like Nous Research and Poseidon.

This shows where the narrative is heading. AI and blockchain are starting to overlap, especially around data ownership, identity, and decentralized computing. It’s early, but institutions clearly don’t want to miss this wave.

Utility and Real-World Use Cases Still Matter

Then there’s the utility layer, 2Z, GEOD, HNT, JTO, ZRO, and W. These projects focus on infrastructure, data, connectivity, and cross-chain systems.

It’s a reminder that beyond hype, real-world functionality still drives long-term value in crypto.

The post Trump Says Iran-US Deal Is 99% About One Thing: What That Means for Bitcoin appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

An extremely consequential diplomatic meeting is hours away.

Iran’s 71-person team, led by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, arrived in Pakistan’s capital this morning for direct negotiations with US Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.

It is the first face-to-face meeting between the two nations since the war began on February 28. Bitcoin is currently trading at $72,798, up 8.62% on the week.

Iran vs US: What Both Sides Are Demanding

The positions entering these talks remain far apart. Iran’s 10-point proposal demands Iranian oversight of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, war reparations, frozen asset releases and a halt to Israeli operations in Lebanon.

The US 15-point counter-proposal centres on one non-negotiable: no nuclear weapon.

Trump Says This Deal Is “99%” About One Thing

Trump made his priorities explicit before departing for Virginia yesterday. Asked what a good deal looks like, he said: “No nuclear weapon. That’s 99% of it.”

On the Strait of Hormuz, his view was equally direct: “That’ll open up automatically, otherwise they make no money.”

That framing matters. Trump is not treating Hormuz as the primary obstacle. He is treating it as an economic inevitability. If nuclear is genuinely 99% of the deal, the bar for an agreement that moves markets is lower than most traders currently assume.

What a Peace Deal Actually Does to Bitcoin’s Price

The war has been Bitcoin’s single biggest macro headwind since February. The conflict closed the Strait of Hormuz, disrupted 20% of global oil supply, drove the largest monthly CPI increase since June 2022, and kept the Federal Reserve on hold. Every one of those pressures traces back to this room in Islamabad.

A deal framework, even a partial one, removes the energy inflation overhang that has suppressed Bitcoin for six weeks. Analysts have projected a move toward $75,000 to $80,000 if geopolitical risk is sustainably removed.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has been in extreme fear for over 60 consecutive days, the longest streak on record. A credible path to peace ends that.

The Honest Risk

Pakistan has set a modest goal: get both sides to agree to keep talking. Ghalibaf arrived saying “we have goodwill, but we do not trust.” A breakdown in talks sends oil back toward $110 and Bitcoin back toward $65,000 support.

Vance said before boarding his flight: “We think it’s going to be positive.”

The gap between those two statements is where Bitcoin’s next major move is being decided today.

The post Dogecoin Price Prediction: Is DOGE Ready for Rally Toward $1? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Dogecoin (DOGE) is flashing a high-stakes setup as price compresses at a key macro support, with market structure now pointing toward a potential Wave 5 expansion, the phase historically linked with the most aggressive rallies.

After months of sideways drift and weakening momentum, the setup now shows a rare alignment: trendline support, cycle structure, and market positioning converging at a critical inflection point. If this structure confirms, DOGE may not just recover, it could accelerate sharply toward its first major target near $1, marking a decisive shift in trend. Read our Dogecoin price prediction below for more details.

Dogecoin Wave Structure Signals Final Expansion Phase

DOGE’s monthly chart suggests a classic Elliott Wave cycle nearing completion of its corrective phase. The memecoin has already completed its earlier impulsive waves during previous bull cycles, followed by a prolonged Wave 4 correction that has unfolded over the past few years. This correction has brought price back to a long-term ascending trendline, a level that has historically acted as a launchpad for major rallies.

Now, with price stabilizing at this support and forming a base, the structure points toward a potential transition into Wave 5, typically the most aggressive phase of the cycle. If this plays out, DOGE could enter a momentum-driven expansion, with historical patterns suggesting the possibility of a move toward the $1 and beyond range. However, this scenario remains valid only as long as key support levels continue to hold.

On-Chain Data Supports Accumulation Narrative

On-chain indicators are beginning to align with the bullish structural setup, reinforcing the idea that the market is in an accumulation phase rather than a continuation of decline. The MVRV ratio has cooled significantly, indicating that most holders are no longer sitting on large unrealized profits. This typically reduces sell-side pressure and creates conditions favorable for accumulation.

At the same time, network activity remains stable, with consistent transaction counts and active address data suggesting that user engagement has not dropped off despite the price correction. 

This divergence, stable fundamentals alongside weak price action, often signals that strong hands are accumulating while weaker participants exit, a pattern commonly seen near cycle bottoms.

Dogecoin Price Prediction: Key Levels To Watch

DOGE price is currently trading near the $0.09 zone, holding above a critical long-term ascending trendline that defines its macro structure. The memecoin has formed a series of higher lows near support, indicating that buyers are stepping in consistently at lower levels. This behaviour suggests that selling pressure is being absorbed.

Immediate resistance is seen near the $0.10–$0.11 range, which has capped recent upside attempts. A confirmed breakout above this zone would signal a shift in short-term momentum and open the path toward $0.14–$0.18 as the next upside targets. On the downside, the key invalidation level remains near $0.061, where a breakdown would disrupt the macro structure and delay the bullish Wave 5 scenario. As long as price continues to hold above trendline support, the broader setup remains constructive, with compression suggesting a potential expansion move ahead.

The post Bitwise Files Second Amendment for Hyperliquid ETF appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitwise has submitted a second amendment for its Hyperliquid ETF, confirming the ticker BHYP and setting the management fee at 67 basis points. These finalized details are typically one of the last steps before an ETF receives regulatory approval and moves toward launch. The filing reflects continued development of the product structure and positioning in the market. It also comes amid rising interest in Hyperliquid (HYPE), with investors closely watching for the ETF’s official debut and potential market impact.

The post Crypto Regulation News: CFTC Task Force Signals Major Shift for US Crypto Rules  appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has launched an Innovation Task Force (ITF), signaling a major shift in how the United States is approaching crypto regulation.

This move suggests the U.S. is finally transitioning from uncertainty to a more structured and proactive regulatory framework.

The task force will focus on crypto, blockchain, artificial intelligence (AI), and prediction markets, aiming to establish clear guidelines instead of the fragmented and enforcement-heavy approach that has defined the industry for years.

Why Crypto Regulation Is Heating Up Again

Crypto regulation has become one of the most debated topics globally, and the timing of this move is critical.

While regions like Europe and parts of Asia have already introduced structured frameworks, the U.S. has lagged, creating uncertainty for businesses and investors. Now, regulators appear to be accelerating efforts to catch up.

This shift comes as institutional interest in crypto continues to rise, increasing the urgency for clear, consistent rules that can support long-term growth while maintaining oversight.

A Power Team Driving the Initiative

The ITF is led by Michael J. Passalacqua and brings together a mix of public regulators and private-sector experts, an approach that could bridge the gap between policy and real-world industry needs.

Passalacqua highlighted the importance of this collaboration, stating:

“Thrilled to be part of a team that pairs deep CFTC expertise with private-sector experience ranging from major law firms, Blockchain Association & DeFi funds.”

Key members include:

Hank Balaban – Formerly with Latham & Watkins, focused on digital assets

Sam Canavos – Previously at Patomak Global Partners

Mark Fajfar – Experienced regulatory attorney with Fried Frank background

Eugene Gonzalez IV – From Sidley Austin’s blockchain practice

Dina Moussa – Specialist in regulation and litigation

This diverse lineup signals an effort to create rules that are both practical and aligned with how the crypto industry actually operates.

Is This the End of “Regulation by Enforcement”?

CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig said that the goal is to provide “rules of the road” for innovators.

If executed effectively, this could mark a turning point, moving away from the enforcement-driven model that has long frustrated crypto companies toward a more predictable regulatory environment.

The CLARITY Act Could Be the Deciding Factor

At the same time, the proposed CLARITY Act is gaining attention in Washington.

Paul Atkins, Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), recently indicated that both agencies are prepared to implement the legislation, urging Congress to act quickly and “future-proof” the system.

Right now, much depends on whether this law passes. If it does, the groundwork laid by the CFTC’s task force could rapidly translate into real, enforceable crypto regulations.

What This Means for the Future of US Crypto

This isn’t just another regulatory committee; it’s a strong signal that the U.S. is preparing to formalize its crypto framework.

If successful, the initiative could:

Bring long-awaited clarity to the industry

Attract more institutional capital

Strengthen the U.S.’s position in the global crypto market

Potentially position the CFTC as a central authority in crypto oversight

In short, the U.S. may finally be moving toward a coherent, innovation-friendly regulatory era for crypto, and this task force could be the first real step in that direction.