digital zahir

Binance Is Now Licensed Under Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM)
✔️ *Binance’s global platform (Binance.com) has been formally authorised and licensed by the Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) of the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM). �
adgm.com
✔️ This is a major regulatory milestone — Binance has become one of the first large global exchanges to operate under ADGM’s internationally recognised regulatory framework. �
Gulf News
✔️ The licence covers three regulated entities within ADGM:
A regulated exchange (RIE)
A clearing & custody house
A broker-dealer arm
Each licensed to carry out specific financial services. �
The National
📅 Status: Binance’s regulated activities under ADGM began in January 2026. �
adgm.com
This means Binance’s global exchange operations now have formal regulatory oversight in the UAE financial centre of Abu Dhabi — something very few crypto exchanges worldwide have achieved.
🏙️ 2) Binance Also Has a VARA License in Dubai
✔️ In addition to ADGM licensing, Binance’s Dubai-based subsidiary “Binance FZE” has an operational MVP (Minimum Viable Product) licence from the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) in Dubai, dating back to 2022. �
vara.ae
✔️ This Dubai VARA licence allows Binance to offer various regulated virtual asset services (exchange, custody, transfers, etc.) to qualified/institutional investors under Dubai’s crypto regulations. �
vara.ae
✔️ Recent regulatory developments have expanded those permissions — Binance FZE also obtained a VASP (Virtual Asset Service Provider) licence, enabling broader regulated services in Dubai, though with certain investor eligibility conditions. �

$BTC

📈 1) Short-Term (Next 30–60 Days)
Expect Range-Bound Movement + Consolidation
Many analysts note BTC is trading sideways and consolidating near $87,000–$90,000 with low volatility — a sign markets are waiting for catalysts (inflation data, Fed cues, institutional flows). �
The Economic Times
Key technical points:
Consolidation tends to persist until a strong macro or on-chain catalyst.
Momentum oscillators (like RSI) could signal breakout or breakdown.
Forecast (Jan–Feb 2026):
Range: ~$80,000 — $100,000 (minor oscillations likely)
Volatility: Low initially; potential spike on macro news
Why?
Market currently lacks directional conviction.
Traders are cautious ahead of macro announcements (CPI, Fed rate decisions). �
Reddit
📊 2) Medium Term (3 Months Outlook: Jan–Mar 2026)
There are three plausible scenarios based on current data and forecasts:
🐂 Bullish Scenario
Price target: $105,000–$120,000+
Institutional flows resume.
Macro becomes dovish (Fed loosening).
Technical breakout above key resistance.
Analysts at CoinCodex and DigitalCoinPrice models see upward potential later in cycles (though broad timeframes). �
CoinCodex +1
Probability: Moderate
Catalysts:
Pro-crypto regulation (e.g., ETFs, clarity acts)
Lower interest rates boosting risk assets
🐻 Neutral/Consolidation
Price target: $80,000–$105,000
Continuation of current range trading.
BTC fails to break high resistance.
This is the most statistically likely in short term, given current sideways action and subdued volume. �
The Economic Times
📉 Bearish Risk
Price target: $65,000–$80,000
Macro tightening persists (higher rates)
Negative liquidity events (forced selling by large holders)
BTC breaks key technical support levels
Some cycle models still warn of deeper retracements if historical patterns persist. �
Cointelegraph
📅 Key Events That Could Move BTC in Next 3 Months
Watch these — they will be important triggers for directional moves:
✔️ U.S. CPI / inflation data
Strong CPI beats = risk assets get support
Hot inflation = risk assets suffer
✔️ Fed’s policy stance
Dovish tilt → upward BTC pressure
Hawkish → downward pressure
✔️ Index decisions & institutional flows
MSCI inclusions/exclusions
ETF inflows or outflows
✔️ Corporate holders (MicroStrategy risk)
If corporate selling triggers, BTC could test lower support. �
Reddit
🧠 Analyst Consensus for 2026 (later part)
While short-term 3-month moves are uncertain:
📊 Most institutional forecasts still see BTC higher by end of 2026 than early 2026:
$130,000–$200,000 range depending on adoption & macro conditions. �
CoinGecko +1
This suggests that within 3 months, we may just be entering the early stages of a broader multi-month move.
📌 Summary: Next 3 Months BTC Outlook
Scenario
Target Range
Likelihood
Bullish Breakout
$105K–$120K+
Moderate
Sideways/Neutral
$80K–$105K
Most likely
Bearish Drop
$65K–$80K
Low–Moderate
⏱️ Timeframe: Jan–Mar 2026

$BTC

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$USDC

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