CRYPTO MIXO
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🚨 $LAYER Update
Markets are now assigning an 88% probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged in January.
“Higher for longer” remains the core outlook—meaning risk assets may need to wait before the next real liquidity boost arrives. $FARM
Markets are now assigning an 88% probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged in January.
“Higher for longer” remains the core outlook—meaning risk assets may need to wait before the next real liquidity boost arrives. $FARM
Trump Media Actively Managing Its #bitcoin Reserves
Trump Media moved about $174M in bitcoin across wallets a day after adding more BTC to its balance. A small portion was sent to Coinbase Prime Custody, while most remained under the same entity’s control.
This type of movement usually reflects treasury operations, not selling. Custody products are designed for long-term storage, not immediate trading.
Bitcoin’s price stayed flat despite the transfer, suggesting the market viewed it as neutral.
The key takeaway is institutional-style management of $BTC bitcoin, not speculative behavior.
Trump Media moved about $174M in bitcoin across wallets a day after adding more BTC to its balance. A small portion was sent to Coinbase Prime Custody, while most remained under the same entity’s control.
This type of movement usually reflects treasury operations, not selling. Custody products are designed for long-term storage, not immediate trading.
Bitcoin’s price stayed flat despite the transfer, suggesting the market viewed it as neutral.
The key takeaway is institutional-style management of $BTC bitcoin, not speculative behavior.
Bitcoin’s $70K–$80K range is one of its weakest historical zones.
BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.
If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.
Strong trends are built where price spends time.
BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.
If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.
Strong trends are built where price spends time.
Bitcoin hasn’t built much structure between $70K and $80K.
Five years of CME futures data show BTC spent just 28 trading days in that zone. Compared to hundreds of days below $70K, that means far fewer positions were built there and much weaker historical support.
On-chain data from Glassnode shows the same thing. Very little supply last moved in that range, so if price revisits it, there isn’t much natural demand waiting.
That doesn’t mean a crash. It means the market may need time there if it ever returns.
Support is built with time, not hope.
Five years of CME futures data show BTC spent just 28 trading days in that zone. Compared to hundreds of days below $70K, that means far fewer positions were built there and much weaker historical support.
On-chain data from Glassnode shows the same thing. Very little supply last moved in that range, so if price revisits it, there isn’t much natural demand waiting.
That doesn’t mean a crash. It means the market may need time there if it ever returns.
Support is built with time, not hope.
🐳Bitcoin Wallets Are Fewer - But Stronger
Something interesting is happening with $BTC.
📉
Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least 1 BTC is down 2.2%. On the surface, that looks bearish.
📈
But here’s the twist:
Wallets with more than 1 BTC now hold 136,670 more coins.
🤔
In simple terms:
• Fewer wallets
• Bigger holders
• More accumulation at the top
This doesn’t look like panic selling. It looks like #Bitcoin slowly moving into stronger hands.
#BTC Price Analysis#USGDPUpdate
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#USGDPUpdate
Something interesting is happening with $BTC.
📉
Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least 1 BTC is down 2.2%. On the surface, that looks bearish.
📈
But here’s the twist:
Wallets with more than 1 BTC now hold 136,670 more coins.
🤔
In simple terms:
• Fewer wallets
• Bigger holders
• More accumulation at the top
This doesn’t look like panic selling. It looks like #Bitcoin slowly moving into stronger hands.
#BTC Price Analysis#USGDPUpdate
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#USGDPUpdate
Bitcoin (BTC) remains range-bound between $85,000 and $91,000, where significant put and call interest is concentrated.
At the center of this range lies the $88,000 level, acting as a strong price magnet as BTC repeatedly gravitates toward it.
This Friday marks a major options expiry, which could reintroduce heightened volatility into the market.
#BTC #priceanalysis #MacroInsights $BTC
At the center of this range lies the $88,000 level, acting as a strong price magnet as BTC repeatedly gravitates toward it.
This Friday marks a major options expiry, which could reintroduce heightened volatility into the market.
#BTC #priceanalysis #MacroInsights $BTC
2025: Gold Outshines Bitcoin 🌟
Gold (~60-70% gain) is crushing Bitcoin (flat to slightly down) this year. What's driving this shift?
- Safe-haven demand 🔒
- Geopolitical tensions 🌍
- US rate cuts 📉
- Risk aversion 💔
Gold's up, Bitcoin's sideways. Diversification is key! 💡 #GoldVsBitcoin #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC
Gold (~60-70% gain) is crushing Bitcoin (flat to slightly down) this year. What's driving this shift?
- Safe-haven demand 🔒
- Geopolitical tensions 🌍
- US rate cuts 📉
- Risk aversion 💔
Gold's up, Bitcoin's sideways. Diversification is key! 💡 #GoldVsBitcoin #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC
💥
$BTC 2026 Watch
Year-end selling isn’t panic—it’s positioning.
Losses get realized for tax purposes, then capital rotates back in January.
This same setup has fueled early-year Bitcoin rebounds since 2023.
Question is: are you positioned for the January move?
👀
$BIFI $ZBT
$BTC 2026 Watch
Year-end selling isn’t panic—it’s positioning.
Losses get realized for tax purposes, then capital rotates back in January.
This same setup has fueled early-year Bitcoin rebounds since 2023.
Question is: are you positioned for the January move?
👀
$BIFI $ZBT
$DOGE came through 📈💸
Bought at 0.129, now sitting +22%.
Momentum did the heavy lifting.
Anyone else catch this run? 🚀
Bought at 0.129, now sitting +22%.
Momentum did the heavy lifting.
Anyone else catch this run? 🚀
$DOGE flashing green 🟢💸
Entry at 0.129, now up ~23% ROI.
Clean move, smooth execution.
Who else rode this one? 🚀
Entry at 0.129, now up ~23% ROI.
Clean move, smooth execution.
Who else rode this one? 🚀
🟢 Solana Signal Alert
SOL’s 14-day RSI is more oversold now than it was at $9.
That level marked the bottom last time.
Momentum signals are flashing again.
When bounces start, they don’t wait for confirmation. 🚀
$BANANA $ZBT
SOL’s 14-day RSI is more oversold now than it was at $9.
That level marked the bottom last time.
Momentum signals are flashing again.
When bounces start, they don’t wait for confirmation. 🚀
$BANANA $ZBT
💥 Liquidity Check: $ASTER ’s liquidity is now concentrated above current price.
After the recent flush, there’s little fuel left on the downside.
Meanwhile, overhead levels are building, suggesting room to move higher.
Bias from here: cautiously bullish 📈
$NEWT $ZEC $ASTER
After the recent flush, there’s little fuel left on the downside.
Meanwhile, overhead levels are building, suggesting room to move higher.
Bias from here: cautiously bullish 📈
$NEWT $ZEC $ASTER
Why Bitcoin’s Tight December Range May Be About to Break
Bitcoin’s chop between $85K–$90K throughout December wasn’t driven by indecision it was structural.
Large options positioning near spot levels forced market makers into constant hedging, buying weakness and selling strength.
The result: suppressed volatility and price locked in a narrow band, even as macro signals improved and risk assets pushed higher.
That grip is loosening. With roughly $27B in options set to expire and call positioning still dominant, the hedging flows that kept price contained begin to fade.
Implied volatility is sitting near monthly lows, meaning the market may be mispricing risk right as these structural barriers come off.
When derivatives not sentiment control price for weeks, the release is often sharp once the pressure disappears.
#BTC #Crypto #bitcoin
Bitcoin’s chop between $85K–$90K throughout December wasn’t driven by indecision it was structural.
Large options positioning near spot levels forced market makers into constant hedging, buying weakness and selling strength.
The result: suppressed volatility and price locked in a narrow band, even as macro signals improved and risk assets pushed higher.
That grip is loosening. With roughly $27B in options set to expire and call positioning still dominant, the hedging flows that kept price contained begin to fade.
Implied volatility is sitting near monthly lows, meaning the market may be mispricing risk right as these structural barriers come off.
When derivatives not sentiment control price for weeks, the release is often sharp once the pressure disappears.
#BTC #Crypto #bitcoin
#Bitcoin didn’t stall in December.
It was pinned.
Options dealers forced buys near $85K and sells near $90K, killing volatility by design.
Now $27B in options are expiring.
Gamma fades. Pressure lifts.
Call positioning dominates.
Low volatility + structural release = movement.
This range wasn’t weakness.
It was containment.
It was pinned.
Options dealers forced buys near $85K and sells near $90K, killing volatility by design.
Now $27B in options are expiring.
Gamma fades. Pressure lifts.
Call positioning dominates.
Low volatility + structural release = movement.
This range wasn’t weakness.
It was containment.
Bitcoin Has Been Stuck for Weeks, And Options Expiry Explains Why
Bitcoin spending nearly all of December trapped between $85,000 and $90,000 hasn’t been random, and it hasn’t been weakness either. It’s been mechanics.
A massive concentration of options around current prices forced dealers to constantly hedge their exposure. Every dip toward $85,000 triggered buying. Every push toward $90,000 triggered selling. Not because traders had conviction, but because dealers had to stay neutral.
This kind of environment kills volatility and frustrates spot investors, even while equities rally and gold makes new highs.
That pressure is about to ease. Around $27B in bitcoin options are set to expire, wiping out more than half of open interest. The positioning is heavily skewed toward calls, with most strikes sitting far above current price levels. Once that gamma pressure decays, the artificial range that held BTC in place weakens.
Historically, when suppression ends during low implied volatility, price tends to resolve in the direction of positioning. In this case, the math favors upside rather than a breakdown.
The range wasn’t distribution. It was containment.
Bitcoin spending nearly all of December trapped between $85,000 and $90,000 hasn’t been random, and it hasn’t been weakness either. It’s been mechanics.
A massive concentration of options around current prices forced dealers to constantly hedge their exposure. Every dip toward $85,000 triggered buying. Every push toward $90,000 triggered selling. Not because traders had conviction, but because dealers had to stay neutral.
This kind of environment kills volatility and frustrates spot investors, even while equities rally and gold makes new highs.
That pressure is about to ease. Around $27B in bitcoin options are set to expire, wiping out more than half of open interest. The positioning is heavily skewed toward calls, with most strikes sitting far above current price levels. Once that gamma pressure decays, the artificial range that held BTC in place weakens.
Historically, when suppression ends during low implied volatility, price tends to resolve in the direction of positioning. In this case, the math favors upside rather than a breakdown.
The range wasn’t distribution. It was containment.
Bitcoin Has Been Stuck for Weeks, And Options Expiry Explains Why
Bitcoin spending nearly all of December trapped between $85,000 and $90,000 hasn’t been random, and it hasn’t been weakness either. It’s been mechanics.
A massive concentration of options around current prices forced dealers to constantly hedge their exposure. Every dip toward $85,000 triggered buying. Every push toward $90,000 triggered selling. Not because traders had conviction, but because dealers had to stay neutral.
This kind of environment kills volatility and frustrates spot investors, even while equities rally and gold makes new highs.
That pressure is about to ease. Around $27B in bitcoin options are set to expire, wiping out more than half of open interest. The positioning is heavily skewed toward calls, with most strikes sitting far above current price levels. Once that gamma pressure decays, the artificial range that held BTC in place weakens.
Historically, when suppression ends during low implied volatility, price tends to resolve in the direction of positioning. In this case, the math favors upside rather than a breakdown.
The range wasn’t distribution. It was containment.
Bitcoin spending nearly all of December trapped between $85,000 and $90,000 hasn’t been random, and it hasn’t been weakness either. It’s been mechanics.
A massive concentration of options around current prices forced dealers to constantly hedge their exposure. Every dip toward $85,000 triggered buying. Every push toward $90,000 triggered selling. Not because traders had conviction, but because dealers had to stay neutral.
This kind of environment kills volatility and frustrates spot investors, even while equities rally and gold makes new highs.
That pressure is about to ease. Around $27B in bitcoin options are set to expire, wiping out more than half of open interest. The positioning is heavily skewed toward calls, with most strikes sitting far above current price levels. Once that gamma pressure decays, the artificial range that held BTC in place weakens.
Historically, when suppression ends during low implied volatility, price tends to resolve in the direction of positioning. In this case, the math favors upside rather than a breakdown.
The range wasn’t distribution. It was containment.
Why Bitcoin’s December Range May Be Ending Soon
Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
Why Markets Are Choosing Gold and Copper Over Bitcoin in 2025
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing.
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing.
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