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ASTER DECLARED DEAD?
ATTENTION‼️ BEFORE YOU MAKE A MISTAKE OF YOUR LIFE
Spot $ASTER Insights 20251217 10:00 UTC
WHY #ASTER is a scam and #CZ
WHALE ACTIVITY: A whale identified as 0x7771 sold 3 million ASTER tokens, valued at $2.33 million, incurring a $667,000 loss, suggesting substantial selling pressure and potentially influencing market sentiment.
this is only from my rearch [Trust me please]
#DYOR #scam #research
Spot $ASTER Insights 20251217 10:00 UTC
WHY #ASTER is a scam and #CZ
WHALE ACTIVITY: A whale identified as 0x7771 sold 3 million ASTER tokens, valued at $2.33 million, incurring a $667,000 loss, suggesting substantial selling pressure and potentially influencing market sentiment.
this is only from my rearch [Trust me please]
#DYOR #scam #research
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【December 17 Market News and Data Analysis】
1. Goldman Sachs: #Fed may be more aggressive in rate cuts next year, non-farm payrolls are no longer the primary indicator;
2. #Japan Economic recovery is accelerating, and strong exports have increased the likelihood of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates;
3. #research : The market is generally bullish for 2026, but the data does not support this optimistic expectation;
4. Data: The current drop of #BTC is a structural deleveraging event, rather than a collapse in fundamental demand.
As the year-end approaches, asset managers are beginning to reassess their positions in Bitcoin while maintaining their established allocation ratios. Previously, Bitcoin lagged behind the #SPX 500 index in the first quarter, rebounded in the second quarter, and then retraced again at the beginning of the third quarter; as of this fourth quarter, its performance is still about 26% lower than the S&P 500. This significant relative gap may lead many fund managers with Bitcoin allocation targets to make substantial adjustments before the year-end, anticipating significant capital inflows on the last trading day or even early next year.
However, market sentiment remains cautious. CME Bitcoin futures positions have dropped to about 124,000 contracts, perpetual contract funding rates are trending neutral, and spot trading volume has also seen about a 12% decline, indicating a lack of directional confidence in the short term. If large-scale rebalancing occurs, Bitcoin may see price support from capital inflows in the short term; but if institutional positions remain low after rebalancing, the market's aversion to new risks may continue to suppress its upward potential, resulting in overall cryptocurrency volatility remaining relatively low.
1. Goldman Sachs: #Fed may be more aggressive in rate cuts next year, non-farm payrolls are no longer the primary indicator;
2. #Japan Economic recovery is accelerating, and strong exports have increased the likelihood of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates;
3. #research : The market is generally bullish for 2026, but the data does not support this optimistic expectation;
4. Data: The current drop of #BTC is a structural deleveraging event, rather than a collapse in fundamental demand.
As the year-end approaches, asset managers are beginning to reassess their positions in Bitcoin while maintaining their established allocation ratios. Previously, Bitcoin lagged behind the #SPX 500 index in the first quarter, rebounded in the second quarter, and then retraced again at the beginning of the third quarter; as of this fourth quarter, its performance is still about 26% lower than the S&P 500. This significant relative gap may lead many fund managers with Bitcoin allocation targets to make substantial adjustments before the year-end, anticipating significant capital inflows on the last trading day or even early next year.
However, market sentiment remains cautious. CME Bitcoin futures positions have dropped to about 124,000 contracts, perpetual contract funding rates are trending neutral, and spot trading volume has also seen about a 12% decline, indicating a lack of directional confidence in the short term. If large-scale rebalancing occurs, Bitcoin may see price support from capital inflows in the short term; but if institutional positions remain low after rebalancing, the market's aversion to new risks may continue to suppress its upward potential, resulting in overall cryptocurrency volatility remaining relatively low.
ATTENTION‼️ BEFORE YOU MAKE A MISTAKE OF YOUR LIFE
Spot $ASTER Insights 20251217 10:00 UTC
WHY #ASTER is a scam and #CZ
WHALE ACTIVITY: A whale identified as 0x7771 sold 3 million ASTER tokens, valued at $2.33 million, incurring a $667,000 loss, suggesting substantial selling pressure and potentially influencing market sentiment.
this is only from my rearch Trust me please
#DYOR #Scam #Research
Spot $ASTER Insights 20251217 10:00 UTC
WHY #ASTER is a scam and #CZ
WHALE ACTIVITY: A whale identified as 0x7771 sold 3 million ASTER tokens, valued at $2.33 million, incurring a $667,000 loss, suggesting substantial selling pressure and potentially influencing market sentiment.
this is only from my rearch Trust me please
#DYOR #Scam #Research
S
ASTERUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+28.84%
My Assets Distribution
MOVE
ALT
Others
91.37%
3.13%
5.50%
🚨 ASTER vs HYPE: How CZ’s #DEX Token Became a Whale Magnet | #Research
Whales are loading up on #DEX tokens. $HYPE leads, $ASTER surprises with the biggest buy and CZ’s shadow behind it. Full breakdown inside. #crypto
Whales are loading up on #DEX tokens. $HYPE leads, $ASTER surprises with the biggest buy and CZ’s shadow behind it. Full breakdown inside. #crypto
I Turned 2,400 Into 5,820 While You Were Sleeping
I told you yesterday. This wasn't hope, it was calculated positioning. I dropped 2,400 into the Alpha narrative and watched it explode to 5,820 today. This is the power of early entry. The crowd hesitates and doubts; we execute based on solid research. When you understand the momentum behind coins like $POWER and $FHE, you stop missing 2.4x moves. The results speak for themselves. We are just getting started.
Not financial advice. Positions can change rapidly.
#Crypto #Alpha #Momentum #Research #FHE
🚀
I told you yesterday. This wasn't hope, it was calculated positioning. I dropped 2,400 into the Alpha narrative and watched it explode to 5,820 today. This is the power of early entry. The crowd hesitates and doubts; we execute based on solid research. When you understand the momentum behind coins like $POWER and $FHE, you stop missing 2.4x moves. The results speak for themselves. We are just getting started.
Not financial advice. Positions can change rapidly.
#Crypto #Alpha #Momentum #Research #FHE
🚀
I noticed $BONK is trending and has shown some decent movement recently.
I just discovered $BONK and it looks interesting. I like that the community is active and there are some upcoming updates that might affect price action. I am doing more research before placing a bet but this could be one to watch closely. #crypto #cryptocurrency #research #investing
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Institucional Top of Mind
This edition of Top of Mind with
a 10x Research
examines Bitcoin’s growing political influence and its performance in U.S. presidencies. We take a look at Bitcoin’s strong trends in the run-up to the election, its potential impact on the 2024 election, and how rising prices are turning skeptics into advocates.
Bitcoin Politics
DR
As Bitcoin’s price surges, former skeptics like Michael Saylor and Larry Fink have become vocal advocates. Bitcoin has thrived under three U.S. presidents, and the 2025 election has the potential to be pivotal, with candidates now embracing it. Historically, Bitcoin has performed well in pre-election years, and 2024 has continued that trend. The 2024 election, shaped by key events like the debate and the Trump assassination attempt, could have a significant impact on Bitcoin, but its history suggests it will continue to thrive regardless of the election outcome.
a 10x Research
examines Bitcoin’s growing political influence and its performance in U.S. presidencies. We take a look at Bitcoin’s strong trends in the run-up to the election, its potential impact on the 2024 election, and how rising prices are turning skeptics into advocates.
Bitcoin Politics
DR
As Bitcoin’s price surges, former skeptics like Michael Saylor and Larry Fink have become vocal advocates. Bitcoin has thrived under three U.S. presidents, and the 2025 election has the potential to be pivotal, with candidates now embracing it. Historically, Bitcoin has performed well in pre-election years, and 2024 has continued that trend. The 2024 election, shaped by key events like the debate and the Trump assassination attempt, could have a significant impact on Bitcoin, but its history suggests it will continue to thrive regardless of the election outcome.
Dogecoin is a cryptocurrency that was created as a joke in December 2013 by Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer.¹ ² ³ It's based on the popular "Doge" meme, which features a picture of a Shiba Inu dog with colorful text. Despite its humorous origins, Dogecoin quickly gained a large following and became a legitimate digital currency.
Dogecoin is often referred to as the "fun and friendly Internet currency". It's known for its fast transaction processing speed and unlimited emission. The cryptocurrency can be bought and sold on digital currency exchanges, and users can store their Dogecoin in a digital wallet.
Interestingly, Dogecoin has been promoted by Elon Musk on several occasions, which has helped increase its popularity. The cryptocurrency has also been used for charitable purposes, such as raising funds for the Jamaican bobsled team and clean-water wells in Kenya.
#Binance #Trader #NONSTOP #Research #BinanceAlphaAlert $BTC $BNB $DOGE
Dogecoin is often referred to as the "fun and friendly Internet currency". It's known for its fast transaction processing speed and unlimited emission. The cryptocurrency can be bought and sold on digital currency exchanges, and users can store their Dogecoin in a digital wallet.
Interestingly, Dogecoin has been promoted by Elon Musk on several occasions, which has helped increase its popularity. The cryptocurrency has also been used for charitable purposes, such as raising funds for the Jamaican bobsled team and clean-water wells in Kenya.
#Binance #Trader #NONSTOP #Research #BinanceAlphaAlert $BTC $BNB $DOGE
# **Tellor Tributes ($TRB ) Market Analysis and Key Statistics**
**Current Market Performance:**
Tellor Tributes ($TRB ) is currently trading at **$30.61**, reflecting a **4.02% increase** in the last 24 hours. The cryptocurrency has a **market capitalization of $81.67 million**, with a **24-hour trading volume of $34.49 million**.
**Technical and Sentiment Analysis:**
While the **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is not explicitly stated, market sentiment appears **bullish**, with **50% of users expressing a positive outlook** on TRB.
### **Key Statistics:**
- **Market Capitalization:** $81.67 million
- **24-Hour Trading Volume:** $34.49 million
- **Circulating Supply:** 2.65 million TRB
- **All-Time High (ATH):** $602.98 (December 31, 2023)
- **All-Time Low (ATL):** $1.11 (November 19, 2019)
### **Future Outlook and Considerations:**
Some long-term forecasts suggest potential price increases for $TRB . However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, with prices subject to rapid fluctuations. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider market conditions before making any financial decisions.
#research #ETFWatch #BinanceAlphaAlert #SECCryptoRoundtable #BNBChainMeme
**Current Market Performance:**
Tellor Tributes ($TRB ) is currently trading at **$30.61**, reflecting a **4.02% increase** in the last 24 hours. The cryptocurrency has a **market capitalization of $81.67 million**, with a **24-hour trading volume of $34.49 million**.
**Technical and Sentiment Analysis:**
While the **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is not explicitly stated, market sentiment appears **bullish**, with **50% of users expressing a positive outlook** on TRB.
### **Key Statistics:**
- **Market Capitalization:** $81.67 million
- **24-Hour Trading Volume:** $34.49 million
- **Circulating Supply:** 2.65 million TRB
- **All-Time High (ATH):** $602.98 (December 31, 2023)
- **All-Time Low (ATL):** $1.11 (November 19, 2019)
### **Future Outlook and Considerations:**
Some long-term forecasts suggest potential price increases for $TRB . However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, with prices subject to rapid fluctuations. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider market conditions before making any financial decisions.
#research #ETFWatch #BinanceAlphaAlert #SECCryptoRoundtable #BNBChainMeme
B
TRB/USDT
Price
29.81
See original
WHAT TO PREPARE TO PRACTICE RESEARCH SKILLS IN CRYPTO
WHAT TO PREPARE TO PRACTICE RESEARCH SKILLS IN CRYPTO
Project research skills bring the best competitive advantage to each individual in the Crypto space. But I personally find that most of us are not really interested in developing research skills or rather do not know "what" to prepare to practice research. I also find that my own research skills are lacking. There are many limitations, which is very understandable because the Crypto market is so large, each different niche or project has a different way of operating.
Project research skills bring the best competitive advantage to each individual in the Crypto space. But I personally find that most of us are not really interested in developing research skills or rather do not know "what" to prepare to practice research. I also find that my own research skills are lacking. There are many limitations, which is very understandable because the Crypto market is so large, each different niche or project has a different way of operating.
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Stocks vs. Crypto: the beginning of the research.
Traditional stocks: regulated markets, ownership stake in the company, potential for dividends, longer history.
Cryptocurrencies: high volatility, decentralization (mostly), potential for high (but also quick) profits, technological innovations.
What aligns more with your risk profile and investment goals?
#Invest #Crypto #Write2Earn! #Ukraine #research $BTC
Traditional stocks: regulated markets, ownership stake in the company, potential for dividends, longer history.
Cryptocurrencies: high volatility, decentralization (mostly), potential for high (but also quick) profits, technological innovations.
What aligns more with your risk profile and investment goals?
#Invest #Crypto #Write2Earn! #Ukraine #research $BTC
How to Detect SCAM Tokens on Dexscreener Before It’s Too Late: Your Ultimate Guide to Safer Memecoin
⚠️🚨In the wild world of memecoins, the allure of quick profits can often lead to painful losses. Whether you're a seasoned crypto trader or just starting, you’ve likely encountered scam tokens designed to deceive and drain your wallet. From rug pulls to honeypots, scammers have perfected their craft. However, fear not – with the right tools and knowledge, you can spot these scams before it's too late.
In this guide, we’ll walk you through how to protect yourself and your investments on decentralized exchanges like Dexscreener.
How Scammers Operate: The Playbook
Scammers in the crypto space are crafty. They create the illusion of legitimacy by manipulating trading volume, inflating holder stats, and using bots to manipulate market data. The goal? To trigger FOMO (fear of missing out) and lure in unsuspecting traders into buying into a fraudulent token.
But here’s the truth: the surface data provided by tools like Dexscreener is only the beginning. To truly identify a scam, you need to dig deeper and look for the hidden red flags.
Essential Tools for Scam Detection: Stay Ahead of the Game
1. Wallet Tracking and Smart Data with GMGN
GMGN offers valuable insights into wallet activities, tracking patterns that could signal suspicious behavior. A major red flag is the presence of sniper bots—these bots manipulate price movements and trade timing to create a false sense of demand and trick traders into buying at inflated prices.
2. Holder Analysis with InsightX Network
Using InsightX’s bubble maps, you can track wallet interactions and spot suspicious activities, like token hoarding or rapid transfers between wallets. A simple check of the contract address through InsightX can expose hidden scams.
3. Security Ratings from RugCheck and Solana Sniffer
Security platforms like RugCheck and Solana Sniffer provide detailed analysis of a token’s safety profile. Look for vulnerabilities such as unlocked liquidity, active minting permissions, and honeypot mechanisms. A poor security score means high risk – proceed with caution.
The Hidden Danger: Fake Metrics
Scammers know that fake trading volume and inflated holder stats are effective tools for attracting attention. While these metrics might seem like indicators of credibility, they are often a dangerous illusion. To avoid falling victim, always validate data with trusted tools like InsightX or RugCheck.
Advanced Tips for Spotting Scams:
1. Don’t Trust Surface-Level Data
Trading volume or the number of holders can easily be manipulated. Look beyond the surface and verify the actual project behind the token.
2. Investigate the Project’s Fundamentals
A legitimate project will have transparency. Research the development team, check the token’s smart contract, and review the project roadmap. If any of these areas are unclear or suspicious, proceed with caution.
3. Prioritize Locked Liquidity
Tokens with locked liquidity are far less likely to experience a rug pull. Always look for clear, verifiable liquidity-lock mechanisms.
Sniping Bots: A Game-Changer for Solana Trading
In the fast-paced world of crypto trading, timing is everything. Sniping bots are designed to execute trades at lightning speed, giving traders an edge in volatile markets like Solana. These bots can help you secure profits quickly, but they can also be a tool for scammers if misused. Be cautious of bots that consistently push prices up or down, as they may indicate foul play.
Final Thoughts: Stay Safe, Stay Informed
The world of memecoins is full of excitement and potential, but it's also a breeding ground for scams. Protecting yourself requires vigilance, thorough research, and the right tools. By digging deeper, questioning surface-level metrics, and using trusted platforms to analyze tokens, you can avoid falling into the traps set by scammers.
Remember: Knowledge is your best defense. Stay informed, trade wisely, and never stop learning.
Trade Safely on Binance – Where security and opportunity meet. 🌟
#CryptoTrading #SafetyFirst #ScamPrevention #DeFi #Research
In this guide, we’ll walk you through how to protect yourself and your investments on decentralized exchanges like Dexscreener.
How Scammers Operate: The Playbook
Scammers in the crypto space are crafty. They create the illusion of legitimacy by manipulating trading volume, inflating holder stats, and using bots to manipulate market data. The goal? To trigger FOMO (fear of missing out) and lure in unsuspecting traders into buying into a fraudulent token.
But here’s the truth: the surface data provided by tools like Dexscreener is only the beginning. To truly identify a scam, you need to dig deeper and look for the hidden red flags.
Essential Tools for Scam Detection: Stay Ahead of the Game
1. Wallet Tracking and Smart Data with GMGN
GMGN offers valuable insights into wallet activities, tracking patterns that could signal suspicious behavior. A major red flag is the presence of sniper bots—these bots manipulate price movements and trade timing to create a false sense of demand and trick traders into buying at inflated prices.
2. Holder Analysis with InsightX Network
Using InsightX’s bubble maps, you can track wallet interactions and spot suspicious activities, like token hoarding or rapid transfers between wallets. A simple check of the contract address through InsightX can expose hidden scams.
3. Security Ratings from RugCheck and Solana Sniffer
Security platforms like RugCheck and Solana Sniffer provide detailed analysis of a token’s safety profile. Look for vulnerabilities such as unlocked liquidity, active minting permissions, and honeypot mechanisms. A poor security score means high risk – proceed with caution.
The Hidden Danger: Fake Metrics
Scammers know that fake trading volume and inflated holder stats are effective tools for attracting attention. While these metrics might seem like indicators of credibility, they are often a dangerous illusion. To avoid falling victim, always validate data with trusted tools like InsightX or RugCheck.
Advanced Tips for Spotting Scams:
1. Don’t Trust Surface-Level Data
Trading volume or the number of holders can easily be manipulated. Look beyond the surface and verify the actual project behind the token.
2. Investigate the Project’s Fundamentals
A legitimate project will have transparency. Research the development team, check the token’s smart contract, and review the project roadmap. If any of these areas are unclear or suspicious, proceed with caution.
3. Prioritize Locked Liquidity
Tokens with locked liquidity are far less likely to experience a rug pull. Always look for clear, verifiable liquidity-lock mechanisms.
Sniping Bots: A Game-Changer for Solana Trading
In the fast-paced world of crypto trading, timing is everything. Sniping bots are designed to execute trades at lightning speed, giving traders an edge in volatile markets like Solana. These bots can help you secure profits quickly, but they can also be a tool for scammers if misused. Be cautious of bots that consistently push prices up or down, as they may indicate foul play.
Final Thoughts: Stay Safe, Stay Informed
The world of memecoins is full of excitement and potential, but it's also a breeding ground for scams. Protecting yourself requires vigilance, thorough research, and the right tools. By digging deeper, questioning surface-level metrics, and using trusted platforms to analyze tokens, you can avoid falling into the traps set by scammers.
Remember: Knowledge is your best defense. Stay informed, trade wisely, and never stop learning.
Trade Safely on Binance – Where security and opportunity meet. 🌟
#CryptoTrading #SafetyFirst #ScamPrevention #DeFi #Research
BTC 2024 will repeat the story of 2021... My own Research, only facts!
Introduction
I am crypto only futures and spot trader with 5 years of experience. Survived the big crush of the COVID period and post-COVID, predicted the fall and shorted it till 23.000$ then I stopped trading for a while, losted part of my profit and 5 months ago bitcoin got my attention once again. I specify on shorts only, I profit on long position only on spot. MY GOAL is to make useful researches, fundamental analyzes and share it with you, hoping that I will get some of your attention in return.
Now let's comeback to Data:
This is one of my most important research work covering macroeconomics, bicoin cycles, side to side comparison, learning bitcoin patterns and other crucial aspects
Data and Analysis
What we can expect in 2024 based on past patterns. Let's break it down with some compelling insights
Pay attention to the simillarities on the table! It's crucial to understand why the cycle is so simillar in bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Cycles and Halving Effects
Bitcoin’s market operates on a four-year halving cycle, reducing mining rewards and driving prices up. Here's a closer look at these cycles and their future implications.
Macroeconomic Shifts: 2021 vs. 2024
The economic landscape has changed dramatically from 2021 to 2024, making the latter more challenging. Here’s why:
🧧 Global Financial Stability
2021🍂
Post-COVID Recovery: Economies were bouncing back. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, implemented QE and stimulus measures, injecting liquidity and keeping interest rates near zero. The US GDP grew by 5.7% (Bitcoin Magazine).Economic Growth: Surprisingly GDP growth was robust, driven by easing lockdowns and vaccination efforts.
2024🍃
Economic Slowdown: Global GDP growth has slowed to around 2.4% due to persistent inflation and tighter monetary policies (CoinGecko).Increased Interest Rates: Central banks have raised rates significantly to combat inflation, with the Fed’s rates at 5%, increasing borrowing costs (coinglass).
🧧 Geopolitical Tensions
2021🍂
Stable Climate: Geopolitical tensions were present but contained, allowing trade recovery.
2024🍃
Escalated Conflicts: Ongoing conflicts and economic wars have disrupted global supply chains and trade.Sanctions and Trade Wars: New sanctions and trade restrictions have strained international relations.
🧧 Inflation and Currency Devaluation
2021🍂
Moderate Inflation: Inflation was at 4.7%, driven by supply chain disruptions and increased demand (Bitcoin Magazine).
2024🍃
High Inflation: Inflation has surged to 8%, eroding purchasing power and increasing living costs.Currency Weakness: Major currencies have depreciated against the US dollar, raising import costs.
🧧 Technological and Regulatory Environment
2021🍂
Regulatory Uncertainty: The crypto regulatory environment was evolving, with mixed signals from governments. Institutional interest was high.Tech Progress: Advancements like SegWit improved Bitcoin’s scalability.
2024🍃
Regulatory Clarity and Tightening: Stricter regulations have been implemented, including higher taxes and compliance measures, dampening investor enthusiasm.Technological Maturation: Innovations continue but at a slower pace, focusing more on compliance and security.
🧧 Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior
2021🍂
Bullish Enthusiasm: The market was bullish, driven by post-COVID recovery and rising crypto adoption (coinglass).Diversifying Investor Base: More institutional investors entered the market, adding stability and speculation.
2024🍃
Bearish Caution: Sentiment is more cautious due to economic uncertainties and high inflation. Investors are wary, reducing exposure to high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies.Flight to Safety: Investors favor safer investments like gold and government bonds over volatile cryptocurrencies.
Final conclusion:
The macroeconomic conditions in 2024 are significantly more challenging compared to 2021. With higher inflation, intensified geopolitical tensions, stricter regulations, and a more cautious investor sentiment, the economic landscape is both volatile and uncertain. These factors make 2024 potentially tougher for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, yet also ripe with strategic opportunities for the informed investor.
Technical Analysis Summary: Watch for Bitcoin stabilizing around the 200-day moving average and RSI levels indicating oversold conditions. Key indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and volume trends will be crucial in predicting market movements.
Outlook: Based on historical trends, Bitcoin may stabilize and rise before the July FOMC meeting. This period could be a prime entry point for savvy investors. Monitoring market indicators and macroeconomic trends will be essential. Despite the broader global crisis, the crypto market might be less impacted, presenting unique investment opportunities.
Like and follow...
As they say, "You can’t drink away experience." By subscribing to my thoughts and news to you motivate me more. Let’s conquer the crypto world using our knowledge together!
And also...
comment down bellow which coin in TOP 50 you want to see research about next time.
#research #ShortTermTrade #newsdaily #BTC☀
$BTC $NOT $PEPE
I am crypto only futures and spot trader with 5 years of experience. Survived the big crush of the COVID period and post-COVID, predicted the fall and shorted it till 23.000$ then I stopped trading for a while, losted part of my profit and 5 months ago bitcoin got my attention once again. I specify on shorts only, I profit on long position only on spot. MY GOAL is to make useful researches, fundamental analyzes and share it with you, hoping that I will get some of your attention in return.
Now let's comeback to Data:
This is one of my most important research work covering macroeconomics, bicoin cycles, side to side comparison, learning bitcoin patterns and other crucial aspects
Data and Analysis
What we can expect in 2024 based on past patterns. Let's break it down with some compelling insights
Pay attention to the simillarities on the table! It's crucial to understand why the cycle is so simillar in bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Cycles and Halving Effects
Bitcoin’s market operates on a four-year halving cycle, reducing mining rewards and driving prices up. Here's a closer look at these cycles and their future implications.
Macroeconomic Shifts: 2021 vs. 2024
The economic landscape has changed dramatically from 2021 to 2024, making the latter more challenging. Here’s why:
🧧 Global Financial Stability
2021🍂
Post-COVID Recovery: Economies were bouncing back. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, implemented QE and stimulus measures, injecting liquidity and keeping interest rates near zero. The US GDP grew by 5.7% (Bitcoin Magazine).Economic Growth: Surprisingly GDP growth was robust, driven by easing lockdowns and vaccination efforts.
2024🍃
Economic Slowdown: Global GDP growth has slowed to around 2.4% due to persistent inflation and tighter monetary policies (CoinGecko).Increased Interest Rates: Central banks have raised rates significantly to combat inflation, with the Fed’s rates at 5%, increasing borrowing costs (coinglass).
🧧 Geopolitical Tensions
2021🍂
Stable Climate: Geopolitical tensions were present but contained, allowing trade recovery.
2024🍃
Escalated Conflicts: Ongoing conflicts and economic wars have disrupted global supply chains and trade.Sanctions and Trade Wars: New sanctions and trade restrictions have strained international relations.
🧧 Inflation and Currency Devaluation
2021🍂
Moderate Inflation: Inflation was at 4.7%, driven by supply chain disruptions and increased demand (Bitcoin Magazine).
2024🍃
High Inflation: Inflation has surged to 8%, eroding purchasing power and increasing living costs.Currency Weakness: Major currencies have depreciated against the US dollar, raising import costs.
🧧 Technological and Regulatory Environment
2021🍂
Regulatory Uncertainty: The crypto regulatory environment was evolving, with mixed signals from governments. Institutional interest was high.Tech Progress: Advancements like SegWit improved Bitcoin’s scalability.
2024🍃
Regulatory Clarity and Tightening: Stricter regulations have been implemented, including higher taxes and compliance measures, dampening investor enthusiasm.Technological Maturation: Innovations continue but at a slower pace, focusing more on compliance and security.
🧧 Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior
2021🍂
Bullish Enthusiasm: The market was bullish, driven by post-COVID recovery and rising crypto adoption (coinglass).Diversifying Investor Base: More institutional investors entered the market, adding stability and speculation.
2024🍃
Bearish Caution: Sentiment is more cautious due to economic uncertainties and high inflation. Investors are wary, reducing exposure to high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies.Flight to Safety: Investors favor safer investments like gold and government bonds over volatile cryptocurrencies.
Final conclusion:
The macroeconomic conditions in 2024 are significantly more challenging compared to 2021. With higher inflation, intensified geopolitical tensions, stricter regulations, and a more cautious investor sentiment, the economic landscape is both volatile and uncertain. These factors make 2024 potentially tougher for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, yet also ripe with strategic opportunities for the informed investor.
Technical Analysis Summary: Watch for Bitcoin stabilizing around the 200-day moving average and RSI levels indicating oversold conditions. Key indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and volume trends will be crucial in predicting market movements.
Outlook: Based on historical trends, Bitcoin may stabilize and rise before the July FOMC meeting. This period could be a prime entry point for savvy investors. Monitoring market indicators and macroeconomic trends will be essential. Despite the broader global crisis, the crypto market might be less impacted, presenting unique investment opportunities.
Like and follow...
As they say, "You can’t drink away experience." By subscribing to my thoughts and news to you motivate me more. Let’s conquer the crypto world using our knowledge together!
And also...
comment down bellow which coin in TOP 50 you want to see research about next time.
#research #ShortTermTrade #newsdaily #BTC☀
$BTC $NOT $PEPE
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