We’ve spent most of the day chopping inside a sub-range, so there wasn’t much to miss.
Current order flow looks more rotational than directional:
> Shorts are slowly getting closed. >Volume kept fading. > CVDs continue trending lower (perp cvd just started upticking, fresh longs coming in) > Funding has shifted further positive. That combination usually puts pressure on price and often resolves lower.
That said, it’s Friday and statistically most of the meaningful move is usually done within the next 1–2 hours.$BTC
My scenarios from this morning remain unchanged. Based on current order flow, I still lean toward one final sweep !
We built a clean bearish sequence on the way down, > We played 2R down the line that activated the sequence. > currently we are holding well, flows look ok. If we rotate into the correction zone, I’ll be looking for a hedge short back into the lows, depe3
If we rotate into the correction zone, I’ll be looking for a hedge short back into the lows
Main trigger areas:
Equilibrium + Weekly VWAP + wPOC or Golden Pocket of the sequence
Both are stacked with confluence and should offer a proper reaction
Once we’re back at the lows, I’ll reassess the order flow:
If buyers step in, I’ll treat it as a retest -> into a clean sequence of bullish nature If not, I’ll expect continuation into my next HTF POI and will take further profits on my BTC swing short. #BinanceSquareTalks
If you think Bitcoin is going to cruise past $83,000 to $88,000 with no reaction you are fooling yourself. This zone has more sell pressure stacked against it than any level on the chart right now. Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the $97K high to the $60K low, the complete impulsive wave down. Look where the key levels fall: 0.618 Fib: $83,435 0.65 Fib: $84,647 0.786 Fib: $89,797 And this zone is one of the biggest untested resistances on the weekly chart. Untested flips like this are where the heaviest sell pressure sits because every buyer from that level is underwater and waiting to get out at breakeven. The average cost basis of all US spot Bitcoin ETF holders is $87,830. Every single ETF buyer from the last two years is underwater right now. When price touches $87K-$88K those investors will see breakeven for the first time in months and they will sell because they have been in pain since October. The short term holder cost basis sits at $80,100. Every time Bitcoin pushed above the cost basis of short term holders, it formed a local top because those holders used the rally to exit at breakeven. It already happened twice and broke down. This is the third attempt with the same setup. So, do yourself a favour and do not buy Bitcoin at $85K just to watch it drop to $40K in few months. If this cycle plays out like every other one, October will give you prices you will not believe you passed on. $BTC
86% probabilty of down, but i’d be VERY careful after an news driven event like yesterday ! #US&IranAgreedToATwo-weekCeasefire #BTC I hope sanity prevails and we see long lasting peace ! $BTC
As I’ve mentioned before, at the start of the month, we often see a quick move up or down to establish the first part of the “monthly range” pivot.
Right now, as long as $BTC holds above the monthly wick low (64.9K), we’re likely to see a push higher to hunt liquidity near the previous wick (70-71K). If we fail to hold the monthly wick low, we could see a move down to 62–63K, which aligns with my previous range bound fractal and could act as a bounce point.
Overall, we’ve closed 5 months red, and this month ended in green with a long wick, typically an area where liquidity is built. From here, we could see one of two scenarios:
1. Hunt the top of the wick at the start of the month, then push down for the remainder of the month.
2. Hunt the bottom of the range (below 64K), then push upwards through April to fill liquidity on the wick.
Both scenarios are highly plausible. When I’m looking for triggers, I usually wait for my POIs to be tested rather than trying to guess the most likely outcome. #BitcoinPrices
$BTC 2 heavy liquidation pools: 69-70K shorts and 64-65K longs.
The range is clean 69-70K aligns with the weekly EMA200 at $68,335, which makes it the more important level technically. Liquidation pools explain the mechanics, but the structural level is what determines which side of the range wins. Which pool gets hit first in your read? #btc
BTC will sooner or later touch the lower highs ! Mostly people are asking what’s the bottom ? The correct answer to this is their isn’t any bottom. One should either enter the trade when he thinks the support level is reached and now is the to enter. also closely monitor market trend whether it breach the support or with volume the bulls steps in at support. For new traders I suggest you to sstart with spot trading. I personally do Spot trading. $BTC Stay Bless!
Interest in the altcoin season has sharply declined, while the majority of altcoins are trading near their historical lows. The question now is, does the market going through a deep liquidation phase? $XRP #altcoins #SUI🔥
$BTC 88500 zone is important. If it holds, it will go to 71K. if it failed then 64k-65k. but I think if it go back then holding 65k is very difficult. 58k is alao possible. #CPIWatch #CZAMAonBinanceSquare
Kindly Analyze SUI ? I want to enter but hesitant to do So ! I think it has been Manipulated but is bullish for almost 3 days ! have a look into it , Waiting for response
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رغم أن نسبة تفوق 30% ممن يقرأون لي على الصفحة هنا أو على القناة من بلدان غير عربية، ورغم أنهم يجدون صعوبة في ترجمة منشوراتي على القناة، إلا أن تعليقاتهم جميعًا لطيفة ولم أجد في أي يوم شخص منهم يسئ لي بأي لفظ.
تعرفون حجم المصادر الإنكليزية في التحليل الفني، وتعرفون مدى جودة وروعة المحتوى الأجنبي. وطالما أحاول أن أجتهد لنفسي ولمن أحبهم سأجد بعض التعليقات السخيفة التي لا تصدق بأن هناك محللة من سوريا يمكن أن تصل لهذا المستوى هكذا ولا يصدق أن تحليلاتي ومنشوراتي هي من مجهودي الحصري.
أشكرك يا صاحب التعليق اللطيف 🤍🌹 وأشكر جميع التعليقات العربية أيضًا، وعلى القناة سأطلب من أستاذ عبد الرحمن أن يوفر خيارات للنسخ والترجمة حتى تكون المنشورات سهلة للجميع.