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#Bitcoin is getting weaker and might break into the $60Ks again.
It lost a crucial level of support, and by doing that, there's a lot of fear whether or not we'll be seeing any upwards momentum from here.
Notably, I wanted it to sustain above $75,000-76,000, but on a classic Friday afternoon correction, it lost this support area.
That has flipped the thesis slightly for me, as now, breaking back above $76,600 would be a great area for strong upwards momentum, but for now, being conservative makes a lot of sense.
On the other hand:
- Corrections on Friday doesn't always align with being a consistent correction. They flip back bullish quite often.
- There are multiple CME gaps above the current price due to the weekend corrections with the highest one being at $79,100.
That said, if Bitcoin doesn't grind back upwards to $76,600+, then there's clearly no argument to assume that we're going to get into new highs and just remaining within this range.
What about altcoins?
I'd prefer to see them bounce back stronger when Bitcoin finds support. Volatility remains super high on them, that's why I'm more aggressive with the profit taking in order to hedge the volatility of my portfolio.
It lost a crucial level of support, and by doing that, there's a lot of fear whether or not we'll be seeing any upwards momentum from here.
Notably, I wanted it to sustain above $75,000-76,000, but on a classic Friday afternoon correction, it lost this support area.
That has flipped the thesis slightly for me, as now, breaking back above $76,600 would be a great area for strong upwards momentum, but for now, being conservative makes a lot of sense.
On the other hand:
- Corrections on Friday doesn't always align with being a consistent correction. They flip back bullish quite often.
- There are multiple CME gaps above the current price due to the weekend corrections with the highest one being at $79,100.
That said, if Bitcoin doesn't grind back upwards to $76,600+, then there's clearly no argument to assume that we're going to get into new highs and just remaining within this range.
What about altcoins?
I'd prefer to see them bounce back stronger when Bitcoin finds support. Volatility remains super high on them, that's why I'm more aggressive with the profit taking in order to hedge the volatility of my portfolio.
The markets are still looking great for #Bitcoin .
If this continues to find momentum going into next week, I would assume the breakout will happen then.
Other than that, the 21-MA is nicely holding up as support, if that breaks, then we're in the path of potential further corrections.
Until then: $90K is still on the cards.
If this continues to find momentum going into next week, I would assume the breakout will happen then.
Other than that, the 21-MA is nicely holding up as support, if that breaks, then we're in the path of potential further corrections.
Until then: $90K is still on the cards.
#Bitcoin rallies back upwards, after a test at $79K and the 21-Day MA.
The trend is not over. The trend looks to be continuing upwards.
There are no arguments to be expecting a correction to happen, not at all.
There are actually more arguments to be expecting a continuation of the rally.
Other than that, the trend is clearly continuing and it's a matter of time until the markets test the highs and likely break upwards to $90K.
That's the crucial region for me, and I would still expect that area to be tested in May/June.
The trend is not over. The trend looks to be continuing upwards.
There are no arguments to be expecting a correction to happen, not at all.
There are actually more arguments to be expecting a continuation of the rally.
Other than that, the trend is clearly continuing and it's a matter of time until the markets test the highs and likely break upwards to $90K.
That's the crucial region for me, and I would still expect that area to be tested in May/June.
This is the best chart in the entire ecosystem, in my opinion.
#Bitcoin valued against Gold.
The war in Iran started, and Bitcoin has been outperforming Gold significantly as a new 'equilibrium' was established.
Since then, Bitcoin has outperformed #Gold by 45%, and a complete regime switch has occurred in the markets.
Technically, you could already see that Bitcoin was such a phenomenal buying opportunity in that range.
The RSI dove below 30; the gap between the MA and the current valuation has never been as wide as it is now, and historically, on any of these occasions, the markets have proven to be a generational buying opportunity for the asset.
I don't think we'll see the lows again; we'll probably go back and forth against Gold and start to see a strong uptrend in the coming years.
Gold's time is done for now, #Bitcoin's time is here.
#Bitcoin valued against Gold.
The war in Iran started, and Bitcoin has been outperforming Gold significantly as a new 'equilibrium' was established.
Since then, Bitcoin has outperformed #Gold by 45%, and a complete regime switch has occurred in the markets.
Technically, you could already see that Bitcoin was such a phenomenal buying opportunity in that range.
The RSI dove below 30; the gap between the MA and the current valuation has never been as wide as it is now, and historically, on any of these occasions, the markets have proven to be a generational buying opportunity for the asset.
I don't think we'll see the lows again; we'll probably go back and forth against Gold and start to see a strong uptrend in the coming years.
Gold's time is done for now, #Bitcoin's time is here.
I don't see signals on #Bitcoin of exhaustion. Not at all.
It's a gradual move upwards with constant momentum.
Every dip is constantly being bought up, which means that we need to see first whether resistance breaks to show whether the markets are actually done here.
Other than that, I think that we'll be seeing $86-90K in the coming 2-3 weeks and that we'll be seeing more strength on #Altcoins on the horizon.
That's why I think that the 'buy the dip' menality is still right here.
It's a gradual move upwards with constant momentum.
Every dip is constantly being bought up, which means that we need to see first whether resistance breaks to show whether the markets are actually done here.
Other than that, I think that we'll be seeing $86-90K in the coming 2-3 weeks and that we'll be seeing more strength on #Altcoins on the horizon.
That's why I think that the 'buy the dip' menality is still right here.
This is the biggest signal that we're in for strength on the #Crypto & #Altcoin markets.
It has nothing to do with crypto, but it tells a strong story on the appetite of investors in the markets.
It's the Copper vs. Gold ratio.
We've seen Gold go vertical over the course of the last quarter of 2025.
Now, finally, we start to see Copper move upwards vs. Gold, after a bear market of approximately five years.
The exact same length as most of the #Altcoins have witnessed their bear market vs. Bitcoin.
The chart shows the correlation between ETH/BTC vs. Copper/Gold. It's almost identical.
Sure, the chart can move around for a few weeks later/earlier on either of the two, but it's clear that the momentum will shift into the pendulum of crypto the moment that copper starts to break to the upside.
It also resonates with the fact that the altcoin markets have seen the strongest bear market ever.
Given that Copper is finally breaking out upwards, the entire business cycle and risk appetite is shifting in favor of risk-on assets and that would be great for altcoins.
I don't think we'll see a heavy correction soon, I'd rather be positioned for more upside to come in the coming 1-2 months.
It has nothing to do with crypto, but it tells a strong story on the appetite of investors in the markets.
It's the Copper vs. Gold ratio.
We've seen Gold go vertical over the course of the last quarter of 2025.
Now, finally, we start to see Copper move upwards vs. Gold, after a bear market of approximately five years.
The exact same length as most of the #Altcoins have witnessed their bear market vs. Bitcoin.
The chart shows the correlation between ETH/BTC vs. Copper/Gold. It's almost identical.
Sure, the chart can move around for a few weeks later/earlier on either of the two, but it's clear that the momentum will shift into the pendulum of crypto the moment that copper starts to break to the upside.
It also resonates with the fact that the altcoin markets have seen the strongest bear market ever.
Given that Copper is finally breaking out upwards, the entire business cycle and risk appetite is shifting in favor of risk-on assets and that would be great for altcoins.
I don't think we'll see a heavy correction soon, I'd rather be positioned for more upside to come in the coming 1-2 months.
I've mentioned before that the breakout of $1.41 is important for $NEAR .
It broke upwards, and therefore, it's in a new range of support and resistance zones.
As long as the price stays above that $1.41 area, the next resistance zone is at $2 for $NEAR
It broke upwards, and therefore, it's in a new range of support and resistance zones.
As long as the price stays above that $1.41 area, the next resistance zone is at $2 for $NEAR
There's still a small CME gap beneath us, so it's not surprising that we're seeing some corrections in the markets for #Bitcoin .
Other than that, the trend remains upward.
The 21-MA is below the current price; there's still a lot of momentum, and there's no breakdown of the higher-high, higher-low structure at all.
There's no reason to believe that we're stalling soon.
Other than that, the trend remains upward.
The 21-MA is below the current price; there's still a lot of momentum, and there's no breakdown of the higher-high, higher-low structure at all.
There's no reason to believe that we're stalling soon.
Massive weekly candle for $LINK vs. BTC signaling that there's more strength coming from within the #Crypto market rather than Bitcoin alone.
What is the key signal for that?
The reason that Bitcoin already went up by 40% is showing that there's more confidence within this part of the markets and therefore money flows more within the ecosystem to be looking for momentum and returns.
Massive weekly candle, breaking the 21-Week MA and looking for momentum.
This trend can last for some more weeks, and hopefully, will be strong enough to be breaking this entire downtrend.
What is the key signal for that?
The reason that Bitcoin already went up by 40% is showing that there's more confidence within this part of the markets and therefore money flows more within the ecosystem to be looking for momentum and returns.
Massive weekly candle, breaking the 21-Week MA and looking for momentum.
This trend can last for some more weeks, and hopefully, will be strong enough to be breaking this entire downtrend.
It's not that often that a protocol is have a significant negative event causing brand damage and network risk, that is having such a strong resilience.
$TAO literally proved itself.
Price fell down, but within a month, price closed the gap since the event took place and is back to where it was.
Magnificent performance, I'm sure that we'll see higher prices in coming period.
$TAO literally proved itself.
Price fell down, but within a month, price closed the gap since the event took place and is back to where it was.
Magnificent performance, I'm sure that we'll see higher prices in coming period.
There are two crucial resistance zones for #Bitcoin to monitor.
- $86-88K.
- $93-95K (at the 50-Week MA).
In any first rally of the bull cycle, you'll see resistance around the previous support level and/or the 50-Week MA.
Has been the case in the 2017, 2021, and 2024 cycles.
#Bitcoin can easily consolidate around the resistance for a few weeks to toy around for the altcoins to make their run.
That's the period where you can start recouping losses or compound your profits.
After that, I wouldn't be surprised that we retest lower at $70-75K before we continue to run.
The bear market bottom is in, in my opinion.
- $86-88K.
- $93-95K (at the 50-Week MA).
In any first rally of the bull cycle, you'll see resistance around the previous support level and/or the 50-Week MA.
Has been the case in the 2017, 2021, and 2024 cycles.
#Bitcoin can easily consolidate around the resistance for a few weeks to toy around for the altcoins to make their run.
That's the period where you can start recouping losses or compound your profits.
After that, I wouldn't be surprised that we retest lower at $70-75K before we continue to run.
The bear market bottom is in, in my opinion.
The question is: How long does #Bitcoin continue to go up, to give #Altcoins space to continue to run?
Well, as long as the daily 21-MA acts beneath the current price, there's more legroom to go.
I do think that we'll have more upside and that we might be testing the $90K region, and during this stage, altcoins to outperform Bitcoin, selectively.
However, bear in mind that there will always be a correction taking place that could erase all profits.
Well, as long as the daily 21-MA acts beneath the current price, there's more legroom to go.
I do think that we'll have more upside and that we might be testing the $90K region, and during this stage, altcoins to outperform Bitcoin, selectively.
However, bear in mind that there will always be a correction taking place that could erase all profits.
The markets are beautifully waking up.
Strong #Altcoins breaking out left and right.
During times of regime switches:
- #Nasdaq moves first.
- $BTC follows with 1-3 weeks delay.
- #Altcoins follow with 1-3 weeks delay.
We're in that last part, where we finally start to see a multi-week momentum on altcoins take place.
Strong #Altcoins breaking out left and right.
During times of regime switches:
- #Nasdaq moves first.
- $BTC follows with 1-3 weeks delay.
- #Altcoins follow with 1-3 weeks delay.
We're in that last part, where we finally start to see a multi-week momentum on altcoins take place.
The markets are still not giving $ETH much value.
It broke down, which is understandable, and it might make a potential scenario that we're going to continue falling until the CLARITY Act is approved.
The start of the War signaled the bottom of #Bitcoin.
Perhaps a similar occurrence happens with $ETH bottoming out on the day that the CLARITY Act gets approved, as there seems to be a 'Sell the rumor, buy the news' type of structure.
Other than that, no reason to be buying $ETH over $BTC for now, until it gets into lower regions.
It broke down, which is understandable, and it might make a potential scenario that we're going to continue falling until the CLARITY Act is approved.
The start of the War signaled the bottom of #Bitcoin.
Perhaps a similar occurrence happens with $ETH bottoming out on the day that the CLARITY Act gets approved, as there seems to be a 'Sell the rumor, buy the news' type of structure.
Other than that, no reason to be buying $ETH over $BTC for now, until it gets into lower regions.
This is a fascinating chart.
It's the short to long-term realized value ratio on #Bitcoin .
It basically signals bear markets and detect when bottoms are on the horizon.
If you look at the charts, it's providing signals that are similar to the previous bottoming periods in 2022, 2018, 2014.
The levels are hit again, which shows that we're at the end of the bear market, and not at the start.
It's the short to long-term realized value ratio on #Bitcoin .
It basically signals bear markets and detect when bottoms are on the horizon.
If you look at the charts, it's providing signals that are similar to the previous bottoming periods in 2022, 2018, 2014.
The levels are hit again, which shows that we're at the end of the bear market, and not at the start.
#Bitcoin is doing just fine, however it needs to hold above $76K to avoid a breakdown of this entire upwards structure.
I do think that it will hold, and that we'll continue to rally, especially given that there's still the 50-Week MA above us.
The first rally out of a bear market lands at that resistance, and it would give some more momentum for #Altcoins .
I do think that it will hold, and that we'll continue to rally, especially given that there's still the 50-Week MA above us.
The first rally out of a bear market lands at that resistance, and it would give some more momentum for #Altcoins .
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