Truflation vs Official Data: Could Warsh Shake Up the Fed?
Real time data from Truflation shows US inflation plunging to 0.68% as of Feb 9, 2026 well below the Fed’s 2% target and far under the official CPI at 2.7%. This gap is putting Fed policy under the microscope.
Kevin Warsh in the Spotlight
As the frontrunner to replace Powell in May, Warsh may face a historic pivot. Known as a hawk, he could now be pressured to lean dovish:
Admin support: Seen as aligned with the government’s push for lower rates.
Modern metrics: Could use Truflation’s real-time data to justify faster cuts. Market chatter: Banks speculate up to a 1% rate cut before year end.
Implications for Markets With inflation potentially falling faster than official numbers suggest, the Fed may act sooner to prevent deflation. Markets currently price in two 25-bps cuts in H2 2026, but a
Lyn Alden predicts the Fed may keep growing its balance sheet in line with bank assets or GDP. More cash could flow into markets via bond and asset purchases.
$XRP is holding a critical support after a prolonged downtrend, trading near $1.20–$1.50 where sellers ease. The trend stays bearish unless it breaks the descending channel. Regulatory pressure has eased, letting Ripple focus on payments and institutions. Market is quiet XRP is in a wait and see phase. Trade with patience and risk management.
Ethereum held on exchanges has dropped to levels we haven’t seen since 2016 nearly a decade ago. $ZIL
Considering how massive the Ethereum ecosystem is now, that’s pretty surprising.
Unlike Bitcoin, which has recently seen coins flow back onto exchanges, ETH is quietly leaving. Most of this ETH isn’t lost it’s just in investors’ hands, off the market.
OTC activity has ticked up slightly, but it’s still tiny compared to the total ETH supply. If exchange balances remain this low and OTC liquidity dries up further, price discovery won’t happen gradually it could spike suddenly.
When buying pressure hits, there might not be much ETH available to satisfy it. 👀
🚀 $NKN /USDT Rebound in Play Buyers Returning $NKN has bounced off the 0.0031 low and is currently testing the 0.0068 area, signaling a potential short-term recovery after a steep decline. A strong bullish candle combined with rising volume shows buyers are stepping back in, though the price remains under key resistance. Maintaining above 0.0060 could pave the way for further gains.
$BNB is currently hovering around 621.25, showing signs of short-term weakness.
Sellers are dominating, with consecutive red candles signaling persistent downward pressure.
Key levels to watch: Support: 618 – 612 Resistance: 628 – 635 Take Profit 1: 618 Take Profit 2: 612 Stop Loss: 638
Price staying below 628 maintains a bearish outlook. Any bounce from the support zone may offer temporary relief, but selling pressure remains until buyers regain control.
Russia secretly sent billions to Iran, easing a U.S.-created dollar shortage. This move keeps Iran’s economy stable, strengthens the Russia Iran alliance, and heightens global tensions. Tehran may now act bolder regionally, including militarily and on nuclear developments.
CHESS is stabilizing above the crucial 0.0100 level after a decisive breakout, signaling strong buying pressure and forming higher lows. As long as this support holds, momentum could push price toward 0.015.