When Bitcoin plunged 37.28% in June 2022, and Ethereum fell 44.79%, the bloody memory is still fresh. The old investors have already started to shiver. What secrets lie in this cursed month?
Ten years of data reveal: How ominous is Bitcoin's 'June Curse'?
Looking through Coinglass's historical records, in the 12 Junes since 2013, Bitcoin's rises and falls are evenly split. It seems like a 50-50 situation, but hidden dangers lurk:
Maximum increase of 27.14% (2016)
Maximum decrease of 37.28% (2022)
Ten-year average return: -0.35%
What does this mean? Holding Bitcoin through June, over ten years, you might actually lose money! Even scarier is that during a crash, declines of over 30% can wipe out leveraged players overnight.
Ethereum's stunning turnaround: Is there a secret to huge profits hidden in the crash?
While Bitcoin struggles under the June curse, Ethereum performs a stunning reversal:
In 9 Junes, it fell 6 times, with a win rate of only 33%
Maximum decline of 44.79% (2022)
But the average return is as high as 6.74%!
Behind this counterintuitive data lies Ethereum's explosive growth gene. A surge of 26.19% on June 2017 and an increase of over 18% in June 2023 allowed it to carve out a path during the crash.
Why does June always harvest retail investors?
Institutional semi-annual clearing of hedge funds and asset management giants often leads to significant market fluctuations at the end of June
Regulatory storm season: Agencies like the SEC often conduct surprise crackdowns mid-year; in June 2023, several exchanges were sued
Liquidity trap: The traditional market's 'Sell in May' effect continues, exacerbating the capital withdrawal and anemia in the crypto space

Three rules to protect your position
The red line for positions is that in June, holdings should not exceed 20% of total assets; during a crash, you will have bullets to buy the dip
Stop-loss rule: set a hard stop-loss at 15%; those who didn't set stop-losses in 2022 are still not out of the woods
Investment timing: buy the dip around the 25th of each month; the time when institutions are under the most selling pressure is your opportunity

Is history repeating itself? June 2024 hides dangers
The expectation of the Federal Reserve delaying interest rate cuts, slowing inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, and Ethereum spot ETF still undecided... When these negative factors accumulate in June, the market is brewing a storm.
But don't forget, before Bitcoin surged 38% in June 2019, the market was equally despairing. When panic reaches its peak, a turnaround often comes before dawn.
Survival rules for veterans in the crypto space this June:
Don't be greedy for the last penny
Don't bet on the last glimmer of hope
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