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Na análise técnica, é importante entender a estrutura de uma correção. Em uma forte tendência de alta, os pullbacks raramente ocorrem em linha reta. Frequentemente, formam-se pullbacks de múltiplas ondas (complexos) - movimentos complexos compostos por uma série de ondas internas.

A condição principal: eles não devem romper o suporte chave (a mínima da onda que precedeu a máxima mais alta da tendência atual).

Enquanto o preço se mantiver acima dessa zona, a tendência global não muda. Esses pullbacks são apenas uma correção prolongada da tendência de alta. O mercado simplesmente faz uma pausa e acumula liquidez antes de um novo impulso para cima, dando aos traders uma excelente oportunidade de entrar no movimento principal.

📊 #BTC CEO da CQ: from the standpoint of the traditional cycle, BTC is not yet near the bottom.

The risk-reward ratio increases dramatically as the price approaches the investment cost.

All cycles reached the realized price. If it doesn't reach it this time, then maybe, "this time it's different".

#ONDO We expect a retest of the minimum at $0.2?

The coin followed a negative scenario and fell below $0.4; we also observed a decrease in trading volumes amid reduced buying activity.

Given these negative factors, it’s worth considering the scenario of a retest of the minimum at $0.2, since the market is still in a bearish phase and the priority remains the downward move.

Locally, I’m waiting for a retest of support at $0.2435, and there we’ll need to watch the reaction to that level. But it’s possible to consider a potential short for about ±20% of a clean move.
$ONDO $BTC

A strategy will outlast a bitcoin drop to $26,600 - stress test

Adam Livingston conducted a three-year stress test of Strategy in an extremely negative scenario:

— bitcoin falls by approximately 55%, to $26,611;
— Strategy’s mNAV drops below 0.5x;
— the capital markets all but shut down;
— the company can’t raise funds through new issuances.

According to Livingston’s calculations, even in this scenario, Strategy doesn’t face an immediate liquidation or a "death spiral".

The company can continue meeting its obligations with its available cash reserves and its bitcoin holdings. For a real threat to emerge, it would require not only a short-term crash in BTC, but also an extended period of low prices and no access to capital.

While the rest of the crypto market suffered a pullback, RWA tokenization did exactly the opposite. A new report from Binance Research shows that the RWA sector has surged an impressive 589% since the start of 2025, reaching an impressive market value of US$ 31.8 billion! 📈

The financial world is changing rapidly toward RWAs for four major reasons:

💼 Institutional-grade adoption
Institutional giants like BlackRock are injecting massive capital into the space, proving that on-chain assets are here to stay.

💸 Real yield, not hype
Investors are tired of pure speculation. They want reliable, predictable returns backed by tangible real-world assets.

⚖️ Regulatory clarity
As major financial hubs establish clear frameworks, the space becomes safer and more transparent for investors around the world.

🔓 The end of high barriers
Tokenization completely removes the old intermediaries (gatekeepers), allowing anyone to own fractions of premium assets with just a fraction of the capital.

The big lesson for you
This massive boom of US$ 31.8 billion proves that what we’re doing at Headway NOVA isn’t just some passing crypto trend. It’s officially becoming the future of global finance. By holding real estate tokens, you’re already playing the exact same macro game that Wall Street is racing to get into.

Ready to ride the biggest wave in modern finance?
Access the NOVA app, secure your tokens, and get ready for your next dividend payment 💰

Gold and silver have been reliable stores of value for centuries. However, the way to invest in these assets is undergoing a major digital evolution 🌐

Years ago, ETFs made it easier to access gold without needing to keep physical bars. Now, tokenization is taking it one step further by integrating precious metals directly into the digital financial system, operating 24/7.

Here’s what tokenized metals can offer—and that traditional ETFs can’t:

⚡️ You can buy, sell, or transfer your assets at any time of day, instantly.
💼 Tokenized gold can be used as collateral for digital loans and other financial operations.
🔍 Physical metals create storage and insurance costs. While ETFs often bundle these expenses into grouped management fees, tokenization enables those custody costs to be completely transparent.

The precious metals themselves aren’t changing, but the way we can use them is. Tokenization is successfully transforming a traditional, static asset into a modern, efficient, and far more versatile digital asset 🚀

Tokenized oil 🛢

The International Digital Exchange (INDEX) has just announced LITRO: a token backed by physical crude oil. Each token represents 1 liter of oil, with its value tied to global benchmarks, Brent and WTI.

How it will work:

🔹 Oil producers will provide reserve data, verified by independent audits

🔹 Tokens will be issued 1:1 with the real physical oil

🔹 The oil remains with the producer, but property rights are recorded on the blockchain

First it was real estate. Now it’s time for oil to join the party. Real-world assets are moving to the blockchain, and those who get there early have the advantage 🎉

👉 The sooner you get in, the better before this becomes a global trend

Do you think Dogecoin is just a meme coin? Maybe it’s heading toward a much more serious role ⤵️

Dogecoin Foundation director Timothy Stebbing recently revealed a 2- to 3-year plan to transform DOGE from a purely speculative asset into a value-backed currency 😲

His idea is to use a DOGE-based system to trade tokenized assets. He mentioned the possibility of tokenizing companies, hotels, minerals, and even oil and gas. In this scenario, DOGE would act as the currency used to buy and sell those assets.

RWAs (real-world assets) are among the hottest topics in the crypto market right now, and when even memecoins want to get in on this trend, it’s a clear sign that the market is increasingly looking at real assets.

🔥 What is a cryptocurrency’s market capitalization, and why the price of a coin means nothing on its own?

Many beginners think: if a coin costs $0.01, it means it’s cheap and can easily grow 100x. But looking only at the price is a mistake.

📌 Market capitalization (Market Cap) shows the total value of a project.

The formula is simple:

Coin price × circulating supply = market cap.

Example:

Coin A costs $1 , and there are 1 billion coins in circulation.
Market cap = $1 billion.

Coin B costs $100, but there are only 1 million coins in circulation.
Market cap = $100 million.

It turns out that the $1 coin is actually valued by the market 10 times more than the $100 coin.

Why does this matter?

The higher the market cap, the harder it is for a project to multiply its value quickly.

Smaller projects may show stronger growth, but the risks are also significantly higher.

The price of a single coin by itself doesn’t say whether a project is expensive or cheap.

⚠️ Therefore, before buying, always look not only at the token’s price, but also at its market cap. Sometimes a coin trading at $0.01 is already valued by the market in billions of dollars, and its growth potential is highly limited.

📉 The crypto market has set a sad record: the largest drop in market capitalization over a period of 8 months in all of history (-$2.3 trillion)

😨 A record high was reached in Bitcoin (but not the one we wanted)

The number of BTC in losses reached 10.83 million! All these coins are in the sell-risk zone, and never before in history has there been this many.

Cousins,

📊 In the last month, the value of resources in ETFs (exchange-traded funds) fell by about 3.75 billion dollars.
In the same period, bitcoin’s market capitalization decreased by about 14 billion dollars.

💥 This means that only ETF outflows account for about 25% of all capital outflows from the network.
The era of ETFs doesn’t only change growth prospects.
It also changes the situation on the sell-side.

Why are they advising Saylor to stop buying BTC?

In yesterday’s stock market sell-off, bitcoin showed absolutely no reaction and held at the 62k level.

On the one hand, that’s good, but on the other—there’s nobody to buy (absorb) it right now. As we approach the sellers’ liquidity, we immediately pull back. ETF outflows are also still continuing, so for now we’re stuck in the $60–65k range.

We barely got past one FUD involving Strategy, and already a new one pops up 😁

Now the market is worried about MSTR’s stock drop. More and more people are saying that Saylor should pause BTC purchases, accumulate cash, and return to them later.

The argument is simple: at this moment, the Strategy is effectively absorbing the selling pressure, not allowing the market to enter a deeper correction. Meanwhile, MSTR shares keep renewing their lows, and reserves are being depleted.

That’s why it seems far more logical for many to let the market clear out the “weak hands,” accumulate liquidity, and only then actively resume buying BTC.

What Saylor will do—the time will tell.

🩸 BTC FALLS BELOW $60K — NEAR $1B IN LIQUIDATIONS

⚡ A morning flash crash pushed Bitcoin below $60,000 and unleashed carnage: $994M liquidated in 24h, with $780M in LONG positions burned.

💥 The numbers of the massacre:
▸ $780M from longs (78% of the losses)
▸ Trading volume exploded to $98Bn
▸ Fear & Greed fell to 12/100 — practically the all-time low

🏦 Institutions rushing to exit:
▸ $469M in outflows from Bitcoin ETFs (highest of the month)
▸ BlackRock IBIT pulled $239M of that bleeding
▸ Intense redemptions in spot funds

📉 Critical backdrop:
▸ Fear & Greed was at 24/100 just 2 days ago
▸ The drop marked the largest daily ETF outflow since the beginning of June

🎯 The question now: real support at $59K or is it still just bouncing? Massive institutional exit movement + leveraged liquidations = genuine panic. The next level to watch is $58K.

😨 Strategy's annual obligations tied to dividend payments have nearly quadrupled—reaching $1.2 billion

Meanwhile, its cash reserves in 2026 fell 38%. As a result, the dividend coverage dropped from 7 years to just 14 months

According to CryptoQuant analysts, the company needs to pause its bitcoin purchases and rebuild its cash reserves

💰 SUI/USDT

The price of SUI is falling toward its previous low at $0.66. If the price reaches this level and shows a reaction, an uptrend will begin to form. The main target for the rally is the 4-hour OB zone above the $0.78 level.
$SUI

🪙 Grayscale: Bitcoin could match the stock market.

Since the onset of the conflict between the US and Iran, American stocks have risen by 9%, while BTC has dipped by 1% and Gold has plummeted by 20%.

Grayscale believes that investors have started to price in the likelihood of a Fed rate hike in 2026, which is putting pressure on both BTC and Gold. However, the company's main scenario assumes that the regulator won't tighten monetary policy.

If this forecast materializes, BTC could quickly catch up to stocks.

The company's analysts see Bitcoin as "digital gold" and a long-term investment in the growth of the crypto market.