Richard M Smith

24 HOURS. TWO EVENTS. ONE POTENTIAL MARKET RESET. 🚨 Friday, January 9, 2026, could end up being one of those days people look back on and say, “That’s where things changed.” Markets are entering a tight, fragile window. When sentiment is stretched like this, it doesn’t take much for everything to flip stocks, bonds, and the dollar included. Here’s what’s about to move the market 👇 ⏰ 1) U.S. Jobs Report 8:30 AM ET December’s Non-Farm Payrolls hit first and expectations are already extremely low, sitting around 70,000 jobs. That’s what makes this release dangerous. When expectations are muted, any surprise hits harder: A miss brings growth fears right back and reignites aggressive rate-cut bets. A beat keeps the Fed restrictive and puts pressure on risk assets almost immediately. This is the kind of data point that can reverse the entire market direction in minutes. ⚖️ 2) Supreme Court Tariff Decision This is the risk most traders can’t model properly. The Court’s ruling on emergency tariff powers has real consequences for inflation, rates, and policy expectations: Tariffs stay → Inflation pressure sticks around, the dollar stays supported. Tariffs removed → Equities get a relief bounce, and rates reprice fast. This decision doesn’t just affect trade it reshapes macro expectations. 📉 The Market Setup The S&P 500 is hovering near 6,920, and price action is getting tighter by the day. When markets compress like this, they don’t drift sideways forever. They expand. And when they do, it’s usually decisive either higher, or violently lower. ⚠️ Volatility is waking up ⚠️ Positioning now matters more than conviction The question isn’t what you believe will happen. It’s whether you’re positioned to survive it. Are you playing defense… or leaning into the move? #USNonFarmPayrollReport $BTC $ZEC $POL