$BREV TGE Pre-View Series: If you're planning to buy this token, please watch this article before making any decision!
Brothers, tonight at 8 PM,
#brevis TGE on
#Binance Alpha, remember to claim your share if you have any. Definitely a big opportunity—congratulations in advance!
However, I truly don’t recommend buying this token right at launch.
Although it’s hot, as a ZK coprocessor, the project has Vitalik’s endorsement, over 40 protocol collaborations, and contributes $25B in TVL—seems promising. But the unlock schedule and token distribution are risky, with high short-term dumping risks and uncertain long-term prospects. Let me break down the bearish reasons, based on data from public whitepapers and on-chain metrics—purely for sharing, not investment advice, DYOR!
1. Heavy sell pressure at TGE: 25% circulating supply + 5.5% zero-cost tokens
The total supply is 1B tokens. The unlock amount is massive: 25% (250M tokens). The zero-cost allocation is 5.5%: 3% airdrop (30M), 1% Alpha (10M), and 1.5% HODLer (15M). Plus, pre-launch contract OI is only 8.5M tokens, with minimal hedging—high chance of immediate selling at launch.
2. Ongoing sell pressure:
It’s not just at launch. At 8 PM the next day, OKX will also release another 0.75% (7.5M tokens), continuing the downward pressure. Although there’s no major cliff in the first 90 days, community and ecosystem tokens are linearly unlocked at 1.82% per month (18.2M tokens), making short-term stability unlikely.
3. Valuation already overpriced:
Pre-launch price at $0.45 = 6.52x floating profit for institutions
4. Team history underperforms:
The team is low-key, but their previous project, Celer Network ($CELR), performed poorly—down 94% from ATH. Sustainability is questionable. Strong ZK competition (Axiom, RISC0), and the narrative is unstable.
5. Marketing is average:
X @brevis_zk posts frequently (2–5 times/day), mostly airdrop and partnership announcements, but depth is shallow and marketing-driven. Community enthusiasm is high but lacks retention, and the Asian market is volatile.
6. Long-term sell pressure looms:
After a 1-year cliff, team and investor tokens will also begin linear unlocks
Summary: BREV has technical strengths, but TGE token battle is fierce, valuation is overpriced, and team history is questionable—short-term bearish! Brothers, what’s your take? Will this crash or soar? Let’s discuss in the comments!
If you like this bearish analysis, please like, share, and follow to support—your engagement is what keeps me digging into projects!
#ALPHA #做空 #CryptoWarnings 🚨