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BTCUSD - Trend Continuation
Analysis
Market Overview
Bitcoin has developed a clean upward trajectory, supported by a rising trendline and consistent demand reactions from lower levels. The market has transitioned smoothly from accumulation into a bullish expansion phase, reflecting strong underlying buying interest.
Recent price action shows controlled pullbacks rather than aggressive sell-offs, indicating that buyers are actively defending key levels and maintaining bullish dominance.
Structural Perspective
* Trend Bias: Bullish (trend-following environment)
* Price Behavior: Higher highs & higher lows intact
* Current Positioning: Holding above dynamic trendline support
The structure remains technically strong as long as price continues to respect the ascending support and avoids breaking below recent higher lows.
Trade Outlook
Bullish Case (Preferred Direction)
Requirements:
* Price sustains above 74,000 support region
* Trendline continues to act as dynamic
support
* Momentum candles support continuation
Execution Idea:
Focus on buying pullbacks into support or trendline with clear bullish confirmation.
* Upside Target 1: 80,500
• Upside Target 2: 82,600
X
Bearish Case (Structure
Failure)
Requirements:
* Break below trendline with strong bearish close
* Loss of support zone validity
Execution Idea:
Short positions become valid on a retest of the broken structure.
Downside Target 1: 72,000
* Downside Target 2: 69,500
9 Key Price Zones
• Resistance Levels: 80,500 - 82,600
• Support Area: 73,900 - 74,700
A Breakdown Level: Below 73,500
A Market Behavior Note
The current move reflects a healthy bullish trend, where price is respecting structure and moving in waves. This type of price action often leads to continuation rather than reversal unless a clear structural breakdown occurs.$BTC #btc #crypto #Binance #bitcoin
Analysis
Market Overview
Bitcoin has developed a clean upward trajectory, supported by a rising trendline and consistent demand reactions from lower levels. The market has transitioned smoothly from accumulation into a bullish expansion phase, reflecting strong underlying buying interest.
Recent price action shows controlled pullbacks rather than aggressive sell-offs, indicating that buyers are actively defending key levels and maintaining bullish dominance.
Structural Perspective
* Trend Bias: Bullish (trend-following environment)
* Price Behavior: Higher highs & higher lows intact
* Current Positioning: Holding above dynamic trendline support
The structure remains technically strong as long as price continues to respect the ascending support and avoids breaking below recent higher lows.
Trade Outlook
Bullish Case (Preferred Direction)
Requirements:
* Price sustains above 74,000 support region
* Trendline continues to act as dynamic
support
* Momentum candles support continuation
Execution Idea:
Focus on buying pullbacks into support or trendline with clear bullish confirmation.
* Upside Target 1: 80,500
• Upside Target 2: 82,600
X
Bearish Case (Structure
Failure)
Requirements:
* Break below trendline with strong bearish close
* Loss of support zone validity
Execution Idea:
Short positions become valid on a retest of the broken structure.
Downside Target 1: 72,000
* Downside Target 2: 69,500
9 Key Price Zones
• Resistance Levels: 80,500 - 82,600
• Support Area: 73,900 - 74,700
A Breakdown Level: Below 73,500
A Market Behavior Note
The current move reflects a healthy bullish trend, where price is respecting structure and moving in waves. This type of price action often leads to continuation rather than reversal unless a clear structural breakdown occurs.$BTC #btc #crypto #Binance #bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is staging a strong rally this month, following the first green month (March) after 5 straight red. So is this the bottom? Not quite based on the Halving Cycle's Theory.
On this chart you can see that since the July 2016 Halving, every Bull Cycle Top was priced on the 0.382 Time Fibonacci level (red circle) between Halving dates. Similarly the Bear Cycle Bottoms were priced on the 0.618 Time Fib (green circle).
Right now the market found Support exactly on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) with the previous Bear Cycle bottoming just above the 1M MA100 (green trend-line). The last Cycle Top was priced exactly on the 0.382 Fib and the next 0.618 is on October 2026
based on the expected April 2028
Halving.
So based on this highly effective model, the current 2026 Bear Cycle should bottom this October, which is consistent with the majority of analyses and models we've used. Technically is should test the 1M MA100 as well, so (again consistent with our past analyses) this should be closer to $40000.
So are you also expecting a BTC bottom around October 2026 and the $40k mark? Feel free to let us know in the comments
#BTC section below!
On this chart you can see that since the July 2016 Halving, every Bull Cycle Top was priced on the 0.382 Time Fibonacci level (red circle) between Halving dates. Similarly the Bear Cycle Bottoms were priced on the 0.618 Time Fib (green circle).
Right now the market found Support exactly on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) with the previous Bear Cycle bottoming just above the 1M MA100 (green trend-line). The last Cycle Top was priced exactly on the 0.382 Fib and the next 0.618 is on October 2026
based on the expected April 2028
Halving.
So based on this highly effective model, the current 2026 Bear Cycle should bottom this October, which is consistent with the majority of analyses and models we've used. Technically is should test the 1M MA100 as well, so (again consistent with our past analyses) this should be closer to $40000.
So are you also expecting a BTC bottom around October 2026 and the $40k mark? Feel free to let us know in the comments
#BTC section below!
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