$BTC Update — This Is Playing Out Exactly Like the “Death Cross + Lost Weekly EMA Ribbon” Warning
Price action is following the script. Every bounce attempt has been weak, and BTC has now slid straight into the critical $69K–$72K zone — the range that decides whether this is just a violent shakeout or the start of a deeper correction. $ZIL
On the daily, the death cross is now active. Both the 50 and 200 moving averages are far above price — textbook bearish structure. Rallies are getting sold, and support is being pressure-tested. $DUSK
On the weekly, BTC remains below the EMA ribbon and continues to get rejected. Until that ribbon is reclaimed, any upside move is just a retest, not a trend reversal.
The path forward is straightforward:
• Hold $69K–$72K and reclaim key levels → first $82K → then back into the low–mid $90Ks This builds a base and sets up a squeeze.
• Lose $69K–$72K on a clean weekly close → downside opens → accumulation becomes slower and more painful before it turns bullish again
Right now, structure is in control. This range decides whether BTC stabilizes… or sinks into the next leg down. 🔥
$BTC Bitcoin Is Quietly Deleveraging — The Real Move Comes After
On the surface, Bitcoin looks boring. Price is stuck in a narrow range. But underneath, something important is happening: open interest keeps dropping.
That’s not accumulation. That’s leverage leaving the system.
This is a textbook deleveraging phase: • No wave of new longs • No heavy short pressure • Just positions being slowly unwound
And here’s what most traders get wrong: Big breakouts don’t start during deleveraging. They start after open interest stops falling and begins to rebuild.
Until then, price usually: • chops sideways • traps both bulls and bears • punishes anyone chasing moves
Right now, there’s no fresh fuel. So every push lacks conviction.
In simple terms: This isn’t the move yet. It’s the reset before direction becomes obvious.
Stop watching candles. Start watching leverage.
When OI turns back up… price won’t whisper. It’ll move.
Rounded base is complete and the last pullback held as a higher low, keeping pressure stacked under resistance.
🔥 LONG SETUP — $ZEC
Entry: 232 – 245 SL: 226
TP1: 280 TP2: 320 TP3: 368 🔥
The market is rotating out of range behavior and starting to show expansion traits. Supply is getting absorbed on dips while bids stay active near the highs. If price accepts above 245, structure shifts firmly into continuation mode and opens space for a broader upside leg.
I made $32.8 million during the 2023–2025 bull run.
I also publicly called the top at $126K. So if you bought $BTC at $70K thinking you caught the bottom… you’re probably too early. Real bottoms don’t happen in one move. They form in 4 psychological stages — and we’re not through them yet. 1) PANIC + CAPITULATION This is the violent selloff phase. Everyone is scared. Forced liquidations. “Crypto is dead” everywhere. It usually lasts 2–3 weeks. We’ve seen this part. 2) ANGER (the bull trap phase) After capitulation, price often pumps 20–50%. People think: “That was the bottom, I missed it.” They FOMO back in. Then price dumps again and wipes them out. This is the anger phase — when traders stop trusting bounces and start hating the market. That’s where $BTC is likely heading now. 3) DEPRESSION This is the worst part. Price doesn’t crash hard — it just bleeds sideways and down. Slow. Boring. Exhausting. Strong holders start doubting. Weak holders quit completely. Then comes one final drop… followed by a sharp bounce that actually matters. That’s the real bottom. The biggest mistake Most people buy capitulation and think they nailed the bottom. They didn’t. Capitulation without depression = fake bottom. That rule has never failed me. What this means for $BTC • The bounce from $60K → $70K = relief rally Not confirmation of a bottom. • If price runs to $80K–$90K That’s likely a bull trap → risk of another leg below $65K • If we see $70K → $74K → slow fade to $65K–$60K That’s the market entering the ANGER phase The battle zone is now: $60K – $74K What happens there will decide the cycle low. I’ve traded crypto since 2015 and watched this pattern repeat over and over. The market doesn’t bottom when fear peaks. It bottoms when hope dies. And we’re not there yet. $BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto
Base is rounding out and the last dip printed a higher low. Pressure is stacking under the lid.
🔥 LONG SETUP — $STABLE
Entry: 0.0184 – 0.0194 SL: 0.0159
TP1: 0.0263 TP2: 0.0369 TP3: 0.0494 🔥
Range behavior is giving way to expansion dynamics. Price is compressing just beneath resistance and buyers are absorbing supply. A clean hold above 0.019 should release the next continuation leg as structure shifts from balance to trend.
TIME might be the most overlooked indicator in Bitcoin.
Not price. Not news. Time.
Forget opinions — look at the cycle data.
Bull phases: – From bottom to peak usually lasts about 23–28 months – Liquidity and momentum tend to top out in very similar time windows – Price often goes vertical before traditional “top” signals even show up
Bear phases: – From peak to bottom averages around 12 months – Capitulation lines up with time-based exhaustion – Major breakdowns don’t happen randomly — they cluster around these periods
Time doesn’t tell you where the next candle goes. It tells you where probability starts to tilt.
By itself, it’s not enough. But combined with structure and momentum, it becomes frighteningly accurate.
Most people watch price and ignore the clock. That’s why they chase highs, panic at lows, and call it “unlucky.”
Bitcoin doesn’t just move through levels. It moves through cycles of time.
If you’re active in crypto, this is something you shouldn’t ignore.
Altcoins are lining up for a major move in 2026.
Macro signals just flipped back into expansion mode — a quiet but powerful hint that growth is returning. Altcoins have been stuck in the shadows for more than four years, and historically, that kind of compression doesn’t last.$DUSK
Look back at 2021. Roughly 650 days after the halving, total altcoin market cap exploded by over 4,500%.$BANANAS31
Long periods of boredom usually end violently.
If 2021 caught most people off guard, 2026 could make it look small in comparison.
You’re not late yet — but you’re no longer early either. This window doesn’t stay open forever.
I don’t chase candles. I track sentiment, liquidity, and macro turning points. I’ve spent a decade studying market cycles and where real bottoms form.$XRP
Engage with this post and I’ll share which altcoins I’m positioning into. Follow to stay in the loop.
Bounce is running out of fuel. Supply is leaning back in.
SHORT SETUP — $PUMP
Entry: 0.00212– 0.00218 SL: 0.00235
TP1: 0.00195 TP2: 0.00178 TP3: 0.00162
Upticks are getting sold fast and buyers aren’t holding gains. Downside is starting to flow cleaner, suggesting distribution after the bounce. As long as price stays capped, continuation lower remains favored.
Rounded base is complete. Higher low is in. Pressure is building.
🔥 LONG SETUP — $ZRO
Entry: 1.74 – 1.80 SL: 1.62
TP1: 1.88 TP2: 2.23 TP3: 2.99 🔥
This is the transition phase — range behavior fading, expansion setting up. A clean acceptance above 1.85 confirms buyer control and opens the path for the next impulsive leg.
$ASTER is up ~40% from entry — and the bigger picture hasn’t changed.
The $0.40–$0.50 accumulation zone did exactly what it was supposed to do. Early buyers got paid quickly, but this still feels like positioning, not distribution. I’ve taken some short-term gains, kept a separate long-term bag, and I’m still adding on pullbacks.
This is my largest allocation this cycle for a reason. The real expansion hasn’t shown up yet.