加密周期
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The Bank of Japan's century-long withdrawal? The three vital points of the crypto market are locked down, and the survival battle officially begins! Are you ready to face this wave of turmoil?
🔥 Thunder strikes the flat ground! After being the caregiver for the global stock market for over a decade, the Bank of Japan is finally flipping the table and leaving!
Holding nearly 80 trillion yen in stock ETFs, it is about to initiate a super withdrawal plan that could last a century!
This seemingly slow action, however, thrusts three fatal blows into the turbulent world of cryptocurrency!
PUP🌸PIES🌸社区聊天室，一起聊起来！
🪙 First strike: Boiling a frog in warm water! The liquidity support has completely collapsed;
The Bank of Japan's exit means the world's largest 'safety net buyer' has completely vanished!
Holding nearly 80 trillion yen in stock ETFs, it is about to initiate a super withdrawal plan that could last a century!
This seemingly slow action, however, thrusts three fatal blows into the turbulent world of cryptocurrency!
PUP🌸PIES🌸社区聊天室，一起聊起来！
🪙 First strike: Boiling a frog in warm water! The liquidity support has completely collapsed;
The Bank of Japan's exit means the world's largest 'safety net buyer' has completely vanished!
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The Dual Game of Prices in Cryptocurrency Market Making: From Liquidity to Volatility Driver
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In the 7×24 hour uninterrupted trading ecosystem of cryptocurrency, market makers always play a core hub role. They are both a liquidity bridge connecting buyers and sellers and a key force influencing price formation—acting as price stabilizers during stable market periods and becoming amplifiers of volatility during extreme conditions. Some leading institutions actively lead price trends through strategic operations, forming a complex market game pattern. Behind this duality lies the intertwining of capital logic, technical models, and market ecology.
In the 7×24 hour uninterrupted trading ecosystem of cryptocurrency, market makers always play a core hub role. They are both a liquidity bridge connecting buyers and sellers and a key force influencing price formation—acting as price stabilizers during stable market periods and becoming amplifiers of volatility during extreme conditions. Some leading institutions actively lead price trends through strategic operations, forming a complex market game pattern. Behind this duality lies the intertwining of capital logic, technical models, and market ecology.
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$ETH
#以太 Did the market bottom out last night? Last night, I took my followers to enter near 3065, and now it has finally doubled. It has been stagnant for a day; it's really tough.
The weekend market is truly terrible, with no liquidity. The target for this long position is around 3140. If there is effective volume increase, then we can look at around 3180.
I have managed a stable operation with stop-loss above the cost, hoping for a rebound this weekend. Follow A Yi, as we continue to lay out our strategy. #聊天室领奖
#加密周期 #以太坊ETF批准预期
#以太 Did the market bottom out last night? Last night, I took my followers to enter near 3065, and now it has finally doubled. It has been stagnant for a day; it's really tough.
The weekend market is truly terrible, with no liquidity. The target for this long position is around 3140. If there is effective volume increase, then we can look at around 3180.
I have managed a stable operation with stop-loss above the cost, hoping for a rebound this weekend. Follow A Yi, as we continue to lay out our strategy. #聊天室领奖
#加密周期 #以太坊ETF批准预期
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[Replay] 🎙️ 牛还在ETH看8500，看好ETH以太坊升级隐私协议
05 h 59 m 59 s · 914 listens
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[Replay] 🎙️ 牛还在ETH看8500，美联储降息25个基点，老鲍发言温和偏鸽派
05 h 59 m 44 s · 1.8k listens
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$BTC $ETH $LUNA
Important signal! The internal conflict within the Federal Reserve is intense. Do you understand this wave of turbulence?
可以到聊天室聊聊
In the early morning, the shoe dropped! The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, but the more shocking details lie within: the largest internal disagreement in 6 years! 3 votes clearly opposed! The market directly staged an 'electrocardiogram' performance. 📈📉
3 core signals you must understand:
1️⃣ Disagreement = Confusion? Some officials think the cut is too small, while others believe it shouldn't have been cut at all. This kind of 'argument' indicates that the future policy path is full of uncertainty!
2️⃣ Powell's 'subtext': He emphasized 'acting on data', with no commitment for the future. Does this imply that the 'tailwind' of rate cuts could slow down at any time?
3️⃣ The market reaction is very honest: Bitcoin surged to nearly 95,000 before quickly retreating, and gold and US stocks also experienced significant fluctuations. Is this short-term profit-taking, or a signal of a trend change?
Three soul-searching questions:
· When even the Federal Reserve cannot 'see clearly', how should we ordinary investors respond?
· In the cracks of policy and data games, who ultimately decides the market direction?
· In the face of such turbulence, should we be excited or vigilant?
Some realistic observations:
· Some analysts point out that the narrative of Bitcoin's 'four-year cycle' may face challenges.
· Volatility data suggests the market may enter a period of complex consolidation.
· In this high-uncertainty environment, 'surviving' may be more important than 'making quick money'.
Most importantly:
In such macro fog, maintaining independent thinking and proper position management may be more meaningful than guessing short-term ups and downs. After all, the market never has just one voice.
What do you think?
Is this internal disagreement short-term noise or a signal of a long-term turning point?
Will your strategy change because of this?
Let's discuss your insights in the comments! 👇
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #加密周期
Important signal! The internal conflict within the Federal Reserve is intense. Do you understand this wave of turbulence?
可以到聊天室聊聊
In the early morning, the shoe dropped! The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, but the more shocking details lie within: the largest internal disagreement in 6 years! 3 votes clearly opposed! The market directly staged an 'electrocardiogram' performance. 📈📉
3 core signals you must understand:
1️⃣ Disagreement = Confusion? Some officials think the cut is too small, while others believe it shouldn't have been cut at all. This kind of 'argument' indicates that the future policy path is full of uncertainty!
2️⃣ Powell's 'subtext': He emphasized 'acting on data', with no commitment for the future. Does this imply that the 'tailwind' of rate cuts could slow down at any time?
3️⃣ The market reaction is very honest: Bitcoin surged to nearly 95,000 before quickly retreating, and gold and US stocks also experienced significant fluctuations. Is this short-term profit-taking, or a signal of a trend change?
Three soul-searching questions:
· When even the Federal Reserve cannot 'see clearly', how should we ordinary investors respond?
· In the cracks of policy and data games, who ultimately decides the market direction?
· In the face of such turbulence, should we be excited or vigilant?
Some realistic observations:
· Some analysts point out that the narrative of Bitcoin's 'four-year cycle' may face challenges.
· Volatility data suggests the market may enter a period of complex consolidation.
· In this high-uncertainty environment, 'surviving' may be more important than 'making quick money'.
Most importantly:
In such macro fog, maintaining independent thinking and proper position management may be more meaningful than guessing short-term ups and downs. After all, the market never has just one voice.
What do you think?
Is this internal disagreement short-term noise or a signal of a long-term turning point?
Will your strategy change because of this?
Let's discuss your insights in the comments! 👇
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #加密周期
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Binance finally obtains a top global license! UAE fully authorizes, BNB welcomes an epic turning point!
🚀 Family, the news exploded this morning!
Binance officially obtained a global license from Abu Dhabi ADGM/FSRA, becoming the first crypto exchange to secure full permission under this regulatory framework!
This is not just a compliance milestone~ it's the glorious end of Binance's five-year 'global journey', and a heavyweight endorsement from a sovereign nation. The era of drifting ends, and the era of compliance begins!
📅 Five years of ups and downs, every step leaves a mark
Every step Binance takes is a reflection of the crypto industry:
· In 2017, born in Shanghai, trapped in '94, evacuated overnight, becoming the first generation of 'compliant drifters'
Binance officially obtained a global license from Abu Dhabi ADGM/FSRA, becoming the first crypto exchange to secure full permission under this regulatory framework!
This is not just a compliance milestone~ it's the glorious end of Binance's five-year 'global journey', and a heavyweight endorsement from a sovereign nation. The era of drifting ends, and the era of compliance begins!
📅 Five years of ups and downs, every step leaves a mark
Every step Binance takes is a reflection of the crypto industry:
· In 2017, born in Shanghai, trapped in '94, evacuated overnight, becoming the first generation of 'compliant drifters'
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Daily Briefing (Understand Today's Key Points in 1 Minute｜2025.12.08)
📌Core Signal
1. Bitcoin Short-term Trend
Current Price: $92,093.66 (↑3.01%) Market Structure: Price and Open Interest (↑1.33%) are rising in sync, indicating that the current upward trend has momentum support. However, the funding rate has skyrocketed over 52% in the last 24 hours, suggesting that market leverage is too high, and bullish sentiment is extremely euphoric, with the risk of a pullback sharply accumulating.
Clearing Alert: The key resistance level above is at the psychological level of $95,000. If it breaks through, it may test $100,000 upwards. The key support below is at $90,000, and if it falls below this, it could trigger a chain liquidation of long positions due to high leverage.
1. Bitcoin Short-term Trend
Current Price: $92,093.66 (↑3.01%) Market Structure: Price and Open Interest (↑1.33%) are rising in sync, indicating that the current upward trend has momentum support. However, the funding rate has skyrocketed over 52% in the last 24 hours, suggesting that market leverage is too high, and bullish sentiment is extremely euphoric, with the risk of a pullback sharply accumulating.
Clearing Alert: The key resistance level above is at the psychological level of $95,000. If it breaks through, it may test $100,000 upwards. The key support below is at $90,000, and if it falls below this, it could trigger a chain liquidation of long positions due to high leverage.
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It's explosive! Is the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December? But the yen is wildly bearish!💰
🔥 The most magical exchange rate drama of the year is unfolding～ The market is collectively betting that the Bank of Japan will start raising interest rates in December, but the yen has not only failed to rise; it has been wildly sold off, with bearish sentiment reaching recent highs!😱
What secrets lie behind this wave of 'reverse operations'? What kind of chain reactions will it bring to the cryptocurrency market?👇
📈 Market expectations are soaring: the probability of interest rate hikes exceeds 70%
As Japan's inflation continues to exceed targets, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has repeatedly signaled that the 'window for interest rate adjustments is approaching'; Wall Street has already begun to position itself in advance!
· Institutions such as Bank of America and Nomura Holdings reveal: the market's expectations for a rate hike in December have exceeded 70%!
What secrets lie behind this wave of 'reverse operations'? What kind of chain reactions will it bring to the cryptocurrency market?👇
📈 Market expectations are soaring: the probability of interest rate hikes exceeds 70%
As Japan's inflation continues to exceed targets, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has repeatedly signaled that the 'window for interest rate adjustments is approaching'; Wall Street has already begun to position itself in advance!
· Institutions such as Bank of America and Nomura Holdings reveal: the market's expectations for a rate hike in December have exceeded 70%!
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🔥🔥🔥The Solana ecosystem has seen several important developments in the last 24 hours. In terms of infrastructure, Chainlink CCIP achieved the first native bridge between Solana and Base, connecting Solana with a TVL of $9 billion and Base with a TVL of $4.5 billion. In the DeFi sector, over 900 Bitcoin have been integrated into Solana through LBTC and used as collateral in Drift V3.
In the NFT space, Doodles announced the release of 25,000 Doopies NFTs on Solana, with OG users able to mint for free while other users must pay 1-3 SOL. At the same time, there is growing concern about the centralization of Solana validators, with the number of validators decreasing from 1,915 to 797 over the past year.
#加密周期
In the NFT space, Doodles announced the release of 25,000 Doopies NFTs on Solana, with OG users able to mint for free while other users must pay 1-3 SOL. At the same time, there is growing concern about the centralization of Solana validators, with the number of validators decreasing from 1,915 to 797 over the past year.
#加密周期
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Global regulation of cryptocurrencies is in a 'torn' era, the primary understanding of retail investors.
I. Currently, global regulation of cryptocurrencies presents a polarized structure:
1) Overseas: Compliant financial systems fully accept crypto assets. The United States, European Union, Japan, and Singapore are all advancing ETFs, licensing, and institutionalization; the U.S. BTC ETF has become the fastest-growing ETF in financial history; state-level capital and tech giants are intervening in areas such as RWA, stablecoins, and prediction markets. This indicates that overseas markets are treating cryptocurrencies as infrastructure for a new asset class, rather than speculative products.
2) Domestic: Cautious, suppressive, but not denying the technological value. The unspoken attitude is: capital does not touch, enterprises are cautious, individuals should touch less, but technology can be researched; domestic Web3 entrepreneurship, investment, and trading are still mainly following the 'going overseas' route; social, content, tools, and AI-enabled Web3 fields still have grey areas. This means: the direction is not to hide, but how to participate legally, safely, and globally.
1) Overseas: Compliant financial systems fully accept crypto assets. The United States, European Union, Japan, and Singapore are all advancing ETFs, licensing, and institutionalization; the U.S. BTC ETF has become the fastest-growing ETF in financial history; state-level capital and tech giants are intervening in areas such as RWA, stablecoins, and prediction markets. This indicates that overseas markets are treating cryptocurrencies as infrastructure for a new asset class, rather than speculative products.
2) Domestic: Cautious, suppressive, but not denying the technological value. The unspoken attitude is: capital does not touch, enterprises are cautious, individuals should touch less, but technology can be researched; domestic Web3 entrepreneurship, investment, and trading are still mainly following the 'going overseas' route; social, content, tools, and AI-enabled Web3 fields still have grey areas. This means: the direction is not to hide, but how to participate legally, safely, and globally.
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🔥🔥🔥Who the hell hasn't spent those nights in the crypto world where the harder you work, the more you lose? #加密
We stare at golden crosses and dead crosses, drawing lines, turning and twisting over a 10% floating loss, while others calmly increase their positions with millions in capital — you think the difference is money, but most retail investors are running naked, while the big players are fully equipped on the racetrack.
We've all experienced: squatting at 3 AM for favorable news, watching our accounts turn from red to green, reluctant to cut losses and ultimately blowing up to zero; following the trend to chase meme coins, greedily increasing positions at a 30% rise, and fearfully exiting at a 50% drop; always thinking just a little longer for a rebound, yet being ground down by the market in hesitation, ultimately landing hard!!
It's not that we're not smart enough, nor is it that we have too much bad luck — you’re looking at public information, while the big players have already obtained first-hand information from project insiders; you rely on your eyes to watch the market, while they use on-chain bots to catch whale movements ahead of time; you’re led by FOMO emotions, while they engrave stop-loss and take-profit into their trading systems; you bet everything on one asset, while they hedge with spot + options, having a backup plan for both rises and falls.
The crypto world has never been a "gambling hall" for betting sizes, but a battlefield of "cognition and systems." You don't need to envy the big players' capital; we should use on-chain data to replace KOL endorsements, letting the behavior of capital tell you the truth; use position management to combat human weaknesses, never losing sleep over floating losses again; replace short-term speculation with long-term cycles, accumulating coins in bear markets and cashing out in bull markets, saying goodbye to chasing highs and cutting losses; use tools to narrow the information gap, allowing retail and big players to start from the same starting line.
Don't let emotional trading waste your time and capital anymore, and don’t let information lag be the reason for your being harvested. From today on, become an investor who understands the system and manages risk, turning the big players' certainty advantage into your profit confidence — opportunities in the crypto world have never been scarce, what’s lacking is the wisdom to avoid being harvested. #加密周期
We stare at golden crosses and dead crosses, drawing lines, turning and twisting over a 10% floating loss, while others calmly increase their positions with millions in capital — you think the difference is money, but most retail investors are running naked, while the big players are fully equipped on the racetrack.
We've all experienced: squatting at 3 AM for favorable news, watching our accounts turn from red to green, reluctant to cut losses and ultimately blowing up to zero; following the trend to chase meme coins, greedily increasing positions at a 30% rise, and fearfully exiting at a 50% drop; always thinking just a little longer for a rebound, yet being ground down by the market in hesitation, ultimately landing hard!!
It's not that we're not smart enough, nor is it that we have too much bad luck — you’re looking at public information, while the big players have already obtained first-hand information from project insiders; you rely on your eyes to watch the market, while they use on-chain bots to catch whale movements ahead of time; you’re led by FOMO emotions, while they engrave stop-loss and take-profit into their trading systems; you bet everything on one asset, while they hedge with spot + options, having a backup plan for both rises and falls.
The crypto world has never been a "gambling hall" for betting sizes, but a battlefield of "cognition and systems." You don't need to envy the big players' capital; we should use on-chain data to replace KOL endorsements, letting the behavior of capital tell you the truth; use position management to combat human weaknesses, never losing sleep over floating losses again; replace short-term speculation with long-term cycles, accumulating coins in bear markets and cashing out in bull markets, saying goodbye to chasing highs and cutting losses; use tools to narrow the information gap, allowing retail and big players to start from the same starting line.
Don't let emotional trading waste your time and capital anymore, and don’t let information lag be the reason for your being harvested. From today on, become an investor who understands the system and manages risk, turning the big players' certainty advantage into your profit confidence — opportunities in the crypto world have never been scarce, what’s lacking is the wisdom to avoid being harvested. #加密周期
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🚨【In-depth analysis of Bitcoin RHODL indicator】
📅 The peak of the indicator was reached 522-533 days after the halving in 16/20, and the current 24-cycle is only 114 days
🔥 The current RHODL value compared with the same period in history:
Short-term active chips↓20%Medium-term holdings↑32%Exchange balance accounts for 11.3% (historical low)
🎯 Multi-cycle model shows:
⏳ Peak window: 2025Q2-Q3 (conservative $125k+)
💥ETF holdings accounted for a record breaking 4.2%
⚠️ Key monitoring:
✅ Whales on-chain abnormalities
✅ Fed policy shift timing
✅ ETH ETF approval progress
#Bitcoinhalving#Chainanalysis #加密周期
(Data as of 2024/08/15, not as investment advice)
[Note] The RHODL indicator reveals the turning point of market sentiment. It is currently in the transition period from the "halving shock period" to the "institutional-led period". It is recommended to adopt the DCA strategy to deal with fluctuations.
📅 The peak of the indicator was reached 522-533 days after the halving in 16/20, and the current 24-cycle is only 114 days
🔥 The current RHODL value compared with the same period in history:
Short-term active chips↓20%Medium-term holdings↑32%Exchange balance accounts for 11.3% (historical low)
🎯 Multi-cycle model shows:
⏳ Peak window: 2025Q2-Q3 (conservative $125k+)
💥ETF holdings accounted for a record breaking 4.2%
⚠️ Key monitoring:
✅ Whales on-chain abnormalities
✅ Fed policy shift timing
✅ ETH ETF approval progress
#Bitcoinhalving#Chainanalysis #加密周期
(Data as of 2024/08/15, not as investment advice)
[Note] The RHODL indicator reveals the turning point of market sentiment. It is currently in the transition period from the "halving shock period" to the "institutional-led period". It is recommended to adopt the DCA strategy to deal with fluctuations.
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I have found that the discussions in Binance Square are more lively during uncertain times, perhaps everyone is looking for a sense of security. #加密周期
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#DOGE The grand performance begins! On the first day of September, trading volume skyrocketed by 150%, with futures volume reaching $5.36 billion
$0.21 becomes a key support level, with bulls accumulating $42 million
Can it hold in the short term? It may surge to $0.34→$0.75, or even challenge the historical high of $2
If it falls below $0.21? First look at $0.17, with the strongest support at $0.13
The battle between bulls and bears is about to erupt, explosive rise or bloodbath, it all depends on this week
#加密周期 #山寨币
$0.21 becomes a key support level, with bulls accumulating $42 million
Can it hold in the short term? It may surge to $0.34→$0.75, or even challenge the historical high of $2
If it falls below $0.21? First look at $0.17, with the strongest support at $0.13
The battle between bulls and bears is about to erupt, explosive rise or bloodbath, it all depends on this week
#加密周期 #山寨币
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Who understands! I kindly shared a money-making opportunity, but I ended up being criticized...
I'm really a bit confused, my hands are shaking a bit now 😭 I want to talk to everyone about this matter.
Last month, I just started getting into the cryptocurrency world, and I saw some coins related to Musk ($DOGE $SHIB $PEPE), thinking there might be an opportunity, so I pulled a friend who was also interested to buy together. At that time, the entry point was just 7 zeros, and I didn't expect that in less than a week it broke zero and even rose to '6th floor'! My friend had never played in the primary market before, and seeing such a rapid increase made him panic, saying he wanted to sell quickly. I actually didn't understand much either, but I felt that the altcoin season hadn't arrived yet, and selling now seemed too regrettable, so I advised him to wait a bit longer, saying maybe he could get a good result.
As a result, he didn't listen and after selling, he hardly spoke to me. Until this month, when those coins broke zero and rose again, he suddenly ran to comment on my previous post, criticizing me, and even told others bad things about me...
I really can't figure it out. If he lost money and was emotional, I could understand. But this is clearly making money, so why is he turning around and blaming me? Now I'm a bit scared, did I do something wrong? I feel like he might not be doing well either, maybe he's crying in the bathroom 🚾
#加密周期 #美联储重启降息步伐
I'm really a bit confused, my hands are shaking a bit now 😭 I want to talk to everyone about this matter.
Last month, I just started getting into the cryptocurrency world, and I saw some coins related to Musk ($DOGE $SHIB $PEPE), thinking there might be an opportunity, so I pulled a friend who was also interested to buy together. At that time, the entry point was just 7 zeros, and I didn't expect that in less than a week it broke zero and even rose to '6th floor'! My friend had never played in the primary market before, and seeing such a rapid increase made him panic, saying he wanted to sell quickly. I actually didn't understand much either, but I felt that the altcoin season hadn't arrived yet, and selling now seemed too regrettable, so I advised him to wait a bit longer, saying maybe he could get a good result.
As a result, he didn't listen and after selling, he hardly spoke to me. Until this month, when those coins broke zero and rose again, he suddenly ran to comment on my previous post, criticizing me, and even told others bad things about me...
I really can't figure it out. If he lost money and was emotional, I could understand. But this is clearly making money, so why is he turning around and blaming me? Now I'm a bit scared, did I do something wrong? I feel like he might not be doing well either, maybe he's crying in the bathroom 🚾
#加密周期 #美联储重启降息步伐
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The data on liquidation is shocking! Jin Min reveals the retail investor's strategies to avoid pitfalls
Have you seen this liquidation chart? ETH has exploded by 134 million, BTC also by 118 million, and the total liquidation in 24 hours exceeds 400 million! The market volatility is as wild as a roller coaster, driven by institutional games and news disturbances, and we retail investors are easily turned into cannon fodder.
I think, beginners must not panic! First, position control is key; do not go all in recklessly. Second, leverage is a double-edged sword; increasing it too much can easily lead to disaster. Third, learn more, do not blindly follow trends and chase prices.
Remember, there are opportunities in the crypto circle, but the risks are even higher. Rational investment is necessary to survive longer! I am Jin Min, like and follow, let’s seek victory steadily together!
#币圈 #加密周期
Have you seen this liquidation chart? ETH has exploded by 134 million, BTC also by 118 million, and the total liquidation in 24 hours exceeds 400 million! The market volatility is as wild as a roller coaster, driven by institutional games and news disturbances, and we retail investors are easily turned into cannon fodder.
I think, beginners must not panic! First, position control is key; do not go all in recklessly. Second, leverage is a double-edged sword; increasing it too much can easily lead to disaster. Third, learn more, do not blindly follow trends and chase prices.
Remember, there are opportunities in the crypto circle, but the risks are even higher. Rational investment is necessary to survive longer! I am Jin Min, like and follow, let’s seek victory steadily together!
#币圈 #加密周期
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The four-hour chart of the large pancake shows that after the price touches the lower support, it has risen consecutively, relying on the upper track to maintain its strength, with a significant rebound. Although some indicators are under pressure and have short-term constraints, the Bollinger Bands continue to widen, still possessing breakout momentum; on the hourly chart, the price breaks through the upper track with consecutive rises, showing a clear upward trend and a solid structure.
The current horizontal consolidation is a technical repair after a sharp rise, not a trend reversal. It is expected that the rebound will continue after consolidation, with operations mainly focusing on retracement layouts for long positions:
• Bitcoin: Long at 114800-115000, target 116500
• Ethereum: Long at 4130-4150, target 4250#加密市场反弹 #加密周期 #比特币 #以太 $BTC $ETH
The current horizontal consolidation is a technical repair after a sharp rise, not a trend reversal. It is expected that the rebound will continue after consolidation, with operations mainly focusing on retracement layouts for long positions:
• Bitcoin: Long at 114800-115000, target 116500
• Ethereum: Long at 4130-4150, target 4250#加密市场反弹 #加密周期 #比特币 #以太 $BTC $ETH
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