Bitcoin has and will form peaks in Q4 of the years 2013, 2017, 2021, 2025, 2029...
After that, Bitcoin enters a bear market and hits the bottom at the end of the following year, including 2014, 2018, 2022, 2026, 2030...
Let’s look back at the Bear Market - Crypto Winter from previous cycles (note: during a bear market, the trend is basically down, but within the downtrend there are sideways periods and recoveries):
- On 4/12/2013, Bitcoin reached a peak at $1240, then entered a bear market that lasted until 14/1/2015, when it finally formed a bottom at $166. It fell 7.47 times, declined over 406 days, and needed to rise 640% to return to the old peak.
- On 17/12/2017, Bitcoin reached a peak at $19785, then entered a bear market that lasted until 15/12/2018, when it formed a bottom at $3125. It fell 6.33 times, declined over 363 days, and needed to rise 533% to return to the old peak.
- On 10/11/2021, Bitcoin reached a peak at $69000, then entered a bear market that lasted until 21/11/2022, when it formed a bottom at $15476. It fell 4.46 times, declined over 376 days, and needed to rise 344% to return to the old peak.
- On 06/10/2025, Bitcoin reached a peak at $126000, then...
The price-drop amplitude across each cycle keeps getting smaller. If Bitcoin has truly reached the peak of this cycle at $126k, it may only fall by about 2–4 times, and form a bottom by the end of 2026 at around $40k.$BNB $BTC
I warned about the fake rebound at the $67K level.
Now here’s how I see $BTC playing out from here:
Scenario 1 (July): $60K → $53K → $57K
Scenario 2 (August): $57K → $55K → $48K
Scenario 3 (September): $48K → $55K → $43K
Scenario 4 (January): $43K → $70K → $160K
The path to the bottom will look exactly like this.
Then the next cycle will begin.
Remember, I have predicted every major move over the past 12 years. I’m the only person who publicly called the exact Bitcoin bottom at ($16K) three years ago and the top at ($126K) in October.
If you missed those predictions, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Pay attention to what I post over the next few days/weeks. Turn on notifications.$BNB $BTC