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$puppies The ceasefire agreement just signed by the puppies—was it already rendered obsolete in 11 days?
The U.S. and Iran have started fighting again—more precisely, they never truly stopped in the first place.
A senior U.S. official told Axios that the two sides had agreed to “stop all kinetic operations,” and the ships could go wherever they pleased. The result? After only 11 days of ceasefire, fresh strikes are already underway. Trump went straight on the record: if you keep causing trouble, the war will be restarted—“get it done.”
Where did things go wrong? A memo about the Strait of Hormuz—both sides read it completely differently.
Iran’s interpretation: I’ll do my best to keep cargo ships safe crossing—so far, that’s all I can do.
The U.S.’s interpretation: If you ensure safe passage, then I’ll lift the port blockade. The gap between them is sky and earth.
Last week’s Swiss negotiations: Vice President Vance led the team, and somehow they finally got a “hotline”—U.S. forces would directly connect with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to coordinate traffic through the strait. Sounds credible, right?
But by Saturday, it still wasn’t connected.
Iran has already reverted to its old line: ships crossing the strait must first coordinate with us. The U.S. response is direct: coordination? Doesn’t exist. Take it or leave it.
The planned meeting in Switzerland on Iran’s nuclear issue originally set for Tuesday was moved at the last minute to Doha, with an urgent focus on the Strait of Hormuz. Nick Sturtevant, the U.S. technical lead, will attend—but everyone knows that a meeting at this level can’t resolve the fundamental contradiction.
Remember when, in 2020, Iran shot down a Ukraine passenger plane? Back then, it was also a tense period in the strait—176 lives. History is now repeating itself, except this time both sides have more cards in hand and even less patience.
The most ironic part is this: they say “ceasefire,” but no one has truly stopped. They say “negotiations,” but the hotline never got connected. They talk about freedom of passage through the strait, yet every ship transiting Hormuz is gambling with its life.
Right now, at Hormuz, the guns are already cocked—but the phone hasn’t been answered. Do you think they can reach an outcome next week, or will a news blast come first?
$puppies Three-act prelude? U.S. night raid on 10 targets in Iran—Hormuz has become a “mine warfare exclusion zone”!
Late Saturday night, bombs tore through the Iranian sky—not 1 site, not 2, but a full 10 military facilities “nominated” by U.S. missiles. Surveillance systems, communications nodes, air defense positions, drone warehouses—none were spared, not even the mine-laying capabilities along the Strait of Hormuz. Bloomberg confirmed this round of strikes was an “upgraded response” personally approved by Trump.
But who struck first in this conflict? On Thursday, Iran launched an attack that bombed a container ship; on Friday, the U.S. carried out retaliatory airstrikes; on Saturday, Iran turned around and sank another ship carrying Qatar’s crude oil—an escalating chain of retaliation like toppling dominoes. Three days in, the ceasefire agreement is already nothing but empty words.
On Truth Social, Trump delivered a tough message: “We’ve been very restrained, but maybe we won’t be restrained much longer.” Vice President Vance was even more direct: “Violence can only be met with violence.”
Most deadly of all is the Strait of Hormuz. One-third of the world’s seaborne oil passes through it. Now the UK Navy reports that an oil tanker has been hit by an “unknown ballistic weapon.” The Joint Maritime Information Centre has raised the safety level to “serious,” and marked out a “mine-warning area”—but would commercial vessels still dare to go through it?
Both sides are still trying to argue who violated the ceasefire first, but the reality is: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards says it carried out “lawful retaliation,” while the U.S. says Iran “chose not to comply.” So are negotiations on the Memorandum of Understanding still happening on Monday? Talk is talk—but the fighting hasn’t stopped.
What’s even messier is happening on the other side: the U.S. just mediated for Israel and Lebanon to sign a ceasefire framework, and the very next day Hezbollah’s leader announced the “agreement is invalid.” On one side, Hormuz is burning; on the other, the Middle East’s new powder keg is smoking.
Do you think the U.S. will actually launch a full-scale offensive, or is it just another old script of “maximum pressure” for the next round? See you in the comments. 👇