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🔻Business costs in the U.S. are rising at TWICE the rate compared to last year.

🔻The risk of impeachment proceedings against Trump has skyrocketed to over 70%.

🔻And there's a war costing $1 billion per day.

💥Everything that could go wrong is going wrong for the administration at the same time.

Do you know what happens when an economy has rising inflation, soaring business costs, an unpopular war, and a president with unfavorable poll numbers?

👉Historically, things happen that change everything.

🧨BUSINESS COSTS ARE SOARING. ▪️According to the New York Fed, business operating costs in the US accelerated STRONGLY in 2025.
▪️Manufacturers reported an 8.5% jump in total operating costs. That's almost DOUBLE the 5% increase of the previous year.

▪️Service companies saw a 7% increase, also accelerating from the 5% increase in 2024.

Why does this matter? Because when businesses face higher operating costs, they have TWO options: absorb the blow (lower profits, less investment, potential layoffs) or PASS the cost on to the consumer (more inflation for you).

👉This is what economists call "inflationary pressures building beneath the surface." The headline inflation rate might say 2.4%. But businesses are FEELING something else. And eventually, those costs hit YOUR pocket.

🧨AND NOW ADD THE WAR.

👉Every day the war with Iran continues, these costs WORSEN:

▪️Oil has gone from $67 to over $110 since the conflict began. Gasoline has risen 35 cents per gallon in a week.

▪️Qatar's LNG facilities have been attacked. Natural gas in Europe has risen 60% in a week.

▪️The Strait of Hormuz is practically closed. Shipping costs have skyrocketed: $423,000 per day for a VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier), a 94% increase in just one day.

▪️Goldman Sachs projects that if the war drags on, inflation could return to 3% this year. They had projected it would fall to 2%. 👉All this while businesses were ALREADY grappling with costs rising at twice the rate. The war didn't CREATE the problem. It ACCELERATED it.

🧨AND HOW IS TRUMP DOING IN THE MIDST OF ALL THIS?

👉Remember: Trump won in 2024 promising TWO things: to lower the cost of living and not to start new wars. Both promises are BROKEN.

▪️62% of voters DISAPPROVE of how he handles inflation and the cost of living. It's his WORST rating on any issue.

▪️59% disapprove of the war with Iran (CNN). Only 25% support it (Reuters/Ipsos). 48% say his policies HARMED the economy vs. 35% who say they helped. A complete TURN of events compared to his first term.

▪️The latest jobs report: 92,000 jobs LOST in February.

▪️Only 27% of Americans say their financial situation is improving. 38% say it's WORSENING.

🎯And here's the most SHOCKING statistic: on Kalshi (a prediction market), the odds of Trump being IMPEACHED before 2028 have just reached an ALL-TIME HIGH: 71%. Why? Because the war wasn't authorized by Congress. Because the cost of living is rising while Trump cuts health and nutrition programs. Because only 1 in 4 Americans supports the attacks.

👉Why does this matter to the MARKETS?

📍An impeachment trial generates extreme political uncertainty. Markets hate uncertainty.

📍But more importantly: if Trump sees the polls collapsing and the likelihood of impeachment rising, the pressure to halt the war and change course becomes enormous.$BTW
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