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Swallow Academy

Pure work of art since 2015, Picasso of Trading | https://x.com/SwallowPremium
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Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly). What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases. Simple, but it’s done the job for years. Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders). Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well. But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).

What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.

Simple, but it’s done the job for years.

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).

Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.

But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
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Υποτιμητική
Not going to keep it long here. $HBAR is having a trend reversal currently, which is giving us an opportunity for a short position right here. So far the sell-side pressure seems strong so our major target can be hit easily here — but just in case, setting a particular TP at $0.08381. #HBARPriceAnalysis
Not going to keep it long here. $HBAR is having a trend reversal currently, which is giving us an opportunity for a short position right here.

So far the sell-side pressure seems strong so our major target can be hit easily here — but just in case, setting a particular TP at $0.08381. #HBARPriceAnalysis
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The structure on $ETH looks too good, with multiple signs of an upcoming breakdown to happen. The structure development is not new to us; we had a stronger dip on #Ethereum , where now we have formed some kind of local low at $2032. This low has to be taken out and as soon as we see a breakdown right there, this would mean a continuation to lower zones - we wait! #ETHPriceAnalysis
The structure on $ETH looks too good, with multiple signs of an upcoming breakdown to happen.

The structure development is not new to us; we had a stronger dip on #Ethereum , where now we have formed some kind of local low at $2032. This low has to be taken out and as soon as we see a breakdown right there, this would mean a continuation to lower zones - we wait! #ETHPriceAnalysis
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Strong sweep opened a shorting opportunity for us, which could give us a 2.2 RR setup on $BTC . Market structure break seems strong so we go short! #BTCPriceAnalysis
Strong sweep opened a shorting opportunity for us, which could give us a 2.2 RR setup on $BTC .

Market structure break seems strong so we go short! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$XRP is not yet done with its downside movement. The push it had was too great so equally great downside movement is the most logical thing here. #XRPPriceAnalysis P.S: The wind is strong outside so you might hear some wind noise! More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$XRP is not yet done with its downside movement. The push it had was too great so equally great downside movement is the most logical thing here. #XRPPriceAnalysis

P.S: The wind is strong outside so you might hear some wind noise!

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$SUI will be falling more and multiple timeframes tell the same thing. d. Sellers are still dominating greatly and forming new breakdowns, which again gives us new opportunities for short! #SUIPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$SUI will be falling more and multiple timeframes tell the same thing. d. Sellers are still dominating greatly and forming new breakdowns, which again gives us new opportunities for short! #SUIPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
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Ανατιμητική
$TRX does not really give a damn about the rest of the markets and tends to move separately with its own flow. So the structure looks bullish, where the recent fill of the gap turned the trend over and now we are seeing a potential breakout to form from resistance at $0.3165. Key is here to wait, so do not rush and wait for that breakout, then do what you must! #TRXPriceAnalysis
$TRX does not really give a damn about the rest of the markets and tends to move separately with its own flow.

So the structure looks bullish, where the recent fill of the gap turned the trend over and now we are seeing a potential breakout to form from resistance at $0.3165.

Key is here to wait, so do not rush and wait for that breakout, then do what you must! #TRXPriceAnalysis
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$TON is in a bad shape, where the local lows are being pressured and no real support could be seen on lower zones. So we go by one of our favourite things, a psychological support zone, where the major target for us would be the $1 which seems like a good zone for some liquidity to sit at. Nothing complicated — expecting a breakdown, and then a move to $1.1 & $1.0 & $0.9. #TONPriceAnalysis
$TON is in a bad shape, where the local lows are being pressured and no real support could be seen on lower zones.

So we go by one of our favourite things, a psychological support zone, where the major target for us would be the $1 which seems like a good zone for some liquidity to sit at.

Nothing complicated — expecting a breakdown, and then a move to $1.1 & $1.0 & $0.9. #TONPriceAnalysis
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The pressure seems too strong for $ETH to stop right here; the least we should see is the $2000 area, which most probably we will be reaching as well. Nothing complicated, just gliding the trend here, currently targeting the $2000 area (around that zone), but a greater target would be $1860. #ETHPriceAnalysis
The pressure seems too strong for $ETH to stop right here; the least we should see is the $2000 area, which most probably we will be reaching as well.

Nothing complicated, just gliding the trend here, currently targeting the $2000 area (around that zone), but a greater target would be $1860. #ETHPriceAnalysis
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This pattern is not something new to us, where after a stronger downside movement (just like on $BTC ) we have a smaller stop where a potential double bottom pattern could form. Of course, this is a fakeout in most cases and what happens is just a sweep of local lows and a continuation of downside movement. So the plan is simple: wait for the break and go short! #BTCPriceAnalysis
This pattern is not something new to us, where after a stronger downside movement (just like on $BTC ) we have a smaller stop where a potential double bottom pattern could form.

Of course, this is a fakeout in most cases and what happens is just a sweep of local lows and a continuation of downside movement.
So the plan is simple: wait for the break and go short! #BTCPriceAnalysis
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$SOL has not yet hit its bottom, where ideally we should see a $50 price to be reached where most of the big players would consider buying in. So, as we are in intense times on the markets thanks to economic news, I would not say that we are yet at the bottom with Solana; there is still room. The game plan is simple: wait for a breakdown from the current sideways channel and as soon as we get one, this would be a good opportunity for a short! #SOLPriceAnalysis
$SOL has not yet hit its bottom, where ideally we should see a $50 price to be reached where most of the big players would consider buying in.

So, as we are in intense times on the markets thanks to economic news, I would not say that we are yet at the bottom with Solana; there is still room.

The game plan is simple: wait for a breakdown from the current sideways channel and as soon as we get one, this would be a good opportunity for a short! #SOLPriceAnalysis
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$DOGE is a funny coin, starting from the name and ending with the market structure development it has been having — a pure roller coaster ride, with a sharp push to upper zones and then a similar move but to lower zones. So we might as well have another similar move but not before the accumulation zone has been reached, so for now we are targeting that zone where a good RR setup could be taken. Once we are there, we will be looking for yet another bullish movement, or should we say a roller coaster ride! #DOGEPriceAnalysis
$DOGE is a funny coin, starting from the name and ending with the market structure development it has been having — a pure roller coaster ride, with a sharp push to upper zones and then a similar move but to lower zones.

So we might as well have another similar move but not before the accumulation zone has been reached, so for now we are targeting that zone where a good RR setup could be taken.

Once we are there, we will be looking for yet another bullish movement, or should we say a roller coaster ride! #DOGEPriceAnalysis
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$BCH is setting up a decent short setup for us where if all goes as planned and sellers maintain dominance over the zone at $480, we could see a potential 40% dip from here on. The R:R is too good and the setup itself is solid so missing this opportunity is not something we are going to do...we are going in with a short here! #BCHPriceAnalysis
$BCH is setting up a decent short setup for us where if all goes as planned and sellers maintain dominance over the zone at $480, we could see a potential 40% dip from here on.

The R:R is too good and the setup itself is solid so missing this opportunity is not something we are going to do...we are going in with a short here! #BCHPriceAnalysis
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$ETH is having bullish momentum, which at one point should end up with a reversal (market structure break). This could happen from the current market price or near $2175 so those 2 zones are our main point of interest, where we will be looking for any kind of MSB to form. After we get it, we are going to go for a short one; meanwhile, we just wait! #ETHPriceAnalysis
$ETH is having bullish momentum, which at one point should end up with a reversal (market structure break).

This could happen from the current market price or near $2175 so those 2 zones are our main point of interest, where we will be looking for any kind of MSB to form.

After we get it, we are going to go for a short one; meanwhile, we just wait! #ETHPriceAnalysis
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Yes, despite the traditional structure knowledge, anyone would say that this seems like a solid BOS and a proper buy setup on $BTC , but what is different here is how recent similar pumps have ended up; they have actually been more of a liquidity grab rather than a break of structures, so seeing a similar thing happening here. We wait for the breakdown to happen, which would confirm the downside momentum here and then will be looking for a smaller short setup from here! #BTCPriceAnalysis
Yes, despite the traditional structure knowledge, anyone would say that this seems like a solid BOS and a proper buy setup on $BTC , but what is different here is how recent similar pumps have ended up; they have actually been more of a liquidity grab rather than a break of structures, so seeing a similar thing happening here.

We wait for the breakdown to happen, which would confirm the downside momentum here and then will be looking for a smaller short setup from here! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$LTC is looking like it might do some wonders here and actually dip for another 5% on the 30M timeframe, while on 1W timeframe we are seeing as deep as 22% dip opportunity. #LTCPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$LTC is looking like it might do some wonders here and actually dip for another 5% on the 30M timeframe, while on 1W timeframe we are seeing as deep as 22% dip opportunity. #LTCPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
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Υποτιμητική
Good setup is forming on $AVAX where after a proper breakdown we are seeing the re-test which most probably will go and fill the upper FVG zone near the $8.90. This is the zone we will be looking for as we are expecting to see a rejection right there which then would open a short setup for us - simple logics here. #AVAXPriceAnalysis
Good setup is forming on $AVAX where after a proper breakdown we are seeing the re-test which most probably will go and fill the upper FVG zone near the $8.90.

This is the zone we will be looking for as we are expecting to see a rejection right there which then would open a short setup for us - simple logics here. #AVAXPriceAnalysis
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Recently $LINK formed a failed MSB movement where after the MSB buyers failed to maintain the dominance over the broken zone where as of now sellers are in control. Gameplan is simple here, we are looking for one more sweep to upper zones before further movement to lower zones, so we are expecting a slight liquidity grab to upper zones, where then we will be looking for BOS on smaller timeframes and a possible short position to open for us! #LINKPriceAnalysis
Recently $LINK formed a failed MSB movement where after the MSB buyers failed to maintain the dominance over the broken zone where as of now sellers are in control.

Gameplan is simple here, we are looking for one more sweep to upper zones before further movement to lower zones, so we are expecting a slight liquidity grab to upper zones, where then we will be looking for BOS on smaller timeframes and a possible short position to open for us! #LINKPriceAnalysis
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Υποτιμητική
What a ride we had in recent days, where $BTC was just hunting the liquidity like a true hunter. Now that Monday has passed by, we are expecting a calmer movement and possibly a breakdown to happen from here. So nothing complicated really; we just wait for breakdown from local lows, which then would open for us a good RR setup with potential 4% drop towards the $60K zone #BTCPriceAnalysis
What a ride we had in recent days, where $BTC was just hunting the liquidity like a true hunter. Now that Monday has passed by, we are expecting a calmer movement and possibly a breakdown to happen from here.

So nothing complicated really; we just wait for breakdown from local lows, which then would open for us a good RR setup with potential 4% drop towards the $60K zone #BTCPriceAnalysis
$POL just had a smaller breakdown and a failed MSB, which might lead to further downside movement, whereas on the bigger timeframe we are seeing the pressure to the major zone, where if we break it, we will be falling much, much lower from here...#POLPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$POL just had a smaller breakdown and a failed MSB, which might lead to further downside movement, whereas on the bigger timeframe we are seeing the pressure to the major zone, where if we break it, we will be falling much, much lower from here...#POLPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
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