Liz Ann Sonders Re-poster
Chief Investment Strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research.
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If you are reviewing our recent performance metrics, please note that we have completely refreshed the index tables as well as the Mag7 chart and table. All of these resources now reflect the latest data available through the market close on Friday.
The MA breadth charts have been fully refreshed and are now current, reflecting all market data right up through the closing bell on Friday.
Let us take a look at the economic data for April. The UMich Consumer Sentiment index has officially hit a record low. The primary sentiment score came in at 47.6, which missed the projected estimate of 51.5 and represents a decline from the 53.3 seen in the prior month. When examining the underlying metrics, the current conditions index dropped to 50.1. This fell short of the 53.4 estimate and was down from the previous month reading of 55.8. Furthermore, the consumer expectations measurement decreased to 46.1, underperforming both the anticipated 50.2 and the prior month figure of 51.7.
In March, gasoline prices experienced a historic surge of +21.1% m/m. This unprecedented climb stands as the largest recorded jump to date, and it was responsible for driving nearly three-quarters of the overall monthly growth seen in the CPI.
The proportion of shares within each market category currently trading at their peak levels across multiple timeframes.
Let us review the latest performance updates across various sectors and indexes, covering the results from yesterday alongside the current MTD and YTD figures.
We observed an encouraging upward shift in the @AAIISentiment bull-bear spread during the previous week. However, even with this welcome momentum, the indicator continues to reside within negative territory.
During February, the core PCE measure of #inflation grew by +4.43% when evaluated over a 3-month annualized period.
When measured in year/year terms, corporate profits saw an increase of +9.6% during 4Q25. This reflects a modest gain over the +9.3% growth observed in 3Q25, indicating that overall earnings continue to stay at a healthy level when compared to historical trends.
Here are the latest figures for February. The year/year PCE #inflation metric, indicated in blue, rose by +2.8% versus the +2.8% est. In a similar pattern, the core PCE data, highlighted in orange, went up by +3.0% versus the +3.0% est.
In terms of performance tracking, we have refreshed the index tables alongside the Mag7 chart and table. All of these materials are now completely up to date, incorporating data right through the end of yesterday's close.
Even though the net short positioning from major speculators on S&P 500 futures continues to sit in negative territory, this bearish stance has been consistently and gradually softening over time.
Over the course of the previous week, trucking rates experienced a nationwide climb. Pricing in the Midwest reached $3.25/mile, marking the highest cost in the country. Meanwhile, the South Central region recorded the most substantial growth, surging by $0.16/per mile.
@DataArbor
@DataArbor
The proportion of equities reaching peak price levels over various timeframes, organized by market sector.
Here is a look at the most recent economic figures. Retail sales for February increased by 0.6% on a month-over-month basis. This growth exceeded the estimated 0.5% and represents a solid recovery from the prior 0.1% decline. When excluding the automotive sector, sales went up by 0.5%, which is an improvement compared to the previous flat reading of 0.0%. Additionally, the control group advanced by 0.5%, climbing higher than its prior 0.2% gain. Digging into specific market categories, we can see notable strength in clothing alongside health and personal care. On the other hand, the furniture and food and beverage segments demonstrated overall weakness.
When evaluating the performance of global equities before and after the conflict during 1Q26, it becomes clear that market indexes have undergone abrupt turnarounds since the Iran war began.
For the month of February, the total number of job openings experienced a decline, settling at 6.882M. This recent figure came in slightly below the projected estimate of 6.890M. Furthermore, the data from the previous period received an upward revision to 7.240M, marking an adjustment from the initially reported 6.946M.
Taking a look at the latest labor market data, the JOLTS report for February reveals a few notable updates. The rate at which employees quit their positions decreased slightly to 1.9 percent, compared to the previous figure of 2.0 percent. At the same time, the hiring rate dropped to 3.1 percent from a prior 3.4 percent. It is especially noteworthy that this recent hiring figure represents the lowest level recorded since April 2020.
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