【#BTC走势预测 】BTC might be brewing the next big drop structure!
① The bear markets of 2022 and 2026 display eerily similar descending structures, with comparable drop magnitudes and identical key rebound points. This isn’t just a simple case of ‘carving a boat to catch a sword’; it’s a structural convergence that holds some serious reference value.
② In both 2022 and 2026, the first segment of the big drop structure started from the peak and slid down, creating a fake-out step before continuing down until a 50% drop was achieved, cutting the price in half from the top, thus finding the bottom and ending the first major drop, initiating a stage bottom rebound. From the 2022 peak of 69k down to 33k (-52%), rebounding to 49k (+49%); in 2026, from 126k down to 60k (-53%), rebounding to 82.8k (+38%). It might weaken and fail to reach higher rebound levels, but if it meets the +49% mark, it should bounce back to around 90k.
③ Similarly, the large-scale drop is hitting the Bollinger Bands' turning point and is being suppressed downward by the MA30 moving average. We’ll need to watch if a new downward Bollinger Band opens up later.
$BTC
① The bear markets of 2022 and 2026 display eerily similar descending structures, with comparable drop magnitudes and identical key rebound points. This isn’t just a simple case of ‘carving a boat to catch a sword’; it’s a structural convergence that holds some serious reference value.
② In both 2022 and 2026, the first segment of the big drop structure started from the peak and slid down, creating a fake-out step before continuing down until a 50% drop was achieved, cutting the price in half from the top, thus finding the bottom and ending the first major drop, initiating a stage bottom rebound. From the 2022 peak of 69k down to 33k (-52%), rebounding to 49k (+49%); in 2026, from 126k down to 60k (-53%), rebounding to 82.8k (+38%). It might weaken and fail to reach higher rebound levels, but if it meets the +49% mark, it should bounce back to around 90k.
③ Similarly, the large-scale drop is hitting the Bollinger Bands' turning point and is being suppressed downward by the MA30 moving average. We’ll need to watch if a new downward Bollinger Band opens up later.
$BTC