Bitcoin has and will form peaks in Q4 of the years 2013, 2017, 2021, 2025, 2029...
After that, Bitcoin enters a bear market and hits the bottom at the end of the following year, including 2014, 2018, 2022, 2026, 2030...
Let’s look back at the Bear Market - Crypto Winter from previous cycles (note: during a bear market, the trend is basically down, but within the downtrend there are sideways periods and recoveries):
- On 4/12/2013, Bitcoin reached a peak at $1240, then entered a bear market that lasted until 14/1/2015, when it finally formed a bottom at $166. It fell 7.47 times, declined over 406 days, and needed to rise 640% to return to the old peak.
- On 17/12/2017, Bitcoin reached a peak at $19785, then entered a bear market that lasted until 15/12/2018, when it formed a bottom at $3125. It fell 6.33 times, declined over 363 days, and needed to rise 533% to return to the old peak.
- On 10/11/2021, Bitcoin reached a peak at $69000, then entered a bear market that lasted until 21/11/2022, when it formed a bottom at $15476. It fell 4.46 times, declined over 376 days, and needed to rise 344% to return to the old peak.
- On 06/10/2025, Bitcoin reached a peak at $126000, then...
The price-drop amplitude across each cycle keeps getting smaller. If Bitcoin has truly reached the peak of this cycle at $126k, it may only fall by about 2–4 times, and form a bottom by the end of 2026 at around $40k.$BNB $BTC