Dom Nguyen - Dom Trading

🚨 THIS IS THE $12 TRILLION PROBLEM NO ONE WANTS TO ADMIT

There’s a massive issue sitting inside the U.S. Treasury market — and almost nobody is talking about it.
Look at the chart.
That huge blue spike?
That’s not “future debt.”
That’s trillions of dollars rolling in 2026.
Not 2030.
Not 2040.
2026.

And here’s the part people are missing:
That debt was issued when rates were basically zero.
Now it has to be refinanced in a high-rate world.
Same debt.
Very different cost.
Let me put this simply.
The U.S. loaded up on cheap money.
Now that cheap money expires.
And it has to be replaced with expensive money.

That means:
Interest costs explode
Cash gets pulled out of the system
Liquidity tightens everywhere
At that point, something breaks.
There are only a few options:
Cut spending
Raise taxes
Or let the dollar weaken
And when the dollar weakens, nothing stays priced the same.
Everything resets.
This isn’t a one-day headline risk.
It’s a structural problem.
A refinancing wall this size doesn’t just affect bonds.
It hits everything.
Stocks.
Housing.
Credit.
Crypto.
You can already see the pressure building.
Even routine Treasury auctions are turning into stress tests:
$58B in 3Y → Feb 10
$42B in 10Y → Feb 11
$25B in 30Y → Feb 12
Settlement → Feb 17

This is how slow-burn crises start.
Not with panic.
Not with breaking news.
With quiet pressure…
until suddenly it’s everywhere.
Most people won’t notice this until markets are already repriced.
I’ve studied macro for over a decade.

I’ve flagged most major market tops before they happened — including the October BTC ATH.
This setup feels familiar.
Follow if you want.
Turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning before this becomes a headline everyone pretends they saw coming.

🚨 THIS IS A CYCLE INSIDE THE CYCLE — AND THAT’S WHY MOST PEOPLE ARE LOST

This business cycle didn’t end.
It stretched.
And that extension created something most people aren’t seeing yet
a mini liquidity cycle inside the larger one.
We’re still inside the same macro cycle.
But price isn’t moving in a straight line.
The parabolic phase doesn’t start here.
It only begins when momentum turns green and pushes toward yellow.
That part comes next.
The next liquidity cycle has already started.
It’s just early.

This is a cycle within a cycle.
An impulse inside a larger impulse.
That’s why price action feels messy.
That’s why narratives don’t line up.
That’s why the market feels confused.
It’s supposed to.
The move everyone is waiting for
is still ahead of us.
And most won’t realize it
until it’s already in motion.

🚨 SOMETHING IS VERY WRONG WITH SILVER — AND PEOPLE ARE IGNORING IT

Silver just jumped 20% in 10 minutes on the Shanghai futures market.
Let that sink in.
That’s not normal.
That’s not random.
And it definitely doesn’t happen by accident.
This wasn’t retail.
This wasn’t “market excitement.”
This was intentional capital movement.

China has been quietly reducing U.S. exposure and rotating into physical assets — especially metals.
Not paper contracts.
Not leverage.
Not narratives.
Real metal. Real ownership.

While the West is busy trading derivatives on top of derivatives, China is buying what actually exists.
That silver move wasn’t speculation.
It was positioning.
And when real demand hits a market that’s already tight, prices don’t rise smoothly —
they reset.
Fast.
Violently.

We’ve seen this pattern before:
→ Reduce exposure quietly
→ Secure physical supply early
→ Futures markets gap
→ Liquidity dries up
→ Price adjusts before anyone has time to react
This is why that spike matters.
Because this isn’t how healthy markets behave.
Confidence is fading.
Capital looks lost.
Money is moving, but it doesn’t know where to hide.
→ Dollar weakening
→ Stocks losing momentum
→ U.S. assets getting sold
→ Physical metals waking up again
The flow is clear.
The East is accumulating.

You don’t need headlines to see it.
You need to watch where money is actually going.
I’ve spent over 10 years studying macro flows.
Most major drawdowns look chaotic on the surface —
but the signals always show up first.
This one feels familiar.
Follow if you want.
Turn notifications on.
I’ll post what I’m seeing before everyone suddenly pretends it was “obvious all along.”

🚨 BREAKING — THIS IS NOT A NORMAL SELL-OFF

Bitcoin is getting slammed right before Japan’s emergency meeting today.

This isn’t panic selling.
This is size.

Look at the flows:
BLACKROCK → 15,258 BTC SOLD
BINANCE → 9,367 BTC SOLD
WINTERMUTE → 8,765 BTC SOLD
COINBASE → 9,489 BTC SOLD
That’s over $3.5 BILLION in BTC unloaded in less than 25 minutes.
Let that register.

This doesn’t happen by accident.
This doesn’t happen because of “retail fear.”
This is coordinated pressure hitting the market at a very specific moment.

Liquidity vanished.
Price got pushed.
Stops got wiped.
And it’s happening right before a major macro event.
Call it what it is.
This is active market manipulation in real time —
using size, speed, and timing to force a move.
If you think this is random…
you’re not watching the right data.

🔥 ALTCOIN ROTAT
ION HAS STARTED — AND MOST PEOPLE ARE STILL ASLEEP
Altcoins are breaking out against Bitcoin.
What looked like slow, boring accumulation is now shifting gears.
This is the transition phase — the part most people miss — right before a full-blown altcoin cycle. And if the structure holds, this one could be the most aggressive we’ve ever seen.
Here’s what’s really happening 👇

Bitcoin dominance is leaking.
Capital is rotating — not leaving crypto, but moving down the risk curve.
Zoom out and the macro tells the same story.
Gold and silver already ran hard as safe havens.
Historically, that move comes right before capital pivots into higher beta assets once conditions flip.
Crypto is next.
Now add fuel to the fire.
The probability of aggressive Fed QE is rising.

Every single time fresh liquidity enters the system, risk assets don’t crawl — they explode.
And for the first time in years, regulation is no longer a headwind.
• The GENIUS Act is already law — clear rules for stablecoins, reinforcing USD-backed digital rails.
• The CLARITY Act is nearing final approval — removing uncertainty that kept institutions sidelined.
This isn’t narrative fluff.
This is friction being removed.

When liquidity + regulatory clarity align, capital doesn’t hesitate.
It moves fast, big, and without asking permission.
That’s how rotations work.
They don’t announce the top.
They punish late entries.
And they reward positioning before the crowd believes.
This is not the peak.
This is the ignition phase.
Altcoin rotation isn’t coming.
It’s already in motion.

🚨 THE US TREASURY IS ABOUT TO PULL THE PLUG ON MARKETS — AND NO ONE IS TALKING ABOUT IT

Next week is not “just another week.”
It’s a $125,000,000,000 liquidity vacuum about to hit the system.
Here’s the schedule no one wants you to look at:
– $58B in 3Y → Feb 10
– $42B in 10Y → Feb 11
– $25B in 30Y → Feb 12
💣 Settlement: Feb 17
This is not normal.

This does NOT happen in a “healthy” market.
Let me dumb this down.
When the US Treasury sells bonds, buyers don’t pay with vibes.
They pay with cash.
That cash is removed from the system.
Less cash = less liquidity.
Less liquidity = risk assets start suffocating.

And here’s where the trap snaps shut 👇
Treasury auctions are a stress test.
• Strong demand?
Yields stay calm. Liquidity survives. Risk breathes.
• Weak demand?
Yields spike. Liquidity dries up. Selling accelerates.
This is how dominoes fall.
Bonds crack first.
Stocks react next.
Crypto?

Crypto gets obliterated fast and violently.

📉 Why this is EXTREMELY BEARISH
This is NOT about “more debt.”
That’s surface-level thinking.
This is about TIMING.
Feb 10–12 → pressure builds.
Feb 17 → cash is actually drained.
That’s when reality hits.
So if you’re relaxed because some indicators “look fine”
or your favorite influencer says “bullish continuation”…
You’re already late.
I’ve studied macro for over a decade.
I’ve called nearly every major market top —
including the October BTC ATH.
This is another warning.

Follow. Turn notifications on.
I’ll post the alert before this explodes into headlines.

🚨 INSIDERS ARE RUNNING FOR THE EXIT — AND THAT SHOULD WORRY YOU

This isn’t rumor.
This isn’t Twitter noise.
Insiders are selling at levels we haven’t seen since 2021.
The sell-to-buy ratio just hit 4:1.
Nearly 1,000 executives cashed out in a single month.
Now pause for a second and really think about that.
The last time this ratio reached these levels?
Late 2021.

What came next wasn’t a “healthy correction.”
It was a broad, painful drawdown across everything.
Here’s the part that actually matters:
It’s not just that insiders are selling —
it’s that no one is buying.
Executives don’t buy their own stock for fun.
They buy when they see value.
They buy when they believe the future is being mispriced.
Right now?

That confidence is gone.
They’re selling while liquidity still exists.
While there are still buyers on the other side.
Why?
Because insiders see things you don’t:
Real margins
Order books
Forward demand
Balance sheet stress
And with all that information, they’re choosing cash over equity.
That tells you everything.
This isn’t optimism.
This is capital preservation.
They’re not trying to make more.
They’re trying not to lose.
And historically, when insiders act like this, it’s not before rallies —
it’s before damage.

I’ve publicly called the last three major market tops and bottoms before they happened.
When I make my next move,
I’ll say it here — clearly, in real time.
No hindsight.
No edits.
Some people will read this and scroll past.
Others will remember it
when the charts explain what the insiders already knew.

🚨 THIS DOESN’T FEEL LIKE A COINCIDENCE — AND THAT’S WHY PEOPLE ARE UNCOMFORTABLE

Let’s slow this down and look at what actually happened.
Gold just had one of its ugliest days in decades.
After hitting a record high, it dropped nearly 20% on Jan 30.
Silver was even worse.

Down 27% in one session, almost 40% in two days.
That kind of move doesn’t come from “normal trading.”
Now here’s the part that makes people uneasy.
Right before the dump, JPMorgan Chase publicly floated a very bullish target:
Gold to $6,300 by the end of 2026.
First, optimism.
Then, a violent flush.

And that flush happened right into levels where, according to CME data, JP Morgan significantly reduced a massive silver short — reportedly close to $100B in notional terms.
If this feels familiar, it should.
JP Morgan has already been fined by U.S. regulators for spoofing and manipulation in precious metals in the past.
They paid roughly $920M and admitted wrongdoing.
So when you see:
A bullish call
Followed by a historic selloff
That perfectly cleans out leveraged longs
People are going to connect the dots.

What this looks like — not what anyone needs to prove — is a classic setup:
Price gets dumped fast
Stops get triggered
Longs get liquidated
Forced selling does the rest
That structure works everywhere.
Even in markets worth trillions.
I’ve watched this play out for over 10 years in macro.
Different assets. Same behavior. Same outcome.

And the lesson is always boring, but always true:
👉 Don’t chase green candles.
👉 Pay attention when things turn red and emotional.
That’s usually where the real positioning happens.
I’m not here to hype.
When something matters, I talk about it before it’s obvious.
Stay calm.
Stay patient.
And don’t let fast moves turn you into exit liquidity.

🚨 SOMETHING FEELS OFF — AND THAT FEELING MATTERS

If you’ve been around markets long enough, you know this feeling.
This isn’t normal volatility.
It’s pressure.
Gold and silver don’t behave like this when things are calm.
They move like this when confidence is slipping and people are being forced to act.
What you just watched wasn’t “smart selling.”
It was survival selling.
Leverage got too big.
Margins got called.

Positions were cut because they had to be, not because anyone changed their mind.
That always looks the same:
Fast drops
Violent rebounds
No time to think
I’ve seen it before.
Before housing broke.
Before COVID panic.
And now again.
Every time, the message was:
“Relax, everything’s fine.”
Until it wasn’t.

Right now, bonds are tense.
Liquidity is thinner than it looks.
Banks are quietly tightening — no press releases, no drama.
And policymakers are stuck:
Ease → currency pressure, metals run
Stay tight → credit stress spreads
Either way, something gives.
When “safe” assets whip around and trillions vanish in minutes, it’s not noise.

It’s the system adjusting under strain.
If you feel uneasy, that’s not weakness.
That’s awareness.
You don’t need to panic.
You don’t need to rush.
Just don’t pretend this is normal.
Stay calm.
Stay light.
And don’t let fear — or hype — turn you into exit liquidity.

🚨 WARNING: THIS MOVE IS NOT NORMAL — AND MOST PEOPLE AREN’T READY

Gold around $4,958.
Silver around $87.
That’s +6.5% and +14% in a single day.
Moves like this don’t happen when markets are healthy.
They happen when something underneath is breaking.
If you’re holding anything right now — stocks, crypto, real estate, funds — you need to slow down and really think.

When gold, silver, and copper all pump together, it sends one message:
The system is under stress.
I’ve seen this before.
2007–2009 → housing and credit collapsed
2019–2021 → COVID, liquidity panic, emergency printing
2025–2026 → we’re walking into it now
Every single time, the story was the same:
“Economy looks fine.”
“Markets are strong.”
“Nothing to worry about.”
Until there was.
This isn’t a normal market move.
This is the system quietly redefining what money actually is.
And the big players everyone thinks are “bullish”?
They’re not betting.
They’re reducing risk.
Corporations.
Funds.
Banks.
They’re rotating into hard assets while volatility shakes out anyone trading on leverage.

The next few days could be a moment people talk about years from now —
not because of a headline,
but because of what quietly changed under the surface.
There is no soft landing in setups like this.
And most people are completely unprepared.
I’ve spent over 10 years studying macro cycles and calling major market tops — including the October BTC ATH.
Follow if you want the warning before it’s obvious.
Because once it’s obvious… it’s already too late.

🚨 THIS ISN’T A PARTY. IT’S A SIGNAL.

Gold around $4,958.
Silver around $87.
That kind of move in one day isn’t normal.
It’s not excitement.
It’s not “bullish energy.”
It’s tension releasing.

Markets don’t do this when everything is fine.
They do this when people with the most information start getting nervous.
I’ve seen this before.
More than once.
Right before things broke in 2000.
Again before 2007.
And again before 2019.
Back then, the mood was the same:
“Economy looks okay.”
“Charts look strong.”

“Nothing to worry about.”
Until there was.
Gold near $5,000 and silver at $87 isn’t about chasing upside.
It’s about protecting purchasing power.
The big money isn’t celebrating.
They’re quietly stepping back from risk.
They’re not trying to win more at the casino.
They’re walking away from the table.
And while that’s happening, leverage traders are getting shaken out.
Fast moves. Sharp candles. Emotional decisions.
If you’re feeling confused right now — that’s normal.

This is exactly how these moments feel while they’re happening.
Big shifts don’t come with sirens.
They show up as strange moves that don’t quite make sense at first.
This isn’t about fear.
It’s about awareness.
Pay attention to the flows.
They usually tell the truth long before the headlines do.

🚨 IT’S NOT OVER. TAKE A BREATH.

Gold around $4,927.
Silver around $87.
That drop scared a lot of people.
That was the point.
What you just saw wasn’t a market “failing.”
It was a shakeout.

While most people were hitting sell in panic, the other side of those trades was calm, patient money.
Funds. Central banks. Big players who don’t chase candles — they wait for fear.
They didn’t rush.
They let price fall into them.
And quietly, more than $4 trillion flowed back into metals.
Here’s the part that matters in real life:
Physical metal is still hard to get.
Premiums are up.
Delivery takes longer.

That doesn’t line up with a market that’s “done.”
The price you see on a screen is mostly paper — leverage and speculation.
The real price is what it costs to actually hold the metal.
Those two drifting apart is never random.
I’ve lived through enough cycles — over 20 years — to know this pattern.
Big drops meant to scare people out, followed by quiet accumulation.
I’m not here to hype.

When I make my next move, I’ll say it openly.
No rewriting history.
No pretending after the fact.
Some people will look back at this moment and realize
they sold out of fear… to someone who stayed calm.

CRYPTO ALTSEASON IN 2026? 👀

Today, Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing PMI printed 52.6% the highest level in the last 40 months.
That officially puts U.S. manufacturing back into expansion.
This matters more than most people realize.
Historically, real altseasons do NOT start randomly.
They start after macro pressure lifts.

Look back:
2017 → Altseason ignited after ISM pushed above 55%
2021 → Same story. ISM > 55%, liquidity followed, alts exploded
We are not at 55% yet.
But this is the first clear signal that the macro wall blocking altseason is starting to crack.
Think of it like this:
Below 50 → contraction, survival mode
50–55 → transition phase
Above 55 → risk-on, capital rotation, altseason fuel
Bitcoin usually moves first.
Alts move after growth re-accelerates.
What we just saw today is not the altseason itself it’s the door unlocking.

This is how it always begins:
Quietly.
Before the hype.
Before the crowd believes.
Those waiting for confirmation will arrive late.
Those watching macro will already be positioned.
2026 isn’t a meme.
It’s a cycle.
And the first signal just printed.

🚨 MONDAY COULD TRIGGER THE BIGGEST CRASH YET AND THE SIGNS ARE SCREAMING

I’m staring at metal spreads right now and they make zero sense.
GOLD
Mumbai vs. NYC → ~$283
SILVER
Hong Kong vs. London → ~$13
In a functioning market, algorithms would erase these gaps in microseconds.
Free money does not sit there.
Unless the table itself is broken.
Now zoom out.
The U.S. stock market reopens tomorrow.
First open since the shutdown and the recent crash.
And at the same time?
CME Group is preparing another margin hike second time in just three days.

That is not normal.
That is desperation.
Starting TOMORROW, maintenance costs are about to explode:
Gold: +33%
Silver: +36%
Platinum: +25%
Palladium: +14%
These are not “adjustments.”
These are panic brakes.
Don’t let whales gaslight you.
This has nothing to do with volatility control.
This looks like big money blowing up, and the system scrambling to protect clearing firms before the damage spreads.

What happened on Friday was not a healthy sell-off.
It was forced liquidation.
Positions nuked because they had to be not because anyone wanted out.
And now the vice is tightening even more.
That’s how crashes accelerate.
I believe a major market crash is imminent — not months away, but days.

I’ve been in these markets for over 10 years.
I’ll update publicly when I exit.
No hindsight.
No excuses.
Follow.
Turn notifications ON.
A lot of people already regret not paying attention sooner.

🚨 EVERYTHING IS CRASHING — SO WHERE DID THE MONEY GO?

Let’s be honest about what you’re seeing.
Gold: −13%
Silver: −36%
Bitcoin: below $77k
Banks: collapsing
Dollar: rolling over
Mega-cap stocks: getting smoked
Over $12 trillion erased in days.

So everyone asks the same question:
Where is the money flowing to?

Here’s the answer nobody wants to hear:
👉 Into the pockets of the people who told you to buy the top.
They preached long-term conviction.
They posted bullish threads.
They sold into your buys.
Why?
Because you were the exit liquidity.
They understood the cycle was topping.
They needed someone else to hold the risk.
But here’s the part that actually matters.
Last Thursday, Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair.
Warsh is openly hostile to QE.

He’s said it inflates asset prices and worsens inequality.
That’s not a footnote.
That’s a regime shift.
The most viral post on X said it plainly:
“If you’re wondering why assets are tanking, watch Kevin Warsh.”
Translation:
Less liquidity
Tighter monetary policy
No Fed backstop for risk assets
And here’s the real kicker:
Thousands of insiders knew this nomination was coming long before it hit the news.
They knew how markets would react.
They positioned early.

What you’re seeing now isn’t random selling.
It’s informed money stepping aside.
My thesis?
We’re approaching a historic buying opportunity —
but not yet.
The market will likely force prices lower first.
Pain before opportunity.
The real window opens in the next 6–12 months.
Patience wins cycles like this.

Reminder: I publicly called the last three major market tops and bottoms.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it in real time.
No hindsight.
No excuses.
A lot of people are going to regret not paying attention sooner.