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Swallow Academy

Pure work of art since 2015, Picasso of Trading | https://Swallowteam.com
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Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly). What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases. Simple, but it’s done the job for years. Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders). Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well. But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).

What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.

Simple, but it’s done the job for years.

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).

Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.

But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
$POL is getting ready for an entry and I decided to share the multiple entry options we will be looking for. We are open to 2 short entries and 1 long entry. All of them need either a proper MSB or BOS. So we wait until something plays out and we’re in!
$POL is getting ready for an entry and I decided to share the multiple entry options we will be looking for.

We are open to 2 short entries and 1 long entry. All of them need either a proper MSB or BOS.

So we wait until something plays out and we’re in!
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Υποτιμητική
$ETH had a strong liquidity movement right at the end of last week which now seems to be cooling down. A little early to talk about it, but the gameplan is simple — we look for a proper MSB to form, which would switch the trend again, and we are expecting to see a further decline from here. On the bigger picture it is clear that further downside is coming, so what we need is a market structure break and we are good for a short setup here.
$ETH had a strong liquidity movement right at the end of last week which now seems to be cooling down.

A little early to talk about it, but the gameplan is simple — we look for a proper MSB to form, which would switch the trend again, and we are expecting to see a further decline from here.

On the bigger picture it is clear that further downside is coming, so what we need is a market structure break and we are good for a short setup here.
Άρθρο
Learn Why Simplicity Matters In Trading!Many traders think a better strategy means adding more tools to the chart. One moving average becomes three. Then comes RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci levels, trend lines, alerts, dashboards, and several timeframes. The problem is no longer the market. The problem is the chart. Too many signals create hesitation, late entries, and unclear risk. A simple setup helps because it brings the focus back to what matters most: the level, the reaction, the entry, the stop, and the target. Too Many Signals Slow the Decision Trading already puts pressure on the brain. The trader has to read price, manage risk, and control emotions while money is moving. Adding too many indicators makes that harder. Every extra line asks for attention. Every signal adds another question. Did RSI confirm? Did MACD cross? Is price above the moving average? Is the volume strong enough? By the time we get confirmations, the best part of the move may already be gone. The entry becomes late, the stop becomes wider, and the reward becomes smaller. This is why complicated charts often hurt execution. They make traders wait for perfect confirmation, then push them into weaker trades. A clean setup asks a less question: is price at the level, did it react, and is the risk clear? Price Action Should Stay Clear Indicators can help, but price comes first. Most indicators are built from price, so they often react after the move has already started. A clean chart lets the trader see the real story faster. Where did buyers defend? Where did sellers reject? Where did price break structure? Where did traders get trapped? Where does the trade idea become wrong? For example, when price breaks above resistance and comes back to retest it, the reaction at that level is important. If buyers defend the area and the stop is clear, the setup is easy to understand. The trader does not need ten extra tools to explain the trade. The idea is simple: price breaks a level, retests it, reacts, and gives a clear place where the trade becomes invalid - that is clean trading. Simple Setups Are Easier to Repeat A setup only has value if the trader can repeat it. When a strategy has too many conditions, review becomes messy. Was the winning trade good because of RSI, the moving average, the level, the session, or luck? A simple setup is easier to track. The trader can review 20 or 50 trades and see what actually happened. Did the level work? Was the entry late? Was the stop too tight? Was the target realistic? This creates better feedback. Better feedback creates better decisions. Simple does not mean random. It means the rules are clear enough to test. Clean Setups Make Risk Easier Risk becomes clearer when the chart is simple. If a trader enters because several indicators look good, the stop loss can become confusing. Should it go under the moving average, under the last candle, under support, or based on an indicator turning back? A price action setup usually gives a cleaner invalidation point. If the trade is based on a retest, the stop can go beyond the retest zone. If it is based on a rejection, the stop can go beyond the wick. The market either respects the setup or it fails. That clarity is important because every trade can lose. A clean setup does not remove risk. It helps the trader define risk before entering. Final Takeaway Complicated charts can make trading feel more advanced, but they often make decisions worse. Too many tools create noise, hesitation, and late entries. The goal is not to make the chart look smart. The goal is to make the decision clear. Clean chart. Clear risk. Repeatable setup. That is why simple setups often beat complicated systems. Swallow Academy

Learn Why Simplicity Matters In Trading!

Many traders think a better strategy means adding more tools to the chart. One moving average becomes three. Then comes RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci levels, trend lines, alerts, dashboards, and several timeframes.
The problem is no longer the market. The problem is the chart. Too many signals create hesitation, late entries, and unclear risk. A simple setup helps because it brings the focus back to what matters most: the level, the reaction, the entry, the stop, and the target.
Too Many Signals Slow the Decision
Trading already puts pressure on the brain. The trader has to read price, manage risk, and control emotions while money is moving. Adding too many indicators makes that harder.
Every extra line asks for attention. Every signal adds another question. Did RSI confirm? Did MACD cross? Is price above the moving average? Is the volume strong enough?
By the time we get confirmations, the best part of the move may already be gone. The entry becomes late, the stop becomes wider, and the reward becomes smaller.
This is why complicated charts often hurt execution. They make traders wait for perfect confirmation, then push them into weaker trades. A clean setup asks a less question: is price at the level, did it react, and is the risk clear?
Price Action Should Stay Clear
Indicators can help, but price comes first. Most indicators are built from price, so they often react after the move has already started.
A clean chart lets the trader see the real story faster. Where did buyers defend? Where did sellers reject? Where did price break structure? Where did traders get trapped? Where does the trade idea become wrong?
For example, when price breaks above resistance and comes back to retest it, the reaction at that level is important. If buyers defend the area and the stop is clear, the setup is easy to understand. The trader does not need ten extra tools to explain the trade.
The idea is simple: price breaks a level, retests it, reacts, and gives a clear place where the trade becomes invalid - that is clean trading.
Simple Setups Are Easier to Repeat
A setup only has value if the trader can repeat it. When a strategy has too many conditions, review becomes messy. Was the winning trade good because of RSI, the moving average, the level, the session, or luck?
A simple setup is easier to track. The trader can review 20 or 50 trades and see what actually happened. Did the level work? Was the entry late? Was the stop too tight? Was the target realistic? This creates better feedback. Better feedback creates better decisions.
Simple does not mean random. It means the rules are clear enough to test.
Clean Setups Make Risk Easier
Risk becomes clearer when the chart is simple. If a trader enters because several indicators look good, the stop loss can become confusing. Should it go under the moving average, under the last candle, under support, or based on an indicator turning back?
A price action setup usually gives a cleaner invalidation point. If the trade is based on a retest, the stop can go beyond the retest zone. If it is based on a rejection, the stop can go beyond the wick. The market either respects the setup or it fails.
That clarity is important because every trade can lose. A clean setup does not remove risk. It helps the trader define risk before entering.
Final Takeaway
Complicated charts can make trading feel more advanced, but they often make decisions worse. Too many tools create noise, hesitation, and late entries.
The goal is not to make the chart look smart. The goal is to make the decision clear.
Clean chart. Clear risk. Repeatable setup. That is why simple setups often beat complicated systems.
Swallow Academy
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Υποτιμητική
$BTC is correcting right now and the structure is clearly pointing lower — the move toward 75K is still very much alive, it’s just taking a bit longer. Why This Level Matters: We broke structure and price is now sitting inside a supply zone around 78,500. Heading into the weekend, a liquidity grab to the upside is likely before the real continuation lower. Gameplan / Primary Scenario: We are not chasing this short. Let price push up, grab liquidity above current levels, then wait for the MSB to confirm the reversal. Once that MSB prints, we sell with the next leg targeting 75K.
$BTC is correcting right now and the structure is clearly pointing lower — the move toward 75K is still very much alive, it’s just taking a bit longer.

Why This Level Matters:
We broke structure and price is now sitting inside a supply zone around 78,500. Heading into the weekend, a liquidity grab to the upside is likely before the real continuation lower.

Gameplan / Primary Scenario:
We are not chasing this short. Let price push up, grab liquidity above current levels, then wait for the MSB to confirm the reversal. Once that MSB prints, we sell with the next leg targeting 75K.
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Υποτιμητική
$SOL has good momentum — after that bigger liquidity movement, price has stopped at a local support zone, which we expect to break. As soon as the break is confirmed, we will be going for a short entry where our ideal short entry is sitting at as well. On the other hand, we might see one more bullish liquidity move (not a big one), and if that happens, we will be looking for a proper MSB right there.
$SOL has good momentum — after that bigger liquidity movement, price has stopped at a local support zone, which we expect to break.

As soon as the break is confirmed, we will be going for a short entry where our ideal short entry is sitting at as well.

On the other hand, we might see one more bullish liquidity move (not a big one), and if that happens, we will be looking for a proper MSB right there.
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Υποτιμητική
$XAU is in a clear bearish trend. After that strong breakdown of the zone we've been watching for quite some time and a successful re-test, price formed a proper BOS and is now continuing the fall. We are targeting the $4360 area.
$XAU is in a clear bearish trend. After that strong breakdown of the zone we've been watching for quite some time and a successful re-test, price formed a proper BOS and is now continuing the fall.

We are targeting the $4360 area.
Άρθρο
Change These 5 Trading Habits Before They Blow Your AccountMost traders do not lose because they know nothing about charts. They lose because they repeat the same bad habits until the account cannot survive anymore. A trader can identify support and resistance levels. A trader can understand market structure. A trader can spot clean setups. But if the habits are bad, the account still bleeds. Here are five habits that traders need to change if they want better results. Stop Re-Entering the Same Trade After a Loss This is one of the fastest ways to destroy a good trading day. You take a trade, and it loses. Then you look at the same setup again and think: “Maybe I entered too early.” “Maybe the real entry is lower.” “Maybe I should take it again from another level.” That is usually not analysis. That is revenge. After a loss, your mind wants to fix the pain quickly. The chart starts looking personal. You trade to get your money back - that's dangerous. A lost trade already gave you information. It told you that your first idea did not work, or your timing was wrong, or the market was not ready. If you enter again right away from a different level, you may be trading the same weak idea twice. One loss becomes two. Two losses become a red day. A red day becomes a broken plan. After a loss on one setup, step back. Do not re-enter the same idea unless the chart gives an entirely new setup with fresh confirmation. A small bounce, a small candle, or “it looks better now” is not enough. You need a new reason. That can be a new structure break, a clean retest, a strong rejection from a key level, or a proper shift in market direction. If the reason is only “I want my loss back,” skip it. Wait for Proper Confirmation, Then Trade With Real Size Many traders enter too early because they want a smaller stop. The logic sounds smart at first: “If I enter early, I can use a smaller size and smaller risk.” This is where many traders hurt themselves. They enter early with small size, get stopped, enter early again, get stopped again, and then complain that the setup does not work. It is usually better to wait for the market to confirm the move, then enter with more confidence and a proper size that matches your risk plan. Confirmation does not mean waiting forever. It means waiting for the thing your setup needs before you click. For example: If you trade market structure breaks, wait for a clear break and retest. If you trade support and resistance, wait for a real reaction from the level. If you trade trend pullbacks, wait for price to hold the trend area. If you trade liquidity sweeps, wait for the sweep and the rejection. Understand That the Problem Is Often Account Size Many traders blame their skill when the real problem is account size. This does not mean skill is not important. Skill matters. But account size changes everything. A small account puts heavy pressure on every trade. If the account is too small, the trader wants fast results. They start risking too much. They overtrade. They try to turn a tiny account into a big account in a few days. If your account is small, you need to accept the reality of that account. You cannot trade it like a large account. You cannot expect full-time income from a tiny balance. You cannot force large results without taking large risk. - That is a mistake. The account size must match the expectation. If the account is small, focus on process. If the process becomes strong, the account can grow over time. Stop Moving Your Stop Loss Because You “Believe” in the Trade A stop loss is not there for decoration. This is the point at which your trade idea is considered wrong. If you move it only because price is getting close, you are no longer managing risk. You are avoiding the truth. If the stop is below a retest low, it should stay there. If the stop is above a rejection high, it should stay there. If price hits it, the setup failed - That is trading. Moving a stop without a clear reason creates unlimited risk. It also trains the brain to avoid losses instead of accepting them. Stop Judging Yourself by One Trade One trade means almost nothing. A single win does not make you a great trader. A single loss does not make you a bad trader. Trading is a series game. The better habit is to judge your trading from a sample of trades, not one result. Look at 20 trades. Look at 50 trades. Ask better questions: Did I follow my plan? Did I enter only clean setups? Did I respect my stop? Did I avoid revenge trades? Did I manage risk properly? Did I repeat my best setup? That is how you find the real problem. Trading gets easier when you stop making every trade personal. A loss is data. A win is data. A missed trade is data.....Use the data. Do not turn every result into drama. The Real Goal: Fewer Bad Decisions No habit can make trading risk-free. Losses are part of trading. Even strong setups can fail. The goal is not to avoid every loss. The goal is to avoid stupid losses. Judge your performance from a series of trades, not one result. These habits sound simple, but they are hard to follow under pressure. That is why most traders know the rules and still break them. Swallow Academy

Change These 5 Trading Habits Before They Blow Your Account

Most traders do not lose because they know nothing about charts. They lose because they repeat the same bad habits until the account cannot survive anymore.
A trader can identify support and resistance levels. A trader can understand market structure. A trader can spot clean setups. But if the habits are bad, the account still bleeds.
Here are five habits that traders need to change if they want better results.
Stop Re-Entering the Same Trade After a Loss
This is one of the fastest ways to destroy a good trading day. You take a trade, and it loses. Then you look at the same setup again and think:
“Maybe I entered too early.”
“Maybe the real entry is lower.”
“Maybe I should take it again from another level.”
That is usually not analysis. That is revenge. After a loss, your mind wants to fix the pain quickly. The chart starts looking personal. You trade to get your money back - that's dangerous.
A lost trade already gave you information. It told you that your first idea did not work, or your timing was wrong, or the market was not ready. If you enter again right away from a different level, you may be trading the same weak idea twice.
One loss becomes two. Two losses become a red day. A red day becomes a broken plan.
After a loss on one setup, step back. Do not re-enter the same idea unless the chart gives an entirely new setup with fresh confirmation. A small bounce, a small candle, or “it looks better now” is not enough.
You need a new reason. That can be a new structure break, a clean retest, a strong rejection from a key level, or a proper shift in market direction. If the reason is only “I want my loss back,” skip it.
Wait for Proper Confirmation, Then Trade With Real Size
Many traders enter too early because they want a smaller stop. The logic sounds smart at first: “If I enter early, I can use a smaller size and smaller risk.”
This is where many traders hurt themselves. They enter early with small size, get stopped, enter early again, get stopped again, and then complain that the setup does not work.
It is usually better to wait for the market to confirm the move, then enter with more confidence and a proper size that matches your risk plan.
Confirmation does not mean waiting forever. It means waiting for the thing your setup needs before you click.
For example:
If you trade market structure breaks, wait for a clear break and retest.
If you trade support and resistance, wait for a real reaction from the level.
If you trade trend pullbacks, wait for price to hold the trend area.
If you trade liquidity sweeps, wait for the sweep and the rejection.
Understand That the Problem Is Often Account Size
Many traders blame their skill when the real problem is account size. This does not mean skill is not important. Skill matters. But account size changes everything.
A small account puts heavy pressure on every trade. If the account is too small, the trader wants fast results. They start risking too much. They overtrade. They try to turn a tiny account into a big account in a few days.
If your account is small, you need to accept the reality of that account. You cannot trade it like a large account. You cannot expect full-time income from a tiny balance. You cannot force large results without taking large risk. - That is a mistake.
The account size must match the expectation. If the account is small, focus on process. If the process becomes strong, the account can grow over time.
Stop Moving Your Stop Loss Because You “Believe” in the Trade
A stop loss is not there for decoration. This is the point at which your trade idea is considered wrong.
If you move it only because price is getting close, you are no longer managing risk. You are avoiding the truth.
If the stop is below a retest low, it should stay there. If the stop is above a rejection high, it should stay there. If price hits it, the setup failed - That is trading.
Moving a stop without a clear reason creates unlimited risk. It also trains the brain to avoid losses instead of accepting them.
Stop Judging Yourself by One Trade
One trade means almost nothing. A single win does not make you a great trader. A single loss does not make you a bad trader. Trading is a series game.
The better habit is to judge your trading from a sample of trades, not one result.
Look at 20 trades. Look at 50 trades. Ask better questions:
Did I follow my plan?
Did I enter only clean setups?
Did I respect my stop?
Did I avoid revenge trades?
Did I manage risk properly?
Did I repeat my best setup?
That is how you find the real problem. Trading gets easier when you stop making every trade personal. A loss is data. A win is data. A missed trade is data.....Use the data. Do not turn every result into drama.
The Real Goal: Fewer Bad Decisions
No habit can make trading risk-free. Losses are part of trading. Even strong setups can fail. The goal is not to avoid every loss. The goal is to avoid stupid losses.
Judge your performance from a series of trades, not one result.
These habits sound simple, but they are hard to follow under pressure. That is why most traders know the rules and still break them.
Swallow Academy
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Υποτιμητική
$BTC is heading toward that $75K zone, which is one of the most important levels for us right now. We are keeping a close eye on that zone as it is the entry area for the bigger downside movement we are expecting. Meanwhile, smaller short setups can be taken while price falls toward the $75K area. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$BTC is heading toward that $75K zone, which is one of the most important levels for us right now.

We are keeping a close eye on that zone as it is the entry area for the bigger downside movement we are expecting.

Meanwhile, smaller short setups can be taken while price falls toward the $75K area. #BTCPriceAnalysis
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Υποτιμητική
$TON going for the breakdown here which would sweep the support (which is currently happening) and now we are most likely going for a further movement to lower zones here. Ideal entry for short if you missed the first MSB that formed on the upper zones!
$TON going for the breakdown here which would sweep the support (which is currently happening) and now we are most likely going for a further movement to lower zones here.

Ideal entry for short if you missed the first MSB that formed on the upper zones!
As you might have already understood, we are looking for some kind of breakout on $LTC , which would give us that long momentum with a decent RR ratio! More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
As you might have already understood, we are looking for some kind of breakout on $LTC , which would give us that long momentum with a decent RR ratio!

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
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Ανατιμητική
$BNB looks strong and is moving to fill the CME gap here. Seems like nothing hard; the volume is strong and momentum is not going away. A breakout is forming and similarities to last weekend can be seen, where we also had decent volume with a CME gap on the way. So that being said, looks like a solid long here!
$BNB looks strong and is moving to fill the CME gap here. Seems like nothing hard; the volume is strong and momentum is not going away.

A breakout is forming and similarities to last weekend can be seen, where we also had decent volume with a CME gap on the way.

So that being said, looks like a solid long here!
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Ανατιμητική
$ETH looks like it could do a good breakout very soon which would instantly open a smaller long opportunity. As soon as we get that breakout we are going to be looking for an entry after a successful re-test of the broken zone. 1:2 RR setup is unfolding here, let's see!
$ETH looks like it could do a good breakout very soon which would instantly open a smaller long opportunity.

As soon as we get that breakout we are going to be looking for an entry after a successful re-test of the broken zone.

1:2 RR setup is unfolding here, let's see!
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Ανατιμητική
$BTC seems to be building up a decent market structure here, which could turn the $76,400 zone into a good breakout area. So nothing really hard; as mentioned, the breakout is what we are looking for. After that, we can be taking a smaller long position up until $77,750.
$BTC seems to be building up a decent market structure here, which could turn the $76,400 zone into a good breakout area.

So nothing really hard; as mentioned, the breakout is what we are looking for. After that, we can be taking a smaller long position up until $77,750.
This is a decent long opportunity forming here on $DOT , which could give us a 5-7% market price movement—while on the bigger timeframes, we could not really say that we are as bullish as on the smaller timeframe! More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy! #DOTPriceAnalysis
This is a decent long opportunity forming here on $DOT , which could give us a 5-7% market price movement—while on the bigger timeframes, we could not really say that we are as bullish as on the smaller timeframe!

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy! #DOTPriceAnalysis
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Υποτιμητική
CME on $VET seems like it is going to be filled here but this setup looks very likely like the structure movement on 22-23 March when we had a similar CME gap and also similar movement on markets so gameplan is really simple. Wait for the price to fill that bullish gap — wait for the proper market structure break to form — go short! #VETPriceAnalysis
CME on $VET seems like it is going to be filled here but this setup looks very likely like the structure movement on 22-23 March when we had a similar CME gap and also similar movement on markets so gameplan is really simple.

Wait for the price to fill that bullish gap — wait for the proper market structure break to form — go short! #VETPriceAnalysis
Weekly $ADA looks like a sweet spot for a long-term investment but on a smaller timeframe, we just formed a decent MSB, which could give us a really good shorting setup! #ADAPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Weekly $ADA looks like a sweet spot for a long-term investment but on a smaller timeframe, we just formed a decent MSB, which could give us a really good shorting setup! #ADAPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
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Υποτιμητική
Weekly timeframe is showing a strong sideways channel on $ETC . Looking on daily timeframe we still got some room to the upper zone which could be filled until the end of this week. So what we are going to look for is a DCA strategy and from the new week we expect to see the target to be filled. #ETCPriceAnalysis
Weekly timeframe is showing a strong sideways channel on $ETC . Looking on daily timeframe we still got some room to the upper zone which could be filled until the end of this week.

So what we are going to look for is a DCA strategy and from the new week we expect to see the target to be filled. #ETCPriceAnalysis
$TRX has been performing very well, where transactions on TRX have been going wild, and so is the price of TRX. With all the demand the most logical thing would be a further push to the local resistance zone at $0.34-0.36. So that's the plan; after that a smaller pullback can be expected. #TRXPriceAnalysis
$TRX has been performing very well, where transactions on TRX have been going wild, and so is the price of TRX. With all the demand the most logical thing would be a further push to the local resistance zone at $0.34-0.36.

So that's the plan; after that a smaller pullback can be expected. #TRXPriceAnalysis
$TON has great potential in the long run but as of now there is even greater potential for a short position so that's exactly what we are going to be looking at! #TONPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$TON has great potential in the long run but as of now there is even greater potential for a short position so that's exactly what we are going to be looking at! #TONPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
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