Anyone closely following the crypto market in all its aspects will know that 2026 is no ordinary year. This year, crypto will be fully regulated and legalized in America and globally, and negotiations between the major players have been ongoing for months.
Therefore, the fiasco that occurred in the crypto market in 2025, with the manipulation by platforms and whales, was calculated because they knew this was their last year to play with the market as they pleased. After the market is regulated and investors are protected, they won't be able to do so again.
The current bear market isn't a typical bear market; it's a deep and very precise surgical operation to completely clean up the market. That's why we're all witnessing the severity and speed of the decline.
By the end of 2026, the bear market will end, crypto will be legalized and regulated, and this market will be cleansed, with all scam coins removed. Then we'll start with a clean and respectable market. I don't expect many to survive until then because many have already left the market, and many more are expected to leave.
Yesterday we saw gold going down by almost -4% in just 2 minutes.
The drop was really big from 5085 to 4880 with -$205.
The problem is that we didn’t have any catalyst for this move. The same thing happened with silver.
Silver fell again by almost 11%, a bigger move.
Usually, these bigger sell-offs aren't driven by normal retail traders. The retail traders don’t all react immediately in just 2 minutes.
I thought we would read some news after that, but nothing came out.
From Reuters: “Precious metals fell with stocks last night. They didn’t have much of a macro catalyst,” Rodda added.
From Bloomberg: The drop accompanied the nervousness on Wall Street, where prices bowed across asset classes on concerns about the impact of artificial intelligence on corporate earnings.
Whether you believe this news is up to you. You already know my opinion :)
After a short correction , Gold should rise again. The market is a bit scared today, but it could correct and rise again. The profit taking that happened yesterday will join the gold price again and push it higher.
You may find more details in the chart. Thank you and good luck!
While the media is preoccupied with sensational headlines, an economic "heart attack" is silently unfolding.
The numbers don't lie,
and what's happening today in the US markets isn't just a "correction,"
it's the pressure reaching a breaking point.
We are facing the worst levels of institutional and economic crisis since the 2008 disaster.
1. The guillotine of major corporations In the last three weeks, 18 major companies have fallen into bankruptcy.
We're talking about multi-billion dollar companies collapsing at a rate of six per week.
We haven't seen this pace since the height of the pandemic and the depths of the 2008 crisis.
When "heavyweight" companies start collapsing like this, it means that the liquidity crunch has reached its peak.
2. The "crushed" consumer and historic debt The real danger isn't just in the budgets, but in people's pockets.
Household debt has reached a staggering $18.8 trillion.
But the real disaster isn't the size of the debt, it's the inability to repay it.
Credit card default rates have jumped to 12.7%, a faster rate of default than we saw during the 2008 financial crisis!
-- 3. Young People: The First Victims Worryingly, the demographic that drives consumption (18-39 years old) is the most affected by default.
When young people lose their ability to spend due to accumulating debt for education, cars, and credit cards, the primary engine of the economy grinds to a halt.
-- The Bottom Line: What does this mean for you?
We are living in the "late cycle."
Companies are going bankrupt, consumers are defaulting, and debt is at an all-time high.
This combination is usually followed by "surgical intervention" from the Federal Reserve through interest rate cuts and injecting liquidity to salvage what can be saved.
But history teaches us that intervention often comes after the damage has already been done.
If sellers hold the 4980-5000 level, gold prices may fall again, targeting 4910-4850.
On the other hand, if gold prices can effectively break through and continue to rise above $5000-5020, it will weaken the bearish outlook and open the door to a rebound to $5080.
Yesterday, it was reported that Russia is considering moving back to the US dollar as part of a wide-ranging economic partnership with President Trump.
In the past 3–4 years, Russia has strongly advocated reducing reliance on the USD, fueling the major "de-dollarization trade" narrative.
Several other countries have followed suit, reducing exposure to dollar assets — a key reason for the DXY's decline.
The massive rally in gold and silver has also been driven by this trend, as countries dump Treasuries and buy precious metals.
But now this trade may be over.
Russia is now planning to shift toward a dollar-based settlement system, which would boost USD demand.
A stronger USD has historically been bearish for assets, so metals, equities, and crypto will suffer.
Metals will be hit hardest, as a strong USD undermines the debasement trade narrative.
For equities and crypto, it will be bearish but likely not for long.
With more energy supply entering markets after a Russia–US partnership, inflation will drop and the Fed will become less hawkish.
This reduces the odds of monetary easing, but at least removes Fed uncertainty.
Remember, BTC rose in 2023 despite Fed rate hikes and QT.
Risk-on assets love certainty — if this deal is finalized, it will be mid- to long-term bullish for stocks and crypto.
Gold and silver, however, could enter a multi-year downtrend.
↗️ The price of S showed a strong upward movement, during which it formed a 2-hour FVG zone in the range of $0.04080 - $0.04320. If the price holds this zone during the correction, the upward movement will continue to the previous high of $0.05490.
US CEO Says Bitcoin (BTC) is “Exactly Where It Should Be!” Shares His Bottom Price Prediction!
The US CEO stated that Bitcoin is tracking its four-year halving cycle and that the price could pull back to levels around $40,000.
Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins have experienced sharp declines since October. While the BTC price has fallen to $60,000, losses are also growing in altcoins.
While there is no clear prediction about the market’s direction, some analysts argue that the bottom may have been reached at $60,000. Conversely, others suggest that the bottom hasn’t been reached and that further declines are possible.
Bitcoin Hasn’t Bottomed Out Yet!
According to Coindesk, Transform Ventures CEO Michael Terpin states that Bitcoin is following its four-year halving cycle and the price could pull back to the $40,000 level.
Speaking at the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 Conference, Michael Terpin stated that Bitcoin is following almost exactly the same historical halving cycle and patterns.
“According to Bitcoin’s halving cycle, we are exactly where we need to be.”
According to Terpin, the peak of the Bitcoin bull market will come in the fourth quarter of 2025, consistent with previous cycles.
The renowned figure, noting that the decline experienced after October is consistent with historical cycle patterns, believes there is still a way to go before the bottom.
“I think people believe that the bottom for Bitcoin will be at $80,000 and that this will only be a six-week bear market. But that seems ridiculous to me.”
Terpin even noted that predictions that Bitcoin would bottom out at $60,000 and immediately resume its rise were premature, saying, “That seems a bit early.”
Terpin did not offer a clear prediction on how long the bear market would last. At this point, he avoided predicting a year-long decline, stating that the market could face another pain point.
In this context, he argues that Bitcoin could fall to levels as low as $50,000 or even $40,000 before a bear market bottom is formed.
The visual of the Federal Reserve Chair scrutinizing a "miss" in jobless claims—227k actual vs 222k expected—encapsulates the market's obsession with bad news.
In this liquidity regime, a weakening labor market is paradoxically celebrated by risk assets, as it forces the central bank to abandon tightness and return to easing.
I do not worry about the health of the economy; I focus on the reaction function of the entity that controls the money supply.
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BlackRock just walked into DeFi. The world's largest asset manager ($14T AUM) is listing its $2.2B tokenized Treasury fund BUIDL on Uniswap.
Whitelisted institutions can now trade government bonds 24/7 via smart contracts, settled on Ethereum. And BlackRock didn't just list the product - they bought UNI tokens too. Market noticed. UNI spiked 40%.
This is BlackRock putting real money into a DeFi protocol while BTC sits at $67K. Their 2026 outlook calls Ethereum "the toll road of tokenization." Whether you like it or not, TradFi is building on-chain. The question is whether prices catch up to infrastructure.
Cryptocurrencies have become a matter of luck, not research and analysis.
Investing in cryptocurrencies, and you just get lucky and achieve your dream of wealth?
It's not entirely about analysis.
Yes… there's luck involved.
Let me tell you about myself.
I'm one of those people who:
– Caught the 2021 peak – Caught the 2022 pyromarket – Caught the 16,000 bottom – Was the first to talk about the AI sector at the end of 2022 as an upcoming trend
I analyzed, I worked hard, I studied, and I chose projects based on conviction.
I chose cryptocurrencies at the bottom, and they only rose 3-4 times.
And I entered by chance, without even knowing which cryptocurrency it was, just by luck… I swear to God, by luck, and it rose more than 40 times.
And I left a cryptocurrency I had chosen correctly because of a specific problem… and then it rose 100 times.
What's the lesson?
You can:
– Catch the peaks – Catch the troughs – Predict the trend correctly – Study, work hard, and get tired
And in the end… the result isn't always in your hands
Bitcoin?
Yes, analysis and experience are everything
But what about cryptocurrencies?
You can work and narrow the odds in your favor, but ultimately there's an element of luck, divine favor, and a predetermined destiny in this market.
If I wanted likes and engagement, I wouldn't have talked about this.
But it's my duty to tell you the truth:
Don't let anyone convince you they're a genius just because they made a profit with a single cryptocurrency, and don't believe anyone who pretends to hold the keys to the market.
This market involves science… and risk… and luck…
The important thing is to be aware before you enter and to understand the market correctly.
After all the Bitcoin halving, there was a strong rise in altcoins, as shown in the image.
✅ However, after Bitcoin's halving in 2024, the opposite occurred: a sharp decline in altcoins, and currently their market share is only 7%.
✅ The dump candle and the drop that occurred in October touched a strong support level and bounced back. If altcoin share rises above 8.3%, it will be the beginning of a positive trend.
Bitcoin's latest recovery lacks momentum as perpetual futures open interest remains 51% below its October peak, signaling a significant retreat in trader conviction and leverage.
JPMorgan is growing more optimistic on crypto in 2026, even as the market struggles to recover from the Oct. 10 crash.
Total digital asset market cap has dropped from $3.1T a month ago to $2.3T today, an $800B decline.
JPMorgan bullish in 2026 while we’re down from $31T to $23T in 30 days - that’s REAL NEED for a recovery - liquidity is tight - OI is shaky and sentiment is mixed - are they seeing something we don’t or just hedging bets? - keep your eyes on key resistance at $25T for any trends.