蛙里奥

Frequent trading or trading contests can actually incur significant fees. I've calculated that the slippage and fees eat into the profits more than many people realize.

Use my invitation code WALIAO to get a 20% discount on fees, with rebates credited within an hour. The larger the trading volume, the more you save.

If needed, feel free to share this with friends who are trading.

I'm back, can this candlestick be a moonshot?

There are too many helpless moments in a person's life, so helpless that one wants to cry.

The live broadcast will be stopped for two days, as an elderly family member is unwell. Disappearing for a few days.

The first day's live broadcast ended successfully, received a reward of 3.11. A good friend couldn't bear to see it and transferred me 10u. Today I angrily earned 13u, continuing tomorrow.

High skill and boldness, typical empty kill, high control, low-cost spot control

I have a treasure restaurant that I've been going to, located in an alley, and previously there were rarely any customers, just a few scattered ones.

Yesterday, I went there and found that I actually had to queue. I asked the owner and found out that a big influencer had eaten there and specifically promoted it.

The restaurant hasn't changed, the dishes haven't changed, but what has changed is that someone has endorsed it.

$SUI Recently, several events have happened that are logically identical to this.

@Sui In the past few months, it has received several significant endorsements.
Erebor Bank—the nationally chartered bank licensed by the US OCC—has listed Sui as one of the supported minority blockchains, allowing customers to directly make stablecoin deposits and withdrawals on Sui.

For the first time, compliant banking infrastructure is directly connected to Sui's on-chain network. CME Group announced that SUI futures will be launched on May 4, which is the largest derivatives trading market in the world, servicing institutions like hedge funds and asset management companies of that scale.

Grayscale launched GSUI, a staking ETF listed on NYSE Arca, allowing investors to gain exposure to SUI's staking returns using a regular brokerage account, without the need for a wallet or private keys.

Each of these three events, taken individually, carries significant weight. The fact that they occurred simultaneously indicates the same thing: institutions are taking Sui seriously, not just observing but building products, channels, and compliant entry paths.

Behind this judgment is a numerical support: since August of last year, Sui has processed over $1 trillion in stablecoin transaction volume.

Institutions are not entering because they are optimistic about the future, but because they have seen real trading volume.

My restaurant, before the influencer came, had good dishes; it was just that no one knew about it.

$SUI 's infrastructure was already running before the institutions came in; it just didn't have this level of endorsement. Now it does.

The computer is too expensive and often freezes. If I were to live stream, it would definitely crash as well. It's been sent for repairs, but in a small city, they can't fix it. Outside the province, I'll just have to leave it to fate. I was thinking about eating hot pot, but my friend told me that eating hot pot alone is the highest level of loneliness. I guess I'll just go eat KFC by myself; that seems more normal. They say you can't help someone who's sinking in mud, but I never think of myself as sinking. I blame others for not pushing hard enough. If they pushed harder, wouldn't I be able to get up?

Specifically rented a house to tidy up these days in preparation for the live broadcast

In the morning, I predicted $ETH to 2180. I didn't expect that it would fail at 2160. The signal came out, decisively taking a short position. Take profit at 2100, stop loss at 2160.

$ETH Current Situation and Opportunities
The bullish pattern has been established: the price is currently firmly above the defensive line of 2094.86. This indicates that the overall direction is fine; it is just digesting the profits brought by the recent surge.

Strong Momentum: The RSI indicator is currently at 68.5. This is actually a quite comfortable position, showing strength while not yet reaching the overbought warning line above 70, indicating that there is still motivation to continue advancing.

Upper Ceiling: 2124.51. The current price (2120.72) is very close to the strong resistance level of the day. The main force is also waiting to see if it can break through this position with volume in one go.

Life Defensive Line: 2094.86. As long as the 15-minute K line does not close below this position, there is no need to panic for long positions.

My Operation Suggestions
If you haven't entered yet: The current price (around 2120) is actually not very cost-effective. I suggest you wait for a breakout confirmation: when the price breaks above 2125 with volume and the 15-minute K line body stabilizes, then enter with the first target aiming above 2180. Alternatively, wait for a volume reduction pullback near 2100.

If you are already in, hold steady, but remember to move the stop-loss level up from deep down to near 2094, or even more conservatively set it at 2105. What we need to guard against is that kind of false breakthrough spike after a volume reduction rise.

The recent market is quite dull, I don't know what to do. The airdrop has stopped for a month. I will pick it up again after a while. There are no new activities for mouth staking, and I can't mine anything from content mining. I really don't know what to do. Is there a master who understands quantitative analysis to communicate with?

Practical Operation Ideas

This wave is not recommended to have too long a pattern; what we are playing is fast, accurate, and ruthless:
Entry point: Near the current price of 0.0795, we can first establish a base position. If it gives a pullback around 0.078, we can add a bit more.

Take profit target: First target: Around 0.086 (previous resistance dense area).
Ultimate target: 0.090 Radar red line (0.0954) is the strong resistance of the day.

Defensive position (stop loss): Absolutely place it below 0.070. If this point is broken, it indicates that the bulls have completely fallen silent.

PLAY/USDT
1. Core Battle Analysis
Trend Reversal: The practical instruction has changed from a previous long position to 'trend good (short position)'. This indicates that the previous upward trend has collapsed.

Violent Sell-off: Pay attention to that massive bearish candle on the right, accompanied by a high volume alert. This kind of significant drop indicates that the main funds are withdrawing at any cost, and the bearish forces are in absolute dominance.
Severely Oversold: RSI has dropped to 28.1. Although the overall trend is bearish, the 15-minute level has entered an extremely oversold area.
2. Key Levels (Reference Indicators)

Upper Resistance: 0.0622 (defensive line). This is the watershed of strength between bulls and bears; as long as the price rebounds and does not break 0.0622, the bearish trend will not change.

Downward Support: 0.0495. This is the strong support level given by the indicator for that day. If the downward trend continues, the price will likely converge towards this position.
3. Operation Suggestions
The traces of the main funds fleeing are obvious. Short positions should be taken on the rebound.

$NOM

1. Core Support and Resistance
Defense line 0.0033. The current price (0.00347) is consolidating above this level. According to the indicators, 0.0033 is both a strong resistance turned support for the day and a defense line. As long as this position can be maintained, the bullish structure will not be broken.
Upper pressure: Around 0.0044. This is the highest point left by the previous wave of volume increase, and there is a significant sell-off here, making it difficult to break through in one go in the short term.

2. Market Signal Warning
Low trading volume (main capital): This is a very critical risk point. The HUD in the chart indicates low trading volume, which means that after experiencing that wave of violent increase and rapid correction, the current buying strength is not strong and is mainly in a shrinking oscillation.
Momentum (RSI): 56.1. Currently in a neutral to strong range without being overbought, which means that if there is supporting volume in the future, there is still room for another surge, but it also reflects that the current market lacks explosive power.

3. Operation Suggestions
It is recommended to wait for the price to again test around 0.0033 and hold before lightly testing the waters; or wait for a volume breakout above the previous high of 0.0044 before following the trend.

That time when I opened a long position with a friend, we discussed it together and thought the market was right to enter. As a result, it plummeted and we lost quite a bit. Later, he changed the way he spoke to me, and the meaning was very obvious.
This matter was my fault. I wanted to explain at the time but found that I had nothing to present.

This feeling is familiar—it's not the first time that a verbally discussed matter went wrong, and the person who ends up unable to clarify is always the one who takes the blame.

The EthSign for @SignOfficial solves this problem of unclear post-decision communication in joint decisions.

If at that time our decision to go long had been documented through EthSign with an on-chain record confirming the entry price, position ratio, stop-loss conditions, and timestamps of both signatures written down,

After the loss, he wanted to push all the blame onto me, but the on-chain record clearly states that at that moment we both confirmed it together. It’s not just what I said; it’s written on-chain.

The attestation mechanism of Sign Protocol turns this matter of two people making a decision together from a conversation that disappeared in voice into an independently existing verifiable record on-chain. Joint decision-making means both parties' signatures are there on-chain.

Neither party can later absolve themselves of responsibility alone.

Of course, friends making trading decisions wouldn’t think to sign an on-chain agreement.
But after that sharp decline, what bothered me most was not the loss itself, but the fact that something discussed together ended up being my fault alone.

If there had been a record at that time, at least we would be facing the same outcome, not just me carrying it alone.

$SIGN #Sign地缘政治基建