$XRP XRPUSDC (-2.41%) 🚀🔥💎📈⚡🐳🎉
XRP is consolidating within a healthy bullish trend, showing resilience after minor pullbacks 📊💥. The recent dip is acting as a retest of support, offering an opportunity for accumulation 🛠️💨. Momentum indicators suggest buyers are still dominant, keeping the overall structure intact ⚡🛑. Macro trends remain supportive, with XRP leading on adoption and liquidity inflows 🐳💰. Shorts facing this rally risk significant losses, emphasizing the power of the current uptrend 😈📉. Trendlines and EMAs are providing dynamic support, keeping buyers confident 💪🟢. Technical patterns point toward the continuation of the bullish momentum, attracting further attention from traders 🚀🌟.
📊 One indicator I really like to monitor is the STH SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio).
SOPR is used to gauge the profits or losses realized by short-term holders (STHs).
• Why track STH SOPR ?
First, because STHs account for the largest share of Bitcoin’s trading volume.
They are the most sensitive and reactive cohort to price movements, and they often act as exit liquidity.
👉 Put simply, every BTC is ultimately sold to an STH.
That’s why analyzing their behavior is particularly interesting.
💡 To identify a real trend, I prefer to look at the 30-day moving average of SOPR.
This helps filter out noise and provides a clearer view of the underlying trend.
Today, SOPR continues to recover and is approaching the neutral level of 1, after a deep drop to 0.982, the lowest ratio seen during this cycle.
💥 STHs are still realizing losses.
It is in moments like these that good opportunities tend to emerge but for a genuine bullish trend to develop, STHs need to move back into profit.
When STHs are in profit, they tend to hold more easily, panic decreases, and when this happens after a capitulation phase, it becomes a very positive signal.
⚠️ What we do not want to see, however, is SOPR being rejected at this neutral level.
That can happen if STHs choose to exit the market at break-even, but when SOPR remains below this level for an extended period, it is typically a bear market configuration.
Another key dynamic to keep an eye on 👀