Pelin Ay
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Pelin Ay
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WILL XRP INVESTORS END THEIR WAITING PERIOD BY BUYING OR SELLING?
First of all, the Exchange Reserve metric shows the total amount of XRP held in Binance wallets. Since Binance is an exchange heavily populated by institutional investors and whales, a decrease in reserves generally indicates that investors are withdrawing their XRP from the exchange and holding it long-term, while an increase in reserves indicates that they are bringing XRP to the exchange for sale.
Binance reserves have been on a downward trend in recent months. Binance reserves have decreased from approximately 2.8 billion XRP to 2.69 billion XRP. This indicates that investors are withdrawing their XRP from the exchange, the desire to sell has decreased, and whales, in particular, are inclined to hold onto it. Therefore, it can be said that selling pressure is lower than it will be in mid-2025.
As reserves fall, so does the price. This suggests that while institutional investors are accumulating, small investors are inclined to sell. This is because liquidations have decreased on both sides recently. So, since both long and short liquidations have been cleared, it means the spot market is primarily causing the price drop.
The MFI is currently around 43. This shows that the price is neither in the oversold nor overbought zone. In other words, there is neither strong fear nor strong greed in the market right now.
If the selling pressure gives way to buying pressure while reserves are falling, an increase could be seen. Looking at this chart, it seems that a large portion of XRP investors are inclined to wait. Therefore, every sell-off is pushing the price down. I think we are currently experiencing a correction of the decline. For the decline to end, the price needs to break above $1.2 in the short term and above $1.62 in the medium-to-long term. We can only see this when buying increases.
$XRP #xrp #Ripple
First of all, the Exchange Reserve metric shows the total amount of XRP held in Binance wallets. Since Binance is an exchange heavily populated by institutional investors and whales, a decrease in reserves generally indicates that investors are withdrawing their XRP from the exchange and holding it long-term, while an increase in reserves indicates that they are bringing XRP to the exchange for sale.
Binance reserves have been on a downward trend in recent months. Binance reserves have decreased from approximately 2.8 billion XRP to 2.69 billion XRP. This indicates that investors are withdrawing their XRP from the exchange, the desire to sell has decreased, and whales, in particular, are inclined to hold onto it. Therefore, it can be said that selling pressure is lower than it will be in mid-2025.
As reserves fall, so does the price. This suggests that while institutional investors are accumulating, small investors are inclined to sell. This is because liquidations have decreased on both sides recently. So, since both long and short liquidations have been cleared, it means the spot market is primarily causing the price drop.
The MFI is currently around 43. This shows that the price is neither in the oversold nor overbought zone. In other words, there is neither strong fear nor strong greed in the market right now.
If the selling pressure gives way to buying pressure while reserves are falling, an increase could be seen. Looking at this chart, it seems that a large portion of XRP investors are inclined to wait. Therefore, every sell-off is pushing the price down. I think we are currently experiencing a correction of the decline. For the decline to end, the price needs to break above $1.2 in the short term and above $1.62 in the medium-to-long term. We can only see this when buying increases.
$XRP #xrp #Ripple
BNB reacted nicely from the $568 support level I previously indicated. A weekly close above $680 is needed for an upward move. During that time, this range could be a trading opportunity. $BNB
Link is holding its accumulation zone. The $7.11-$10.11 range is suitable for buying and selling. The direction will be determined by a breakout from this range. Considering the general market trend is downward, there is a 51% chance of a downward breakout. $LINK #LINK #Chainlink
I've been saying since June 2025 that #Ethereum is facing tough times. The downtrend continues, and unless this trend is broken, altcoins won't be able to breathe easily. We will very likely see $1350. I think anything below $1000 will only be a wick; it won't close the week below that. This will depend on Bitcoin's move below $50K.
I made my first #ETH purchase at $1595. I'm thinking of adding more at $1300. Buying in stages reduces stress. $ETH
I made my first #ETH purchase at $1595. I'm thinking of adding more at $1300. Buying in stages reduces stress. $ETH
I'm stating that #Bitcoin entered a bear market starting in November 2025. The current situation suggests the decline is still ongoing. The confirmed low of $58,000 will bring it down to $51,750 if broken. I see a drop to this level as highly probable. The target for the Head and Shoulders pattern is around $41,500. Long-term investor support is at $48,500.
So, it might wick below $50,000, but I don't expect it to remain below that level for long.
So, it might wick below $50,000, but I don't expect it to remain below that level for long.
🐻 #SUİ continues its downward movement. It seems very clear that this decline will continue down to $0.56. There is a significant liquidity accumulation at this level. However, it is too early to say whether the price will bottom out at this level. We will need to see the #bitcoin price movement first. I will update you accordingly. $SUI
📌 #XAUUSD has broken below the $4400 support level. I expect this decline to reach $4100 before the price action reverses upwards. $XAU
This chart is quite valuable for analyzing support zones in Bitcoin's major cycles, as it shows the cost basis and profit/loss situation for long-term investors. In the chart, the current situation is:
👉BTC price: $61.9K
👉LTH Realized Price: 48.63K
👉Net Unrealized Profit/Loss: 0.21
👉Net Realized Profit/Loss: near negative territory (-$320.8 million)
A particularly noteworthy point is that the difference between the price and the LTH cost basis has narrowed significantly compared to recent years.
Historically, looking at the chart, the BTC price fell to the LTH Realized Price at the lows of 2015, 2019, and 2022. In some periods, it even briefly dropped below it. These areas were long-term bear market lows. In the 2021 correction, although the price approached the LTH cost basis, it rose without fully testing it. During the 2024-2025 bull run, the price traded 60-120% above the cost of LTH. Currently, this difference has narrowed to approximately 27%.
Looking at the chart solely from the perspective of LTH data, the 48.5K level is now the main on-chain support zone. The drop from 61.9K to 48.5K represents a retracement of approximately 22%. Corrections of this magnitude are not unusual in Bitcoin history. Now that it's down 50%, a 77% drop to complete the bear season doesn't seem impossible.
The chart shows that LTHs are no longer taking net profits.
The drop in NUPL to 0.21 indicates a significant erosion of held profits. In past cycles, as these indicators continued to fall, the price generally approached the cost of LTH. However, NUPL is still in positive territory. LTHs haven't entered a mass sell-off mode. A deep loss zone, as seen in past bear markets, hasn't formed yet.
Based solely on this chart, the probability of testing 48.5K seems high. However, sustained levels below this point seem unlikely. This is because the LTH Realized Price has historically acted as a strong last line of defense, with long-term investors typically accumulating again when the price approaches this level. $BTC
👉BTC price: $61.9K
👉LTH Realized Price: 48.63K
👉Net Unrealized Profit/Loss: 0.21
👉Net Realized Profit/Loss: near negative territory (-$320.8 million)
A particularly noteworthy point is that the difference between the price and the LTH cost basis has narrowed significantly compared to recent years.
Historically, looking at the chart, the BTC price fell to the LTH Realized Price at the lows of 2015, 2019, and 2022. In some periods, it even briefly dropped below it. These areas were long-term bear market lows. In the 2021 correction, although the price approached the LTH cost basis, it rose without fully testing it. During the 2024-2025 bull run, the price traded 60-120% above the cost of LTH. Currently, this difference has narrowed to approximately 27%.
Looking at the chart solely from the perspective of LTH data, the 48.5K level is now the main on-chain support zone. The drop from 61.9K to 48.5K represents a retracement of approximately 22%. Corrections of this magnitude are not unusual in Bitcoin history. Now that it's down 50%, a 77% drop to complete the bear season doesn't seem impossible.
The chart shows that LTHs are no longer taking net profits.
The drop in NUPL to 0.21 indicates a significant erosion of held profits. In past cycles, as these indicators continued to fall, the price generally approached the cost of LTH. However, NUPL is still in positive territory. LTHs haven't entered a mass sell-off mode. A deep loss zone, as seen in past bear markets, hasn't formed yet.
Based solely on this chart, the probability of testing 48.5K seems high. However, sustained levels below this point seem unlikely. This is because the LTH Realized Price has historically acted as a strong last line of defense, with long-term investors typically accumulating again when the price approaches this level. $BTC
I purchased 1st tier of #Bitcoin at a cost of $59,800.
I also purchased 1st tier of #ETH at a cost of $1,595. I will be making tiered purchases. Those who don't want a long-term (1-2 year) investment shouldn't bother.
This is not investment advice!
I also purchased 1st tier of #ETH at a cost of $1,595. I will be making tiered purchases. Those who don't want a long-term (1-2 year) investment shouldn't bother.
This is not investment advice!
Increased XRP Long Trades Strengthen the Likelihood of a Long Squeeze
At first glance, it appears that leverage usage is rising again while the price is falling. The #XRP price has fallen from approximately $1.40 to the $1.17 region. The Estimated Leverage Ratio has increased from 0.13 to 0.18 in recent weeks. The Funding ratio is predominantly in negative territory. This indicates that many traders opened long positions at the bottom. Therefore, many investors may lose money with a long squeeze.
According to the chart, it is clear that the downside risk will continue in the short term. Because leverage is increasing while the price is falling. This is generally not a healthy structure. Funding is negative. Although it shows a high concentration of short positions in the market, the inability of the price to react indicates weakness. ATR is at historical lows. Volatility is severely squeezed. Such a drop in ATR usually indicates that a major downward move is approaching.
According to the price structure in the chart, the first strong support is at the $1.10 - $1.15 level. Currently, the price is already just above this region. The second support level is $1-$1.05. This area, acting as psychological support, could see a concentration of buyers. Below $1, investors may begin panic selling. If leveraged long positions start to be liquidated, the price could quickly fall below $1.
The chart shows the Estimated Leverage Ratio turning below 0.18, Funding becoming sharply negative and then neutral, and the price holding in the $1.10-$1.15 region, suggesting that the price has now found its bottom. However, this chart doesn't definitively indicate a bottom has been found. On the contrary, it shows that there are still uncleared long positions in the market due to increased leverage during the price drop. Therefore, a liquidation wave is possible in the short term. $XRP
At first glance, it appears that leverage usage is rising again while the price is falling. The #XRP price has fallen from approximately $1.40 to the $1.17 region. The Estimated Leverage Ratio has increased from 0.13 to 0.18 in recent weeks. The Funding ratio is predominantly in negative territory. This indicates that many traders opened long positions at the bottom. Therefore, many investors may lose money with a long squeeze.
According to the chart, it is clear that the downside risk will continue in the short term. Because leverage is increasing while the price is falling. This is generally not a healthy structure. Funding is negative. Although it shows a high concentration of short positions in the market, the inability of the price to react indicates weakness. ATR is at historical lows. Volatility is severely squeezed. Such a drop in ATR usually indicates that a major downward move is approaching.
According to the price structure in the chart, the first strong support is at the $1.10 - $1.15 level. Currently, the price is already just above this region. The second support level is $1-$1.05. This area, acting as psychological support, could see a concentration of buyers. Below $1, investors may begin panic selling. If leveraged long positions start to be liquidated, the price could quickly fall below $1.
The chart shows the Estimated Leverage Ratio turning below 0.18, Funding becoming sharply negative and then neutral, and the price holding in the $1.10-$1.15 region, suggesting that the price has now found its bottom. However, this chart doesn't definitively indicate a bottom has been found. On the contrary, it shows that there are still uncleared long positions in the market due to increased leverage during the price drop. Therefore, a liquidation wave is possible in the short term. $XRP
Ethereum muazzam bir düşen trend yapısı oluşturdu ve bu trendi asla ihlal etmiyor. Ben #Ethereum ' u hiçbir zaman sevemedim. Tercihim hep Bitcoin oldu ama bu düşüşle birlikte #ETH de alacağım.
Destekler:
🔺1765$ ( Hacimli kırılım gelmezse alıma başlayacağım ilk seviye)
🔺1350$
🔺950$
Bu aralığı kademeli alım için değerlendirmeyi düşünüyorum. Ancak şunu söylemeliyim ki son durak 950$ yazdım diye illa ki fiyat buraya kadar inecek anlamını taşımıyor. Sadece benim çalışmalarıma göre çok büyük bir düşüş yaşarsak maksimum görebileceğimiz seviye olacağını düşünüyorum. Bu yüzden de kademeli alım candır. Dibi kimse bilemez.
Destekler:
🔺1765$ ( Hacimli kırılım gelmezse alıma başlayacağım ilk seviye)
🔺1350$
🔺950$
Bu aralığı kademeli alım için değerlendirmeyi düşünüyorum. Ancak şunu söylemeliyim ki son durak 950$ yazdım diye illa ki fiyat buraya kadar inecek anlamını taşımıyor. Sadece benim çalışmalarıma göre çok büyük bir düşüş yaşarsak maksimum görebileceğimiz seviye olacağını düşünüyorum. Bu yüzden de kademeli alım candır. Dibi kimse bilemez.
🚨 BITCOIN BUYING TIME IS APPROACHING!!!
For months, I've been warning about this decline by combining technical and on-chain analysis. Those who were patient and waited are happy now. What path will we follow from here?
#Bitcoin Important Supports:
🔺$64,800 (Important support. The first level we will start buying at if there is no high-volume breakout)
🔺$57,800
🔺$51,750
🔺$41,500 (Last buying zone)
after that, wait. Of course, it's not correct to place orders at these levels precisely. A margin of error of a few thousand is quite normal. This doesn't mean it will definitely fall to $41,500. That's why staggered buying is important. None of us can know exactly where it will turn around. $BTC
For months, I've been warning about this decline by combining technical and on-chain analysis. Those who were patient and waited are happy now. What path will we follow from here?
#Bitcoin Important Supports:
🔺$64,800 (Important support. The first level we will start buying at if there is no high-volume breakout)
🔺$57,800
🔺$51,750
🔺$41,500 (Last buying zone)
after that, wait. Of course, it's not correct to place orders at these levels precisely. A margin of error of a few thousand is quite normal. This doesn't mean it will definitely fall to $41,500. That's why staggered buying is important. None of us can know exactly where it will turn around. $BTC
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