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Focus on structure, liquidity and risk.
No signals. No hype.
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Everyone's Calling $59K as Bitcoin's Bottom. Here's Why They're Probably Wrong.
$BTC is at $67,811, and suddenly, everyone's an expert on where the bottom is.
"$59K is the floor!" says one analyst, pointing to the 200-week moving average.
"$60K that's where we bounce!" claims another, referencing the 2021 cycle high.
Polymarket traders are 95% confident #bitcoin drops below $65K. Bernstein analysts say $60K is the bottom. Michael Burry's chart pattern suggests low $50Ks.
Everyone has A number. Nobody has THE number.
And here's the uncomfortable truth: calling bottoms is where portfolios go to die.
The Pattern That Keeps Repeating
Let me show you something that should make you very, very cautious about anyone confidently calling a bottom right now.
2018: "$6K is the Floor!"
December 2017: Bitcoin hits $20,000 all-time high.
Throughout 2018, as Bitcoin bleeds, analysts start calling levels:
"$15K is strong support!" (Lost)"$10K psychological level!" (Lost)"$6K is THE bottom!" (Consensus formed here)
Everyone agreed: $6K was the line. It had been tested multiple times. It was previous resistance-turned-support. The charts were screaming it.
Actual bottom: $3,122.
The consensus was wrong by 48%.
2022: "$20K is the Floor!"
November 2021: Bitcoin hits $69,000 all-time high.
Throughout 2022, the same playbook:
"$30K strong support!" (Lost)"$20K is THE floor!" (Everyone believed this)
$20K was the previous cycle high from 2017. It was a textbook support level. Every analyst had it marked. Retail bought aggressively there.
Actual bottom: $15,479.
The consensus was wrong by 23%.
2026: "$59K is the Floor!"
October 2025: Bitcoin hits $126,210 all-time high.
Now, February 2026, Bitcoin at $67,500. And here we go again:
Analysts: "$59K-$60K is the bottom!"Bears: "$50K worst case!"Extreme bears: "$40K possible!"
Actual bottom: ???
But if history rhymes and it usually does the consensus is early. Again.
Why $59K Sounds So Convincing (And Why That's Dangerous)
Let me be clear: $59K-$60K IS a significant level. The arguments for it aren't stupid.
Here's why people are calling it:
1. The 200-Week Moving Average
Sits around $58K-$60K. Historically, Bitcoin has bounced hard from this level in every bear market.
2. Previous Cycle High
$69K was the 2021 ATH. Bitcoin often finds support near old cycle highs.
3. Realized Price
The average cost basis of all Bitcoin is near $60K. "Long-term holders defend this," they say.
4. Psychological Level
Clean, round number. Feels right.
5. Bernstein's Call
Credible analysts at Bernstein explicitly said, "$60K is where we bottom." All of these are VALID technical reasons.
But here's the problem: They were ALL valid in 2018 and 2022, too.
In 2018, analysts had equally strong reasons for $6K:
Previous support tested multiple times ✓Psychological round number ✓"Whales defending this level" ✓
Result: Wrong by 48%.
In 2022, analysts had equally strong reasons for $20K:
Previous cycle high ✓Strong psychological level ✓"Institutions accumulating here" ✓
Result: Wrong by 23%.
Technical levels don't care about your analysis. They break when sellers overwhelm buyers. And in bear markets, that happens more than people expect.
The Full Spectrum of Predictions (Everyone Has a Price)
Let's look at who's calling what:
The Optimists ($70K-$75K):
Bit Mining's Youwei Yang: "$75K possible low"Some retail: "We already bottomed at $67K!"
The Consensus ($55K-$65K):
Bernstein: "$60K bottom, last cycle high"Many analysts: "$59K, the 200-week MA"Standard Chartered: "$55K worst-case scenario"Polymarket: 95% chance we go below $65K
The Bears ($45K-$55K):
Michael Burry: Pattern suggests low $50Ks10X Research: "$52K possible"Tyler Richey: "$50K-$57K in severe macro downturn"
The Extreme Bears ($40K and lower):
John Blank (Zacks): "$40K within 8 months"Perma-bears: "Going to zero!" (Always wrong, but loud)
Notice the problem?
The range is $40K to $75K. That's a 46% spread.
If "the bottom" can be anywhere in a 46% range, does anyone actually know?
No. They're all guessing with different levels of confidence.
What Actually Happens When You Call Bottoms Too Early
Here's the real cost of being wrong.
Scenario: You have $10,000 to invest.
You see Bitcoin at $85K and think, "This is it! The bottom!"
You buy $3,000 worth. Bitcoin drops to $75K.
"Okay, THIS is the real bottom!" You buy another $3,000.
Bitcoin drops to $67K. You buy another $2,000. Now you only have $2,000 left.
Bitcoin drops to $59K. You deploy your last $2,000.
Then Bitcoin hits the ACTUAL bottom at $52K.
You're out of money. You can't buy. You watch others accumulate at levels you'd LOVE to have, but you're tapped out.
This is the cost of calling bottoms early:
You run out of capitalYour average cost is higher than it needed to beYou feel psychological pain watching it drop furtherYou either panic sell (worst move) or sit paralyzed
The traders who waited? They have dry powder at $52K. They get the best price. They win.
The Four Mistakes Bottom Callers Make
Mistake #1: Confusing "Support" with "THE Bottom"
The trap: "This level has held before, so it MUST hold again!"
The reality: Support levels are probabilities, not guarantees. They hold until they don't.
In 2018, $6K held... until it didn't. Then it crashed to $3K.
In 2022, $20K held... until it didn't. Then it crashed to $15.5K.
Lesson: Support can become resistance. Nothing is a "floor" until price proves it by reversing.
Mistake #2: Anchoring to Round Numbers
The trap: "$60K feels right. It's a clean number."
The reality: Markets don't care about your round numbers. Bottoms often occur at ugly prices like $15,479 or $3,122 not $15,000 or $3,000.
Lesson: If everyone's watching the same round number, smart money will push it just past that to trigger stops and create panic.
Mistake #3: Ignoring Historical Precedent
The trap: "This time is different. We have ETFs now. Institutions are here."
The reality: Every cycle, people say "this time is different." And every cycle, bottoms are lower than the consensus predicted.
2018: "We have futures now!" (Still crashed)
2022: "We have institutional adoption!" (Still crashed)
2026: "We have spot ETFs!" (Still...)
Lesson: New infrastructure doesn't prevent bear markets. It just changes WHO is selling.
Mistake #4: Betting the Farm on One Level
The trap: "I KNOW $59K is the bottom, so I'm going all-in there!"
The reality: You don't know. Nobody knows. If you deploy 100% of capital at one level and it breaks, you're done.
Lesson: Layer your buys. Have a plan for IF your bottom call is wrong.
So What Should You Actually Do?
If calling bottoms is dangerous, what's the alternative?
Option 1: Wait for Confirmation
Don't try to catch the exact bottom. Let price PROVE it bottomed first.
How do you know it bottomed?
Price makes a higher lowVolume dries up on dumps, spikes on bouncesFear & Greed stays below 10 for weeks, then starts risingOn-chain: Long-term holders start accumulating aggressively
You'll "miss" 10-20% of the move. But you'll avoid catching falling knives.
Better to enter at $65K on the way UP than $59K on the way DOWN to $52K.
Option 2: Layer Your Entries (DCA on Steroids)
Don't go all-in at one level. Spread your buys across a range.
Example with $10,000:
$67K (current): $0 (wait)$65K: $1,000 (10%)$60K: $2,000 (20%)$55K: $3,000 (30%)$50K: $4,000 (40%)
This way:
If it bottoms at $60K, you got someIf it goes to $50K, you have the most at the best priceYou never run out of capital
Option 3: Set Conditions, Not Prices
Instead of "I'll buy at $59K," use conditions:
"I'll buy when Fear & Greed hits 5""I'll buy when RSI is oversold for 2+ weeks""I'll buy when long-term holder supply increases""I'll buy when we see capitulation wicks with immediate recovery"
Conditions are more flexible than rigid price targets.
My Personal Take (And What I'm Actually Doing)
Here's my honest position:
I'm not calling $59K the bottom.
Could it be? Sure. The technicals support it.
But I've seen this movie before. In 2022, I was convinced $20K would hold. It didn't. That experience cost me.
Here's what I'm doing instead:
Holding cash. I'm not deploying heavily until I see confirmation.Watching $66K, $60K, $52K. These are my levels of interest—NOT my "guaranteed bottom calls."Scaling in, not going all-in. If we hit $60K, I'll deploy 20-30%. If we hit $52K, I'll deploy more. If we bounce before that, I'll enter on confirmation.Monitoring signals:Long-term holder accumulation (on-chain data)Volume patterns (exhaustion)Sentiment extremes (Fear & Greed)Macro shifts (Fed, dollar, metals)Accepting I might be early OR late. I'm okay missing the exact bottom if it means I avoid the pain of being early.
The goal isn't to time the perfect bottom. The goal is to survive the bear market with capital intact so I can deploy when the odds shift in my favor.
The Uncomfortable Truth
Nobody and I mean NOBODY knows where Bitcoin will bottom in 2026.
Not Bernstein analysts.
Not Michael Burry.
Not the "experts" on Twitter.
Not me.
The only thing we know for sure is this:
Bottoms happen when sellers are exhausted, not when analysts say soHistorical bottom calls have been early by 20-50%Markets punish overconfidenceCash is a position (and often the best one in uncertainty)
$59K might be the bottom. It has all the technical hallmarks.
But $52K might be the bottom. Or $45K. Or $67.5K was it and we're already bouncing.
The point is: You don't have to know.
You just have to have a plan for multiple scenarios and the discipline not to blow all your capital chasing the first level that "looks like a bottom."
The Bottom Line (Pun Intended)
If you're reading this and thinking, "But I KNOW $59K is it!" I respect that conviction.
Just remember:
In 2018, people KNEW $6K was it. They were wrong.In 2022, people KNEW $20K was it. They were wrong.
You might be right. Or you might be wrong.
The best traders don't bet on being right. They plan for being wrong.
They layer entries. They keep dry powder. They wait for confirmation.
And when the dust settles and the bottom is actually in, they're still standing with capital to deploy.
That's how you survive bear markets.
Not by calling the bottom perfectly. But by not getting destroyed trying to.
What's your take are you buying now, waiting for $59K, or holding cash until you see confirmation? Let me know your strategy below.
#btc70k
"$59K is the floor!" says one analyst, pointing to the 200-week moving average.
"$60K that's where we bounce!" claims another, referencing the 2021 cycle high.
Polymarket traders are 95% confident #bitcoin drops below $65K. Bernstein analysts say $60K is the bottom. Michael Burry's chart pattern suggests low $50Ks.
Everyone has A number. Nobody has THE number.
And here's the uncomfortable truth: calling bottoms is where portfolios go to die.
The Pattern That Keeps Repeating
Let me show you something that should make you very, very cautious about anyone confidently calling a bottom right now.
2018: "$6K is the Floor!"
December 2017: Bitcoin hits $20,000 all-time high.
Throughout 2018, as Bitcoin bleeds, analysts start calling levels:
"$15K is strong support!" (Lost)"$10K psychological level!" (Lost)"$6K is THE bottom!" (Consensus formed here)
Everyone agreed: $6K was the line. It had been tested multiple times. It was previous resistance-turned-support. The charts were screaming it.
Actual bottom: $3,122.
The consensus was wrong by 48%.
2022: "$20K is the Floor!"
November 2021: Bitcoin hits $69,000 all-time high.
Throughout 2022, the same playbook:
"$30K strong support!" (Lost)"$20K is THE floor!" (Everyone believed this)
$20K was the previous cycle high from 2017. It was a textbook support level. Every analyst had it marked. Retail bought aggressively there.
Actual bottom: $15,479.
The consensus was wrong by 23%.
2026: "$59K is the Floor!"
October 2025: Bitcoin hits $126,210 all-time high.
Now, February 2026, Bitcoin at $67,500. And here we go again:
Analysts: "$59K-$60K is the bottom!"Bears: "$50K worst case!"Extreme bears: "$40K possible!"
Actual bottom: ???
But if history rhymes and it usually does the consensus is early. Again.
Why $59K Sounds So Convincing (And Why That's Dangerous)
Let me be clear: $59K-$60K IS a significant level. The arguments for it aren't stupid.
Here's why people are calling it:
1. The 200-Week Moving Average
Sits around $58K-$60K. Historically, Bitcoin has bounced hard from this level in every bear market.
2. Previous Cycle High
$69K was the 2021 ATH. Bitcoin often finds support near old cycle highs.
3. Realized Price
The average cost basis of all Bitcoin is near $60K. "Long-term holders defend this," they say.
4. Psychological Level
Clean, round number. Feels right.
5. Bernstein's Call
Credible analysts at Bernstein explicitly said, "$60K is where we bottom." All of these are VALID technical reasons.
But here's the problem: They were ALL valid in 2018 and 2022, too.
In 2018, analysts had equally strong reasons for $6K:
Previous support tested multiple times ✓Psychological round number ✓"Whales defending this level" ✓
Result: Wrong by 48%.
In 2022, analysts had equally strong reasons for $20K:
Previous cycle high ✓Strong psychological level ✓"Institutions accumulating here" ✓
Result: Wrong by 23%.
Technical levels don't care about your analysis. They break when sellers overwhelm buyers. And in bear markets, that happens more than people expect.
The Full Spectrum of Predictions (Everyone Has a Price)
Let's look at who's calling what:
The Optimists ($70K-$75K):
Bit Mining's Youwei Yang: "$75K possible low"Some retail: "We already bottomed at $67K!"
The Consensus ($55K-$65K):
Bernstein: "$60K bottom, last cycle high"Many analysts: "$59K, the 200-week MA"Standard Chartered: "$55K worst-case scenario"Polymarket: 95% chance we go below $65K
The Bears ($45K-$55K):
Michael Burry: Pattern suggests low $50Ks10X Research: "$52K possible"Tyler Richey: "$50K-$57K in severe macro downturn"
The Extreme Bears ($40K and lower):
John Blank (Zacks): "$40K within 8 months"Perma-bears: "Going to zero!" (Always wrong, but loud)
Notice the problem?
The range is $40K to $75K. That's a 46% spread.
If "the bottom" can be anywhere in a 46% range, does anyone actually know?
No. They're all guessing with different levels of confidence.
What Actually Happens When You Call Bottoms Too Early
Here's the real cost of being wrong.
Scenario: You have $10,000 to invest.
You see Bitcoin at $85K and think, "This is it! The bottom!"
You buy $3,000 worth. Bitcoin drops to $75K.
"Okay, THIS is the real bottom!" You buy another $3,000.
Bitcoin drops to $67K. You buy another $2,000. Now you only have $2,000 left.
Bitcoin drops to $59K. You deploy your last $2,000.
Then Bitcoin hits the ACTUAL bottom at $52K.
You're out of money. You can't buy. You watch others accumulate at levels you'd LOVE to have, but you're tapped out.
This is the cost of calling bottoms early:
You run out of capitalYour average cost is higher than it needed to beYou feel psychological pain watching it drop furtherYou either panic sell (worst move) or sit paralyzed
The traders who waited? They have dry powder at $52K. They get the best price. They win.
The Four Mistakes Bottom Callers Make
Mistake #1: Confusing "Support" with "THE Bottom"
The trap: "This level has held before, so it MUST hold again!"
The reality: Support levels are probabilities, not guarantees. They hold until they don't.
In 2018, $6K held... until it didn't. Then it crashed to $3K.
In 2022, $20K held... until it didn't. Then it crashed to $15.5K.
Lesson: Support can become resistance. Nothing is a "floor" until price proves it by reversing.
Mistake #2: Anchoring to Round Numbers
The trap: "$60K feels right. It's a clean number."
The reality: Markets don't care about your round numbers. Bottoms often occur at ugly prices like $15,479 or $3,122 not $15,000 or $3,000.
Lesson: If everyone's watching the same round number, smart money will push it just past that to trigger stops and create panic.
Mistake #3: Ignoring Historical Precedent
The trap: "This time is different. We have ETFs now. Institutions are here."
The reality: Every cycle, people say "this time is different." And every cycle, bottoms are lower than the consensus predicted.
2018: "We have futures now!" (Still crashed)
2022: "We have institutional adoption!" (Still crashed)
2026: "We have spot ETFs!" (Still...)
Lesson: New infrastructure doesn't prevent bear markets. It just changes WHO is selling.
Mistake #4: Betting the Farm on One Level
The trap: "I KNOW $59K is the bottom, so I'm going all-in there!"
The reality: You don't know. Nobody knows. If you deploy 100% of capital at one level and it breaks, you're done.
Lesson: Layer your buys. Have a plan for IF your bottom call is wrong.
So What Should You Actually Do?
If calling bottoms is dangerous, what's the alternative?
Option 1: Wait for Confirmation
Don't try to catch the exact bottom. Let price PROVE it bottomed first.
How do you know it bottomed?
Price makes a higher lowVolume dries up on dumps, spikes on bouncesFear & Greed stays below 10 for weeks, then starts risingOn-chain: Long-term holders start accumulating aggressively
You'll "miss" 10-20% of the move. But you'll avoid catching falling knives.
Better to enter at $65K on the way UP than $59K on the way DOWN to $52K.
Option 2: Layer Your Entries (DCA on Steroids)
Don't go all-in at one level. Spread your buys across a range.
Example with $10,000:
$67K (current): $0 (wait)$65K: $1,000 (10%)$60K: $2,000 (20%)$55K: $3,000 (30%)$50K: $4,000 (40%)
This way:
If it bottoms at $60K, you got someIf it goes to $50K, you have the most at the best priceYou never run out of capital
Option 3: Set Conditions, Not Prices
Instead of "I'll buy at $59K," use conditions:
"I'll buy when Fear & Greed hits 5""I'll buy when RSI is oversold for 2+ weeks""I'll buy when long-term holder supply increases""I'll buy when we see capitulation wicks with immediate recovery"
Conditions are more flexible than rigid price targets.
My Personal Take (And What I'm Actually Doing)
Here's my honest position:
I'm not calling $59K the bottom.
Could it be? Sure. The technicals support it.
But I've seen this movie before. In 2022, I was convinced $20K would hold. It didn't. That experience cost me.
Here's what I'm doing instead:
Holding cash. I'm not deploying heavily until I see confirmation.Watching $66K, $60K, $52K. These are my levels of interest—NOT my "guaranteed bottom calls."Scaling in, not going all-in. If we hit $60K, I'll deploy 20-30%. If we hit $52K, I'll deploy more. If we bounce before that, I'll enter on confirmation.Monitoring signals:Long-term holder accumulation (on-chain data)Volume patterns (exhaustion)Sentiment extremes (Fear & Greed)Macro shifts (Fed, dollar, metals)Accepting I might be early OR late. I'm okay missing the exact bottom if it means I avoid the pain of being early.
The goal isn't to time the perfect bottom. The goal is to survive the bear market with capital intact so I can deploy when the odds shift in my favor.
The Uncomfortable Truth
Nobody and I mean NOBODY knows where Bitcoin will bottom in 2026.
Not Bernstein analysts.
Not Michael Burry.
Not the "experts" on Twitter.
Not me.
The only thing we know for sure is this:
Bottoms happen when sellers are exhausted, not when analysts say soHistorical bottom calls have been early by 20-50%Markets punish overconfidenceCash is a position (and often the best one in uncertainty)
$59K might be the bottom. It has all the technical hallmarks.
But $52K might be the bottom. Or $45K. Or $67.5K was it and we're already bouncing.
The point is: You don't have to know.
You just have to have a plan for multiple scenarios and the discipline not to blow all your capital chasing the first level that "looks like a bottom."
The Bottom Line (Pun Intended)
If you're reading this and thinking, "But I KNOW $59K is it!" I respect that conviction.
Just remember:
In 2018, people KNEW $6K was it. They were wrong.In 2022, people KNEW $20K was it. They were wrong.
You might be right. Or you might be wrong.
The best traders don't bet on being right. They plan for being wrong.
They layer entries. They keep dry powder. They wait for confirmation.
And when the dust settles and the bottom is actually in, they're still standing with capital to deploy.
That's how you survive bear markets.
Not by calling the bottom perfectly. But by not getting destroyed trying to.
What's your take are you buying now, waiting for $59K, or holding cash until you see confirmation? Let me know your strategy below.
#btc70k
$BTC A last weekly candle with a long lower tail gives hope for a possible price reversal.
So, I'm sitting with open longs on the majors, thinking about adding a long on #BTC .
In this case, I'm interested in the 25% (67567) and 50% (64995) levels of the lower tail of the weekly candle, which corresponds to 78% of the Fibonacci retracement of the entire range of the last leg of the uptrend.
So, the plan is very simple:
if the price drops to the 25% zone - I'll open a very small long,
and if it drops to the 50% zone of the tail, or even better, lower - I'll increase the position.
#BitcoinDunyamiz #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTC走势分析
So, I'm sitting with open longs on the majors, thinking about adding a long on #BTC .
In this case, I'm interested in the 25% (67567) and 50% (64995) levels of the lower tail of the weekly candle, which corresponds to 78% of the Fibonacci retracement of the entire range of the last leg of the uptrend.
So, the plan is very simple:
if the price drops to the 25% zone - I'll open a very small long,
and if it drops to the 50% zone of the tail, or even better, lower - I'll increase the position.
#BitcoinDunyamiz #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTC走势分析
$XAU The weekly chart indicates a possible continuation of the upward movement, and judging by sentiment, many are still expecting new all-time highs ;) but...
I think we'll be in the 4400-5600 range for a while.
So, the week's opening — the Asian session pulled the price up slightly, but the previous weekly candlestick has a long lower tail —so there's a high possibility of a decline into area of lower tail at the beginning of the week.
The following levels should be kept in mind:
4965 -Last week close
4860 - Last week open
4686 - Previous week low
4630 - 50% of the lower tail of the weekly candlestick
For this week, I expect the scenarios shown on the 1-hour chart.
If the price moves higher at the beginning of the week and stops near the 5454-5484 gap, I think we should expect another and sharp downward squeeze by the end of the week.
#XAU #XAUUSD #GoldSilverRally
I think we'll be in the 4400-5600 range for a while.
So, the week's opening — the Asian session pulled the price up slightly, but the previous weekly candlestick has a long lower tail —so there's a high possibility of a decline into area of lower tail at the beginning of the week.
The following levels should be kept in mind:
4965 -Last week close
4860 - Last week open
4686 - Previous week low
4630 - 50% of the lower tail of the weekly candlestick
For this week, I expect the scenarios shown on the 1-hour chart.
If the price moves higher at the beginning of the week and stops near the 5454-5484 gap, I think we should expect another and sharp downward squeeze by the end of the week.
#XAU #XAUUSD #GoldSilverRally
Tesla Is Loading… Shakeout First, Then Full Send
As you know, $TSLA (Tesla)
stock futures are now tradable on Binance. First comes the stock, then the futures.
So to analyze Tesla properly, I started with the Tesla stock chart on NASDAQ.
Before entering any market, I always start with the annual timeframe.
• 2020–2021: Rapid growth
• 2022: Deep correction
• 2023: A mid-low formed at 101.81, and a gap appeared between the 2023 low and the 2019 high. However, judging by the structure, I don’t expect this gap to be tested anytime soon.
• 2023–2024–2025: Three consecutive years of growth with long lower wicks — a sign of strong demand (more on this on the monthly chart).
To project potential upside, I measured the correction range from the 2021 high → 2023 low and extended it upward.
📌 Probable continuation targets: 570 and 727.
We can also note that 2026 opened with a gap between the 2025 close and the 2026 open. This gap was filled in the first month.
At the same time, 2026 opening level already at 25% Fibonacci of the upper tail of the 2025 candlestick indicate a high probability of a downward phase first — followed by a continuation higher.
🔸 Key Levels from the 2025 Candle
I measured the long lower wick of the 2025 annual candle using Fibonacci to define optimal entry zones.
📌 The 50% Fibonacci level = 303.04 is especially important:
• Slightly above the 2023 high
• Also aligns with the 50% retracement of the entire 2023–2025 uptrend
This level confluence increases the probability of price revisiting this area.
🔹 Monthly Structure
On the monthly chart, Tesla has maintained a bullish structure for three years:
✔ Higher highs
✔ Higher lows
A third wave is now forming.
Given the depth of previous corrections, this wave is likely to show strong momentum with only shallow pullbacks at the start.
🧭 My Plan / Areas of Interest
If a correction plays out before the next upside leg, I’m watching these zones:
• 367.71 – 382.78 → Gap between May 2025 high & Nov 2025 low
• 352.26 → 2021 close
• 346 → Lower boundary of a broader gap
• 299.29 → 2023 high
• 303.04 → 50% Fib of both structures (key confluence)
🎯 Strategy
If price corrects into these zones first:
• I’ll open small positions
• Average entries
• And become more aggressive only if price moves below the 50% Fib of the entire range
stock futures are now tradable on Binance. First comes the stock, then the futures.
So to analyze Tesla properly, I started with the Tesla stock chart on NASDAQ.
Before entering any market, I always start with the annual timeframe.
• 2020–2021: Rapid growth
• 2022: Deep correction
• 2023: A mid-low formed at 101.81, and a gap appeared between the 2023 low and the 2019 high. However, judging by the structure, I don’t expect this gap to be tested anytime soon.
• 2023–2024–2025: Three consecutive years of growth with long lower wicks — a sign of strong demand (more on this on the monthly chart).
To project potential upside, I measured the correction range from the 2021 high → 2023 low and extended it upward.
📌 Probable continuation targets: 570 and 727.
We can also note that 2026 opened with a gap between the 2025 close and the 2026 open. This gap was filled in the first month.
At the same time, 2026 opening level already at 25% Fibonacci of the upper tail of the 2025 candlestick indicate a high probability of a downward phase first — followed by a continuation higher.
🔸 Key Levels from the 2025 Candle
I measured the long lower wick of the 2025 annual candle using Fibonacci to define optimal entry zones.
📌 The 50% Fibonacci level = 303.04 is especially important:
• Slightly above the 2023 high
• Also aligns with the 50% retracement of the entire 2023–2025 uptrend
This level confluence increases the probability of price revisiting this area.
🔹 Monthly Structure
On the monthly chart, Tesla has maintained a bullish structure for three years:
✔ Higher highs
✔ Higher lows
A third wave is now forming.
Given the depth of previous corrections, this wave is likely to show strong momentum with only shallow pullbacks at the start.
🧭 My Plan / Areas of Interest
If a correction plays out before the next upside leg, I’m watching these zones:
• 367.71 – 382.78 → Gap between May 2025 high & Nov 2025 low
• 352.26 → 2021 close
• 346 → Lower boundary of a broader gap
• 299.29 → 2023 high
• 303.04 → 50% Fib of both structures (key confluence)
🎯 Strategy
If price corrects into these zones first:
• I’ll open small positions
• Average entries
• And become more aggressive only if price moves below the 50% Fib of the entire range
I expect a pullback today—there's a high probability of testing yesterday's opening level on all majors and $BTC
I've reduced all longs by another 25%, and if my assumptions are confirmed, I'll increase my positions to their original size.
#MarketRally #WhenWillBTCRebound
I've reduced all longs by another 25%, and if my assumptions are confirmed, I'll increase my positions to their original size.
#MarketRally #WhenWillBTCRebound
So $TSLA (Tesla), not $DOGE , will fly to the moon... 🤔
After #GOLD became available on Binance Futures, a new ATH followed just one month later.
After #Silver became available, a new ATH followed only one week later.
Now I’m watching Tesla closely 😉
Binance offers an excellent opportunity to analyze not only the price and volume, but also order books, outflow - inflow and open interests
#Tesla #TSLA #RiskAssetsMarketShock
After #GOLD became available on Binance Futures, a new ATH followed just one month later.
After #Silver became available, a new ATH followed only one week later.
Now I’m watching Tesla closely 😉
Binance offers an excellent opportunity to analyze not only the price and volume, but also order books, outflow - inflow and open interests
#Tesla #TSLA #RiskAssetsMarketShock
Binance Academy
·
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How to Trade Tesla (TSLA) on Binance Futures
Disclaimer: This content is for general information and educational purposes only, without representation or warranty of any kind. It should not be construed as financial, legal or other professional advice, nor is it intended to recommend the purchase of any specific product or service. Products mentioned in this article may not be available in your region.
Key Takeaways
Binance Futures has expanded beyond cryptocurrencies to include traditional assets like gold, silver, and stocks. You can now trade Tesla under the ticker TSLAUSDT.
These contracts offer unique advantages over traditional equity markets, including 24/7 trading hours and fractional trading options.
You can utilize leverage (up to 5x) to trade with more exposure than your capital allows, though this requires strict risk management.
A mechanism called "Funding Rates" ensures price stability, with fees settled every four hours.
Introduction
Historically, trading equities like Tesla (TSLA) was restricted to traditional stock exchanges like the Nasdaq. This often meant dealing with rigid market hours, complex brokerage accounts, and limitations on who could participate. However, the integration of traditional financial assets into cryptocurrency exchanges is breaking down these barriers.
Binance Futures offers contracts for Tesla (TSLA), allowing users to trade the price movements of one of the world's most popular stocks with the flexibility of the crypto ecosystem.
What Are Tesla Futures on Binance?
On Binance, Tesla is traded as a USDT-margined perpetual contract. This means that while the price tracks the real value of Tesla Inc. (TSLA) shares listed on the Nasdaq exchange, the settlement is conducted in the stablecoin USDT.
The ticker for Tesla Futures on Binance Futures is TSLAUSDT. Unlike buying a share on a traditional brokerage, these contracts are cash-settled derivatives. This means you do not receive voting rights or dividends, but you can still try to profit from both upward and downward price movements.
The concept is simple: If you think the price of Tesla will go up, you buy (Long). If you think the price will go down, you sell (Short). All profits and losses are denominated in USDT.
Benefits of Trading Tesla on a Crypto Exchange
The digitization of equity trading offers several improvements over the "old way" of trading stocks.
1. 24/7 market access
Traditional stock markets, like the Nasdaq, operate during limited business hours and close on weekends. If breaking news about Tesla emerges on a Saturday, traditional shareholders are stuck until the market opens on Monday. On Binance Futures, the TSLAUSDT contract trades 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. This allows you to react to market-moving news instantly, regardless of the time or day.
2. Lower barriers to entry
In traditional markets, buying full shares of high-value stocks can be expensive for retail traders. Binance Futures allows for fractional trading. The minimum trade size for the Tesla contract is set at just 0.01 TSLA, making it accessible to traders with smaller amounts of capital.
3. Leverage
Futures contracts allow traders to gain exposure to larger positions with a smaller amount of upfront capital (margin). As of February 2026, Binance Futures offers leverage of up to five times (5x) for the TSLAUSDT contract. This means a trader could potentially operate $500 worth of Tesla contracts with roughly $100 of margin.
Understanding Funding Rates
Since these perpetual contracts never expire, the system needs a way to make sure the contract price stays close to the real price of Tesla stock. That’s where Funding Rates come in.
The funding payment: This is a payment exchanged between traders (buyers and sellers) every four hours. Note that this is not a fee paid to the exchange.
The opportunity: If the funding rate is positive, longs pay shorts. If negative, shorts pay longs. Funding rates for this contract are generally capped at plus or minus 2% proactiveinvestors.com. In certain market trends, holding a position may result in the trader earning passive income from these funding fees.
Risk Management
Trading these assets is easier than ever, but that means you can lose money faster than ever, too.
Leverage risk: Remember that leverage is a multiplier. While 5x leverage is lower than some crypto contracts, it still presents significant risk. Example: If you use 5x leverage, and the price of Tesla drops by 20%, you can lose 100% of your margin. This is called forced liquidation.
Market volatility: Tech stocks like Tesla can be highly volatile. Combined with the nature of crypto-derivative markets, prices can fluctuate rapidly.
How to stay safe
To stay safe, traders often employ risk management strategies, including:
Placing strategic stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Managing position size to ensure account longevity.
Avoiding excessive leverage, especially during volatile periods.
How to Trade Tesla (TSLA) on Binance Futures
1. Log in to your Binance account, navigate to the [Futures] tab, then go to [USD(S)-M Futures].
Note: this product may not be available in certain regions.
2. Next, open the drop-down menu and search for TSLAUSDT.
You can also find this and other contracts under the [TradFi] or Equity categories.
3. At the bottom right, you can check your Futures account balance. If your balance is zero, you can use the [Transfer], [Buy Crypto], or [Swap] features to add funds.
If this is your first time using Binance Futures, you will be required to open a Futures Account.
You may also be required to complete a Futures Quiz before getting started.
4. When you are ready, you can use the order panel to buy or sell futures contracts. The minimum trade size is 0.01 TSLA.
5. If you click or tap [Cross] at the top right, you can switch between Cross Mode and Isolated Mode.
The Cross Margin Mode will consider all the assets in your futures account and all futures positions when calculating your margin and liquidation levels. This means that your open positions can affect each other.
The Isolated Margin Mode allows you to manage your risk on individual positions by restricting them to a specific asset. This means that your isolated Tesla position won’t be affected by fluctuations in your other positions.
For more information, check out the following article: What Are Isolated Margin and Cross Margin in Crypto Trading?.
6. At the bottom of your screen, you can check your Positions, Open Orders, Order History, and much more.
Closing Thoughts
The launch of the TSLAUSDT pair on Binance Futures is helping bridge the gap between traditional equity markets and the crypto space. Without some of the barriers common to more traditional trading methods, Binance Futures offers a convenient way to get exposure to Tesla. But remember never to risk more than you can afford to lose. Make sure to manage risks and understand how the product works before getting started.
Further Reading
How to Trade Gold and Silver on Binance Futures
What Are Funding Rates in Crypto Markets?
What Are Isolated Margin and Cross Margin in Crypto Trading?
Disclaimer: This content is presented to you on an “as is” basis for general information and or educational purposes only, without representation or warranty of any kind. It should not be construed as financial, legal or other professional advice, nor is it intended to recommend the purchase of any specific product or service. You should seek your own advice from appropriate professional advisors. Where the content is contributed by a third party contributor, please note that those views expressed belong to the third party contributor, and do not necessarily reflect those of Binance Academy. Digital asset prices can be volatile. The value of your investment may go down or up and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance Academy is not liable for any losses you may incur. For more information, see our Terms of Use, Risk Warning and Binance Academy Terms.
Key Takeaways
Binance Futures has expanded beyond cryptocurrencies to include traditional assets like gold, silver, and stocks. You can now trade Tesla under the ticker TSLAUSDT.
These contracts offer unique advantages over traditional equity markets, including 24/7 trading hours and fractional trading options.
You can utilize leverage (up to 5x) to trade with more exposure than your capital allows, though this requires strict risk management.
A mechanism called "Funding Rates" ensures price stability, with fees settled every four hours.
Introduction
Historically, trading equities like Tesla (TSLA) was restricted to traditional stock exchanges like the Nasdaq. This often meant dealing with rigid market hours, complex brokerage accounts, and limitations on who could participate. However, the integration of traditional financial assets into cryptocurrency exchanges is breaking down these barriers.
Binance Futures offers contracts for Tesla (TSLA), allowing users to trade the price movements of one of the world's most popular stocks with the flexibility of the crypto ecosystem.
What Are Tesla Futures on Binance?
On Binance, Tesla is traded as a USDT-margined perpetual contract. This means that while the price tracks the real value of Tesla Inc. (TSLA) shares listed on the Nasdaq exchange, the settlement is conducted in the stablecoin USDT.
The ticker for Tesla Futures on Binance Futures is TSLAUSDT. Unlike buying a share on a traditional brokerage, these contracts are cash-settled derivatives. This means you do not receive voting rights or dividends, but you can still try to profit from both upward and downward price movements.
The concept is simple: If you think the price of Tesla will go up, you buy (Long). If you think the price will go down, you sell (Short). All profits and losses are denominated in USDT.
Benefits of Trading Tesla on a Crypto Exchange
The digitization of equity trading offers several improvements over the "old way" of trading stocks.
1. 24/7 market access
Traditional stock markets, like the Nasdaq, operate during limited business hours and close on weekends. If breaking news about Tesla emerges on a Saturday, traditional shareholders are stuck until the market opens on Monday. On Binance Futures, the TSLAUSDT contract trades 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. This allows you to react to market-moving news instantly, regardless of the time or day.
2. Lower barriers to entry
In traditional markets, buying full shares of high-value stocks can be expensive for retail traders. Binance Futures allows for fractional trading. The minimum trade size for the Tesla contract is set at just 0.01 TSLA, making it accessible to traders with smaller amounts of capital.
3. Leverage
Futures contracts allow traders to gain exposure to larger positions with a smaller amount of upfront capital (margin). As of February 2026, Binance Futures offers leverage of up to five times (5x) for the TSLAUSDT contract. This means a trader could potentially operate $500 worth of Tesla contracts with roughly $100 of margin.
Understanding Funding Rates
Since these perpetual contracts never expire, the system needs a way to make sure the contract price stays close to the real price of Tesla stock. That’s where Funding Rates come in.
The funding payment: This is a payment exchanged between traders (buyers and sellers) every four hours. Note that this is not a fee paid to the exchange.
The opportunity: If the funding rate is positive, longs pay shorts. If negative, shorts pay longs. Funding rates for this contract are generally capped at plus or minus 2% proactiveinvestors.com. In certain market trends, holding a position may result in the trader earning passive income from these funding fees.
Risk Management
Trading these assets is easier than ever, but that means you can lose money faster than ever, too.
Leverage risk: Remember that leverage is a multiplier. While 5x leverage is lower than some crypto contracts, it still presents significant risk. Example: If you use 5x leverage, and the price of Tesla drops by 20%, you can lose 100% of your margin. This is called forced liquidation.
Market volatility: Tech stocks like Tesla can be highly volatile. Combined with the nature of crypto-derivative markets, prices can fluctuate rapidly.
How to stay safe
To stay safe, traders often employ risk management strategies, including:
Placing strategic stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Managing position size to ensure account longevity.
Avoiding excessive leverage, especially during volatile periods.
How to Trade Tesla (TSLA) on Binance Futures
1. Log in to your Binance account, navigate to the [Futures] tab, then go to [USD(S)-M Futures].
Note: this product may not be available in certain regions.
2. Next, open the drop-down menu and search for TSLAUSDT.
You can also find this and other contracts under the [TradFi] or Equity categories.
3. At the bottom right, you can check your Futures account balance. If your balance is zero, you can use the [Transfer], [Buy Crypto], or [Swap] features to add funds.
If this is your first time using Binance Futures, you will be required to open a Futures Account.
You may also be required to complete a Futures Quiz before getting started.
4. When you are ready, you can use the order panel to buy or sell futures contracts. The minimum trade size is 0.01 TSLA.
5. If you click or tap [Cross] at the top right, you can switch between Cross Mode and Isolated Mode.
The Cross Margin Mode will consider all the assets in your futures account and all futures positions when calculating your margin and liquidation levels. This means that your open positions can affect each other.
The Isolated Margin Mode allows you to manage your risk on individual positions by restricting them to a specific asset. This means that your isolated Tesla position won’t be affected by fluctuations in your other positions.
For more information, check out the following article: What Are Isolated Margin and Cross Margin in Crypto Trading?.
6. At the bottom of your screen, you can check your Positions, Open Orders, Order History, and much more.
Closing Thoughts
The launch of the TSLAUSDT pair on Binance Futures is helping bridge the gap between traditional equity markets and the crypto space. Without some of the barriers common to more traditional trading methods, Binance Futures offers a convenient way to get exposure to Tesla. But remember never to risk more than you can afford to lose. Make sure to manage risks and understand how the product works before getting started.
Further Reading
How to Trade Gold and Silver on Binance Futures
What Are Funding Rates in Crypto Markets?
What Are Isolated Margin and Cross Margin in Crypto Trading?
Disclaimer: This content is presented to you on an “as is” basis for general information and or educational purposes only, without representation or warranty of any kind. It should not be construed as financial, legal or other professional advice, nor is it intended to recommend the purchase of any specific product or service. You should seek your own advice from appropriate professional advisors. Where the content is contributed by a third party contributor, please note that those views expressed belong to the third party contributor, and do not necessarily reflect those of Binance Academy. Digital asset prices can be volatile. The value of your investment may go down or up and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance Academy is not liable for any losses you may incur. For more information, see our Terms of Use, Risk Warning and Binance Academy Terms.
Trade like a pro
It's a myth - open a position and don't worry about it anymore.
The market teaches you rigorously - protect your capital first and foremost.
And second - pay yourself for your efforts by fixing your profit.
My open longs showed good results earlier than I planned, so I can expect a pullback. With the previously published ROI percentages, I reduced my positions by 25%, which allowed me to completely withdraw my initial capital and even keep some profit.
be safe
#MarketCorrection #WhenWillBTCRebound
It's a myth - open a position and don't worry about it anymore.
The market teaches you rigorously - protect your capital first and foremost.
And second - pay yourself for your efforts by fixing your profit.
My open longs showed good results earlier than I planned, so I can expect a pullback. With the previously published ROI percentages, I reduced my positions by 25%, which allowed me to completely withdraw my initial capital and even keep some profit.
be safe
#MarketCorrection #WhenWillBTCRebound
Be aggressively early… then master the art of doing absolutely nothing ....
#LTC #BCH #LINK #ADA #XLM
{future}(LINKUSDT)
{future}(XLMUSDT)
{future}(ADAUSDT)
#LTC #BCH #LINK #ADA #XLM
{future}(LINKUSDT)
{future}(XLMUSDT)
{future}(ADAUSDT)
Make your plan - Trade your plan
Binance Angels
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We’re 150K+ strong. Now we want to hear from you.
Tell us What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛 and win your share of $500 in USDC.
🔸 Follow @BinanceAngel square account
🔸 Like this post and repost
🔸 Comment What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛
🔸 Fill out the survey: Fill in survey
Top 50 responses win. Creativity counts. Let your voice lead the celebration. 😇 #Binance
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
Tell us What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛 and win your share of $500 in USDC.
🔸 Follow @BinanceAngel square account
🔸 Like this post and repost
🔸 Comment What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛
🔸 Fill out the survey: Fill in survey
Top 50 responses win. Creativity counts. Let your voice lead the celebration. 😇 #Binance
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
$ADA fell below all expectations ;)
However, we expected all this.
A sharp increase in open interest was noted in the accumulation zone.
A long position was opened.
Possible scenarios for this coin were described in my article 👉ADA - 2026 Outlook
#ADA #MarketCorrection
However, we expected all this.
A sharp increase in open interest was noted in the accumulation zone.
A long position was opened.
Possible scenarios for this coin were described in my article 👉ADA - 2026 Outlook
#ADA #MarketCorrection
ADAUSDT
Διην.
75X
Μακροπρ. άνοιγμα
Μη πραγμ. PnL
+718.00%
$LTC has completely filled the accumulation zone from previous years, which I often mentioned in my analyses.
The price has dropped to the lower boundary of this zone.
The expanding triangle formation is more visible on the monthly chart, so we should expect an upward movement above the previous mid-highs.
#LTC #MarketCorrection
The price has dropped to the lower boundary of this zone.
The expanding triangle formation is more visible on the monthly chart, so we should expect an upward movement above the previous mid-highs.
#LTC #MarketCorrection
LTCUSDC
Διην.
45X
Μακροπρ. άνοιγμα
Μη πραγμ. PnL
+425.00%
$LINK - the price dropped under all mid lows and to the lower boundary of the gap zone, best seen on the monthly chart.
If you witnessed the last decline after the start of the new day, you noticed how margin requirements suddenly increased, indicating that large capital was entering the game. This was noticeable in all the majors and Bitcoin.
So, a long position was opened.
I'll publish my macro analysis for this coin to determine the levels to reduce the position.
#LİNK #MarketCorrection
If you witnessed the last decline after the start of the new day, you noticed how margin requirements suddenly increased, indicating that large capital was entering the game. This was noticeable in all the majors and Bitcoin.
So, a long position was opened.
I'll publish my macro analysis for this coin to determine the levels to reduce the position.
#LİNK #MarketCorrection
LINKUSDT
Διην.
75X
Μακροπρ. άνοιγμα
Μη πραγμ. PnL
+728.00%
$BCH is surprising that while all the other majors have bottomed out in the accumulation zones of previous years, this coin continues to hold its ground and has just tested the 2025 opening level (439).
In previous analyses, I drew your attention to this level, as there is a high probability of continued upward movement, and under very modest assumptions, a move to the 50% level of the upper tail of the 2021 candle (1.039) could be seen as early as this year.
#BCH #MarketCorrection
In previous analyses, I drew your attention to this level, as there is a high probability of continued upward movement, and under very modest assumptions, a move to the 50% level of the upper tail of the 2021 candle (1.039) could be seen as early as this year.
#BCH #MarketCorrection
BCHUSDT
Διην.
60X
Μακροπρ. άνοιγμα
Μη πραγμ. PnL
+119.00%
$SOL Why do I think it's too early to go long on SOL?
Look at the monthly chart ;)
A formation is noticeable that can be interpreted as a shoulder-head-shoulder pattern.
The coin has been repeatedly testing the neckline (121) for many months, and only in the last few days has it fallen below this level and finally below the October low....
The gap marked with the green rectangle is only half-filled.
The lower boundary is around 35.
The price is currently at 81.
The coin is characterized by rapid ups and downs.
Can you imagine what will happen to the long if big money rushes to push the price to the lower boundary?
#sol #solana #MarketCorrection
Look at the monthly chart ;)
A formation is noticeable that can be interpreted as a shoulder-head-shoulder pattern.
The coin has been repeatedly testing the neckline (121) for many months, and only in the last few days has it fallen below this level and finally below the October low....
The gap marked with the green rectangle is only half-filled.
The lower boundary is around 35.
The price is currently at 81.
The coin is characterized by rapid ups and downs.
Can you imagine what will happen to the long if big money rushes to push the price to the lower boundary?
#sol #solana #MarketCorrection
$XAU Yesterday, Gold started moving lower after I closed my short and went to bed.
The CME gap from the beginning of the week was successfully filled, and the price reversed upward.
Who was listening to Trump yesterday? I was expecting a crypto-related announcement, but what actually happened? Utter disappointment ;) . . .
Judging by the daily chart, the formed formation doesn't give me a clear, high-probability guess about the next price move.
That's why I'm only with longs on majors and I promise to publish a macro analysis for Gold to guide us in the coming months.
#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD
The CME gap from the beginning of the week was successfully filled, and the price reversed upward.
Who was listening to Trump yesterday? I was expecting a crypto-related announcement, but what actually happened? Utter disappointment ;) . . .
Judging by the daily chart, the formed formation doesn't give me a clear, high-probability guess about the next price move.
That's why I'm only with longs on majors and I promise to publish a macro analysis for Gold to guide us in the coming months.
#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD
At the moment, judging by the fact that major altcoins have dropped into significant accumulation zones of previous years, I can assume that a low for the coming months is being formed and we should expect the beginning of an upward move
#MarketCorrection is over
#MarketCorrection is over
$BTC Just 30 minutes before Trump's announcement, Bitcoin fell slightly below the December-January pullback range projection.
To determine the potential risk if the decline continues, I added two more projections of this range downward.
If the decline continues, the 62k-46k range has no strong resistance with significant levels, and the next significant level could be considered the 2022 opening level (46,216.93).
Judging by the fact that most altcoins have fallen below the October squeeze low, it's tempting to believe that the deep downside scenario will be postponed until the second half of 2026.
#BTC走势分析 #BTC #MarketSentimentToday
To determine the potential risk if the decline continues, I added two more projections of this range downward.
If the decline continues, the 62k-46k range has no strong resistance with significant levels, and the next significant level could be considered the 2022 opening level (46,216.93).
Judging by the fact that most altcoins have fallen below the October squeeze low, it's tempting to believe that the deep downside scenario will be postponed until the second half of 2026.
#BTC走势分析 #BTC #MarketSentimentToday
Rule of Thumb for Investing in Fundamentally Strong Crypto Projects
I’ve adapted traditional stock market investing rules to the crypto market.
The example scenario shown on the Bitcoin chart is for educational and illustrative purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
🟢 Spot Crypto (No Leverage)
🔻 When price drops:
If price drops 20% → Just hold
If price drops 30% → Add small size (if thesis is intact)
If price drops 40% → Add selectively
If price drops 50% → Recheck fundamentals carefully
If price drops 60% → Stop averaging unless something materially improved
Example : BTC: 93K → 63K = ~%32 Drop🔹 20% drop (≈ around 74K) → Just hold Don't panic, this is a normal correction for Bitcoin.🔹 30% drop (≈ around 65K) → Add small size (if thesis is intact)The 63-65K range falls exactly into this category. In other words:
📊 Let's Clarify the Levels (From the 93K )Drop % Price Level What to Do-20% ~74,400 Hold-30% ~65,100 Small Add (if thesis is intact)-40% ~55,800 Selective Add-50% ~46,500 Recheck fundamentals carefully-60% ~37,200 Stop Averaging + Capital preservation first
🔺 When price goes up:
If price goes up 30% → Still hold
If price goes up 50% → Take 15–20% profit
If price goes up 70% → Take 30–40% profit
If price goes up 100% → Take out initial capital, let profits run
If price goes up 150%+ → Trail stops / scale out
📈 BTC Rebound Scenario (Measurement from 33K Bottom)Increase % Price Level What to Do+30% ~42,900 Still hold+50% ~49,500 Take 15–20% profit+70% ~56,100 Take 30–40% profit+100% ~66,000 Take initial capital out, let profits run+150% ~82,500 Trail stops / scale out
PS: All levels and % of falls and rises, as well as instructions on "what to do" are provided solely as an example to give an idea of how to build a long-term position on the spot
The example scenario shown on the Bitcoin chart is for educational and illustrative purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
🟢 Spot Crypto (No Leverage)
🔻 When price drops:
If price drops 20% → Just hold
If price drops 30% → Add small size (if thesis is intact)
If price drops 40% → Add selectively
If price drops 50% → Recheck fundamentals carefully
If price drops 60% → Stop averaging unless something materially improved
Example : BTC: 93K → 63K = ~%32 Drop🔹 20% drop (≈ around 74K) → Just hold Don't panic, this is a normal correction for Bitcoin.🔹 30% drop (≈ around 65K) → Add small size (if thesis is intact)The 63-65K range falls exactly into this category. In other words:
📊 Let's Clarify the Levels (From the 93K )Drop % Price Level What to Do-20% ~74,400 Hold-30% ~65,100 Small Add (if thesis is intact)-40% ~55,800 Selective Add-50% ~46,500 Recheck fundamentals carefully-60% ~37,200 Stop Averaging + Capital preservation first
🔺 When price goes up:
If price goes up 30% → Still hold
If price goes up 50% → Take 15–20% profit
If price goes up 70% → Take 30–40% profit
If price goes up 100% → Take out initial capital, let profits run
If price goes up 150%+ → Trail stops / scale out
📈 BTC Rebound Scenario (Measurement from 33K Bottom)Increase % Price Level What to Do+30% ~42,900 Still hold+50% ~49,500 Take 15–20% profit+70% ~56,100 Take 30–40% profit+100% ~66,000 Take initial capital out, let profits run+150% ~82,500 Trail stops / scale out
PS: All levels and % of falls and rises, as well as instructions on "what to do" are provided solely as an example to give an idea of how to build a long-term position on the spot
$XRP short closed - Not because there will be a rebound.
I'm tired, I've had dinner, and I want to sleep peacefully—sleep with a 500% ROI is much healthier than waiting for fluctuations during the announcement.
!!! Don't pump the market while I'm sleeping. ;)
I'm tired, I've had dinner, and I want to sleep peacefully—sleep with a 500% ROI is much healthier than waiting for fluctuations during the announcement.
!!! Don't pump the market while I'm sleeping. ;)
$XRP The assumption of a continued decline remains valid.
Yesterday I expected a slight upward rebound, which would have given me the opportunity to open a short at a better level, but the market is steadily moving downwards without any significant pullbacks.
Therefore, a new short was opened today.
Target levels:
1.174 - October candle low
1.089 - 23% Fibonacci retracement of the entire range
0.965 - gap lower boundary - 2023 high
#Xrp🔥🔥 #altcoins
#MarketSentimentToday
Yesterday I expected a slight upward rebound, which would have given me the opportunity to open a short at a better level, but the market is steadily moving downwards without any significant pullbacks.
Therefore, a new short was opened today.
Target levels:
1.174 - October candle low
1.089 - 23% Fibonacci retracement of the entire range
0.965 - gap lower boundary - 2023 high
#Xrp🔥🔥 #altcoins
#MarketSentimentToday
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