The market is dead right now, there's almost no activity, everyone's just sitting there and whining...
Meanwhile, there was a completely obvious move right under our noses that many, including me, simply ignored.
For me, it all started when one of the participants in a private meeting asked me to analyze BILL, which was already skyrocketing at that point.
👀 After analysis, it turned out:
The project didn't distribute any tokens to anyone after the listing, neither the sale nor the retrodrop:
👉 The drop is postponed until the 18th or later.
👉 Sellers are given a choice: — either lock the tokens for 6/12 months and receive +25% / +50% — or take the refund.
And the decision must be made BEFORE the 18th.
🤔 Here's where the fun begins:
If the price had flattened immediately, everyone would have simply refunded. And for the project, that means less liquidity and a shitty reputation.
They needed to drive up the price and create FOMO so that everyone would choose the lock instead of the refund. Which was easy, since they held all the tokens.
But all this only worked until the 18th 🐶
🤑 These are the kinds of "insights" I love—when you simply understand the mechanics, rather than guessing like a lunatic.
And most importantly, if the token hadn't caught my attention, the case would have been a complete failure.
$GRASS Do we believe the greens (grass) will soon be giving out rewards?
They wrote that only real users will receive rewards. If your personal account looks like the screenshot, you've likely been shaved off and won't receive any drops. If it displays points, everything's fine.
On that information could easy touch 0,63-0,65 range.
After a strong rally in 2025, when ETH approached $5,000, the asset entered a protracted bearish trend. Currently, the price is struggling to hold near $2,000, locally falling below $1,700. A market consensus is emerging that the global bottom has not yet been reached.
The realized price bands provide a guide for the potential low of the current cycle. In past cycles, the lower band of this metric served as the absolute market bottom. Currently, this support line is at $1,154.
If the historical pattern repeats, the likelihood of seeing ETH below $1,200 in the coming months is assessed as extremely high. A capitulation to these levels will be the final point of market clearing before the new cycle.
Historically, during bullish phases, this indicator consistently remains above 75%, while bearish markets typically see a drop in profitable supply to 45%. During the recent dip below $60,000, the metric approached the balance zone, falling to 51%.
To maintain the medium-term growth structure, the market needs to maintain the current level of unrealized profits to encourage investors to continue holding positions.
If this foothold is lost, supply in the drawdown will begin to weigh on the market, triggering a new wave of capitulation. A momentum breakout to 75% will confirm the strength of the bullish cycle.
Contracts of the European stablecoin issuer StablR (a Tether shell company) were hacked.
The damage amounts to approximately $10 million—the $EURR and $USDR tokens became unpegged and dropped by more than 20%.
The attack was not caused by a bug in the contract, but by the compromise of the private key of one of the owners of the multisig used to create the stablecoins.
Since the setup was 1-of-3, the hacker only needed one key: he added himself as an owner, replaced two legitimate participants, gained control of the token issuance, and mined 4.5 million EURR and 8.35 million USDR. These tokens were then quickly swapped to a low-liquidity DEX, generating approximately $1,115 in ETH.
StablR is a stablecoin issuer fully compliant with European MiCA regulations.
The next target within the structure remains the same: liquidity pools in the 78k-80k range, where a large volume of short stops has accumulated.
The priority scenario is a rise to 78k, followed by a rejection and a downward trend. The previous order flow analysis confirms that the current upward movement is driven by short-selling. Once this resource is exhausted, the entire uptrend will be called into question, and the price will undergo a full-scale pullback.
On the S&P 500, daily call option buying volume reached $2.6 trillion in nominal value—a new all-time high. Such a surge typically reflects aggressive demand for growth bets and a shift toward more bullish positioning.
If this flow was part of a momentum buyback, it maintains risk appetite and could accelerate the move higher. However, if the volume was a localized spike, the market will quickly return to sellers and reveal the true selling wall.
Bitcoin's HODL Waves have collapsed for short-term holders (0-6 months). This is reducing the share of speculative coins in weak hands and removing some of the fuel for panic selling. The market is becoming drier due to hot supply, making it harder for sellers to push the price lower.
If the zone holds, the initiative will remain with the buyers, opening the way for a rebound. If sellers break through this layer, the next magnet will be deeper liquidity, where it will be decided whether this was simply a noise dump or the start of a new momentum.