90K–92K: the “decision zone” (price keeps reacting here) 96K: the upper wall / major resistance 84K: the lower wall / key support (if this breaks, things can get heavy)
If the market turns bullish
Bullish strength starts when BTC can reclaim 90K–92K and actually hold it (not just a quick wick above it).
What I expect in a bullish reaction
First, a move back toward ~96K
If BTC breaks 96K and stays above it with daily closes, then 100K–104K becomes the next realistic area to visit
One thing I have seen BTC do many times
It dips below support one last time (a quick “stop hunt”), then snaps back into the range and runs upward.
So even if we see a sweep around ~84K, I won’t be shocked if it’s followed by a strong reclaim and a push back to 92K → 96K.
Bullish warning sign
If BTC keeps getting rejected at 90K–92K, or if it breaks above 96K but immediately falls back under it (classic bull trap).
If the market turns bearish
Bearish continuation becomes more likely if BTC fails to reclaim 90K–92K, keeps making lower highs, and then we get a clean daily close below ~84K.
If that breakdown confirms, the next magnets are usually
80K–82K first, then 76K, 72K
And yes… the psychological 70K zone becomes possible if selling accelerates
Another common BTC move on the bearish side.
It may spike up to grab liquidity above ~96K, fail to hold, and then dump back through the range. That kind of move often catches both sides off guard.
Bearish warning sign
If BTC reclaims 92K strongly and then accepts above 96K, that would weaken the bearish case significantly.
At this moment, BTC looks like it is stuck in a decision phase
Hold/reclaim 90K–92K → better chances to revisit 96K and possibly higher
Lose 84K with a daily close → opens the door to 80K–82K, and deeper levels over time
Not financial advice, this is only my personal observation.
Right now, BTC still looks like it’s in a cool-down / consolidation phase after the big drop from the 120k+ area into the mid-to-low 80k zone. Instead of trending strongly, the market has been moving sideways in a range, and in ranges the price usually spends a lot of time “trapping” both sides before it finally chooses a direction.
The key zones I am watching Resistance (where price may struggle)
92.5k–93k (pivot level)
This is the first important reclaim area. If BTC closes back above it and holds, the chart looks healthier.
95k–97.5k (range top)
This is the “ceiling” of the current range. If BTC breaks and holds above this zone, that’s when the bullish breakout story becomes more real.
100k–105k (next upside area)
If the breakout happens, this is a natural next target zone based on previous structure.
Support (where buyers must defend)
90k–89k (first support)
This is the first area that matters right now. If we start getting daily closes below it, we’re probably heading lower inside the range.
87.5k–85k (range bottom / liquidity zone)
This is the main support. If price comes here, I expect a strong reaction (either a solid bounce or a breakdown attempt).
82k–80k (lower wick zone)
If 85k breaks and the market accepts below it, then this zone becomes a realistic downside target.
The 3 most likely outcomes from here 1) Range continues (most common)
If BTC holds above 89k–90k and gets back above 92.5k–93k, then we can easily rotate back toward 95k–97.5k again.
2) Bullish breakout (needs confirmation)
If BTC closes above 97.5k and then holds 95k–97k as support, then the door opens for a push toward 100k–105k and higher.
3) Bearish continuation (breakdown)
If BTC starts closing below 89k–90k, then a move toward 87.5k–85k becomes very likely.
And if 85k fails with acceptance, then 82k–80k comes into the picture.
BTC is currently in a weekly consolidation phase after reacting strongly from the bullish Weekly FVG (green zone). The repeated weekly closes holding within/above this demand band suggest buyers are absorbing supply and building a base. However, the market is still capped by the weekly supply/FVG overhead (red zone), so bullish continuation needs confirmation.
Bullish confirmation:
• Weekly close above the upper edge of the green Weekly FVG (clear acceptance).
• Follow-through into 95k+ and then a reclaim/acceptance above the red weekly supply (~96k zone).
If this happens, the consolidation is more likely accumulation before the next expansion leg.
Bearish invalidation:
• Failure to reclaim the upper range and weekly closes drifting back toward the lower edge of the green zone.
• A weekly close below the green Weekly FVG would increase the probability of a deeper support retest.
For now, the plan is simple: as long as BTC holds the green weekly demand, bullish momentum informing. The real breakout signal is acceptance above the red weekly supply.
$BTC As highlighted on Jan 17 BTC moved in the expected direction and BTC swept below the Daily FVG (green zone) today, dipping to around 91.8k and likely triggering stop-losses beneath the zone. Buyers did react from the lows (long lower wick), but the important detail is that the daily candle is still closing below the FVG, so acceptance back into demand is not confirmed yet.
On higher timeframes, the close matters more than the wick
Sweep + daily close back inside the FVG = stronger odds of a rebound and continuation.
Sweep + daily close below the FVG = higher risk the FVG flips into resistance and price seeks lower liquidity.
What I’m watching next:
Bullish case: A clean daily close back above the lower edge of the Daily FVG, then a hold on retest. If that happens, BTC can rotate toward the mid/top of the FVG and potentially push back toward 95k+.
Bearish case: If BTC keeps closing below the FVG, or breaks below ~91.8k again with a daily close, then the next likely path is a retest of ~90k, and possibly 88k–86k depending on momentum.
For now, it’s a “wait for confirmation” zone—reclaim and hold = bullish, reject and breakdown = bearish continuation.
$BTC Not to much activity. At this stage, I still believe the market is likely to revisit the 93K zone and successfully hold that level before initiating the next upward move. Beyond this expectation, the final outcome will depend on the actions of market makers.😴🤑🤯
BTC rejected the 95.5–96k resistance as expected Jan 15 BTC Update and is now likely to retest the 94–93k demand band (Daily FVG) before the next continuation attempt.
The key is the reaction: a strong bounce and structure shift from 93–94k would support a move back toward 96k, and acceptance above 96k would reopen the upside targets at 100–104k.
A sustained loss of 92–90k would invalidate the bullish retest thesis and increase probability of a deeper pullback toward 88–86k.
BTCUSDT is currently reacting at a key weekly bearish FVG / supply pocket. The first rejection from this area supports a cautious bias while we are inside/under that zone. On the daily chart, there is a bullish FVG below, which can act as a magnet for a pullback and a potential “liquidity grab” (taking nearby equal lows / short-term swing lows) before a continuation higher.
My preferred path: reject from the weekly supply → pull back into the daily bullish FVG for mitigation → look for bullish displacement / structure shift on 4H–1H → continuation toward the supply zone again and higher.
Invalidation for the pullback-long idea would be a clean daily breakdown and acceptance below the daily bullish FVG. If price instead closes and holds above the weekly supply, then continuation up can happen without a deep pullback.
Not financial advice — always manage risk and wait for confirmation.
BTC swept the all-time high area (~126K) and got rejected strongly, which usually signals short-term distribution and a corrective move.
On the weekly chart, price is currently pulling back toward the nearest higher-timeframe imbalance (Quarterly FVG). The closest and most important zone is the top Quarterly FVG around ~80K down to ~74K. This area is the first major “reaction zone” where a strong bounce or consolidation can start.
Key levels to watch:
Bearish pressure stays active while BTC is below ~100K–110K.
Strong recovery / bullish shift requires reclaiming ~110K and especially ~114K+ with acceptance.
If BTC reaches ~80K–74K and shows strong weekly rejection (close off the lows + follow-through), it can form a higher-timeframe bottom.
If BTC breaks and holds below ~74K with weak reaction, then deeper Quarterly FVG zones (~52K and ~36K) become possible later.
My expectation: highest probability is a move into ~80K–74K first, then watch the reaction for the next major direction.
$BTC Update, the market continues to consolidate within the range of 87.7K to 88.5K, showing no clear directional bias at this stage. It is advisable to remain calm, avoid over-trading, and allow the market to establish a clearer trend. Wishing you a pleasant and restful weekend. 💰
$BTC is consolidating between 87,6K and 89,5K. If a 4-hour candle closes above 89,500, followed by a successful retest and hold of this zone as support, the next upside targets are 90,000, then 91,000 and 92,000.
1. Trend Overview ETH recently broke a major support at ~$1610 and dropped sharply to ~$1420. Currently in a short-term downtrend, but showing signs of technical rebound. 2. Key Technical Zones Resistance: $1510–$1560 (EMA cluster, prior breakdown area) Support: $1415 (recent bottom), $1350 (previous accumulation zone) 3. Volume Analysis Large volume spike during sell-off → indicates panic selling. Followed by a high-volume reversal candle → possible short squeeze setup. 4. Indicators RSI: Hit oversold (~18), now recovering to ~23 → suggesting rebound potential. MACD: Still bearish, but histogram is shrinking → downward momentum is slowing. Bollinger Bands: Price pierced lower band then bounced → possible short-term recovery. Bands are widening = volatility still high.
Rationale: Technicals show a potential double bottom reversal at 1,759.16, with whale buying activity and a bounce from support. Fundamentals support a cautiously bullish outlook due to Ethereum’s strong network usage, staking, and potential crypto bull market sentiment (Bitcoin correlation), though macro risks (e.g., interest rates, regulations) remain.
Entry Point
Enter long at 1,820 on a confirmed breakout above the double bottom neckline and descending channel, with strong volume and a bullish candle.
Stop Loss
Set stop loss at 1,759.16 (below recent support). This limits downside risk if the pattern fails.
Take Profit
Primary target: 1,880 (major resistance, reward-to-risk ratio ~1:1). Secondary target: 1,950 (if momentum breaks 1,880, reward-to-risk ratio ~2.1:1).
Risk Management
Risk 1–2% of capital (e.g., $100–$200 on a $10,000 account). Adjust position size based on the 60.84-point stop loss.
Alternative: Short (Bearish)
If the price fails to break 1,820 and drops below 1,759.16, enter short. Stop loss at 1,820, take profit at 1,740 (reward-to-risk ratio ~0.3:1, so only take with strong bearish confirmation).
Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Conduct your own research and trade responsibly. 🚀📊
1. Technical Analysis: Trend Analysis: Ethereum (ETH) has been in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. However, recent price action suggests a potential reversal or at least a relief bounce. Support and Resistance: Support: ~$1,700 (recent weak low level marked on the chart). Resistance: ~$2,100 (previous supply zone). Chart Patterns: Breakdown from a descending channel, suggesting continued bearish sentiment. BOS (Break of Structure) confirms trend shifts at key points. Recent double bottom pattern near $1,700 suggests a potential short-term rebound. Candlestick Patterns: The recent green candles with wicks indicate buyers defending the lower levels. Volume Analysis: Increasing volume on bullish candles suggests potential buyer interest. Oscillators: RSI (Relative Strength Index) may be near the oversold zone, signaling a possible bounce. MACD might be flattening out, indicating potential bullish divergence.
2. Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Long Position (If Bullish Confirmation) Entry: $1,720 - $1,750 (near support) Take Profit (TP1): $1,950 Take Profit (TP2): $2,100 (major resistance) Stop Loss: $1,650 (below weak low)
Scenario 2: Short Position (If Price Rejection at Resistance) Entry: $1,950 - $2,000 Take Profit (TP1): $1,800 Take Profit (TP2): $1,650 (strong support) Stop Loss: $2,100 (above resistance)
3. Risk Management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ensure at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. Position Sizing: Use a maximum of 2-3% of total capital per trade. Monitor: Keep an eye on market news and ETH price behavior.
Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Conduct your own research and trade responsibly. 🚀📊