🚨4-Year Cycle Simulation Highlights (Not Investment Advice)🚨 ⚡️Short-Term Volatility ▫️Q3-Q4 may retest strong support at $68K-$73K (Miner Cost + CME Gap) ▫️Weekly TD9 Sequence is about to be reached 🚀Main Uptrend Logic ✅Dual Cycle Resonance: Halving Effect (May 2024) + Federal Reserve Liquidity (Q4 2024) ✅Whale Cost Anchor: Institutions building positions at $65K-$70K / Mining Machine Iteration Cost at $58K ✅Policy Catalyst: U.S. Crypto Legislation may accelerate 🎯Target Trajectory ▫️Conservative Target for H1 2025 at $114K (1.618 Fibonacci Level) ▫️Trump Cycle Exceeding Expectations Scenario $160K+ (Benchmarking Gold 5% Market Value) ⚠️Risk Warning ▫️Monthly RSI > 90 will trigger epic overbought conditions ▫️Whale Position Concentration has reached levels seen on the eve of the 2021 Bull Market ▫️Black Swan Monitoring: U.S. Treasury Liquidity / Middle East Situation
Hun Sen: Asia's richest man, owns the entire country of Cambodia. The luxury watches worn by Hun Sen on different occasions are worth hundreds of millions of dollars. Meanwhile, the average monthly income of Cambodian citizens is only $336. Cambodia's formal fiscal revenue is $6.5 billion, but the cyber fraud industry generates an annual income of $19 billion, all belonging to the Hun Sen family. 40% of telecommunications fraud in China comes from Cambodia. Cyber fraud and human trafficking severely impact Thailand's tourism industry. Can the Thai military completely eradicate cyber fraud?
Short-term support levels ($82,100 - $84,000): These foundational areas appear as striking yellow horizontal bands on the heatmap, indicating a dense accumulation of liquidations among pressured long positions during the initial downturn. This accumulation will ignite a recovery through triggering shorts' liquidations and emergency buybacks.
Short-term resistance levels ($90,000 - $91,300): The top layer displays vibrant yellow, emphasizing a significant short position buildup during the last rebound push; if the resistance is effectively breached, it may trigger an extension of short squeezes, but deviations could lead to a severe long-term downturn.
Overall: The total liquidation volume has risen to approximately $123 million within 24 hours, indicating that leverage confrontations are tending towards balance and showing a 'layered' structure, synchronized with the adjustments and rebounds of the candlestick chart, suggesting that the market is about to experience significant volatility in these key frontier zones.
$HEMI Public strategy reminds everyone to go long! In the end, those who are determined will not be disappointed, and the market is experiencing a volatile rise!
#🔥BTC Shark Pattern Reversal! 886 bounce meets resistance at 88-90K, explosive news: Japan's interest rate hike + US CPI double temptation to short, bottom-fishing signal lights up?🚀
The perfect 886 shark pattern is bouncing, following the Bollinger Bands' rule of breaking and retesting, possibly heading straight for the 4H midline/upper band = 88-90K pressure zone!😱
1️⃣ Shark pattern awakening: 886 rebound, Bollinger Bands retest pointing directly to the 88-90K pressure wall! BTC has just completed a standard 886 shark pattern, a strong rebound like a beast unleashed! But don’t celebrate too early—according to the Bollinger Bands' rule of breaking and retesting, it may pierce directly into the 4H midline or upper band, precisely corresponding to the 88-90K range, which is a potential ironclad pressure point!📉 Once touched, this is a short seller ambush zone: bulls catching their breath or a precursor to a collapse? Beware of rebounds turning into traps, smart money has already targeted here for opportunities!
2️⃣ Japan's interest rate hike storm: over 90% probability, will negative news turn into a golden rebound? The Japanese yen drama unfolds! The probability of an interest rate hike surges over 90%, and the market has caught the scent of blood—there’s a chance to hype a super short!😈 After the interest rate meeting, the negative news drops = rebound rocket launches! Don’t let short-term panic trick you into losing your chips, this operation could become a turning point, are crypto veterans ready to bottom-fish? 3️⃣ US CPI bomb countdown: expected at 3.0% or as low as 2.8-2.9%, short temptation followed by a celebration of good news! US CPI data is like a ticking time bomb: the official expectation is 3.0%, but with oil prices plummeting + tariff fog, it’s highly likely to slide to 2.8-2.9%—the probability of negative news is off the charts!💣 Before the release, the market will likely create a short wave, manufacturing panic lows; but with uncertainty landing + last week's lows, it’s actually an excellent window for going long! From negative news to positive news, it’s just a night away, could BTC use this to counterattack?
4️⃣ Daily Bollinger Matrix Decoding: support at 85K iron bottom, pressure at 91-94K aiming for the sky! A must-see artifact—the Bollinger Matrix full scan: concentrated support zone locked at 85K (weekly even stronger at 82K), pressure band aiming straight for 91-94K! In the next two days, squeezing down, 90-91K becomes the perfect pressure point, bears and bulls will battle here!⚔️ Don’t blindly chase the rise, the matrix signals are clear: accumulate at low levels, reduce holdings at high levels—survival rules in the crypto market!
Ultimate alarm: shark rebound meets resistance, news is a double-edged sword! 90K pressure point is the battlefield, bottom-fishing or fleeing depends on your operation. Hold steady, the 2026 bull market is beckoning? Don’t miss this wave of drama!🌟
K33 Analyst: Bitcoin's Q4 Performance Significantly Underperforms the Stock Market, Possibly Indicating a Positive Trend in January
According to CoinDesk, K33 research director Vetle Lunde stated that as the year-end approaches, Bitcoin may benefit from adjustments in portfolio allocations by asset managers, as its performance this quarter has lagged behind other asset classes.
Earlier this year, Bitcoin underperformed the S&P 500 index in the first quarter, followed by a rise in the second quarter. In contrast, when Bitcoin outperformed stocks in the second quarter, it saw a decline in early third quarter. So far, Bitcoin's performance in the fourth quarter has lagged the S&P 500 index by as much as 26%, indicating that a large-scale rebalancing is imminent.
Lunde mentioned that fund managers with established Bitcoin allocation targets may adjust their positions before the end of the year, potentially leading to significant inflows on the last trading day of this year and early January next year.
He also pointed out that despite price stabilization, market participants remain reluctant to take on new risks. Derivative trading activity on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is nearing yearly lows, with Bitcoin futures open interest around 124,000 contracts; the funding rate in the perpetual contract market is close to neutral, with little change in open interest, indicating a lack of confidence in short-term directional movement. Last week, spot cryptocurrency trading volume dropped by 12%, further confirming low trader participation as the year-end approaches.
Since I stopped closely watching the so-called "value coins", I feel like my life has changed, everything is treated as "nihilism", only focusing on the trading strength, everything has become "clear as day".
1. $BTC has been fluctuating all the way, and I’m quite relieved that after dropping below 85000, it quickly recovered; let’s see how it performs next, to be honest, there are fewer retail investors in the market now;
2. $ETH directly caused @machibigbrother to take a loss again yesterday, and then he restarted; the strong-willed friend has already been liquidated over 2200wu since 10.11, chosen by heaven?
3. $SOL claims to build an ecosystem and revive on-chain activities, but every time there’s a crash, it ranks first, not sure what to say, just have to watch, weak performance just means it will be shorted;
4. Bubblemaps: Insiders now control 80% of PIPPIN's supply, worth about 380 million dollars;
Not to mention, controlling over 80% of so many value coins, there are hardly any that can drive the market;
5. CME launches TAS settlement price trading mechanism for SOL, XRP, and related micro futures;
6. Project Eleven collaborates with the Solana Foundation to advance network quantum security construction;
What is the purpose of this?
7. FTC reaches a proposed settlement with Illusory regarding the 2022 vulnerability incident of the Nomad cross-chain bridge;
8. Exodus partners with MoonPay to launch a USD stablecoin, laying out self-custody payments;
9. The Marshall Islands completes the world's first on-chain UBI distribution via the Stellar chain;
Probably very few people know what Stellar is anymore.
10. JPEX cryptocurrency fraud case goes to court, the case is postponed until March 16;
Do you remember when all of Hong Kong was filled with JPEX advertisements? Do you remember the so-called coin young master?
11. U.S. SEC ends a four-year investigation into Aave Protocol;
12. Bitwise releases top ten cryptocurrency predictions for 2026, expecting BTC to break the four-year cycle high;
13. QwQiao: The next generation of financial technology will focus on value optimization, with stablecoins and AI becoming key drivers;
14. Hasset: There is still room for interest rate cuts under improving supply conditions;
The market still expects the Federal Reserve to have two rate cuts next year;
15. Former Believe ecosystem project founder accuses Believe founder of continuously selling KLED tokens;
The failures of the Hun Sen family are too significant, Cambodia's economic structure is truly abnormal,
The country's regular fiscal revenue is 6.5 billion USD, The annual income from the telecom fraud industry is 12-19 billion USD Unprecedented!
30% of China's telecom scams come from Cambodia, and fraud and human trafficking kidnappings have severely affected Thailand's tourism industry,
When Cambodia is pressured by various countries to eradicate telecom fraud, it's no wonder Hun Sen has become so hysterical, not following the right path, this is no longer the state that a national regime should have.
🔸 Sister Mu said that the market has reached the bottom, and she is optimistic about the three giants: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL.
She believes that the market has already bottomed out, and the bad news has mostly been exhausted. Bitcoin fell first because it has the best liquidity, but it is still the core asset that institutions are first to position in. Ethereum is more institutionally applied, with Layer 2 continuing to expand. Solana is more consumer-oriented, with a simple structure. In simple terms, BTC, ETH, and SOL are still the three most core lines at present.