美联储政策

$ETH $SOL $BNB 🔥💥The Federal Reserve's internal strife has been confirmed! A board member calls for inflation to cool down, while White House advisors directly push back against high data!\nEven more explosive is: the Federal Reserve admits that a new round of QE has not yet started!👇\n\n1. Milan indicates that there may be a delay in policy, suggesting that interest rate hikes may continue;\n\n2. Hassett insists on "letting the data speak," but every monthly report contradicts that;\n\n3. The two big shots are talking a lot, but the market is only holding up on "easing expectations"!\n\n💸The harsh truth: Don't be fooled by market sentiment!\nInflation relief is just a flash in the pan, high interest rates are very likely to continue long-term, and the faucet of real money hasn’t even been turned on!\nCrypto players, don’t go All in, keep enough cash, and keep an eye on potential targets like PUPPY waiting for the wind to come!\n\n🎤Interactive moment:\nDo you believe this time inflation is truly decreasing or just a false dip?\nIs it time to hoard cash or buy the dip in crypto?\nShow your operations in the comments!\n\n#美联储政策 #加密货币 #PUPPY #投资避雷

$ETH $BTC $FIL 🔥🔥🔥Eruption Warning! Goldman Sachs' Heavy Prediction: The Fed's Rate Cut Wave Intensifies, Interest Rates May Exceed 3% by 2026!

1. 🚨 After three consecutive rate cuts, the Fed is more "dovish" than the market anticipated! Powell stated that employment data may be overestimated, warning that the labor market harbors downward risks, and the easing signals are fully on～#美联储政策 #降息预期

2. ‼️ Goldman Sachs Chief Strategist Josh Schifrin emphasized: The unemployment rate is the "key barometer" of policy, its importance far exceeds non-farm data, and the Fed's sensitivity to employment weakness continues to soar, significantly reducing resistance to rate cuts!

3. 🔥 Core predictions materialize: Moderate inflation retreat + increasing employment slack, the rate cut cycle will extend to 2026, and the federal funds rate is expected to fall below 3%! #宏观经济

4. 💥 Chain reactions are on the way: The yield curve will steepen, a mid-term weakening of the dollar is a high-probability event, and the global asset landscape may be reshaped! #加密货币行情前瞻 #美元走势
The market volatility window has opened, are you ready to position yourself?

$ETH $BNB $BTC ⚠️ Non-farm Payrolls Night Showdown! The Bitcoin Rebound Code Lies in This Set of Data🔥

Tonight, the non-farm data is coming in strong, directly influencing the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy!
As the 'emotional amplifier' of global risk assets, Bitcoin will face the impact of liquidity waves—strong data may reinforce rate hike expectations and suppress prices, while weaker than expected data could ignite hopes for rate cuts and boost rebounds📈

The long-short battle has reached a fever pitch, and volatility is at its peak! Are you betting on a rise or are you bearish? Let's discuss in the comments～
#非农数据 #比特币行情 #美联储政策

When the entire crypto circle collapsed, privacy coins went crazy!
$DCR increased by 129% in one day, $ZEC and $DASH followed the 'privacy boom'!

The recent market crash has left everyone in a panic, right? But the privacy coin sector is going against the trend, directly showing an extraordinary market performance! Decred (DCR) led the charge with a 129% surge in 24 hours, breaking through $40; ZEC is even fiercer, not only breaking $449 but also achieving a historic high in privacy pool size; DASH didn't lag behind either, rising by 23% and stabilizing at $145. Now the entire market is riding the wave of a value return centered around 'privacy rights'!

🔥 The data is explosive, and the market is on fire 🔥

- DCR's violent surge is now quoted at 41.38 USDT, with a daily increase of 129%
- ZEC broke $449, and the privacy pool size hit a historic high
- DASH stabilized at $145, with a 24-hour increase of 23%
- PIVX and ZEN also rose by 20%, the privacy coin sector is on the rise!

💡 The trend is clear: the market now recognizes 'privacy'! 💡
ZEC's surge isn't just random—it has reached a historical peak in privacy pool size, clearly indicating how much the market lacks 'security + privacy' in trading. Just think, data breaches happen every day, regulations are getting stricter, and investors are voting with real money, making privacy coins the new focus.

Analysts have stated that Monero (XMR), Dash (DASH), and Decred (DCR), these old privacy coins are all moving together, clearly telling us: People are becoming increasingly concerned about their financial sovereignty! Now ZEC has set a good example, and the privacy coin track has reached a dual-drive stage of 'strong technology + strong demand'.

🚀 The future can still surge: Privacy coins may become a new direction for funds! 🚀
The wave of privacy coins led by ZEC might just be the beginning. With global regulations changing daily, it's uncertain when they might tighten up; these privacy coins that can be anonymous and resistant to censorship might become the new 'hedging + profit-making' targets for institutions and smart money. Moreover, the technology underpinning the privacy sector is solid, and with low valuations currently, the expectation gap is significant, indicating that future explosive growth is certainly promising!

As long as there is demand for privacy, its value will always exist! This recent surge against the trend is not the end; it's the beginning of privacy coins making their move—#隐私币逆势暴涨 #加密市场回调 #巨鲸动向 #美联储政策

【Federal Reserve's Change ≠ Crypto Market's Chill! Remember 3 Points to Thrive Against the Trend】

The Dallas Federal Reserve suddenly sent an "hawkish" signal, causing the market to explode! But don't rush, remember these 3 tips that can not only help you survive but also earn more steadily:

🔍 Keep a Close Eye on the Federal Reserve's "Mood"
Hold back before the non-farm and CPI data is released! How many people last year bet on interest rate cuts and ended up losing everything? During policy-sensitive periods, staying alive is more important than making money.

🪙 Focus on Stability for Main Holdings, Seek Opportunities for Auxiliary Holdings
BTC/ETH is the "ballast", accounting for at least 70%! Use small funds to gamble on new tracks like RWA and blockchain games; losses won't cripple you, but wins can be substantial.

💸 Cash is King, Drops Are Opportunities
Keep enough USDC/USDT! If BTC falls below 60,000, buy in batches—when others panic, your opportunity arises.

💎 Su Kejie Stated Clearly:
Every time the Federal Reserve "changes its face", it washes out the indecisive players. True opportunities often arise amidst the market's hesitation!

#加密市场 #美联储政策 #加密市场反弹
（Follow Su Kejie closely, and you won't get lost in the market!）@crypto-苏可

$BTC $BNB

Hello everyone, I am A10JQK! Today, let's talk about the US CPI data and see if we can smell the taste of interest rate cuts from it! ♠️♥️♣️♦️

♠️ Look at the August CPI annual rate, which dropped from 2.9% to 2.5%, lower than the expected 2.6%! Does this imply that inflation is slowly cooling down? The Fed should be relieved now!

♥️ Look at the core CPI monthly rate, which jumped from the expected 0.2% to 0.3%. This little guy is not obedient, it seems that the "diehards" of inflation are still at work!

♣️ However, the core CPI annual rate has stopped steadily at 3.2%, exactly as expected. This tells us that although inflation is falling, it has not yet reached the Fed's target of 2%.

♦️ Overall, inflation is indeed going down, but the pace is not big. Economic recession? There is really no obvious sign. So, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut? I don't think it's possible!

The Fed may think this way:

1. Inflation is indeed falling, but it is not time to relax yet.

2. The economy has no obvious signs of recession, and the risk of a large rate cut is too high now.

3. At most, consider a small rate cut, such as 25 basis points, but 50 basis points? Overthinking!

Dear card friends, how do you think the Fed will play? Will it continue to stay put, or will it make a small rate cut? Or do you think there is still a chance for a 50 basis point rate cut? Welcome to show your insights in the comment section! ♠️♥️♣️♦️ #美国经济软着陆？ #美国CPI数据 #美联储政策 #通胀走势

US-China Trade Negotiations Stalled, Market Awaits Federal Reserve Policy Signals

On Tuesday, both sides in the US-China trade negotiations in Stockholm released constructive signals, but no substantial progress has been achieved. The cryptocurrency market has also entered a wait-and-see mode this week, with BTC prices slightly retreating to around $118,000.

Reports state that Li Chenggang, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce's international trade negotiations representative, indicated that both sides have agreed to discuss extending the 90-day tariff suspension period that expires on August 12.

However, US Treasury Secretary Scott Pessen clarified that while the parties did discuss such a delay, “no decision has been made yet.” This means that although both parties intend to continue suspending tariffs, a specific extension agreement has yet to be finalized.

Currently, the US maintains a 30% tariff on Chinese imports, while China imposes a 10% tariff on US goods, creating a deadlock that has cooled market optimism regarding global trade prospects.

Market focus is quickly shifting to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision to be announced on Wednesday. According to Federal Reserve observation data, the likelihood of a rate cut this week is almost negligible, while the possibility of a rate cut in September has reached 64.7%.

During this period, any dovish signals could become a catalyst for Bitcoin to break out of its range consolidation. Analysts believe that this week’s macroeconomic events are crucial for the cryptocurrency market, as any macroeconomic news could trigger significant market volatility.

Although US-China negotiations have not made breakthroughs, President Trump previously indicated he might visit China at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, leaving room for imagination regarding future negotiations. However, in the absence of specific progress, Bitcoin's short-term movement remains constrained by the Federal Reserve's policy guidance.

In the rate decision on Wednesday, if Powell releases a clear easing signal, market risk appetite may quickly rebound, pushing cryptocurrencies back into an upward trend; conversely, if the tone is hawkish, Bitcoin may face further downward pressure.

#中美贸易谈判 #美联储政策

Standard Chartered Bank predicts: ETFs and favorable policies may overturn Bitcoin's traditional halving cycle

Standard Chartered Bank's latest report points out that under the combined effect of multiple factors, Bitcoin may break the historical cycle. Geoffrey Kendrick, head of digital asset research at the bank, emphasized in a research report on July 2 that record ETF inflows, potential policy shifts by the Federal Reserve, and accelerated entry of sovereign institutions will drive Bitcoin to its strongest half-year performance in history by the end of 2025.

Technically, Bitcoin is currently in a critical position. According to TradingView market data, Bitcoin's daily line fluctuates in the range of $108,618-109,174, with the middle track of the Bollinger Band at $105,890 and the upper track of $109,945 forming short-term resistance. Although the MACD indicator is in a bullish arrangement (fast line 765.26, slow line 478.31), the column has shrunk to 286.94, indicating that the upward momentum has weakened.

Standard Chartered Bank maintains its target price of $200,000 at the end of the year and updates its forecast for the third quarter to $135,000. The report also pointed out that the record of ETFs and companies purchasing a total of 245,000 BTC in the second quarter may be broken. This explosive growth in institutional demand, coupled with the regulatory certainty enhanced by the GENIUS Act, is reshaping the market structure of Bitcoin.

It is worth noting that the report believes that the traditional halving cycle theory has come to an end. Although from a historical perspective, Bitcoin usually experiences a cyclical correction 18 months after the halving (September-October this year).

However, Kendrick believes that the intervention of new sources of demand such as ETF fund inflows, potential policy shifts by the Federal Reserve, and accelerated entry of sovereign institutions in this cycle may break this rule.

Finally, Kendrick predicts that the market will resume its rise after a brief volatility, and advises investors to "fasten their seat belts" and prepare for violent fluctuations.

In general, the market currently needs to pay attention to two key variables: one is the direction of the Federal Reserve's policy, especially the leadership changes that may be brought about by the election; the other is the actual purchasing behavior of sovereign institutions, which will become a new demand engine after corporate purchases.

Do you agree with Standard Chartered Bank's view that the Bitcoin halving cycle theory is no longer applicable? Do you think ETF inflows, Fed policy changes, and sovereign agency involvement will disrupt this traditional halving cycle theory in the market?

#渣打银行预测 #加密货币ETF #美联储政策

🚨Crypto Market Shock! BTC has fallen below 94,000, wiping out the year's gains. The dual bombshells from the Federal Reserve and SEC have ignited a fierce battle between bulls and bears! 🔥
Family, it's time to take emergency precautions! At 2 AM Beijing time on the 18th, the Federal Reserve's emergency meeting countdown ⏰ is on, combined with BTC's dramatic plunge to 93,778 USD, causing panic as the year's gains are completely erased. The confrontation between bulls and bears in the crypto market has reached a boiling point!

✅ Today's market nuclear-level highlights:

1. 💰 The expectation for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is cooling! The probability of a rate cut in December has fallen below 50%, with institutions withdrawing 2.8 billion USD from the crypto market.

2. 💣 The BTC crash triggers panic! The 24-hour decline is 1.82%, with the 93,000 support level on shaky ground, and whales are accelerating their sell-offs.

3. 📊 Market differentiation is severe! BTC is struggling at the current price of 94,200 USD, ETH has fallen below 3,100 USD, and SOL and DOGE are both declining.

4. ⚠️ Regulatory conditions are mixed! The SEC has clarified token classification, ending a decade of ambiguity, but 28 billion in dark funds have flowed into exchanges.

🔥 Summary of direct impacts on the crypto market:
In the short term, the cooling expectation for Federal Reserve easing + BTC breaking key support could trigger panic selling or lead to a chain liquidation, with mainstream coins testing the 90,000 psychological support 🔥; however, the clarity of SEC regulation releases compliance benefits, and licensed platforms in Hong Kong have seen relevant tokens surge against the trend by 150%, with funds possibly shifting to compliant paths 📈.
In the medium to long term, if the Federal Reserve shifts to easing + institutional backflow occurs, mainstream coins are expected to see valuation recovery, and compliant tokens may become the new mainline 💥; but with whales exiting + black swan risks still present, breaking below the 93,000 key support will expand the decline. High-leverage players must clear their positions to avoid risks and should not blindly catch falling knives!

Now, with the Federal Reserve meeting + breaking market situation hitting simultaneously, the crypto market is destined for a bloodbath tonight! Let’s discuss in the comments whether you plan to cut losses or buy the dip at halfway? 👇
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#币圈暴跌 #美联储政策 #加密监管新规

🚀 Explosive! $DOGE Dogecoin ETF officially approved! Foreign communities are shouting: New Year's target is $2, and long-term view is $7.2! 😱

1. Foreigners really dare to think and act! Back then, Musk's one statement caused Dogecoin to soar by 800%, creating a buzz across the internet 🌍

2. Now, Mr. Ma is starting to hint crazily again, will the puppies 🐶 P U P P I E S 🐶 be taken off? Is this wave of explosion stable?

3. Cryptocurrency + celebrity effect = powerful combination! $ETH $BNB are all waiting to follow the trend, have you hopped on? 💨

#狗狗币ETF #马斯克 #加密货币行情 #美联储政策

📢Demand for Ethereum spot ETFs has cooled, and inflows are growing negatively! 🚀

Let's take a look at the recent developments of Ethereum ETFs. 🌟On July 30, Bitwise's Ethereum ETF inflows actually exceeded BlackRock's, the first time since the Ethereum ETF began trading!

💰Nansen analysis pointed out that because Bitwise waived the 0.2% fee for the first six months of the ETF's launch, it "increased its inflows."

👏Sure enough, according to Nansen data, as of the time of publication on July 31, BlackRock has regained its trading volume position, accounting for 5.59% of assets under management (AUM).

👀 Let's take a look at the data from another report. Since its listing, the total outflow of Ethereum ETF has reached US$405 million. At the same time, the value of Ethereum held by Ethereum ETF brokers is about US$9.17 billion, accounting for only 2.32% of the total. Therefore, some people believe that this is the main reason why the price of Ethereum has been a bit sluggish recently!

🤔 At the same time, there are voices in the market saying that the demand for Ethereum ETF is not as hot as expected, and it seems a bit deserted compared to the craze of Bitcoin ETF when it was first listed. But I think it is too early to draw conclusions now. The market is always unpredictable. Who knows, maybe when the altcoin market picks up, the inflow of funds to Ethereum ETF will soar!

💡 So, my advice is, don't be scared away by short-term fluctuations. Take a long-term view, now may be a good opportunity to accumulate Ethereum. When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates and market confidence picks up, the inflow of funds to Ethereum ETF may usher in explosive growth.

🙏 Remember, don't wait until the market is hot to regret not getting on the train earlier. Now may be a good time to lay out, wait patiently, and the spring of Ethereum will always come.

💬 What do you think the future of Ethereum ETF will be? Is it a good time to enter Ethereum now? See the comments section!

#以太坊ETF #市场动态 #加密货币投资 #美联储政策

CoinShares Report: Cryptocurrency Funds Accelerate Outflows, Bitcoin Has Evaporated $1.2 Billion in Two Weeks

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a noticeable outflow of funds. According to CoinShares' latest report, last week saw a net outflow of $584 million from global digital asset investment products. Among them, the Bitcoin spot ETF has seen large-scale fund withdrawals for the second consecutive week, with a total outflow of nearly $1.2 billion over the two weeks.

The report also noted that the trading volume of global cryptocurrency ETPs has plummeted to $6.9 billion, marking the lowest level since the Bitcoin spot ETF was launched in January.

This trend reflects investors' cautious attitude amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty, particularly concerns deepening over the direction of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy.

Regionally, the U.S. market has become a hard-hit area, with a net outflow of $475 million last week alone, while Canada also saw a net outflow of $109 million. However, Switzerland and Brazil bucked the trend, attracting net inflows of $3.89 million and $850,000, respectively. This regional disparity may suggest differing judgments among investors in various markets regarding risk assets.

In terms of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin remains the primary target for outflows, with a single week outflow of $630 million. Notably, although there was a slight outflow of $1.2 million from Bitcoin shorts, market sentiment has not shifted towards significantly large bearish bets.

Ethereum also reflected the overall risk-averse sentiment of the market with a net outflow of $58 million. Amidst the gloom, some altcoins like Solana, Litecoin, and XRP have unexpectedly attracted funds, achieving net inflows of $2.7 million, $1.3 million, and $700,000, respectively, indicating that some altcoin investors are seeking buying opportunities in oversold conditions.

Meanwhile, multi-asset investment products unexpectedly gained a net inflow of $98 million, which may indicate that institutional investors are responding to market volatility through diversified portfolios.

CoinShares research director James Butterfill directly associates this phenomenon with changes in expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy. As market expectations for a rate cut in June continue to cool, risk assets are generally under pressure.

In the current environment, every action taken by investors is conveying different predictions for the future market, and the next direction of the market may very well depend on the Federal Reserve's next move.

#加密货币资金外流 #比特币ETF #美联储政策

Trump will deliver an important speech on economic policy tonight, and the market is on high alert

Latest news, U.S. President Trump will be interviewed live on CNBC's "Squawk Box" tonight at 8 PM, where he is expected to express his views on current U.S. economic conditions, the job market, Federal Reserve monetary policy, and tariff policies among other hot topics.

This interview comes at a time when key economic data is being released and global trade tensions are high, with the market generally expecting Trump's remarks to potentially trigger fluctuations in financial markets, and investors need to remain highly vigilant.

According to reports, there are several key points to watch in this interview:

Regarding the job market, Trump recently fired the head of the Labor Statistics Bureau due to dissatisfaction with the weak July non-farm payroll data, and he may continue to question the reliability of the Labor Department's official data.

Just a day before the interview, Trump also threatened to significantly raise tariffs on India in retaliation for its purchase of Russian oil, and he is expected to further elaborate on his trade policy stance during this interview.

Additionally, as expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September increase, Trump is likely to take the opportunity to pressure the Fed to accelerate its rate-cutting pace.

Moreover, the market also anticipates that Trump will respond to Goldman Sachs' prediction that tariffs will drag U.S. fourth-quarter GDP growth down to 1.1%.

Overall, from a market impact perspective, Trump's speech may bring multiple shocks. If he sends more signals of trade protectionism, the dollar may strengthen in the short term, while emerging market currencies will face pressure; if he emphasizes rate cut expectations, it may continue to boost U.S. stocks.

It is worth noting that the recent price movements of Bitcoin have shown a strong correlation with U.S. stocks, which means that the policy uncertainty brought by Trump's speech may also trigger volatility in the cryptocurrency market. Investors need to be prepared for potential market fluctuations, especially in risk assets such as foreign exchange, stock markets, and cryptocurrencies.

#特朗普专访 #CNBC访谈 #美联储政策 #关税战

Galaxy Digital CEO: The Next Federal Reserve Chair May Become the Biggest Catalyst for Bitcoin's Bull Market

Recently, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz made a significant statement, suggesting that the biggest catalyst for the next Bitcoin bull market may not come from within the cryptocurrency industry, but rather from changes in the leadership of the Federal Reserve.

In an interview with renowned host Kyle Chasse on YouTube on September 27, this Wall Street legend pointed out that if the next Federal Reserve Chair is a candidate with a particularly dovish stance, it could trigger a substantial surge in Bitcoin's price to $200,000.

Novogratz referred to this potential personnel change as "possibly the biggest catalyst for the bull market in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies." This judgment is based on the dovish monetary policy that a dovish Federal Reserve Chair might implement, including maintaining a persistently low-interest rate environment or accelerating the pace of rate cuts, which would significantly enhance the appeal of non-yielding assets like Bitcoin.

This viewpoint resonates with traditional financial market analysis. Historical data shows that Bitcoin typically performs strongly during periods of loose monetary policy. If the new Federal Reserve Chair indeed leans towards a dovish stance, it could inject a massive amount of liquidity into the market, mirroring the market trends of 2020-2021.

It is worth noting that the current Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term will end in May next year, and discussions about his successor have significantly heated up on Wall Street. Novogratz's statement also draws the attention of the cryptocurrency market to a key variable that may determine the future direction of monetary policy.

In summary, Novogratz's view suggests that if the new Federal Reserve Chair adopts a dovish stance and implements loose monetary policy, it will directly drive Bitcoin's price up, a viewpoint that is also corroborated by traditional financial market patterns. For investors, incorporating the Federal Reserve's personnel changes and policy signals into their observation framework has become a necessary prerequisite for grasping market opportunities.

#美联储政策 #比特币牛市

Overview of the Federal Reserve's October FOMC Decision

✅ Rate cut of 25 basis points as expected, bringing the rate range to 3.75%-4.00%, with balance sheet reduction stopping from December 1.

📊 Economic Status: Moderate expansion in activity, slowing job growth, slight increase in unemployment rate but still low, inflation rising compared to the beginning of the year and remaining high.

🗳️ Rare two-sided divergence! 2 votes against: Schmid advocates for maintaining the interest rate, Milan calls for a 50 basis point rate cut.

⚠️ Powell pours cold water: Significant internal divergence, a rate cut in December is by no means a sure thing, missing data may pause adjustments, and statements are more hawkish than expected.

#美联储政策 #FOMC #BTC #ETH