Rar1988

Everyone’s talking gold right now… so I decided to check how it performed in past bull cycles and found something really interesting.

Gold has never moved in a straight line forever. It moves in big waves. A long time going up, then many years doing nothing or going down. When we look at history, gold follows the same behavior again and again a strong bull run, then a long cooling period.
1st Major Bull Cycle (1970 – 1980)
Duration: ~10 years

The first big modern gold bull run started around 1970. This was when the U.S. removed the gold standard and money printing increased. Inflation fears were high and people were scared about the economy. Gold slowly turned into the safe asset. Over the next 10 years, gold made an insane move from around $35 to nearly $850 in 1980. That was a huge run. Everyone believed gold could only go higher.
But after that peak, gold didn’t keep going up.
Gold Bear/sideways Market

It entered one of the longest painful periods in its history. From 1980 to 2001 almost 21 years gold either fell or moved sideways. People lost interest. Stocks became more attractive. Gold went from hero to forgotten.
2nd Bull Cycle (2001 – 2011)
Duration: ~10 years

Then another big cycle started around 2001. This bull run again lasted close to 10 years. It got stronger after the 2008 financial crisis when banks were collapsing and governments started printing money. Fear came back, and so did gold. Price went from around $250 to nearly $1900 by 2011. Just like before, people believed gold was the safest thing forever.
Gold Bear/sideways Market

History repeated. After 2011, gold entered another weak phase. From 2011 to around late 2015, price corrected hard and mostly moved sideways. It dropped near $1050 at the bottom. During this time gold became boring again and many investors shifted attention elsewhere.
The current cycle
This is where it gets interesting the current bullish cycle duration so far: 2026 − 2015 = about 10–11 years

Started around December 2015. That was the real bottom where gold stopped falling and slowly began trending up again. But the move was calm and steady in the early years. The big acceleration came after COVID in 2020, when money printing exploded, global uncertainty increased, wars started, currencies weakened, and central banks began buying gold aggressively. That’s when gold shifted from a slow uptrend into a powerful bull phase.
So now let’s talk about time because time matters a lot in cycles.
The first major bull cycle from 1970 to 1980 lasted around 10 years.
The second big bull cycle from 2001 to 2011 also lasted close to 10 years.
Now look at the current one. If we count from the real bottom in 2015, we are already about 10 years into this cycle.
That is very important.
Even though the explosive move started after COVID, the bull market itself began earlier. And historically, gold’s big bull cycles tend to mature around this time length.
This does not mean gold must crash tomorrow. The last phase of a bull market is usually the fastest and most emotional. In 1980 gold went almost vertical before topping. In 2011 the final move was also aggressive before the long correction started.
Cycles often end like this: first a slow healthy uptrend, then a strong trend with pullbacks, and finally a fast, almost straight-up move driven by fear and FOMO. Right now gold is in that strong acceleration stage. Media coverage is rising. Central banks are buying. Retail investors are entering. Uncertainty is high. These are conditions often seen in the late stage of a bull cycle.
So based on historical duration, this cycle is no longer young. In fact, time wise it is already near the length where previous gold bull markets matured. That means the window for a late stage run could be happening this year or maybe next year rather than many years ahead.
Now comes the big question, am I saying this is the last leg of gold?
Not with 100% certainty. But looking at the duration of the cycle and how behavior changes near the end, it is very possible we are closer to the final stage than the beginning. Gold has already been trending up for years. Price is moving faster. News channels talk about gold daily. And the biggest signal? Even “mango people” who never followed markets are rushing to buy gold because they think it is the safest place.
That is usually how the final stage looks. Price goes vertical. Fear in the world is high. Everyone believes gold can never fall. But history shows this is often when smart money becomes careful, not excited.
Gold can still go higher. The trend is still strong. But cycles matter. And gold bull markets don’t last forever.
After every big gold party, there has always been a long quiet or painful period.

#SOLUSDT (SOL/USDT)


Current Price: ~140 USDT


The chart you shared clearly shows strong bearish momentum and a continuation pattern.


1. Next Move Prediction (High Probability – 80–90%)

Based on the chart’s current structure, Solana (SOL) is likely to move downward again and test these levels:


➡ 138 → 136 → 135.6 (previous low)


This 135.6 level is visible on your chart and acts as a “price magnet” for retesting.


If SOL breaks 135, then:


➡ Next major target: 130 USDT


This move is highly likely because:




SOL is forming lower-highs and lower-lows


Price is below both MA25 and MA99


Both moving averages are sloping downward


SOL has multiple failed bounces


Selling volume spikes are higher than buying


Price structure is inside a falling channel




This is a classic bearish continuation pattern.


2. Bullish Scenario (Low Probability – 20%)

A bullish move is only possible if:


➡ SOL closes above 150–152 (short-term resistance)


If that happens, we may see a bounce toward:


Target: 158 – 165


But a true trend reversal will only happen if:


➡ SOL breaks and holds above 170 USDT


Before 170, every upward move is still a dead-cat bounce (weak pump in a downtrend).


3. Key Support & Resistance Zones

Support Levels

LevelStrength140Weak138Medium135.6Strong (previous major low)130Major support125Extreme support


Resistance Levels

LevelStrength145Weak150–152Important rejection zone160Mid resistance170Trend reversal zone180Confirmation zone

4. Deep Technical Insights (“Information” You Requested)

1. Price Below Both Moving Averages


The price is trading under both:




MA25


MA99




Both of them are pointing downward → strong downtrend confirmation.



2. Dominant Selling Volume


Red volume candles are larger and more frequent.


This indicates:




Whales are selling


Retail buyers are weak


Bounce attempts have no strength





3. Lower Highs + Lower Lows Pattern


Each bounce creates a lower high, and every dip breaks into a lower low.


This is the hallmark of a strong bearish trend.



4. Weak Reactions from Support


Whenever price hits 140 or 145, the bounce is small → weak buyers and heavy sell pressure.



5. Falling Channel Formation


SOL price is moving inside a downward parallel channel.


This pattern shows:




Controlled selling


Trend still bearish


Bounce only happens at the bottom of the channel but fails at the top





6. Previous Low (135.6) Is a Target


Price generally revisits the previous swing low before reversing.


Therefore, 135.6 is almost guaranteed to be tested unless sudden buying pressure appears.


5. Final Summary – What Will SOL Do Next?

Most Likely Move (80–90%):


Down → 138 → 136 → 135.6


If 135 Breaks:


Direct drop toward 130


Bullish Only If:


SOL closes above 150–152


Real Trend Reversal Above:


170 USDT

I’ll SELL ALMOST ALL MY CRYPTO
Everyone thinks I’m dumb BUT THEY’RE WRONG
Same pattern happened in 2021 before the ALT RALLY
Before writing Dumb in the comment section
Here’s why I’ll sell all my crypto in OCTOBER

But before start please Dolo and let’s make a family of 30k
Still leaning bullish short term but planning to be out by late October
$BTC already 2x off the lows this year momentum + institutional flow still strong
$ETH holding above $4,200 and primed for one last leg up in the coming weeks
Setup is clean but tops always end the same quick and violent when they break
Short-term $ETH target sits around $5,800–$6,000 if momentum stays intact
That’s roughly a 3x off the cycle lows, lining up with past mid-cycle extensions
After $ETH tops, expect money to flow first into big caps then rush into low caps
This is the stage where altseason hits hardest – and risk is maxed out
In 2017 and again in 2021 the flow went BTC → ETH → big caps → small caps like clockwork
Right now ETH is running the show – sentiment overheated, liquidity at full tilt
Historically this stretch burns out fast, usually within weeks before money flees
No plan? Then you’re not cashing out – you’re the one getting cashed out
Looking for $BTC to flash topping signals toward the end of September with $ETH not far behind
By late October a typical retrace could see $BTC near $55K, $ETH around $1,400 and $SOL back toward $75
Not a doom call – just the standard post-peak correction phase
The sharp players are already positioning out long before retail notices the party’s over
I’m lining up my exits now – once the trend cracks it moves faster than you can react
Altcoins can implode 20–30% in a day and never claw back to old highs
When the cash dries up founders vanish, narratives die and charts slice straight through support
If you’re not unloading into strength you’re dumping into panic – and that’s a guaranteed loss
Metrics like NUPL, SOPR and MVRV have nailed cycle tops again and again
NUPL above 0.75 = holders sitting on massive unrealized profits – a flashing warning
SOPR sliding under 1 = coins being sold at a loss after the hype rolls over
MVRV in the deep red = market value way beyond cost basis – a pressure cooker that eventually blows
Watching $BTC dominance is key – once it cracks as $ETH peaks, altseason flips into blow-off mode
An Altseason Index pushing past 65 = the last speculative surge kicking in
Looks wildly bullish on the surface but it’s actually peak danger zone
The sharpest players cash out while everyone else still thinks there’s upside left
My plan is to scale out gradually rather than gamble on nailing the exact top
First offload the riskiest alts – memes and thin-liquidity plays go first
Next rotate out of high caps like SOL, AVAX and MATIC during peak flows
Finally unwind $ETH and $BTC into stables and yield setups ahead of mid-October
Currently bullish – a September rate cut should give crypto a short-term boost
Fresh liquidity will fuel the last rally leg, sparking sharp market swings
This surge won’t last long – think weeks, not months – so exits need planning now
Chasing the “perfect” moment usually means you’re too late
No need to dump everything at once scaling out keeps you exposed if prices keep running
Focus on locking in life-changing gains, not chasing the perfect top
Up 20x? Holding for 22x is just risking what you already earned
Take profits before the market reclaims them
Cycle tops always feel like pure euphoria – record exchange volumes, endless hype, ATH headlines everywhere
That’s precisely when the smartest players start quietly offloading
To join them, you need a plan well before October
When the music stops, there won’t be any chairs left
So tell me what are you gonna do ?
#BinanceHODLerZKC
#MarketRebound #BNBBreaksATH #ETHWhaleWatch $SOL
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
$BNB
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